metals posts
FeedPosted Nov 2nd 2009 10:40AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, China, Brazil, Newsletters, Commodities, Oil, Stocks to Buy
"We're adding Brazil's Vale S.A. (NYSE: VALE), the world's leading iron ore producer, to our model growth portfolio," says growth stock expert Stephen Leeb.
In his The Complete Investor, he explains, "This outstanding company offers investors simultaneous stakes in two key areas: iron ore-a commodity essential to any and all infrastructure projects-and Brazil's appreciating currency, the real.
"When it comes to understanding the importance of a commodity such as iron ore, the tale starts with China. Even with China's GDP growth again approaching double digits, the Chinese government continues to aggressively promote growth, offering consumers incentives to buy cars and investing in infrastructure, from roads to bridges to sewers to energy plants.
Continue reading Vale S.A. (VALE): Mining for value in iron ore
Posted Jul 9th 2009 6:20PM by James Cullen (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Alcoa Inc (AA)
Aluminum producer Alcoa Inc. (NYSE: AA), the first Dow Jones Industrial Component to report earnings, beat estimates when they announced after the bell -- or so the story goes. It continues that this touched off buying interest across the market that had been sorely lacking in prior sessions. There's only one problem: Alcoa's results weren't very good, and they didn't boost the market.
Alcoa opened trading today up more than 5.5% from its close yesterday, before it reported earnings. Going into the final minutes of trading, the stock was down more than 2% -- a tough reversal for those buying on the pop. The company reported a headline EPS of -$0.32, or -$0.26 excluding restructuring charges. This compared to analysts' consensus of -$0.38 on $3.9 billion in revenue.
Continue reading Don't believe the headline hype on Alcoa
Posted Jan 27th 2009 1:15PM by Todd Harrison (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newmont Mining (NEM), Commodities
This post was written by Minyanville contributor Lance Lewis.
Banro (NYSE: BAA) jumped 13% yesterday after the company announced that it had finally completed its bankable feasibility study on its Twangiza project and proved up nearly 4 mln ounces of its 10 mln ounce resource. Thus, we can now calculate an NAV for BAA.
BAA has no debt. So, assuming $1,000 gold, 3.67 mln ounces of Proven & Probable reserves, an average cash cost of $429 per ounce over the life of the mine (which is based on the feasibility study), and the estimated $410 mln required for cap ex, we get an NAV of almost $15 a share (which gives zero value to the company's current cash balance of around $20 mln and its remaining 5.6 mln ounce resource at Twangiza, not to mention the resource estimates at its other properties).
Continue reading Banro (BAA): A golden stock
Posted Jan 11th 2009 9:00AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Mutual funds, ETF Investing, Commodities, Stocks to Buy, Best Stocks for 2009
This post is part of a special annual report -- Top Stock Picks '09 -- in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked 75 leading newsletter advisors to select their favorite investment for the new year.
"Gold has outperformed nearly all other investments over the past few years," says Mary Anne Aden in The Aden Forecast. Here, the resource expert looks at her favorite play in the sector.
"It appears as though this trend for gold's outperformance will continue in the years ahead. Why?
"According to Bloomberg, the total amount of money provided by the U.S. government to rescue the financial system over the past year and a half has been $7.4 trillion.
"That amounts to $24,000 for every man, woman, and child, and it's totally unprecedented. All of this money will eventually fuel inflation and gold is the number one inflation hedge.
"Currently, President-elect Obama and his team are busy working on how to get the economy moving again. This is their top priority and one plan involves the largest infrastructure investment since the 1950s when all of the super highways were built. This will provide jobs and it'll hopefully help spur the economy.
Continue reading Top Stock Picks '09: SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD)
Posted Jan 9th 2009 5:30PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Mutual funds, Canada, Commodities, Stocks to Buy, Best Stocks for 2009
This post is part of a special annual report -- Top Stock Picks '09 -- in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked 75 leading newsletter advisors to select their favorite investment for the new year.
"We own several stocks in our portfolio that are selling for less than their book value and with a P/E ratio of less than 5 -- but the prize among bargains is Teck Cominco (NYSE: TCK), our most promising stock for 2009," says Neil Macneale.
In his 2 for 1 newsletter -- which initially buys stocks when they announce 2-for-1 splits, he says, "It would be hard to argue this company is not literally being given away."
Macneale explains, "I bought this stock for the 2-for-1 portfolio over a year and half ago and its stock price has declined by about 90% since then.
"The Canadian mining company produces copper, zinc, gold, and metallurgical coal. All assets are in North America except for most of its copper operations, located in Peru.
"With a PE ratio bouncing between 1 and 2, and a Price-to-Book ratio at around 0.3, you are getting a well-established (1906), well-run asset play for less than its book value, even if existing plant and reserve values are slashed by over 50%.
Continue reading Top Stock Picks '09: Teck Cominco (TCK)
Posted Jul 10th 2008 2:38PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Newsletters, Mutual funds, Commodities, Stocks to Buy
"Platinum is a picture-perfect image of a classic bull market that's getting more exciting by the day," says resource expert Eric Roseman.
In his Commodity Trend Alert the advisor explains, "Prices continue to explode higher amid the largest supply shortfall for any precious metal this decade. As such, I'm urging my readers to buy the new E-Tracs UBS Long Platinum ETN (NYSE: PTM)."
"Find me a commodity -- any commodity -- that's approaching or extending a net supply deficit situation and I'll compel you to buy that commodity ahead of a major rally; that's what's happening now to platinum. Indeed, no other precious metal is suffering more from growing supply shortages since last year -- and it's getting worse.
"Platinum production in South Africa, which accounts for about 80% of global output, declined 4.9% to 5.04 million ounces in 2007 as a result of smelter closures and a host of safety issues that interrupted mining operations.
Continue reading Resource expert picks platinum fund
Posted Mar 3rd 2008 2:55PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Competitive strategy, Wal-Mart (WMT), Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), China, International Business Machines (IBM), Reliance Steel and Aluminum (RS), Valero Energy (VLO), Huaneng Power Intl ADS (HNP), Bargain stocks, Chasing Value, Commodities, Anglo American (AAUKY), S and P 500, DJIA, Stocks to Buy, Newcastle Investment (NCT), Raytheon Company (RTN), Best Stocks for 2008, Bunge Ltd. (BG), Loews Corporation (L), NASDAQ
Two months into the year and investors' true 'metal' was tested, and mine more than most. February showed signs of improvement over January, but the last week ended hopes of any rally. The last day of January saw a 370 point drop in the Dow and February's last trading day closed with similar results, down 315 points.
The soft stock market did display many points worth noting. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was about break even for the month, indicating investors were showing some signs of support for large cap stocks, prompted in part by news of increased profits at Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) and share buy-backs at IBM Corp (NYSE: IBM).
I cannot say the same for the other major indices, NASDAQ Composite Index and Standard & Poor's 500 Index, which dropped significantly last month.
Some of my picks also sagged a little more, although not as much, while two turned into positive territory. In January, only Raytheon Co. (NYSE: RTN), the high tech, defense contractor, was up. In February, the weak dollar and inflation concerns boosted Anglo American plc (ADR) and Reliance Steel & Aluminum (NYSE: RS) -- two commodity plays.
Continue reading Chasing Value: February review -- 8 stocks for 2008 -- testing my 'metal'
Posted Jan 31st 2008 11:11AM by Victoria Erhart (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Good news, Industry, Allegheny Technologies (ATI)
Investors were pleased with the earnings news from specialty metals manufacturer Allegheny Technologies Incorporated (NYSE: ATI). They bid the stock up some 6% Tuesday, January 29 despite the fact that shipments and operating profits in 4Q2007 slipped and are expected to continue to be soft in 1Q2008.
For the year, Allegheny Technologies posted record sales of $5.45 billion, up 10%. Net income shot up 30% to a record $747 million. Cash flow increased by $121 million so that the company has more cash than debt, operating profit increased by 23%, EPS hit $7.26, and international sales topped $1.5 billion, another record. As a result, Allegheny Technologies initiated a half-billion dollar stock buy-back program and raised the dividend for the third straight year.
Overall, the picture looks good, but there are some negatives. Raw material costs continue to increase. Demand for stainless steel products was "extraordinarily weak," offset in part by stronger demand for tungsten and tungsten carbide products. Demand remains strong in the commercial aerospace and defense segments which results in strong demand for titanium based products for aircraft frames. Supply chain uncertainties with the Boeing 787 Dreamliner, however, may curtail operating profits in that segment.
Given its diverse product offerings, its expanding joint centure in China, Allegheny Technologies appears able to withstand whatever the U.S. economy will do in the coming months.
Posted Jan 17th 2008 4:40PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Stocks to Buy

Just call Metal Management a junkyard king, or one scrappy company.
Metal Management (NYSE:
MM) is one of the top metal recyclers in the United States, recycling ferrous and nonferrous metals, including aluminum brass, copper, and stainless steel.
Analysts like MM's wide recycling footprint (50 recycling centers in 17 states) and large client base (steel mills, integrated steelmakers, foundries, copper refineries, and metal brokers). Further, the company's customers span the globe.
Revenue is expected to increase about 30-32% in F2008 after a more than 40% increase in F2007.
Operating expenses are under control. Meanwhile, as recycling gains traction from both financial (it's profitable to recycle) and ethical (it's good for the environment) standpoints, look for investors to attach a higher value to the shares of recyclers such as MM.
The Reuters F2007/F2008 EPS consensus estimates for MM are $3.22/$4.57.
The First Call mean rating for MM is: Buy. [3 firms.] Mean 2008 target: $50.00. [high: $60, low: $42.]
Stock Analysis: Metal Management is a moderate-risk stock not suitable for low-risk investors. Investors with an investment horizon longer than two years should be rewarded from MM's shares. Sell / Stop Loss if you were to purchase shares in this company: $24.
DISCLOSURE: Joseph Lazzaro has no positions in stocks. In addition to private real estate holdings, he owns corporate and municipal bonds, and cash certificates of deposit.
Posted Dec 10th 2007 6:33AM by Douglas McIntyre (RSS feed)
Filed under: Deals, BHP Billiton Ltd ADR (BHP), Rio Tinto plc ADS (RTP), Blackstone Group L.P (BX)
Private equity may be dead, but it is not buried. The Blackstone Group (NYSE: BSX) is working on a bid to buy and split up mining company Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP). Metals company BHP Billiton (NYSE: BHP) has already made an offer of its own.
According to The Telegraph, "the U.S. private equity giant is in the middle of putting together a consortium -- believed to include a Chinese sovereign wealth fund -- to mount the bid for Rio." Blacktone's plan would be to break Rio Tinto into pieces and auction them off.
Rio Tinto has a current market cap of over $150 billion, so the U.S. firm must believe that it can garner much more than that for the pieces. Rio's largest business is its iron ore operation.
The move is a sign that private equity may be making a comeback, but with a twist. So far there is no mention that bank loans will be part of the Rio bid. It would appear that most of the support will come from a fund run by an affiliate of the Chinese government.
Private equity may have found a new financial partner in overseas government funds.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Posted Nov 9th 2007 3:10PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Products and services, Industry, Commodities, Stocks to Buy
What are the best speculations and investments among metals, miners, and other resource plays? To find out, I turned to 20 of the nation's leading newsletter editors, as well as speakers from the recent New Orleans Conference, a leading forum for resource advisors.
Their current top ideas cover a wide diversity of ideas, from gold and silver, from alumina and copper, to platinum and palladium. These picks cover markets from Chile to China and from Canada to Russia. These ideas also range from large cap, well-established, and diversified companies to small cap, development-stage junior speculations.
Readers should only consider these ideas as a starting place for their own research and should keep in mind the caveat that any stock you buy should only be considered within the framework of your own time horizon and risk parameters. Meanwhile, here are 20 different advisors assessing various aspects of the metals, mining, and resources sectors:
Continue reading Top resource ideas: 20 advisors on metals, mining, and money
Posted Oct 30th 2007 5:08PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Industry
Given that the markets continue to exhibit a choppy/consolidation pattern (or perhaps worse), it's best to consider including a few defensive stocks in your portfolio. Low-profile
Harsco Corporation (NYSE:
HSC) is worth a review.
Harsco is a diversified industrial services and engineering products company that caters to the steel/metals industry. The company offers metal reclamation, slag processing, scrap management and related services for steel/metal manufacturers. HSC's access services business rents/sells concrete-forming equipment, scaffolding, and bridge-decking products, primarily for industrial maintenance and commercial construction clients.
Typically, companies like Harsco would be more-sensitive to the business cycle, but that risk is lessened by HSC's revenue stream diversity, wide 5-continent geographic footprint, and a contemporary trend: recycling. Fortunately for Harso, recycling and reclaiming processes are likely to increase in popularity, for both cost and environmental reasons, in the years ahead. Harsco is well-positioned in this regard, and analysts generally project 13%-20% annual revenue growth for HSC for the immediate years ahead. The
Reuters F2007/F2008 EPS consensus estimates for HSC are $2.97/$3.35.
Continue reading Harsco capitalizes on a contemporary trend
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