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Kraft earnings preview: Q2 results expected to be marginally lower

Kraft Foods Inc. (NYSE: KFT), one of the largest packaged foods companies in the world, is scheduled to discuss its second quarter 2009 results later today in a conference call at 4:00 PM ET. You can catch the webcast of the call at the company's website.

For the quarter in which Kraft declared a $0.29 per share quarterly dividend and welcomed a new member to its executive team, analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect the Northfield, Ill.-based company to report that per-share earnings fell four cents from a year ago to $0.54, though that is up from $0.45 per share in the first quarter. Revenue for the second quarter is expected to be 7.2% lower to $10.4 billion. Earnings topped estimates in four of the five past quarters, by as much as 15.3%.

Continue reading Kraft earnings preview: Q2 results expected to be marginally lower

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: AAPL, AMX, COST, KFT, LMT, RTP ...

Analyst upgrades:

  • Citigroup upgraded Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT) to Buy from Hold as it believes the company's domestic retail business is improving while input cost inflation pressures are beginning to moderate. Citi raised its target on shares to $32 from $28.
  • Jefferies upgraded Sybase (NYSE: SY) to Buy from Hold as it believes slowing core IPG licenses in the second half of 2009 are now reflected in guidance. The firm raised its target on shares to $41 from $34.
  • Canaccord said Apple's (NASDAQ: AAPL) decision to ad video functionality into the iPod lineup is "very positive" as it expands its market into the low-end camcorder area. The firm, which upgraded shares to Buy from Hold and raised its target to $200 from $150, also views the launch of iPhone 3GS in all countries by the end of Q4 as another catalyst.
  • Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Societe Generale.
  • Renasant Corp. (NASDAQ: RNST) was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Stephens.
  • America Movil (NYSE: AMX) was upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Pali Capital.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: AAPL, AMX, COST, KFT, LMT, RTP ...

Kraft Foods hikes ad budget to maintain growth in China

In an interview with Reuters, Kraft Foods Inc. (NYSE: KFT) reported that it expects sales in China to gain 10% in 2009. "This is one of the times when I love being in the food business. This is a market that, whatever happens in the economy, people still eat. And we have a range of products to serve everybody's needs," explained Lorna Davis, the company's president of operations in China. "Opportunities here are just huge," she added.

The projected 10% sales growth for 2009 roughly corresponds with Kraft's 2008 sales results in China. The food firm plans to maintain its healthy pace of expansion by way of a 20% boost to advertising spending. "If you want to build your business here and you don't spend more than 10 percent of your total revenue on advertising, you are not going to grow," asserted Davis.

Continue reading Kraft Foods hikes ad budget to maintain growth in China

Kraft Foods (KFT) still an anti-recession bet

Consumer spending patterns during the current economic recession have trended toward lower- priced options, whether with respect to necessities or discretionary items. Among the essential purchases, food label options have dwindled as manufacturers and retailers have dropped numerous items from the store shelves.

Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT) for example has eliminated many less profitable items from its product lines, dropping labels like the South Beach Living frozen meals. As a result of the reduction of product offerings and the impact of currency valuations, Kraft is projecting a decline in first-quarter 2009 revenues of 5%.

Continue reading Kraft Foods (KFT) still an anti-recession bet

The week in preview: High hopes for MasterCard, Avon, Aflac, Northrop Grumman

If you've been watching earnings this past week, or if you read last week's Week in Preview, then this coming week may leave you feeling a bit like Bill Murray in Groundhog's Day. That is, again analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect earnings declines to be more frequent and deeper than earnings gains.

Motorola Inc. (NYSE: MOT), Dow Chemical Co. (NYSE: DOW), Anadarko Petroleum Corp. (NYSE: APC), IAC Interactivecorp (NASDAQ: IACI), Moody's Corp. (NYSE: MCO), Elizabeth Arden Inc. (NASDAQ: RDEN), Devon Energy Corp. (NYSE: DVN), Diebold Inc. (NYSE: DBD), Tyco International Ltd. (NYSE: TYC), United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS), Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO), Polo Ralph Lauren Corp. (NYSE: RL), ITT Corp. (NYSE: ITT), and Walt Disney Co. (NYSE: DIS) are scheduled to report quarterly results this week, and they're all expected to report double-digit declines in earnings.

But again this week, let's take a look who Wall Street feels may have done well in the past quarter.

Continue reading The week in preview: High hopes for MasterCard, Avon, Aflac, Northrop Grumman

Investing in a bipolar market: Take another peek at staples

Almost a year ago, when Steve Halpern suggested that investors take a second look at Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG), he offered a very sound argument: the manufacturer had a strong domestic and international presence, was trading well and -- perhaps most importantly -- was heavily involved in staples. Over the ensuing year, Halpern's advice has proven to be pretty strong. In fact, on September 29, when the bottom was falling out of the market, P&G was one of the three stocks in the S&P 500 that fell the least.

P&G, as well as the other two stocks that fell the least, Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT) and Coca-Cola Enterprises (NYSE: CCE), and the one S&P stock that actually rose, Campbell Soup Company (NYSE: CPB) have a few things in common. First off, they all are connected to products that make people feel safe. These sorts of brands (which Kevin Roberts calls Lovemarks) are almost recession-proof. When things get bad and people lose faith in the market, they experience an ever-greater desire to reach for a Coke and a smile, grab a bowl of "Mmm! Mmm! Good!" Campbell's soup and eat a plate of Kraft Macaroni and Cheese. Given their ability to evoke memories of a comforting childhood, these mid-level brands will often experience an uptick in troubling times.

The other thing that all these companies have in common is that they are staples. In boom times, people tend to eat out more, subcontract cleaning and laundry services, and try pricier, upscale brands. In tougher times, however, the tendency to eat in and do one's own laundry means that companies like Kraft, Coca-Cola and P&G may actually find themselves in a better financial position. This isn't to say that staples don't have ups and downs, but rather that their fluctuations tend to be less severe -- and they sometimes even buck the prevailing market trends!

The week in preview: Chicken soup (or a doughnut) for the recession-weary soul?

In last week's preview we took a peek at expectations for Campbell Soup earnings, but now the company is scheduled to report fiscal fourth quarter results this coming Thursday. With Krispy Kreme also among the handful of companies scheduled to report this week, we may yet see whether consumers are turning to comfort foods in these uncertain times.

Campbell Soup Co. (NYSE: CPB), the world's biggest soup maker, is still expected by analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial to post net income of 25 cents per share (up 44.0% from a year ago) on revenue of $1.7 billion (up 7.4%). The Camden, N.J.-based company has just missed earnings estimates in the past few quarters. Its long-term EPS growth forecast is 7.9%, which is less than the industry average, but about the same as rivals Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT) and HJ Heinz (NYSE: HNZ). The analysts' consensus recommendation is currently to buy Campbell.

Hip, Canadian apparel retailer Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ: LULU) is also anticipated to be a big earnings gainer when it reports this week. Net income is expected to come in at 13 cents per share (up 46.2% from a year ago) on revenue of $88.2 million (up 50.3%). Lululemon met expectations when it reported 12 cents per share in the previous quarter. Its long-term EPS growth forecast is a healthy 40.2%, which is better than the industry average and that of rival Under Armour Inc. (NYSE: UA). The analysts' consensus recommendation is currently to buy Lululemon.

Continue reading The week in preview: Chicken soup (or a doughnut) for the recession-weary soul?

Earnings highlights: Toll Bros., Take-Two, Tiffany, Staples, Kraft, Corning and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Also, Jim Cramer discusses a decline in earnings resulting from a collapse of oil and oil services.

Upcoming quarterly reports include Korn/Ferry (NYSE: KFY), Pep Boys (NYSE: PBY), Campbell Soup (NYSE: CPB), Krispy Kreme (NYSE: KKD), and Lululemon Athletica (NASDAQ: LULU).

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage.

The week in preview: Have consumers turned to comfort food and used cars?

While the earnings crunch for this quarter is all but over, there is still plenty of action in the earnings arena this coming week. For instance, analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial are expecting America's Car Mart Inc. (NASDAQ: CRMT) and Campbell Soup Co. (NYSE: CPB) to be among this week's top earnings gainers.

Bentonville, Ark.-based America's Car Mart is expected to post net income of 38 cents per share (up 52.6% from the same period a year ago) on revenue of $73.8 million (up 25.8%). The used car dealer chain has tended in recent quarters toward positive surprises -- by 21 cents per share, or 73.5%, in the previous quarter. The long-term EPS growth forecast is 15%, about the same as the S&P 500. The consensus recommendation of analysts is to buy CRMT.

Campell is tentatively scheduled to report this week, and the world's biggest soup maker is expected to post net income of 25 cents per share (up 44.0% from a year ago) on revenue of $1.7 billion (up 7.5%). The Camden, N.J.-based company has just missed earnings estimates in the past three quarters. Its long-term EPS growth forecast is 7.5%, which is less than the industry average, but about the same as rivals Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT) and Heinz (NYSE: HNZ). The analysts' consensus recommendation is currently to buy Campbell.

Other anticipated double-digit earnings gainers scheduled to report this week include brand name apparel maker Guess Inc. (NYSE: GES), mining equipment maker Joy Global (NASDAQ: JOYG), and chip maker National Semiconductor (NYSE: NSM). And Take-Two Interactive Software (NASDAQ: TTWO) is expected to swing to a profit.

Continue reading The week in preview: Have consumers turned to comfort food and used cars?

Kraft, United Natural & Hain Celestial: Organic gains

"The organic food industry is surprisingly resilient in an economic downturn," explains Benjamin Shepard, contributing editor with Personal Finance.

He adds, "Mainstream retailers and your corner grocer have been embracing the trend, devoting an ever-growing amount of shelf space to organic foods." Here's a trio of favorites.

"What was essentially a nascent industry in 1997 with $3.6 billion in sales has exploded to a behemoth with almost $14 billion in sales in 2006, according to the Organic Trade Association.

"And barring a major economic disaster worse than we've seen thus far, the industry looks set to continue double-digit growth well into the next decade.

"That's not to say there aren't potential troubles ahead as commodity prices continue to soar. Organic farming techniques tend to be more cost intensive--ironically enough--and transport costs continue to swell.

"But so far the industry has been able to pass the bulk of the higher costs onto consumers, and although sales volumes have dropped off and profits are down, those consumers are as dedicated as ever.

Continue reading Kraft, United Natural & Hain Celestial: Organic gains

Companies that vanished: General Foods gobbles up rivals, then gets gobbled

This post is part of a series on some of the most memorable companies that have disappeared.

The history of General Foods can be traced back to the Postum Cereal Company, founded by Charles William Post, inventor of Postum and Grape Nuts, in 1895. Wall Street player E.F. Hutton in time became the chairman, and he initiated a series of acquisitions beginning in 1925: Jell-O, Minute Tapioca, Log Cabin, Hellmann, Calumet Baking Powder, and Birdseye. It was after the Birdseye acquisition in 1929 that the food conglomerate became General Foods.

Among General Foods' many product offerings were Sanka decaffinated coffee and the astronaut's favorite, Tang. General Foods also continued to make acquisitions, including the makers of Kool-Aid in 1953, the Burger Chef restaurant chain in 1968, and Oscar Mayer in 1981.

But late in 1985, General Foods was itself acquired by Philip Morris Cos., which later became Altria Group (NYSE: MO), in the largest non-oil acquisition to date. When Philip Morris acquired Kraft in 1988, the two food companies were merged. In 2007, Altria spun off Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT), which now owns such former General Foods brands as Jell-O, Kool-Aid, and Maxwell House coffee. And it was announced in late 2007 that Post Cereals, including Grape Nuts, would be sold to Ralcorp Holdings (NYSE: RAH).

Continue reading Companies that vanished: General Foods gobbles up rivals, then gets gobbled

Battle of the Brands: Folgers vs. Maxwell House

This post is part of our Battle of the Brands feature. Let us know which brand you prefer, and check out other Battle of the Brands posts.

Drinkers of fine coffee may turn their noses up at Folgers or Maxwell House, but these two brands have been household names for decades. And they're not the just offering plain, old coffee for the commoners anymore. They've both added a variety of coffees to their product mixes in an effort to lure more upscale (picky? elitist?) coffee drinkers to their brands.

Folgers, one of the Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG) family of products, has added roasts such as Black Silk, French Roast, Gourmet Supreme, and House Blend. They've also got a line of flavored coffees that include Crème Brulee, Vanilla Biscotti, and Caramel Drizzle. You will also find instant cappuccino in French Vanilla and Mocha Chocolate flavors, and the trusty old plain instant coffee is still available. I've had it, and it's not all that bad when you're in a pinch!

Continue reading Battle of the Brands: Folgers vs. Maxwell House

Kraft Food (KFT) Q1 profit slips but tops estimates

Shares of the nation's largest food and beverage maker, Kraft Foods Inc. (NYSE: KFT), have been surging in morning trading despite posting a decline for its first-quarter profit, as its earnings numbers were better than analysts had forecast.

For the quarter, Kraft Foods announced that its profit dropped 13% to $608 million, compared with $702 million a year earlier, dragged down by higher expenses for ingredients. The 2007 earnings results included a one-time interest benefit related to the spin-off from Altria Group Inc. (NYSE: MO). On an adjusted basis, the company posted quarterly earnings of 44 cents per share, slightly higher the 40 cents per share that analysts expected.

The food giant posted solid growth in its first-quarter revenue, which climbed to $10.37 billion, up from $8.59 billion reported in the same period a year ago. Analysts had forecast lower revenue of $9.77 billion in the quarter, according to Thomson Financial. The increase in revenue came as the company benefited from both the weak dollar and gains related to acquisitions.

Continue reading Kraft Food (KFT) Q1 profit slips but tops estimates

Kraft has to raise prices, but people have to eat!

Kraft Foods, Inc. (NYSE: KFT) is in a bit of a pickle. As the following article makes clear, the company knows it has to raise prices. There's just no choice in the matter. Commodity input costs are on the rise, and something has to give. But the problem is, consumers not only have to pay more for Kraft foodstuffs, they have to ante up more of the green stuff for everything else too -- fuel for the car, heating oil for the home, you know the drill.

If you're a Kraft shareholder, should this concern you? What about if you own other consumer-oriented stocks based on the supermarket shelves that are feeling the inflationary pinch, companies such as General Mills, Inc. (NYSE: GIS) -- which reported earnings today -- or Kellogg Company (NYSE: K), or maybe even beverage businesses like The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE: KO) or PepsiCo, Inc. (NYSE: PEP)? Well, it should, of course. Inflation is no fun, and with the price of oil hitting new highs recently, a trend that seems very much intact, consumers will be strapped. In fact, Kraft is now trying to make up for lower volumes by raising the cost of its goods; this isn't ideal, perhaps, but Rick Searer, who is the president of Kraft North America, brings up an almost humorous point -- "consumers have to eat." I have yet to meet one that doesn't, come to think of it!

But I think the consumer companies are relatively sophisticated with their data-analysis protocols and are, perhaps, a bit more nimble in terms of deducing what shoppers want to buy for purposes of stocking their pantries. At least, I would hope they are -- we've been hearing about better data-mining techniques for years. Kraft obviously will promote a wait-and-see attitude in terms of the consumer and her reaction to the recession, but I don't think shareholders should be overly worried at this point. A lot of these defensive names have international exposure and stand to benefit from the falling dollar, for one thing. For another, we all have to eat! And since the defensive names generally have dividend yields, they tend to be safer bets during a recession; don't think they can't fall, though, because they can. One just hopes they don't fall as much as, say, your typical financial entity or a broad market index.

Disclosure: I own shares of Coca-Cola; positions can change at any time.

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