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Jim Cramer Sees a 'Very Negative' Trend

I didn't find this recap of Jim Cramer's CNBC show interesting because of his recommendations. I found it interesting because he talks of an overall "bearishness of the market." Cramer noted that this bearishness began in the tech sector, spread to retail, and is now creeping into the food sector.

He notes that it is "remarkable to see how little enthusiasm there is ... even for companies that are doing well." An example of this lack of enthusiasm for good performers is that analysts will cut price targets on a stock, but will raise the company's earnings estimate at the same time.

Continue reading Jim Cramer Sees a 'Very Negative' Trend

Is Rising Bullishness a Reason to Take Profits?

Wall Street bullThe bull has been raging for 13 months. From the March 2009 low, we've had a 79% jump in the S&P 500 index.

After all this time, people are beginning to feel good about the market again. When people start to feel good, the pros often start to move to the sell side. Conversely, when sentiment is bad, the pros are out there buying.

Continue reading Is Rising Bullishness a Reason to Take Profits?

Millionaires have lost their optimism about the economy

Is there an index that measures millionaires' sentiment and whether they are optimistic or pessimistic? The answer is yes. It is called the Spectrem Millionaire Investor Index.

The next question naturally is: "So what are the millionaires thinking about the economy?" The news is not good. The index fell 18 points to a -20 in June, a record decline since the index was created in 2004. Plus the index fell 17 points in May. A range of -11 to -30 indicates a slightly bearish sentiment. It's likely that millionaires underwent a reality check after a bout of over optimism in May.

Continue reading Millionaires have lost their optimism about the economy

Near term mixed signals for stock market

A few sentiment indicators point to a market that might be in a tight range for the next few weeks.

After an excellent fourth quarter for stocks, investors fear has come back quickly. With a minor drop in the Dow, investors withdrew $838 million from stock funds during the first week of 2007, according to AMG Data. Investors were quick to turn to less risky investments such as money-market funds, which drew $891 million, and taxable bond funds that attracted $1.6 billion.

Conversely, the AAII index has seen investor bullishness jump to 49.1% up from 39% three weeks ago.

Such mixed signals suggests investors can be patient. I'd wait for the AAII index to come down below 40 before I'd put money to work.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 12, 2012: 02:10 AM

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