During an earnings season when most stocks have beaten their analyst estimates, Beazer Homes (BZH) came in woefully under expectations with a loss of $27.8 million, or 41 cents per share.

Normally, you would expect news like this, coupled with a housing market that looks shaky at best, to be a major deterrent to investors. But I don't think we should write Beazer off just yet. It could actually be an interesting longer-term buy opportunity. Here's why:

Continue reading Beazer Earnings Disappoint but Stock Could Be a Buy

Beazer Earnings Disappoint but Stock Could Be a Buy originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 05 Aug 2010 10:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Deep in the heart of defaults

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Deep in the heart of defaults originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 30 May 2008 09:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

As the financial crisis spreads quickly from Wall Street to other industries, two large home builder projects have received default notices. The problems involve developments in Las Vegas, where house prices have collapsed.

A project involving KB Homes (NYSE: KBH), Lennar (NYSE: LEN), and Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL) has failed to make interest payments on $765 million in debt.

According to The Wall Street Journal (subscription required), the project is spear-headed by a private company, Focus Property Group.

It is not clear how many other large real estate developments involving public home builders are facing near-term margin calls, but with the falling price of real estate, the problem in Las Vegas is unlikely to be that last one. That means that already weakened firms could face a credit crisis of their own as home prices continue to drop and the potential value of homes under construction face going on the market for a fraction of what they may have brought just a year ago.

Some of the large home building company stocks have lost over two-thirds of their value over the past year, and that may only be the beginning.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Home builders sucked into credit crisis originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 15 Mar 2008 14:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Home builders are in trouble. Wall Street just has to look at stock prices for Hovnanian (NYSE: HOV) and Beazer (NYSE: BZH) to see that they and their peers have lost half of their value in a year.

But, builder KB Home (NYSE: KBH) has a bit of a secret weapon. Its homes, designed in part by Martha Stewart, are still selling relatively well. The Stewart homes are only 5% of KB's sales, but as The Wall Street Journal points out [subscription required]: "From March through June 15, the two Martha Stewart developments alone drew 42% of the people who visited KB's 22 subdivisions in the Atlanta metro area."

Some buyers, it seems, want the homes because they believe that Stewart signifies "class". Others think the homes will have better resale values.

The venture may offer a bright spot of the entire industry. Nothing will get home sales back on track except a major upturn in the market. But, the idea of home builders selling new inventory in celebrity partnerships may have a future.

The Elvis Presley model may be on the market sooner than people think.

Douglas A. McIntyre is a partner at 24/7 Wall St.

Martha Stewart comes to rescue the home industry originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 11 Jul 2007 08:22:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

1. Current oversupply of new and resale housing inventory
2. A difficult situation compounded by aggressive competition
3. Continued weak demand

Continue reading Another homebuilder feels the pain, this time it's KB Home

Another homebuilder feels the pain, this time it's KB Home originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 28 Jun 2007 11:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

• Centex (NYSE: CTX) - 37%
• DR Horton (NYSE: DHI) - 40%
• KB Homes (NYSE: KBH) - 53%
• Lennar (NYSE: LEN) - 31%
• Pulte Homes (NYSE: PHM) - 36%
• Beazer (NYSE: BZH) - 57%
• Hovnanian (NYSE: HOV) - 35%
• MDC Holdings (NYSE: MDC) - 49%
• Standard Pacific (NYSE: SPF) - 50%

Housing: To go long or to go short? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 04 Jan 2007 10:01:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

CEO scandal? No worries, says Cramer: buy KB Homes originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 13 Nov 2006 19:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

There is no housing bubble. That is a stupid term promoted by journalists and analysts fighting the last war like an old general. The stock market "bubble" burst sending the NASDAQ plummeting from 5000 to 1200. Anybody foresee housing for sale at an 80% discount let me know and I might be able to help you with that problem. It's not going to happen!

If and when certain markets collapse 20% to 30%, it should not be deemed a bubble. It will happen in some markets and has happened in over-built condo markets. But these units will be absorbed in the next few years. The greatest pain will be felt by the biggest speculators and the most overzealous people participating in unorthodox loan programs.

How many stocks move up and down that much in a year? Plenty! Think Google, or Merck, or Black and Decker. Even I, who have been trying to add some sanity to GOOG's valuation through numerous posts, never said GOOG was a bubble stock.

There is a need for more housing, period! As a current investor in four different housing projects -- three in Southern California and one in Phoenix --I can testify that all will sell at considerable profits. We have seen no let-up in demand. Each one is different: One is an infill project of 150 single family homes. Another is a new development of 200 homes in a growing community, a third is a mixed use project of 60 condominiums over retail stores and the fourth is a unique town home project surrounding a parking structure that is commercial adjacent.

The only problem we see is getting entitlements and building permits. This process has become excruciatingly painful in many parts of the country and just about everywhere in California. My home town of Santa Monica being one of the worst offenders, used to be referred to as "The People's Republic of Santa Monica." That was too long a nickname so some just started calling it "Soviet Monica." I love this community but there are times I think we are all over-indulgent meddlers.

Continue reading Housing Truth from Main Street

Housing Truth from Main Street originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 29 Aug 2006 11:53:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Hilary: great smile, great dimples, and best of all, GREAT calls... (Sorry, I just can't be PC -- not in a blog.)

Hilary Kramer (HK) in her stock blog, HilaryOnStocks, has changed direction and decided to make people money by saving them some money, suggesting it may be time to bail out of certain holdings. Generally speaking, her comments on the 10 stocks she reviewed were very good.

However, I must take exception to the overall principle of trading in and out of stocks because that may not be smart for certain investors. For example, she suggests that Apple may be over, with its long run-up behind it and that taking some profits is in order. I made a similar argument last week.

More in depth review might reveal that if you got in early and live in a high tax state like California you are looking at losing 22% to 24% of your gain to taxes when you add the state tax to the federal capital gains tax and then add up the transaction fees. So while HK is correct that Apple may start moving lower, the question is by how much?

Also, you must consider where you will put the money when you get it. And if you put it in cash or short-term investments, then when will you get back into the market and what will you buy? And you will be putting back 25% less perhaps.

I am not against paying taxes or rotating out of questionable companies, but you must always look at the broad picture as it applies to your own situation.

Here's my take on the 10 stocks she suggests selling:

Home Depot (HD) and KB Homes (KBH): Solid companies and while they my lag for a while, if you got in at the right price they can be good core holdings depending on your personal circumstances.

Carnival Cruise Lines (CCL), Coach (COH), Gap (GPS), General Motors (GM): You don't need to bother with them now.

Apple (AAPL) and Hewlett Packard (HPQ): Big maybes.

Krispy Kreme (KKD) and Jet Blue (JBLU): No reason to own in any market!

Also check out my recent posts: "Dividends are very sexy -- no joke" and "A bad rap for a bad market"

My take on Hilary Kramer's 10 Stocks to Sell Now originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 14 Jun 2006 10:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.