Back in the Roaring 1980s, Carl Icahn was known as a prototypical corporate raider as he went hostile on a myriad of old-world companies such as B. F. Goodrich and American Can.
Now, in his early 70s, Icahn hasn't slowed down much. Funny enough, these days he's targeting tech companies, like BEA, Motorola (NYSE: MOT) and, of course, Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO). Hmmmm... maybe these companies have become bloated and mature -- just like the laggards of the 1980s?
Perhaps so. After all, Icahn's strategy is to agitate for change, such as for cost cutting, share buybacks and higher dividends.
As for his pursuit of Yahoo (which involves a proxy fight), it's certainly a gutsy play. Simply put, there's no guarantee that Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) will come to the table again. So far, the company is doing a good job in showing disinterest.
Goldman Sachs cut its view of U.S. department stores to Neutral from Attractive. Specifically, the broker downgraded J.C. Penney (NYSE: JCP) and Nordstrom Inc. (NYSE: JWN) to Neutral from Buy after its commodity team upped 2008 oil price forecasts to $149 a barrel. Still, Goldman upgraded TJX Cos. (NYSE: TJX) to Buy from Neutral and removed Kohl's Corp. (NYSE: KSS) from its conviction-buy list in favor of Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT).
By now I'm getting confused with all the deals Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is signing with wireless operators to sell the iPhone in different countries around the world. I believe the past two weeks we heard of at least two deals, including one with a S.Korean company. Today, French wireless operator Orange said it has signed a deal to sell its iPhone in the Middle East, Africa and several European countries. Orange will be the exclusive iPhone provider in Belgium and Romania. It seems that by now Apple's got the world covered.
General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM) is apparently considering launching its Chevrolet brand in South Korea. In its attempt to stay ahead of fast growing Toyota (NYSE: TM), GM will try to capture a larger share of S.Korea's growing market for imported cars.
U.S. stock futures were higher this morning, looking to extend their rally, even though investors will likely not like the upcoming housing data, which probably isn't going to signal a bottom for the housing recession.
U.S. stocks had a nice rally Thursday as oil prices fell, several deals were announced, mainly CBS buying CNet, and Icahn moving forward with his proxy fight for Yahoo's board. The Dow industrials rose 94 points, or 0.73%, the S&P 500 added 14 points, or 1.06%, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 37 points, or 1.48%. Thursday marked the fourth day of gains for the Nasdaq.
This morning, investors will be waiting for the housing data to roll in. Housing starts and building permits figures for April will be reported at 8:30 a.m. EDT. Both are expected to show further declines. Also at 10:00 a.m. EDT, May University of Michigan's consumer confidence gauge for May is due. Economists expect it to decline marginally.
Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs helped lift oil prices this morning after it raised its forecast for oil to $141 a barrel. The forecast was raised 32% from $107 a barrel and is for the second half of 2008. Oil prices were back above $125 a barrel.
What a fabulous defense. The Yahoo! (NASDAQ:YHOO) board has written Carl Icahn about his plan to run his own slate of directors in a proxy war. The portal's governing body reasons that because Icahn was not in any of its meetings and did not attend negotiations with Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) that the billionaire can't understand why Yahoo! is worth more than $33 a share.
In a letter run inThe Wall Street Journal, Yahoo! writes that the company's board "remains the best and most qualified group to maximize value for all Yahoo! stockholders."
The reasoning by the board is flawed to the bone. Whether Icahn or any other shareholder attended meetings is beside the question. Yahoo!'s value in the market before the Microsoft bid was $19. Wall Street placed that value on the company because it had repeatedly put out disappointing results. The bad numbers cost former CEO Terry Semel his job. Yahoo! has less than 25% of the US search market, and that number is falling. To argue that the board understands why the company is worth $37 a share is both arrogant and has no basis in fact.
The other part of the Yahoo! reasoning is based on the idea that management's projections for the next three years create a value for the company well beyond its current share price. This does not take into account that no one believes that Yahoo! can hit the numbers. The Paulson hedge fund, one of the largest shareholders in the portal company, has already said it will back the Icahn bid. So have other owners of the company's stock.
Yahoo!'s board cannot simply dismiss arguments about the value of the company because it has talked in private and come up with higher numbers. "If wishes were horses, all the beggars would ride."
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Companies from Nokia (NYSE:NOK) to Samsung are trying to create a product to compete with the Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) iPhone. Now RIM (NASDAQ:RIMM) will join the group.
RIM will come out with a touchscreen version of its Blackberry, probably in the third quarter. The decision is based on a false premise, which is that people want to buy an "iPhone" from someone other than Apple.
According toThe Wall Street Journal "Dubbed the Thunder, the new BlackBerry is among RIM's strongest moves so far to appeal to the increasing number of consumers opting for multimedia phones."
The market has heard this song before. Over a year ago, both Sandisk (NASDAQ:SNDK) and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) came to market with competition for the iPod. Neither made any progress.
As infantile as the reasoning may seem, Apple built a nearly perfect product, which has been confirmed by strong demand , and plans to improve on it with features like 3G capability. Competition cannot replace what the customer views as irreplaceable.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com and author of the Ten Stocks Under $10 newsletter.
Nuance Communications (NASDAQ: NUAN), a business devoted to speech recognition technologies and document solutions, reported Q2 earnings earlier this week. Those of you who own this stock know that the company oftentimes puts forth a complicated earnings release, full of GAAP and non-GAAP stats. This is due, in part, to the company's acquisition strategy (not long ago, I wrote about Nuance's purchase of eScription). So, on a GAAP basis, don't expect much. Net loss per diluted share expanded to $0.13 versus a net loss per diluted share of $0.01 in last year's second fiscal quarter (there was a significant non-cash-stock-based compensation charge included in the current quarter). Top-line revenue did well on a GAAP basis, however, rising 54%. Again, though, this growth was due to acquisitions.
On a non-GAAP basis, things look much brighter. Revenues rose 63%, and net income per diluted share increased 50% to $0.18. According to Reuters, this figure matched analyst expectations (I would have liked to have seen Nuance beat expectations, but it is what it is). Of course, Nuance stimulates a classic bull-bear discussion in terms of when GAAP profitability becomes more of an issue than non-GAAP success. As a Nuance shareholder, I definitely would like to see GAAP profits on a consistent basis, but I am well aware that management intends to gamble on acquisitions as a method for creating shareholder value, and for now, I am willing to be patient and watch how the company proceeds.
Nuance could be considered a risky, speculative stock in many ways, but I think it has a good chance of doing well over time with its technologies. You'd probably sleep better with competitors Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and IBM (NYSE: IBM) in your portfolio, but since I own it from around $9 per share, I'm willing to wait and see how the share price moves from this point forward (admittedly, I was considering booking profits recently, but decided against such action). Anyone thinking of getting in now might want to perform a lot of due diligence and wait for the proverbial pullback.
Disclosure: I own shares in Nuance Communications; positions can change at any time.
Google, Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG)'s market share in April increased once again, going from 67.25% to 67.90% of all internet searches performed in the U.S. Sounds like a tiny increase, but we're talking hundreds of millions of additional searches here. Even a tenth of 1% is a major increase.
Google also earned the distinction today of being named the No. 1 most-visited site by ComScore, topping Yahoo for the first time.
Both Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Yahoo, Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) saw decreases in search market share due to Google's continued dominance. April data from internet traffic research firm Hitwise indicated that Google continues to dominate U.S. internet searches, while being responsible for the lion's share of connecting web searchers with specific industries as well.
For example, 31% of of web traffic and health and medical sites was supplied by Google, as well as 23% of web traffic to travel websites. This alone demonstrates the power Google has over the web. Some industries would see huge decreases in traffic if Google were to go away. In effect, Google's web search dominance has a very broad and meaningful over entire industries on the web, including shopping and classifieds, news and media, entertainment and others.
IAC/InterActiveCorp (NASDAQ: IACI) needs to build up its little Ask.com franchise before it is spun out in a breakup of the parent company. Ask.com is an "also ran" in the search engine fight which includes Google (NASDAQ: GOOG), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO).
In an attempt to turn a loser into a contender, IACI is buying Lexico, which owns Dictionary.com, Thesaurus.com and Reference.com. According toThe Wall Street Journal, "Lexico sites drew about 15.6 million unique U.S. visitors in March, according to comScore Inc., compared with 55.4 million for Ask and an array of affiliated sites."
Even if the price of the new addition is low, the Lexico sites are not likely to do much good for the Ask.com franchise. It has already fallen so far behind the three search leaders that it almost certainly cannot catch up. Internet users have already set their preference in this part of the online market. Owning a dictionary site is not going to help that.
IACI's Ask.com can't come from behind and buying additional reference sites is not going to change that.
CBS Corp. (NYSE: CBS) announced Thursday it has signed a deal to buy CNet Networks Inc. (NASDAQ: CNET) for $11.50 a share in cash. CNet operates not only the CNET site, but also ZDNet, GameSpot.com, TV.com, mp3.com and others. The deal values CNet at about $1.8 billion and push CBS to among the 10 most popular Internet companies in the United States. CBS shares are down 2.9% in premarket trading while CNET shares are of course up over 42% to $11.31.
IAC/InterActiveCorp (NASDAQ: IACI)'s Ask.com has bought Lexico Publishing Group LLC, the parent of Dictionary.com, Thesaurus.com and Reference.com among other sites. Earlier this year, Lexico already agreed to be sold to Answers Corp (NASDAQ: ANSW), but the latter couldn't secure the necessary funds. Now, Lexico sold itself to Ask.com, for an undisclosed amount, although the number people are throwing around is $100 million. Could this acquisition help IACI gain -- even a little -- on market leader Google?
United Airlines (NASDAQ: UAUA) and Continental Airlines Inc. (NYSE: CAL), dropping ideas of a merger, are now talking about forming an alliance to still gain some benefits of working together. United appears relentless in its attempts to help its bottom line through a merger or an alliance. While talking to Continental about an alliance, it is still negotiating with US Airways Group (NYSE: LCC).
U.S. stock futures were marginally higher early Thursday morning as once again investors await data on the economy to give them direction. Several deals and earnings are also in the spot light this morning.
U.S. stocks received a boost Wednesday from lower-than expected inflation numbers, given extra credence by the fall in crude-oil prices. While most companies reporting earnings Wednesday didn't proved good news, a smaller-than-forecast loss for Freddie Mac helped lift sentiment. The Dow industrials rose 66 points, or 0.52%, the S&P 500 rose 6 points, or 0.40%, and the Nasdaq Composite edged up more than a point, or 0.06%.
This morning, more inflation data is due out. Consumer level inflation reported Wednesday managed to surprise the Street, but can the economic releases today do the same? At 8:30 a.m., weekly initial jobless claims will be released, as well as May NY Empire State Index. At 9:00 a.m., March Net Foreign Purchases will be reported to be followed some time later with April capacity utilization and industrial production. At 10:00 a.m., after the market opens, the Philadelphia Fed index is due and is expected to show another decline. Finally, a housing index is also due today.
Well, maybe Icahn can save them from themselves. Who? Yahoo!'s board of course.
Seems Carl Icahn, whom earlier reports had considering moving in on Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO)'s board, has made a decision. The billionaire activist investor, who has amassed some 50 million shares of the internet portal company to a 3.6% stake, is planning "to move ahead with plans to run a dissident board slate at Yahoo," according to Reuters.
A Reuters source said that already he has lined up at least 12 potential board candidates and could announce the slate as early as tonight, ahead of Thursday's deadline.
It's not just that Yahoo! has so offhandedly rejected Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT)'s attempts to buy it, but it's also -- and probably mainly -- the way the company has been managed for some time now. It's not just Jerry Yang, the current CEO, but his predecessor Terry Semel as well. Yahoo! has been behind the curve in technology and trend, not only losing market share in search, but mainly failing to capitalize on its assets and the traffic they generate.
Already following the early reports today, Yahoo shares finished the day up 2.18%. Now, in after-hours it's gaining another 1.5%. Yahoo! investors seem to put their trust in Icahn.
Recently I posted a Serious Money metrics story that included Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Yahoo Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) comparisons along with six other stocks. Until now I have not felt very strongly about the merits of Microsoft's offer to acquire Yahoo! and merge assets and features.
I was leaning toward the price is too high camp, but now, after Microsoft has withdrawn the offer and I have looked at the current state of affairs of both companies, I think it did the right thing and may have avoided a nightmare.
To bring Yahoo! into the fold, Microsoft would have had to find enough cost savings by eliminating overlapping departments or it would have had to hope it could double Yahoo's earnings. If not, the acquisition would unduly weigh down the mother ship, because Microsoft's P/E Ratio of 17.08 is half that of Yahoo!'s 34.25.
When you look at the ROE,Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) -- with its 45.28% -- has a four times greater return than that of Yahoo Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO)'s 10.96%. Yahoo looks like another drag.
Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: ERTS) issued Q4 and full-year numbers on Tuesday. The competitor of Activision (NASDAQ: ATVI), THQ (NASDAQ: THQI) and Take-Two Interactive (NASDAQ: TTWO) reported adjusted fourth-quarter revenues of $919 million, which was good for a 50% increase. Earnings per diluted share were $0.09 on an adjusted basis, also representing a 50% jump. For the full year, adjusted revenues jumped 30% to $4 billion and earnings per diluted share rose 36% to $1.06. Not too bad.
EA, according to Briefing.com, also beat Wall Street's expectations by quite a bit. EA was forecast to only break-even on a non-GAAP basis, so the difference was a nice $0.09. In terms of operational cash flow, EA increased the metric by 33% during the fourth quarter, but for the full year, operational cash flow decreased 15%. Ah, such is life, I guess. Nevertheless, EA produced 27 titles that sold over a million units this year -- three more than in the previous year. Fifteen of its titles sold over 2 million units -- five more than the last fiscal period. Titles such as Army of Two and Rock Band, as well as various sports franchises, drove the results.
Things sound pretty good, don't they? EA is definitely a major force on the Sony (NYSE: SNE) PlayStation, Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) Xbox 360 and Nintendo (OTC: NTDOY) Wii platforms. But EA has had some challenges during this console cycle, and there is the perception that it needs a major merger to combat the threat posed by the Activision and Vivendi Games transaction. And let's not forget that Activision is on fire all on its own. That's what the whole attempted takeover of Take-Two is all about.
As is almost the case ahead of some key data announcement, investors tend to be looking for direction. Indeed, stock futures were mildly lower early Wednesday morning as the Street awaits CPI reading on inflation. Also in focus this morning is housing after a reading on foreclosures surged.
Already on Tuesday investors seemed nervous as U.S. stocks finished mixed on Tuesday. Retail sales, Wal-Mart results, Hewlett Packard's acquisition of EDS and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's speech on the markets affected stocks with the Dow ending 44 points, or 0.34% lower, the S&P 500 nearly flat as it was down half a point, or 0.04%, and the Nasdaq Composite ending 6 points, or 0.27%, higher.
This morning, stocks will likely get a clearer direction after April's Consumer Price Index report due out at 8:30 a.m. EDT. Economists, according to Briefing.com expect CPI to rise 0.3% in April, while core CPI, which excludes the volatile food and energy prices, is estimated to be up 0.2% in April. Investors want the report to allow the Fed to keep interest rates as they are so as to bolster the dollar, and hence commodities, somewhat.
Speaking of the dollar and commodities, though, oil keeps trading on its own set of "rules," it seems. Overnight, oil set yet another record, shrugging off gains in the dollar. The record, near $127 a barrel, was due to concerns that Iran may cut production. Oil has retreated since as the reports may have been overblown. This morning, at 10:30 a.m. EDT the weekly release of U.S. fuel inventories is due. Meanwhile, congress voted Tuesday to challenge President Bush to temporarily halt the daily shipment of thousands of barrels of oil into the government's emergency reserve.