"While others are waiting for the next shoe to drop in the stock markets, I believe that the bottom is in," says technical expert Yola Edwards. Meanwhile, in The Internet Wealth Builder she has found a stock that she likes within "the rubble of the U.S. housing market." The stock? KB Home (NYSE: KBH).

Edwards explains, "I'm not saying that the subprime issue isn't significant, but I do believe that it is now priced into the market. It appears that the worst is over for the Dow Jones Industrial Average as well."

A technician by trade, she points out that the market is drastically oversold and the index has traced out a multi-year inverted head and shoulders pattern. Based on this pattern, she notes, a minimum upside target of 14,500 should be expected.

Meanwhile, for those comfortable with an out-of-favor, contrarian play, she sees both fundamental and technical opportunity in the shares of KB Home, a Los Angeles-based builder of single-family homes.

She notes, "Given what's been happening in the U.S. housing market, it should come as no surprise that the current financials are poor. KB Home has seen domestic sales battered by the housing downturn, which has been exacerbated in recent months by tightened lending standards by banks."

There are times when Wall Street, to borrow a phrase, takes "two steps forward and one step back."

Then there are times when the Street simply stands, and waits for the events on the ground to clarify the financial landscape.

And that was the case Tuesday, as Monday's rally faded into Tuesday's 140-point Dow sell-off. And one reason was the subprime issue in general, which seems to offer a data point daily regarding the sector's health, and its impact on the housing sector, and the economy.

Tuesday's data point was American Home Mortgage (NYSE: AHM), which dropped more than 80% to about $1.00 per share from its recent $10.50 per share after the company indicated it is unable to borrow money under its banks lines and is looking at ways to raise money, including "the orderly liquidation of assets."

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• BWS Financial cut Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN) shares to Sell from Hold on valuation.

• YRC Worldwide (NASDAQ: YRCW) was assumed with an Underweight rating, down from Neutral, as JP Morgan is cautious on the industry's L-T-L pricing.

• UBS downgraded SanDisk (NASDAQ: SNDK) to Neutral from Buy on valuation.

• Gabelli downgraded shares of Activision (NASDAQ: ATVI) to Hold from Buy to reflect their expectation of increasing competition for some of the company's key titles.

• Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS.A) was downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at HSBC on valuation.

• Matrix believes the prolonged weakness in the housing market is eliminating economic profits and cut KB Home (NYSE: KBH) to Strong Sell from Sell...

• Citigroup and ABN Amro cut Rio Tinto Group (NYSE: RTP) to Hold from Buy.

• Merrill Lynch downgraded J.M. Smucker (NYSE: SJM) to Sell from Neutral.

• First Albany downgraded shares of Travelzoo (NASDAQ: TZOO) to Neutral from Buy.

• Matrix downgraded Constellation Brands (NYSE: STZ) to Hold from Buy.

• AG Edwards downgraded Aetna (NYSE: AET) to Hold from Buy.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• The Wall Street Journal (subscription required) speculated that Carl Icahn's bid for WCI Communities Inc (NYSE: WCI) may be the start of home-builder buyouts. Other possible LBO targets, according to some Wall Street firms, include Toll Brothers Inc (NYSE: TOL), Ryland Group Inc (NYSE: RYL), Beazer Homes USA Inc (NYSE: BZH) and KB Home (NYSE: KBH).
• The Wall Street Journal also reported that Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE: GS) is looking to push deeper into the subprime lending business at a time when the subprime mortgage market is suffering a "meltdown."
• The Financial Times (subscription required) reported that Cerberus Capital Management, one of the leaders in the bid to buy DaimlerChrysler AG's (NYSE: DCX) Chrysler unit, has signed Wolfgang Bernhard to an advisory contract. Bernhard helped restructure Chrysler five years ago.

• The U.K. Times reported that a CVC-led private equity group is planning to bid above GBP9.5B for Sainsbury's plc ADR (OTC: JSAIY).
• The U.K. Times also reported that Cadbury Schweppes ADS (NYSE: CSG) is considering spinning off and selling its profitable drinks business, which includes Dr. Pepper and 7-Up, as a way to defend against a takeover bid for the entire group.

• Lehman Bros downgraded shares of Motorola Inc (NYSE: MOT) to Equal Weight from Overweight with a $20 target citing a slower recovery in handset margins.

• Stifel downgraded Maguire Properties Inc (NYSE: MPG) to Sell from Hold. Friedman Billings removed Maguire from its Top Picks list, citing the $2.9 billion acquisition of California assets for the removal.

• Bear Stearns downgraded China Life Insurance Co Ltd (NYSE: LFC) to Underperform from Peer Perform based on valuation.

• ThinkEquity cut Palm, Inc (NASDAQ: PALM) to Accumulate from Buy with an $18 target citing valuation driven by takeover speculation as well as lack of execution improvements.

• UBS downgraded shares of both CSX Corp (NYSE: CSX) and Kansas City Southern (NYSE: KSU) to Neutral from Buy on valuation. The broker raised CSX's target to $45 from $41 and raised Kansas City's target to $38 from $33.

• AG Edwards downgraded Qualcomm, Inc (NASDAQ: QCOM) to Hold from Buy on valuation.

• Lehman downgraded Hasbro Inc (NYSE: HAS) to Equal Weight from Overweight with a $30 target.

• Matrix USA downgraded KB Home (NYSE: KBH) to Hold from Strong Buy based on valuation.

MOST NOTEWORTHY

• Morgan Keegan upgraded FedEx Corp (NYSE: FDX) to Outperform from Market Perform. The firm said recent data indicates that the company's core business segments are well-positioned for operational improvements given current initiative; data also indicates that we may have reached a bottom in the economy and can potentially expect a soft landing.

• Applied Materials Inc (NASDAQ: AMAT) was upgraded to Buy from Hold with a $25 target at First Albany and Stanford, as they believe the company's memory cycle is better than investors may think.

• Coca-Cola Enterprises Inc (NYSE: CCE) was upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at Bernstein because the firm no longer sees any major negative catalysts ahead.

• Apria Healthcare Group Inc (NYSE: AHG) was upgraded to Hold from Sell with a $30 target at Deutsche Bank. The firm said Apria reported a solid fourth quarter and near-term momentum was more clear.

• JP Morgan upgraded King Pharmaceuticals inc (NYSE: KG) to Neutral from Underweight on valuation and the potential of a prolonged delay of generic Skelazin.

• Citigroup upgraded Ciena Inc (NASDAQ: CIEN) to Buy from Hold, but still considers JDS Uniphase Corp (NASDAQ: JDSU) their top pick for capacity exposure.

• Jefferies raised Applebee's Int'l Inc (NASDAQ: APPB) to Hold from Underperform to reflect the company's decision to seek strategic alternatives.

• Prudential upgraded Nasdaq Stock Market Inc (NASDAQ: NDAQ) to Neutral from Underweight with a $30 target.

• JMP Securities upgraded KB Home (NYSE: KBH) to Outperform from Market Perform with a $60 target.

Each year Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, surveys the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is part of his 24th annual Top Picks Report.

Homebuilder KB Home (NYSE: KBH) is the top conservative idea for 2007 from Ryan Detrick, editor of Players Performer. He explains, "The stock has been a very strong technical performer since the housing sector bottomed in July.

"At the time, the media was flooded with bearish claims that the housing bubble was about to burst and that the sector as a whole had nowhere to go but down. During the final few months of 2006, housing stocks have been able to advance amid this wealth of skepticism -- a very positive development that could lead to additional gains throughout 2007.

"This strength amid negative data indicates that there is a good deal of sideline cash that could begin to flow into the housing sector should the companies begin to display any signs of leveling out on the fundamental side.

"It's clear that the investing public is betting against KBH. From a contrarian perspective, this skepticism toward an outperforming equity is a bullish indicator. Looking at a quick rundown, we have bearish media sentiment, bearish analysts on Wall Street, and bearish quantified sentiment -- all of this despite positive price action.