Analyst Upgrades

• Research In Motion (RIMM) to buy from sell and Gap (GPS) to hold from sell at Citigroup.
• Archer Daniels (ADM) and Airgas (ARG) to buy from hold at Jefferies.
• NCR Corp. (NCR) to conviction buy from neutral at Goldman.
• Valero Energy (VLO) to top pick from sector perform and Western Refining (WNR) to outperform from underperform at RBC Capital.
• Fred's (FRED) to overweight from neutral at JP Morgan.
• Marsh & McLennan (MMC), Willis Group (WSH) and Brown & Brown (BRO) to equal weight from underweight at Barclays.
• Host Hotels (HST) to outperform from neutral at RW Baird.
• La-Z-Boy (LZB) to strong buy from market perform at Raymond James.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: ADM, BBY, ETN, FDO, HNZ, GPS, MAR, NCR, RIMM, VLO ...

Analyst Calls: ADM, BBY, ETN, FDO, HNZ, GPS, MAR, NCR, RIMM, VLO ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 16 Feb 2011 11:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

U.S. stock futures are mixed this morning, as investors are awaiting economic data on retail sales and manufacturing activity in the New York area. Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 3 points to 12,227.00 and S&P 500 futures fell 0.30 point to 1,327.40. Nasdaq 100 futures gained 1 point to 2,382.75.

European markets were mixed today. While STOXX Europe 600 Index has gained 0.12%, London's FTSE 100 Index moved down 0.06%.

Asian markets ended mixed, with Japan's Nikkei Stock Average gaining 0.20% and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 moving down 0.08%.

Continue reading Futures Mixed Ahead of Retail Sales Data

Futures Mixed Ahead of Retail Sales Data originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 15 Feb 2011 08:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Analyst Upgrades

• Wells Fargo upgraded T. Rowe Price (TROW) to outperform from market perform, citing strong flows and a potential recovery in the U.S. equity markets.
• UBS upgraded BorgWarner (BWA) to buy from neutral and raised its price target to $50 from $48. The firm expects BorgWarner to benefit from fuel economy regulation.
• Cowen upgraded Celgene (CELG) to neutral from underperform, citing improved fundamentals and valuation for the upgrade.
• TRW Automotive (TRW) was upgraded to overweight from equal weight at Morgan Stanley.
• Finish Line (FINL) was upgraded to buy from hold at Citigroup.
• Jazz Pharmaceutical (JAZZ) was upgraded to overweight from equal weight at Barclays.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: AMZN, BWA, CELG, FINL, MMC, NLY, PPO, ROSE, SNDA, TROW, VVUS ...

Analyst Calls: AMZN, BWA, CELG, FINL, MMC, NLY, PPO, ROSE, SNDA, TROW, VVUS ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 15 Jun 2010 11:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Analyst Upgrades

• Baird upgraded Dell (DELL) to outperform from neutral, citing valuation and improving IT hardware trends. The firm raised its target to $21 from $17.
• Janney Montgomery upgraded Regal Entertainment (RGC) to buy from neutral, citing box office momentum and improving potential for a dividend increase. The firm raised its target for shares to $20.50 from $16.
• Thomas Weisel upgraded CF Industries (CF) to overweight from market weight as it sees reduced financing risk following the equity offering and valuation.
• GameStop (GME) was upgraded to buy from hold at BB&T.
• Exxon Mobil (XOM) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at Raymond James.
• Cameron (CAM) was raised to outperform from market perform at BMO Capital.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: CF, DELL, EXC, MA, MSFT, RGC, RVBD, TSCO, WHR, XOM ...

Analyst Calls: CF, DELL, EXC, MA, MSFT, RGC, RVBD, TSCO, WHR, XOM ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 16 Apr 2010 11:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Like Willis Re (WSH) and Marsh & McLennan's (MMC) Guy Carpenter, reinsurance broker Aon Benfield (AOC) found risk-transfer pricing to have softened at the April 1, 2010 reinsurance renewal. It was the same story around the world: the Q1 catastrophes may do some damage to earnings, but the sector was sufficiently capitalized to absorb the shocks. In fact, Aon Benfield reported that the reinsurance industry had nearly returned to record capital levels. At the beginning 2008, the sector was in the same situation before the financial crisis and Hurricane Gustav and Ike depleted balance sheets on the same weekend in September.

Continue reading Aon Reports Flat Reinsurance Pricing, No Surprises

Aon Reports Flat Reinsurance Pricing, No Surprises originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 02 Apr 2010 09:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The first quarter of 2010 will probably go down in history as the worst ever for catastrophe losses.

According to global reinsurance broker Willis Re (WSH), the insurance industry recorded $16 billion in insured losses, from the Chile earthquake and Windstorm Xynthia in Europe, but the largest losses occurred in smaller markets, where it premium volumes aren't as large. Since the third and fourth quarters tend to be the most loss-prone of the year, a quarter that is normally quiet could set the stage for outsized losses.

Continue reading Q1 Catastrophes May Hit Earnings, Won't Change Market

Q1 Catastrophes May Hit Earnings, Won't Change Market originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 01 Apr 2010 14:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The first quarter catastrophes weren't enough to push property-catastrophe reinsurance rates lower. Even though the first quarter was a busy one for catastrophe losses, particularly for global reinsurers, they weren't sufficient to change the market. As a result, the four regions renewing at April 1, 2010 -- the United States, Japan, Latin America and South Korea -- ranged from soft to controlled, according to the latest from Guy Carpenter, the reinsurance arm of Marsh & McLennan (MMC). This comes as no surprise, as indications throughout the run-up to the renewal pointed to an orderly process in which there would be enough capital to support the market's needs.

Continue reading Reinsurance Rates Fall Around the World

Reinsurance Rates Fall Around the World originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 01 Apr 2010 12:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading U.S. Insurers Addicted to Corporate Bonds

U.S. Insurers Addicted to Corporate Bonds originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 23 Mar 2010 11:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading From Bermuda: Insurers Need to Ink Mergers with Caution

From Bermuda: Insurers Need to Ink Mergers with Caution originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 16 Mar 2010 13:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading 2010 Catastrophe Losses Already Half Last Year's Total

2010 Catastrophe Losses Already Half Last Year's Total originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 08 Mar 2010 14:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The end of a year means a rush of data from the insurance and reinsurance industries, as treaties are renewed for the coming year. Catastrophe bonds are a part of this annual orgy of data production, as a flurry of activity occurs in December, with the industry's commitment to this form of alternative property-catastrophe risk-transfer setting the tone for the year to come. The cat bond market isn't big enough to push reinsurance rates, but you can generally get a sense of what the coming year will look like for cat bonds based on pricing for traditional reinsurance.

Continue reading Catastrophe Bond Market Hits Target, Records Possible in 2010

Catastrophe Bond Market Hits Target, Records Possible in 2010 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 04 Jan 2010 17:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Lloyd's of London is poised to take some risks in 2010. In fact, it's ready to put more than $36 billion into the insurance and reinsurance world, according to analysts at reinsurance intermediary Guy Carpenter, a division of Marsh & McLennan (MMC).

The year-over-year increase could be as high as 27% compared to 2009, with the additional capacity coming from lower risk-transfer rates for some lines of business, though much of it is being offered to compensate for the weakness of the British pound relative to stronger currencies, such as the U.S. dollar.

Continue reading Lloyd's Amps Up Insurance and Reinsurance Capacity This Year

Lloyd's Amps Up Insurance and Reinsurance Capacity This Year originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 04 Jan 2010 11:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Analyst Upgrades

• FBR Capital upgraded New York Community Bancorp (NYB) to outperform from market perform following the FDIC-assisted acquisition of AmTrust. The firm raised its target price on shares to $16 from $11.
• Oppenheimer upgraded Brocade (BRCD) to outperform from perform to reflect valuation, low investor expectations, and the company's potential to gain market share in IP/Ethernet switching. The firm set a target price of $8.50 on shares.
• Stifel Nicolaus upgraded National Health Investors (NHI) to buy from hold following the announcement that the litigation vs. Care Foundation has been dismissed. The firm has a $37 target on the stock.
• American Express (AXP) was upgraded to neutral from underperform at BofA/Merrill.
• ACE Ltd. (ACE) was upgraded to buy from neutral at Goldman.
• Kohl's (KSS) was raised to outperform from neutral at Baird.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: AAP, AXP, BRCD, DD, H, KSS, NYB, SI ...

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: AAP, AXP, BRCD, DD, H, KSS, NYB, SI ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 07 Dec 2009 11:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

If the Senate's proposed Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act passes the Senate, the working stiff will probably be affected. A study by Mercer finds that 63% of employers would cut the health benefits they offer in order to avoid an excise tax included in the bill.

Mercer, a division of Marsh & McLennan Companies (MMC), reveals that 25% of employers offer health insurance programs that would be "too generous" under the act, making them subject to a 40% nondeductible tax on the excess value.

Continue reading Study: Employers would cut health benefits to avoid excise tax

Study: Employers would cut health benefits to avoid excise tax originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 06 Dec 2009 11:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Progressive (NYSE: PGR) an auto insurance company, closed at $14.50. PGR July option implied volatility is at 49, August is at 44; below its 26-week average of 60; according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Willis Group (NYSE: WSH) a brokerage and risk management company, closed at $25.66. WSH July and August option implied volatility of 44 is below its 26-week average of 54, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing movement.

Marsh & McLennan (NYSE: MMC) closed at $20.39. MMC July option implied volatility is at 32, August is at 36; below its 26-week average of 47 according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Options Update: Insurance providers volatility near low end of range originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 23 Jun 2009 08:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

• Banc of America/Merrill upgraded DPL Inc (NYSE: DPL) to Neutral from Underperform following the settlement agreement with staff of the Public Utilities Commission of Ohio on Electric Security Plan.
  
• Friedman Billings upgraded SeaBright Insurance (NYSE: SBX) to Outperform from Market Perform on valuation as they believe shares are oversold at current levels. Despite upgrading, the firm lowered its target price to $14 from $16.
  
• JP Morgan upgraded AT&T (T) to Overweight from Neutral as it believes upside earnings revisions are likely in 2009 due to the company's conservative wireline margin outlook. The firm finds the stock's valuation attractive at current levels and raised their target on shares to $28 from $24.
• Chubb (NYSE: CB) was upgraded to buy from Neutral at UBS.
  
• Cascal B.V. (NYSE: HOO) was raised to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse.
  
• Healthcare Realty Trust (NYSE: HR) was upgraded at Keefe Bruyette to Outperform from Market Perform.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: T, FSLR, CEPH, CB ...

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: T, FSLR, CEPH, CB ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 25 Feb 2009 10:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• Baird upgraded NCR Corp (NYSE: NCR) to Outperform from Neutral following its North American ATM managers survey that indicates a solid ATM environment and opportunity for margin improvement.
  
• Rodman & Renshaw upgraded Medivation (NASDAQ: MDVN) to Outperform from Market Perform citing valuation of the firm's pipeline given recent catalyst of positive Phase II results in Huntington's disease with lead candidate, Dimebon.
  
• Goldman added Teva Pharma (NASDAQ: TEVA) to its Conviction Buy List citing valuation, upcoming catalysts, and defensive characteristics.

• Marsh & McLennan (NYSE: MMC) was raised to Buy from Hold at Citigroup.
  
• RBC lifted Bankrate (NASDAQ: RATE) to Outperform from Sector Perform.
  
• Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU) was upgraded at WestLB to Hold from Sell.

Analyst upgrades: NCR, MDVN, TEVA, MMC, RATE, ALU originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 08 Jul 2008 11:22:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Macrovision Solutions (NASDAQ:MVSN) was started as a "buy" at Kaufman Brothers, according to the AP.

Bankrate (NASDAQ:RATE) Cut to Hold from Buy at Collins Stewart, according to StreetInsider.

Early analyst calls (MMC) (NCR) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 08 Jul 2008 08:05:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Willis Group Holdings (NYSE: WSH), the third largest insurance broker, is about to become much bigger. Yes, the company has announced a $2.1 billion acquisition of Hilb Rogal & Hobbs (NYSE: HRH). The transaction is half cash and half stock. Although, Willis plans a $1 billion buyback to sop up the shares.

Based on the financials, the deal looks smart. Willis plans to realize annualized synergies of about $140 million by 2012. What's more, the transaction should be accretive to cash earnings on the close (which is expected in the Q4).

More importantly, Willis is likely to boost its growth. After all, there will be a doubling of North American revenues. There will also be a stronger footprint in New York, Boston, New Jersey, California, Florida, Philadelphia and Illinois. In other words, expect more pressure on McLennan Cos. (NYSE: MMC) and Aon (NYSE: AOC).

Something else: HRH will add expertise in key areas like personal lines, healthcare, environmental and executive risk.

No doubt, Willis is engaging in a transformative acquisition. The deal is the biggest in the sector since Marsh & McLennan's purchase of Sedgwick Group in 1998.

There are definitely some big risks for Willis.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

Willis brokers a $2.1 billion deal for Hilb originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 09 Jun 2008 12:37:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• B. Riley upgraded shares of PFF Bancorp (NYSE: PFB) to Neutral from Sell on valuation with the stock trading at 11% of the last reported tangible book value of $14.37 at December 31, 2007.
  
• RBC Capital believes Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERIC) will benefit from network builds in North America and Asia. Shares were raised to Outperform from Sector Perform.
• Baird upgraded TAL International Group (NYSE: TAL) to Outperform from Neutral based on solid container leasing demand, rising container costs, and more constrained capital conditions.

• Deutsche Bank upgraded Telecom Italia (NYSE: TI) to Buy from Hold.
  
• JP Morgan upgraded Dollar Tree (NASDAQ: DLTR) to Neutral from Underweight.
  
• Goldman raised Marsh & McLennan (NYSE: MMC) to Neutral from Sell.

Analyst upgrades: PFB, ERIC, MMC, DLTR and TAL originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 12 May 2008 12:12:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.