U.S. fiscal policy stimulus for the digital age

Joseph Lazzaro — Thu, 08 May 2008 15:20:00 EST

Filed under: Forecasts, Politics, Federal Reserve, Recession

When one travels in economists' circles, one tends to tap into the issues, controversies and policy ideas 'dismal science' practitioners are debating.

And one issue economists have rattled around concerns the speed of fiscal policy stimulus, or more accurately, the lack thereof. In the digital age, the internet has propelled a host of speed-enhancing changes, and it occurred to this group of economists that U.S. Government policy is decidedly behind the curve in this area.

Here's why: economist David H. Wang noted that the U.S., in an attempt to jump-start its economy stalled by the nation's worst housing slump in more than 15 years, has implemented a host of monetary policy changes to provide monetary stimulus quicker. The U.S. Federal Reserve cut key, short-term interests multiple times during a 10-week span (and later implemented additional rate cuts), and devised two, new, Fed-administered institutions to address the credit crisis, provide liquidity, and ensure the orderly operation of financial markets.

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U.S. fiscal policy stimulus for the digital age originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 08 May 2008 15:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

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Consumer prices increase 0.4% in January, above estimate

Joseph Lazzaro — Wed, 20 Feb 2008 09:09:00 EST

Filed under: Bad News, Economic Data

Consumer prices increased 0.4% in January 2008, above the 0.3% consensus estimate, driven higher by energy and food prices, the U.S. Labor Department announced Wednesday.

The core January 2008 CPI -- which excludes food and energy -- rose 0.3%, also above the 0.2% consensus estimate.

On a year-over-year basis, or since January 2007, the CPI increased 4.3% -- well above the U.S. Federal Reserve's comfort zone for inflation. Meanwhile, core inflation increased 2.5% during the same period. Apparel rose 0.4%, medical care increased 0.5% and professional service costs increased 0.4%.

Economist Steve Affinito termed the January 2008 CPI data, "a bad report."

"Clearly we're by no means out of the woods yet regarding inflation," Affinito said. "In this report we can clearly see the impact of higher energy prices rippling through the cost structure. The report is going to make it harder for Fed officials to continue to ease monetary policy if necessary to stimulate economic growth."

Affinito said that as economists collect more data points in the era of high energy prices, economists are beginning to see a pattern between the high-energy-price inflation of the 1970s, and today's economic data. "We're a more energy efficient economy now than we were in the 1970s, but clearly energy is accounting for at least 40-45% of this inflation total," Affinito said. "If we can get a moderation in oil prices in 2008, it will really help policy makers both in the U.S. and globally."

Consumer prices increase 0.4% in January, above estimate originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 20 Feb 2008 09:09:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

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