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AIG Downgraded by Keefe Bruyette

Keefe Bruyette on Tuesday downgraded American International Group (AIG) to underperform from market perform and set a price target of $6 per share. The target price is far lower than the stock's current perch in the upper $42 region. The brokerage cut AIG because it "sees little long-term value under AIG's current ownership and capital structure," as theflyonthewall reports. Following the downgrade, shares traded more than 4% lower in pre-market action.

Technically, the assigned target price of $6 is a gutsy move. The stock is perched atop support from its 10- and 20-week moving averages. In addition, the 10-week trendline recently completed a bullish cross of its 20-week counterpart. This technical formation often precedes a continued run higher.

Continue reading AIG Downgraded by Keefe Bruyette

There will be blood -- in my portfolio ...

Well, all I can say is that today has been one of the worst days of my portfolio's life. I'm not concerned about my core holdings -- Disney (NYSE: DIS), Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO), General Electric (NYSE: GE), stuff like that -- but, boy oh boy, are my financial positions taking some major hits!

I know, I know -- you're saying to yourself, "uh, buddy, didn't you realize this was going to happen?" Sure, but when the theory becomes reality, that's when the torture really starts to set in. Not sure if you caught the wave of downgrades today -- if you didn't, check out Eric Buscemi's post about it -- but I got hammered by one of them. MFA Mortgage (NYSE: MFA) was downgraded by Keefe Bruyette on book-value concerns. As I write this, it's trading down over 15% -- oooh, it hurts to write such a double-digit figure -- on, get this, volume of over 15 million shares. The 30-day average volume is closer to 4 million shares. I'm writing this with a couple hours to go to close! It's going to be a huge volume day once all is said and done. I also own Newcastle Investment (NYSE: NCT), CapitalSource (NYSE: CSE) and MFA preferred shares (NYSE: MFA-A).

Have I been shaken out yet? No. In fact, in terms of MFA, I personally think that it is a buy, even though it could be in falling-knife mode right now (that's always difficult to discern). I know Timothy Sykes would disagree on this strategy, so you should check out his post for some balance. With Ben Bernanke most likely set to cut the Fed Funds rate even further, MFA should benefit, as should most financials. I also like CapitalSource, but I am a little wary at this point of Newcastle -- I think it will recover, but that one's been particularly volatile. As they say, when there's blood on Wall Street, that's sometimes the best time to do some judicious buying (after a ton of due diligence, of course). And, as a postscript, if you want to do only safe buying, then Disney, Coke and GE might be good ideas to look at -- GE has an especially interesting yield right now.

Disclosure: Steven Mallas owns shares in Disney, Coca-Cola, MFA common and MFA preferred, CapitalSource, Newcastle Investment, and GE. Positions can change at any time.

Analyst downgrades 6-05-07: OPWV, TRMP and LEND

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Openwave Systems Inc (NASDAQ: OPWV), Trump Entertainment Resorts Inc (NASDAQ: TRMP) and Accredited Home Lenders Holding Co (NASDAQ: LEND) were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Openwave Systems Inc (NASDAQ: OPWV) was downgraded to Underperform from Buy at Needham, as the firm no longer believes the company's assets and balance sheet are worth $11/share and expects the franchise to be again disrupted due to layoffs and asset sales. Openwave was also downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan, to Hold from Buy at Wedbush after no superior bid emerged to Harbinger's, and to Sector Underperformer from Outperformer at CIBC World Markets, which cited reduced prospects of a buyout.
  • Trump Entertainment Resorts Inc (NASDAQ: TRMP) was downgraded to Underperform from Peer Perform at Bear Stearns citing valuation as upside from a takeout at current levels is remote.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Bebe Stores Inc (NASDAQ: BEBE) was downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Friedman Billings citing new merchandise that lacks a significant casual component to drive business, tough comps, aggressively planned inventory levels for 2H, and the potential for sustained negative comps during the next few quarters.
  • General Mills Inc (NYSE: GIS) was downgraded to Peer Perform from outperform at Bear Stearns on valuation and concerns with the turnaround plan for Big G cereal division.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Analyst upgrades 12-6-06: General Electric, Prudential, and Barnes and Noble

MOST NOTEWORTHY: General Electric Company (NYSE:GE) was the only notable company on the upgrade list today
  • Goldman Sachs added General Electric (NYSE:GE) to their Conviction Buy List with a $42 target, suggesting a 19% upside from current levels; Goldman thinks the December 12th outlook meeting could be a positive catalyst for the stock.
OTHER UPGRADES:
  • Keefe Bruyette upgraded shares of Prudential (NYSE: PRU) to Outperform from Market Perform following the company's increased return-on-equity guidance.
  • Barnes & Noble (NYSE: BKS) was upgraded to Outperform from Underperform at Credit Suisse citing relative valuation and the likelihood of a leveraged buy out event.

Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-74.9212,454.83
NASDAQ-1.852,837.53
S&P 500-2.861,317.82

Last updated: May 28, 2012: 05:04 PM

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