lions gate posts
FeedPosted May 31st 2008 11:10AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Time Warner (TWX), Walt Disney (DIS), Viacom (VIA), Sony Corp ADR (SNE)
Lions Gate Entertainment (NYSE: LGF), the little studio that makes big waves in Hollywood with franchise hits such as Saw and Hostel, distributed its annual earnings numbers on Friday after market close. For fiscal 2008, revenues leaped like a lion (you knew that was coming, don't kid yourself) to $1.36 billion, which represented top-line appreciation of 39%. So far, an excellent start. But, it's the bottom line where things start to get ugly. Lions Gate reported a net loss of $0.62 per diluted share; in 2007, the studio booked net income of $0.25 per share. That can't be pleasing to shareholders. According to Marketwatch, Lions Gate did not meet expectations, as some on Wall Street believed the loss would be closer to $0.50 per share (the company did beat on the top line, though). Things were rosier for the fourth quarter, as revenues jumped over 50% and net income climbed 19% to $0.22 per share. Unfortunately, expectations were again too high, as analysts were hoping for $0.37 per share.
The cash flow is a little more pleasing. Operational cash flow increased just shy of 50% to $89.2 million. And the company adjusted this stat even further to come up with a free-cash-flow figure of nearly $137 million (the company adds back the effect of borrowings for production obligations). The huge problem here is a familiar story: rising costs for marketing and distribution. This isn't unique to Lions Gate; competitors such as Disney (NYSE: DIS), Time Warner (NYSE: TWX), Viacom (NYSE: VIA), and Sony (NYSE: SNE) all face this same issue. Management reported that costs for Lions Gate in this regard rose well over 100%.
Lions Gate is a tough one for me. Here's the thing: I love the movie business, and Lions Gate is definitely a more direct play on the business than what you get through a Disney or a Time Warner due to the scales involved. Lions Gate has some great franchises under its belt, and it tends to go for niche, edgy content. Plus, the cash flow is pretty cool.
Continue reading Lions Gate's Q4 earnings fail to please Wall Street
Posted May 25th 2008 1:10PM by Andrew Horowitz (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Dell (DELL), Sears Holdings (SHLD), Polo Ralph Lauren'A' (RL)
Father's Day is around the corner. Why not spend some time looking at the coming earnings and how Dad's Day may have an impact. It is funny to see how many of the companies reporting earnings this week actually have links to Father's Day.
While this column has been obviously bearish of late, there are a few potential winners that may appear, just in time for the big day. Time to stock up on gifts for dear-ole-dad, or get farther away from stocks? You tell me... (by the way, comments and ideas are always appreciated)
Monday, May 26
Markets will be flat. I am certain that stocks on the U.S. Market will close at the exact price they closed last Friday. But what do I know!
Continue reading The week in preview: Are Father's Day gifts coming from DELL, RL, or MW?
Posted May 24th 2008 4:40PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Forecasts, Dell (DELL), Tiffany and Co (TIF), Sears Holdings (SHLD), Costco Wholesale (COST), Polo Ralph Lauren'A' (RL)
While the earnings season is beginning to wind down for the current quarter, there are still plenty of results to come. Here's a peek at what analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial are expecting from companies scheduled to report results in the final week of May 2008.
These companies are expected to post earnings growth, compared to the same period in the previous year:
These companies are expected to report earnings declines:
TiVo Inc. (NASDAQ: TIVO) is expected to swing to a loss of a penny per share, compared to a penny profit a year ago, and report $55.62 million in revenue. And analysts expect Borders Group Inc. (NYSE: BGP) to narrow its loss 7.8% to 47 cents per share, on $801.11 million in revenue.
Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage.
Posted Apr 8th 2008 12:02PM by Eric Buscemi (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst Reports, Brinker Intl (EAT), Analyst Initiations
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Time Warner Telecom, Verigy and Brinker were today's noteworthy initiations:
- Friedman Billings expects Time Warner Telecom (NASDAQ: TWTC) to post free cash flow growth above consensus expectations and believes carrier spending-concerns are overdone. The firm initiated shares with an Outperform rating and $20 target.
- Oppenheimer initiated Verigy (NASDAQ: VRGY) with a Perform rating and $23 target, pointing to the company's tough year over year comps as PC unit growth slows in 2008 as well as its exposure to flash memory chips.
- Brinker (NYSE: EAT) was assumed with a Neutral rating at Suntrust, as they expect Chili's to continue to be impacted by weak consumer spending.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
- Baird assumed Ulta Salon (NASDAQ: ULTA) with an Outperform rating and $18 target.
- Lions Gate (NYSE: LGF) was initiated at Jefferies with a Hold rating and $10-$11 target.
- Landstar System (NASDAQ: LSTR) was initiated with a Market Perform rating at Morgan Keegan.
Posted Mar 11th 2008 12:27PM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Press Releases, Products and Services, Consumer Experience, Apple Inc (AAPL), General Electric (GE), Time Warner (TWX), Marketing and Advertising, Walt Disney (DIS), Viacom (VIA), Sony Corp ADR (SNE)
Lions Gate (NYSE: LGF), the feisty little studio that is responsible for torture-porn franchises Saw and Hostel, has hooked up with Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) to see if consumers care about owning digital copies of the movies they buy on DVD and Blu-ray format.
According to the following press release, Lionsgate will include an iTunes digital version of select projects on certain home-video releases. The digital copy will allow users to transfer a movie to an iTunes account, so it could then be viewable on multiple devices like PCs or Macs, iPods, Apple TV and iPhones. First up for the iTunes digital treatment will be Sylvester Stallone's Rambo -- yes, the old soldier is still around -- to be released to home video in May.
As the studio makes clear in its press release, this is all about experimentation with the promotion of new distribution models. Lionsgate wants to efficiently, and effectively, create new opportunities for its library. It's not alone -- Disney (NYSE: DIS), Viacom (NYSE: VIA), Time Warner (NYSE: TWX), Sony (NYSE: SNE) and General Electric's (NYSE: GE) NBC Universal asset are all on a never-ending study of how best to leverage the digital era to make money from content portfolios. Lionsgate wants DVD buyers to realize that they can use iTunes to buy movies from its catalog. It's a bit weird to me, though, since one would figure that a person who buys a DVD will probably just access that particular content from the DVD itself. I understand the value of transferability, of course, but if Lionsgate -- or any content provider, for that matter -- simply ensures that each digital product sold online contains unique, compelling extras that cannot be found in any other format, then a digital library will be that much easier to monetize.
At any rate, it will be interesting to see how Apple and Lionsgate do with this scheme. Apple and its iTunes brand are certainly powerful drivers of digital distribution, so maybe users will perceive a value from the digital copies.
Disclosure: Steven Mallas owns shares of Disney and General Electric; positions can change at any time.
Posted Oct 2nd 2007 11:07AM by Eric Buscemi (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst Reports, Bank of America (BAC), Analyst Initiations
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Cypress Bioscience, Banc of America, Insulet, Taleo and Vocus Inc were today's noteworthy initiations:
- Friedman Billings started shares of Cypress Biosciences Inc (NASDAQ: CYPB) with an Outperform rating and $22 target, and is positive on the company's lead product milnacipran, in Phase III studies for fibromyalgia. The firm expects a 1Q09 launch and believes the U.S. market could be as large as $7B.
- Goldman resumed coverage of Bank of America Corporation (NYSE: BAC) with a Buy rating and $63 target as they believe the company has around $22.5B of unrealized gains in its strategic investment portfolio. Goldman also added BAC to their Americas Buy List.
- Insulet Corporation (NASDAQ: PODD) was initiated at William Blair with an Outperform rating. The firm believes the unique features of the OmniPod will allow PODD to capture a meaningful portion of the 300,000 current insulin pumpers in the United States.
- Soleil started shares of Taleo Corporation (NASDAQ: TLEO) with a Buy rating and $35 target and believes the company's recent growth pace can continue.
- Shares of Vocus Inc (NASDAQ: VOCS) were also initiated at Soleil with a Buy rating and $39 target. The firm believes the company can gain share in the early stage market for public relations software given its on-demand model and low price entry point.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
Posted Aug 10th 2007 9:15AM by Eric Buscemi (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newspapers, Magazines, Ford Motor (F), American Express (AXP), Hasbro Inc (HAS), Electronic Arts (ERTS)
MAJOR PAPERS:
OTHER PAPERS:
- Lions Gate Entertainment Corp (NYSE: LGF) is in final negotiations to acquire production and foreign sales company Mandate Pictures for more than $40M, reported the Los Angeles Times.
- British retail chain WH Smith is among several companies seeking to buy the U.K. operations of troubled bookseller Borders Group Inc (NYSE: BGP) , reported the Telegraph.
- From BusinessWeek's "Inside Wall Street" section:
- People are buying Marshall & Ilsley Corporation (NYSE: MI) because it is a bargain when you consider that Marshall is spinning off to shareholders its traditional banking and processing business in Q4.
- One safe and steady stock in these volatile markets may be Iron Mountain Inc (NYSE: IRM), the world's largest provider of information storage and protection, whose business has been rock-solid and whose stock has kicked up despite the market's wild swings.
- Shinhan Financial Group (NYSE: SHG), which has very solid credit metrics and top-quality loan portfolios, is attracting positive attention.
Posted Jul 19th 2007 4:18PM by Jonathan Berr (RSS feed)
Filed under: Management, Competitive Strategy, Marketing and Advertising, Viacom (VIA), News Corp'B' (NWS), Bargain Stocks
World Wrestling Entertainment Inc. (NYSE: WWE) shares have plunged more than 5% over the past month as investors fled Vince McMahon's muscle-bound empire in the wake of the Chris Benoit tragedy. The stock is headed for an even bigger fall in the coming months as the company grapples with congressional scrutiny, potential lawsuits and long-overdue increased government regulation.
Nonetheless, WWE is something that truly adventurous investors should consider. The shares are trading at a multiple of 25, which is dirt cheap compared with its peers such as Playboy Enterprises Inc. (NYSE:PLA)'s 130 and Lions Gate Entertainment Corp. (NYSE: LGF)'s 53. Though profit and sales are expected to fall this year, analysts expect WWE to rebound next year.
When WWE holds its earnings conference call on August 2, there no doubt will be plenty of questions about Benoit, steroids, declining ratings and potential share buybacks. WWE management should also be scolded for its stupid decision to air a tribute to Benoit.
But some long term perspective also is in order. Big media companies including Viacom Inc. (NYSE: VIA) and News Corp (NYSE: NWS) would love to buy WWE to gain access to its huge library of content and rabid fan base.
Like it or not wrestling has been part of the pop culture landscape for a long time. Eventually, some other personality will come along that will make people forget the Benoit murders.
At that point, investors who hung in there will have their patience rewarded.
Posted Jan 10th 2007 1:37PM by Eric Buscemi (RSS feed)

Lions Gate Entertainment Corp (NYSE:
LGF), which has been a bright light in the otherwise dim movie industry recently, has found success making low budget movies aimed at the 20-30 year-old audience. Here is a list of some of their more notable recent releases, sorted by their estimated budgets. None of the movies has a rating milder than PG-13.
- Hostel ($4.5M est. budget / $47.3M gross)
- Diary of a Mad Black Woman ($5.5M est. budget / $50.3M gross)
- Crash ($6.5M est. budget / $54.5M gross, won Best Picture Oscar)
- Crank ($12M est. budget / $27.8M gross)
- Employee of the Month ($12M est. budget / $28.4M gross)
- Saw III ($12M est. budget / $80.1M gross)
- Hotel Rwanda ($17.5M est. budget / $23.4M gross, nominated for 3 Oscars)
- Lord of War ($42M est. budget / $24.1M gross)
(All above figures taken from
IMDB.com)
From the above list, you can see Lions Gate's winning formula. All their successes have budgets under $20 million dollars, and most fit into three categories: Movies that push the limits of violence and gore (Hostel, Crank, Saw); low-brow adult-themed comedies (Diary of a Mad Black Woman, Employee of the Month); and edgy dramatic works that gain critical appreciation (Crash, Hotel Rwanda).
Now, here is the problem -- neither the movie the just released,
Happily N'Ever After, nor the movie that is making noise today with its addition of Paula Abdul to its cast,
Bratz, fits this formula.
Continue reading Lions Gate targeting kids with latest movies and that's scary for investors
Posted Nov 14th 2006 11:22AM by Melly Alazraki (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades, Motorola (MOT)
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Motorola (MOT) and Lions Gate Films (LGF) top today's modest list of upgrades.
- Matrix USA upgraded Motorola, Inc. (NYSE:MOT) to Strong Buy from Buy as it believes strong demand for handsets is leading to increased market share for the company. Matrix set Motorola's intrinsic value at $34 a share.
- Janco upgraded Lions Gate Entertainment Corp. (NYSE:LGF) to Buy from Accumulate based on the belief that the Street overreacted to the third-quarter earnings miss and underestimated the probable 2008 inflection point in EBITDA.
OTHER UPGRADES:
- C.E. Unterberg upgraded Hurray! Holding (NASDAQ:HRAY). The firm expects Hurray! to report solid third-quarter results and guidance, and said the company is a potential takeover target given its music assets.
- Suntrust Robinson Humphreys upgraded Barnes & Noble, Inc. (NYSE:BKS) to Buy from Neutral based on improved visibility and modest comps.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).
Posted Nov 10th 2006 12:33PM by Melly Alazraki (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Walt Disney (DIS), Penney (J.C.) (JCP)
Fall earnings are winding down, but there were still a number of notable companies reporting this week.
Excellent
- AES Corporation (NYSE:AES) 27c per share vs analyst expectations of 21c - at $22.45 (yesterday's close) the stock is up 42% year-to-date and is near its 52-week high of $22.66.
- American International Group (NYSE:AIG) $1.53 vs $1.42 - AIG is only now returning to its levels from the beginning of the year with just over a 2% return YTD. The stock is up more than 2.5% today.
- Fluor Corporation (NYSE:FLR) 31c vs (12c) - while FLR is up more than 20% in the past year, its YTD return is only 8% and at $83.39 is trading within its 52-week range of $68.70-$103.85
- JC Penney (JCP) $1.26 vs. $1.23 - JCP had an amazing run. YTD return is nearly 45%. The stock is up another 1.3% today to $80.61, very near its 52-week high of $81.40 set yesterday during the session.
On the Fence
- El Paso Corporation (NYSE:EP) 16c vs 16c
- Watson Pharmaceutical (NYSE:WPI) 33c vs 34c
- Walt Disney Company (NYSE:DIS) 36c vs 34c
Awful
- Federated Department Stores (NYSE:FD) 20c vs 25c
- IMAX Corporation (NASDAQ:IMAX) (30c) vs 5c
- Lions Gate Entertainment Corp. (NYSE:LGF) (14c) vs (2c)
Earnings review from Tedd Cohen of TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).
Posted Aug 21st 2006 3:06PM by Tobias Buckell (RSS feed)
Filed under: Rumors, Products and Services, Industry, Consumer Experience, Competitive Strategy, Apple Inc (AAPL)

I've pointed out that Apple's ability to negotiate with movie industry executives to be able to allow iTunes Music Store to carry videos will be key in Apple's plans to continue making the iPod the hippest media device around. Macminute points out an article that confirms that Lions Gate Entertainment has plans to offer movies through iTunes, as well as MovieLink and Cinema Now, and this will happen before the end of the year. At that point, will we see a name change? ITMS could go from iTunes Music Store to iTunes Media Store.
This places the iPod in a crucial place. The iPod is the storage center for an increasing ecosphere of iPod-enabled objects. From cars to computers to soon TVs, putting Apple at the top of pyramid of media devices. There is no resting on laurels here, the moment someone stops someone else can step up. We saw this happen when Apple snapped the lead away from Creative.
There are some less-than-positive pieces to this piece of good news for Apple. Unlike with the music offerings, Apple doesn't have exclusivity in its movie offerings, so customers will have a wide variety of services to choose to try. This works in the customers' favor, but Apple won't have the easy edge it snagged before. Secondly, Apple is supposedly choosing a rental approach for the movies.
I think the second issues will have the greatest impact. Are customers ready to pay but not get to keep the media around? Certainly in the past online customers haven't seemed too excited about the idea of this, can even Apple's hype change the average consumers mind? It will probably depend on the price.
Tobias Buckell is a freelance blogger, futurist, and author who grew up in the Caribbean. He owns shares in Apple.< Previous Page