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Analyst initiations 6-29-07: ASFI and CMG

MOST NOTEWORTHY: The educational services industry, the Latin American airlines sector, Asta Funding Inc (NASDAQ: ASFI) and Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (NYSE: CMG) were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • William Blair assumed coverage of Apollo Group Inc (NASDAQ: APOL) and Strayer Education Inc (NASDAQ: STRA) with Outperform ratings and Career Education Corporation (NASDAQ: CECO) with a Market Perform rating. The broker also assumed coverage and downgraded DeVry Inc (NYSE: DV) to Market Perform from Outperform.
  • Goldman Sachs initiated coverage on Copa Holdings (NYSE: CPA) with a Buy rating and $88 target, GOL Linhas Aereas Inteligentes SA (NYSE: GOL) and TAM SA (NYSE: TAM) with Neutral ratings and Lan Airlines SA (NYSE: LFL) with a Sell rating and $93 target; Lan Airlines was also initiated at Morgan Stanley with an Overweight rating and $105 target.
  • Asta Funding was initiated at Kaufman Brothers with a Buy rating and $55 target. The firm believes the company should grow earnings at a midpoint of 20% over time, with near-term growth at 15% and longer-term growth at 20%-25%.
  • Citigroup initiated shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill with a Buy rating and $100 target, as the firm expects the company will see unit growth at a rate in the high-teens while experiencing above-average SSS and some margin expansion.
OTHER INITIATIONS:

Ventana offered huge premium by Roche

In a move that could complement its other recent acquisitions, Roche Holding Ltd (OTC: RHHBY) yesterday made a $75-a-share hostile bid for Ventana Medical Systems, Inc (NASDAQ: VMSI). The $3 billion cash offer would allow Roche to gain a test Ventana developed to screen patients who could respond to the Swiss pharmaceutical giant's breast cancer medicine, Herceptin. The main goal of acquiring Ventana would be to "move closer toward delivering tools to select the right drugs for the right patients, rather than saving costs," Roche CEO Franz Humer told the Wall Street Journal.

Roche has already agreed to three other diagnostic acquisitions this year: The company agreed to buy CuraGen Corporation's (NASDAQ: CRGN) 454 Life Sciences in March for $140 million, allowing it to gain the company's DNA-mapping technology, and later agreed to acquire BioVeris Corporation (NASDAQ: BIOV) for $600 million and NimbleGen Systems for $272.5 million. The acquisition of BioVeris will add a screening technology that stimulates cells to emit light, while the NimbleGen acquisition would add more genetic tools for drug research.

Should an acquisition be seen as a sure thing? No, executives at Ventana said. Although Roche has made several friendly efforts to engage in "meaningful discussions" with Ventana's chairman and board concerning a transaction, Ventana has so far rebuffed Roche. The company advised shareholders in taking any action in response to the offer, but said the Board would review Roche's offer and make a recommendation within 10 days. What may make this particular offer different is that the $75-per-share offer was nearly 45% higher than Ventana's closing price of $51.74 yesterday.

In the event of an acquisition, Roche said it would operate Ventana as a separate unit within its diagnostics division, allowing it to retain its management team and employees as well as its headquarters in Arizona. This would be a similar agreement to the one Roche maintains with U.S. biotech company Genentech Inc (NYSE: DNA), which is majority-owned by Roche but is managed as an independent company.

Based on a potential acquisition, analysts believe that biotechnology companies Gen-Probe Incorporated (NASDAQ: GPRO), Luminex Corporation (NASDAQ: LMNX) and Cepheid Inc (NASDAQ: CPHD) could be potential acquisition targets based on their technology platforms and product offerings.

Analyst initiations 3-20-07: Nokia, Teva Pharma & Texas Insturments initiated today

MOST NOTEWORTHY: CKE Restaurants. Inc (CKR), Texas Instruments Inc (TXN), SurModics, Inc (SRDX), Nokia Corp (NOK) and DirecTV Group, Inc (DTV) were today's notable initiations:
  • Wedbush initiated CKE Restaurants (NYSE: CKR) with a Buy rating and $25 target.
  • Wachovia resumed coverage of Texas Instruments Inc (NYSE: TXN) with an Outperform rating, as the firm believes that TXN's fundamentals have bottomed and the valuation is attractive.
  • SurModics Inc (NASDAQ: SRDX) was initiated with an Underperform rating and $28 target at Piper Jaffray. Piper doesn't see a near-term catalyst to move shares higher given a lack of visibility regarding new licenses.
  • Nokia (NYSE: NOK) was initiated at Nollenberger with a Neutral rating.
  • HSBC started DirecTV (NYSE: DTV) with an Underweight rating and $21 target.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
  • Stanford initiated Armor Holdings, Inc (NYSE: AH) with a Buy rating and $80 target.
  • Wedbush initiated Jack in the Box Inc (NYSE: JBX) with a Hold rating and $68 target, citing the company's operational improvements and benefits from ongoing refranchising and share repurchases are fully reflected in the stock price.
  • Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd (NYSE: CP) was initiated with a Sector Performer rating at CIBC.
  • Stifel initiated Medical Properties Trust, Inc (NYSE: MPW) with a Hold rating.
  • Bear Stearns initiated Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd (NASDAQ: TEVA) with a Peer Perform rating.
  • Thomas Wiesel initiated shares of Cepheid (NASDAQ: CPHD) and Luninex Corp (NASDAQ: LMNX) with Overweight ratings.

Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+12.7811,430.21
NASDAQ-8.702,380.38
S&P 500+3.181,277.72

Last updated: August 21, 2008: 09:36 PM

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