Iconic, battle-honed retailer Macy's Inc. (M), first discussed here on June 17, 2009, at a price of $11.23, has pulled back slightly to about $23 after a better-than-decent run-up in 2010. But just view that dip as an opportunity to scoop up shares of a preferred company.
Further, the modifier "battle-honed" has been used because "Big M" has survived the worst U.S. economic contraction since the Great Depression, a downturn that hammered the retail sector.
Macy's should post a FY2012 same-store sales increase of 3% to 4%, followed by a similar rise in FY2013.
M posts
FeedMacy's: Indomitable, Iconic Retailer
U.S. Stock Futures Down on Libya Unrest
U.S. stock futures are lower this morning as unrest continues in the major oil-producing state of Libya. Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 100 points to 12,275.00, while those for the S&P 500 index dropped 16.6 points to 1,325.60. Futures for the Nasdaq 100 declined 36 points to 2,359.00.U.S. stocks closed higher on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining 0.59% the Nasdaq 100 index rising 0.08% and S&P 500 index gaining 0.19%. U.S. markets were closed on Monday for the Presidents' Day holiday.
Data on Case-Shiller home prices for February will be released at 9 a.m. ET. However, the February Conference Board consumer-confidence survey will be released at 10 a.m. ET.
Week in Preview: Walmart, Home Depot and More Retail Earnings
Barnes & Noble, the Gap, RadioShack, and Sears -- that may sound like the lineup at the local mall, but in fact they are just a few of the retailers scheduled to step into the earnings spotlight this week. Following last week's disappointing January retail sales numbers from the Commerce Department but strong fourth-quarter reports from Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) and Nordstrom (JWN), the coming week will offer plenty more data on the sector for investors to mull over.
Walmart
Bentonville-based Walmart (WMT) offered free holiday shipping, closed its Moscow office and named a chief merchandising officer during its fourth quarter. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters forecast earnings for that period to come to $1.31 per share, up from $1.17 in the same quarter of last year. The world's largest retailer also is expected to post revenues of $117.7 billion for the three months that ended in January. That's 3.5% more than a year earlier.
Continue reading Week in Preview: Walmart, Home Depot and More Retail Earnings
Buy Select Retailers on Dillard's Move into REITs
On Thursday, Dillard's (DDS) announced that it plans to form a wholly-owned real estate investment trust. The company will transfer some of its properties to the REIT and then lease back the properties from the entity. The company said that the move may enhance its ability to access debt or preferred stock and improve its liquidity.
The market is currently pricing REITs at rich valuations, and the transaction will allow Dillard's to better monetize its significant real-estate assets. By transferring these holdings into a publicly traded REIT, Dillard's should be able to unlock additional shareholder value. According to Craig Johnson, an analyst at Customer Growth Partners, "the sum of the parts can be greater than the sum of the whole."
Continue reading Buy Select Retailers on Dillard's Move into REITs
Analyst Calls: AA, AMD, AMR, AZN, CIT, GSK, HPQ, M, NVDA, PCX, SPWRA ...
- Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) to buy from neutral at UBS.
- Fluor (FLR) to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan.
- Macy's (M) to outperform from neutral at Credit Suisse.
- Canadian Solar (CSIQ), JA Solar (JASO) and HeartWare (HTWR) to buy from hold at Auriga.
- Ashford Hospitality (AHT) to outperform from market perform at FBR Capital.
- RenaissanceRe (RNR) to buy from neutral at Janney Capital.
- DCT Industrial (DCT) to market perform from underperform at Wells Fargo.
- Coeur d'Alene Mines (CDE) and Silver Standard (SSRI) to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank.
- Weatherford (WFT), Hercules (HERO), GulfMark Offshore (GLF), Tidewater (TDW) and GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) to buy from hold, and Diamond Offshore (DO) to hold from underperform, at Jefferies.
- Ritchie Bros. (RBA) to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
- AstraZeneca (AZN) to buy from hold at Citigroup.
Continue reading Analyst Calls: AA, AMD, AMR, AZN, CIT, GSK, HPQ, M, NVDA, PCX, SPWRA ...
Will Macy's Stock Vector to $30 and Beyond in 2011?
Battle-honed retail chain Macy's (M), first discussed here on June 17, 2009, at a price of $11.23, has pulled-back slightly, after a better-than-decent run-up in 2010, but just view that dip as an opportunity to consider the shares.
Moreover, the modifier "battle-honed" has been used because iconic retailer Macy's has survived the worst U.S. economic contraction since the Great Depression -- a downturn that hammered the retail sector.
Continue reading Will Macy's Stock Vector to $30 and Beyond in 2011?
Macy's to Create 725 Online Jobs
Cincinnati-based retailer Macy's (M) announced this morning that it will add roughly 725 jobs in New York, San Francicso, and Atlanta over the course of the next two years. These jobs will be created to help support the company's macys.com and bloomingdales.com Internet sites. "Macy's, Inc. is building one of the largest, most efficient and resourceful e-commerce organizations in American retailing as part of our comprehensive omnichannel strategy," President and CEO Terry Lundgren said, according to The Enquirer. "Having the right talent in the right place is vital as we seek to sustain and accelerate our sales growth online, as well as in the stores."
Macy's Down on Q3 News
Macy's (M) issued its third-quarter reported this morning. This afternoon, with about two hours to go before the market finishes for the day, the company's stock is down 1.3% to $24.89. That's not too far from the 52-week high of $26.03, and it is comfortably above the 52-week low of $15.34. The shares have had a bit of a ride over the last twelve months, as one can plainly see from the chart. Shareholders are, without a doubt, hoping that this latest run for the top portion of the graph will keep, and that a new trading range will assert itself.
Ringing Up Profits for Phillips-Van Heusen
Even though Americans are still concerned about the economy, anemic employment growth and saving enough for the future, it looks like consumers are starting to make their way back to the malls and department stores -- which is a good sign for Phillips-Van Heusen (PVH).
Macy's (M) reported same store sales rose 4.8% during September, and JCPenney (JCP) reported same store sales rose 5.1% during the same period. This is music to Phillips-Van Heusen's ears because the company owns a large amount of floor space in both of these department stores.
Macy's: Uptrend Resumes After Summer Break
Readers of this space know that, from an investment standpoint, the retail space is best avoided. The era of the 'frugal consumer' and a surplus of store chains has led to triage-like conditions in the retail sector, as stores close and as some chains go out of business entirely.However, there are exceptions, and Macy's (M), first discussed here on June 17, 2009 at a price of $11.23, is one.
Macy's shares have rebounded from an over-correction in the summer, and pushed back above the $20 level. If you were patient this summer, will be rewarded with M.
Macy's Gets a Bid on Q2 News
On a down day for the markets, it's nice to see some strength. Macy's (M) is getting a healthy bid in response to the retailer's Q2 numbers. At least, that's what's happening at the time of this writing (hopefully, the stock can retain its green status through the closing bell). It's up over 4% to $20.23. Volume is rocking.
I'm wary of this equity, though. It fooled me the last time. After the Q1 report was released near the middle of May, I thought it might be an interesting trade idea. It has slid ever since, as the following chart indicates.
Analyst Calls: BBY, BWA, DGI, EOG, M, MAC, MR, NOC, TXN, WFMI ...
- Goldman believes EOG Resources (EOG) can regain its premium multiple given its ability to find new horizontal liquids resource plays. The firm upgraded shares to conviction buy from buy and has a $129 price target on the stock.
- Deutsche Bank upgraded Macerich (MAC) to buy from hold following the company's Q2 results and raised its target for shares to $47 from $45.
- Needham upgraded QuinStreet (QNST) to strong buy from buy, citing the strong Q4 report and valuation, and has a $20 target on the stock.
- Macy's (M) was upgraded to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
- Whole Foods (WFMI) was upgraded to buy from neutral at UBS.
- Texas Instruments (TXN) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at Raymond James.
Continue reading Analyst Calls: BBY, BWA, DGI, EOG, M, MAC, MR, NOC, TXN, WFMI ...
Macy's Gets an Upgrade
According to this item, Macy's, Inc. (M), a retailer whose colleagues include The Gap Inc. (GPS) and Kohl's Corporation (KSS), received a gift today from Morgan Stanley in the form of an upgrade. The shares have been moved up to the overweight designation. Looks like good things may be in store for the chain.I recently discussed Macy's Q1 earnings. Now, if you check that piece out, you'll see that I'm not a fan of buying the company to hold for years. If I wanted to do that, I would go with something like Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (WMT), maybe Target Corporation (TGT).
Macy's Improves in Q1: Is It a Buy?
Macy's Inc. (M) is trading higher today. With a little less than two hours to go before the close of the regular session, the retailer, whose competitors include The Gap Inc. (GPS) and Kohl's Corporation (KSS), was higher by 63 cents, or 2.6%, to $24.53. Volume was healthy.
The stock isn't far from the 52-week high of $25.25. The 52-week low is $10.27, so the equity has come a long way since it was stuck in the doldrums. The one-year chart shows a reasonably attractive uptrend. Earlier today, the company reported its Q1 numbers. How did they look?
Madonna Working a Deal with Macy's
Let the cone-bra jokes begin! Women's Wear Daily is reporting that the music icon is negotiating with Macy's (M) about launching a line of women's contemporary apparel. The collection, which would be available exclusively through the department-store chain, would reportedly run the gamut of fashion, including apparel, lingerie, footwear and accessories. Helping with the negotiations is Iconix Brand Group, a brand-management firm with several other impressive brands under its umbrella, including Candie's, London Fog, and Danskin. The firm already has experience dealing with iconic pop superstars; the Britney Spears line of Candie's is available exclusively at Kohl's (KSS) stores. While Iconix has declined to comment so far, sources claim the deal is a foregone conclusion.
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