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Analyst upgrades: Countrywide Financial, AstraZeneca, Massey Energy, International Coal

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Countrywide Financial, AstraZeneca, Massey Energy and International Coal were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Wachovia upgraded Countrywide (NYSE: CFC) to Market Perform from Underperform, as they do not expect any other bidders to emerge and for the acquisition by Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) to close.
  • HSBC upgraded AstraZeneca (NYSE: AZN) to Overweight from Neutral on valuation and their belief that an agreement with Ranbaxy on Nexium is possible.
  • Massey Energy (NYSE: MEE) and International Coal (NYSE: ICO) were upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JP Morgan citing higher coal price forecasts.
OTHER UPGRADES:

Option Update: National City shares trade at 15-year low

National City (NYSE: NCC) volatility aggressive; shares trade at 15-year low as NCC is recently down $3.69 to $9.44.

NCC March 10 straddle is trading at $3.00. NCC April option implied volatility of 140 is above its 26-week average of 46 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.

Volatility Index S&P 500 Options-VIX up 3.52 to 34.68.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Cramer on BloggingStocks: And a vulture might save them

Jim Cramer on BloggingStocks TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says we need Wilbur Ross to save someone's bacon to make this a healthier market all around.

Wilbur Ross, don't screw it up, we are all counting on you.

Yesterday it wasn't just the Fed cut that made the bank stocks rally. That mattered because it will help one portion of the banks' biggest woes: the lack of margin on their loans. Obviously, it also matters as a way to avoid a severe recession, which is why the retailers rallied.

But I believe what was even bigger than the rate cut for some of these banks was the possibility that we would not have another round of big losses, this time from a lack of insurance, because the grave dancing Wilbur Ross indicated he is choosing a bond insurer -- or bond insurers? -- to save with a big investment or takeover.

These companies just can't raise the capital on their own. Despite their endless protestations, even the limited disclosure they have given us doesn't give you much comfort that they can get their paws on the money themselves.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: And a vulture might save them

Option update 10-24-07: National City, Fifth Third Bancorp volatility up

National City (NYSE: NCC) volatility Elevated; NCC sells off on EPS & loan exposure. NCC reported 3rd quarter 2007 net income of $106 million, or 18 cents per diluted share. Goldman Sachs says "turning NCC around is going to take time. Mortgage contributions are likely to remain depressed, while credit will remain an issue." NCC has a current dividend yield of 7.34%. NCC November option implied volatility of 45 is above its 26-week average of 31 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.

Fifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ: FITB) volatility Elevated as FITB near 10-year low. FITB, headquartered in Cincinnati, is recently down $0.99 to $28.99. Smith Barney says "while FITB was going through its regulatory issues, it tried to offset by taking on more rate risk. One of our concerns has been that it was also taking more credit risk." FITB November option implied volatility of 38 is above its 26-week average of 27 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price risks.

Daily options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Option update 10-17-07: National City (NCC) near 81-month low into EPS

National City (NYSE: NCC) operates a banking network in Ohio, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan and Pennsylvania.

  • NCC closed at $24.14.
  • NCC will report EPS on 10/14.
  • NCC has a dividend yield of 6.79%.
  • NCC November option implied volatility of 42 is above its 26-week average of 29 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.

Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD), a global semiconductor company, closed at $13.96.

  • AMD is expected to report EPS on 10/18.
  • AMD October 14 straddle is priced at 90 cents. AMD November option implied volatility of 44 is near its 26-week average of 46 according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price risks.


Daily options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Analyst upgrades: BUD, CBS, DRI and JBHT

MOST NOTEWORTHY: J.B. Hunt Transport (JBHT), Gold Fields (GFI), Anheuser-Busch (BUD), CBS Corp (CBS) and Amerigroup (AGP) were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Wachovia upgraded shares of J.B. Hunt Transport (NASDAQ: JBHT) to Outperform from Market Perform citing strength in the company's Intermodal franchise.
  • Matrix USA upgraded Gold Fields (NYSE: GFI) to Buy from Sell, citing the strong demand for gold jewelry from affluent customers in developing markets and investors.
  • AG Edwards upgraded Anheuser-Busch (NYSE: BUD) to Buy from Hold based on valuation and improving fundamentals.
  • CBS Corp (NYSE: CBS) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at SMH Capital based on expectations for CBS to continue to increase its annual dividend 10% a year.
  • Jefferies is more confident in Amerigroup's (NYSE: AGP) ability to see further medical cost improvements in its GA market and it its TN expansion, upgrading shares to Buy from Hold...
OTHER UPGRADES:
  • Goldman upgraded Micron Tech (NYSE: MU) and Novellus Systems (NVLS) to Neutral from Sell.
  • BMO Capital upgraded National City (NYSE: NCC) to Market Perform from Underperform.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Analyst upgrades 6-25-07: BMY, CVX, GM, PIR and SIRI

MOST NOTEWORTHY: General Motors (GM), Sirius Satellite Radio (SIRI), LSI Corp (LSI), Chevron (CVX), National City (NCC) and LivePerson (LPSN) were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Goldman Sachs upgraded General Motors (NYSE: GM) to Buy from Neutral as they believe the stock will rise on expectations of sizeable concessions from union talks. The broker said this is a "tactical trading call."
  • Morgan Joseph upgraded shares of Sirius Satellite Radio (NASDAQ: SIRI) to Buy from Hold citing the OEM ramp & modest consensus estimates.
  • American Technology added LSI Corp (NYSE: LSI) to their Focus List as they believe investors are discounting a lot of negative assumptions at the current valuation. They recommend using the recent weakness to aggressively build positions below $9.
  • Bank of America upgraded shares of Chevron Corp (NYSE: CVX) citing valuation and potential volume increases in its deepwater portfolio.
  • AG Edwards upgraded National City (NYSE: NCC) to Hold from Sell and Roth upgraded LivePerson to Hold from Sell on valuation...
OTHER UPGRADES:
  • Bristol-Myers (NYSE: BMY) was upgraded to Outperform from Peer Perform at Bear Stearns.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Analyst initiations 5-01-07: CACH, CHS, JPM and SIRF

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Chico's FAS (CHS), Cache, Inc (CACH), JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) and National City Corp (NCC) were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • Thomas Weisel started Chico's FAS (NYSE: CHS) with a Market Weight rating and $26 target citing near-term mix pressure, lower margin potential and lower square footage growth.
  • Thomas Weisel also initiated shares of Cache, Inc (NASDAQ: CACH) with an Overweight rating and $21 target, citing a significant sales opportunity driven by new categories and demographics.
  • AG Edwards believes the risk/reward for JP Morgan & Chase Co (NYSE: JPM) is balanced, assuming coverage with a Hold rating.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
  • Merriman initiated shares of Aware, Inc (NASDAQ: AWRE) with a Buy rating.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Analyst downgrades 4-02-07: FedEx Corp & Sun Microsystems downgraded today

MOST NOTEWORTHY: FedEx Corp (FDX), National City Corp (NCC), Sun Microsystems, Inc (SUNW) and M&T Bank Corp (MTB) were some of today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • FedEx Corp (NYSE: FDX) was downgraded to Hold from Buy at Citigroup and lowered their target to $120 from $132 to reflect expectations for slower earnings growth in the next few quarters combined with ongoing uncertainty on the timing of an economic recovery. The broker recommends putting new money into United Parcel Service, Inc (UPS).
  • AG Edwards cut National City Corp (NYSE: NCC) to Sell from Hold. The firm believes upside is limited at these levels and weak EPS growth trends are likely to put some pressure on National City's valuation.
  • Bernstein downgraded Sun Microsystems Inc (NASDAQ: SUNW) to Underperform from Market Perform, as checks indicate Q3 may be weaker than prior quarters and could disappoint given investors' high expectations.
  • Oppenheimer cut M&T Bank Corp (NYSE: MTB) to Sell from Neutral following the company's Q1 pre-announcement.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Jefferies downgraded Blackbaud, Inc (NASDAQ: BLKB) to Hold from Buy with a $25 target due to channel checks that suggested the company has not launched its new product Bulls Eye in Q1 with any major effort.
  • Stifel downgraded Deere & Co (NYSE: DE) to Hold from Buy, citing valuation, the potential overhang from the record corn crop/ethanol glut, seasonally normal crop prices and DE stock, sluggish construction and forestry results in the housing recession.
  • JP Morgan downgraded Kronos Inc (NASDAQ: KRON) to Neutral from Overweight based on its pending acquisition.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Analyst downgrades 3-21-07: Alcoa, Dean Foods & Dow Chemical downgraded today

MORE NOTEWORTHY: The aluminum sector, National City Corp (NCC), MGM Mirage (MGM) and Domtar Corp (UFS) were some of today's notable downgrades:
  • Prudential downgraded the aluminum industry to Unfavorable from Favorable, cutting cut Alcoa Inc (NYSE: AA) to Neutral from Overweight and Alcan Inc (NYSE: AL) to Underweight from Overweight. Prudential cited the increased Chinese output growth and slowing U.S. demand for aluminum for the downgrades.
  • Keefe Bruyette cut National City Corp (NASDAQ: NCC) to Underperform from Market Perform based on higher credit costs and near-term capital requirements.
  • MGM Mirage (NYSE: MGM) was downgraded to Sell from Hold at Matrix USA citing valuation.
  • Citigroup cut Domtar Corp (NYSE: UFS) to Sell from Hold with a $9 target based on valuation.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Dow Chemical Co (NYSE: DOW) was removed from Credit Suisse's U.S. Focus List.
  • Prudential cut Dean Foods Co (NYSE: DF) to Neutral from Buy based on valuation and volatile short-term raw milk prices.
  • Barrington downgraded Cintas Corp (NASDAQ: CTAS) to Market Perform from Outperform with a $40 target based on poor Q3 earnings and lower revised guidance.
  • Methanex Corp (NASDAQ: MEOH) was cut to Underperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital.
  • Buffalo Wild Wings (NASDAQ: BWLD) was downgraded to Hold from Buy with a $67 target at Jefferies based on valuation.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Analyst downgrades 3-06:07: National City & Pathmark Stores downgraded

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Some of today's notable downgrades were National City Corp (NCC), Aeroflex Inc (ARXX) and Compass Minerals International (CMP):
  • Morgan Stanley cut National City Corp (NYSE: NCC) to Underweight from Equal-Weight with and $35 target to reflect increased losses on the company's remaining subprime loans and slower growth in the Midwest.
  • AG Edwards downgraded Aeroflex Inc (NASDAQ: ARXX) to Sell from Buy to reflect the company's acquisition agreement.
  • Matrix USA cut Compass Minerals Int'l (NYSE: CMP) to Strong Sell from Buy to reflect weak demand for deicing products.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • CIBC downgraded Pathmark Stores Inc (NASDAQ: PTMK) to Sector Perform from Outperformer based on the Great Atlantic & Pacific Tea Co (NYSE: GAP) acquisition.
  • UBS cut Apria Healthcare Group Inc (NYSE: AHG) to Reduce from Neutral on valuation.
  • Goldman Sachs downgraded Progressive Gaming International Corp (NASDAQ: PGIC) and Strategic Hotels & Resorts Inc (NYSE: BEE) to Sell from Neutral.
  • Brean Murray cut Youbet.com (NASDAQ: UBET) to Hold from Buy based on increased competition concerns.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-74.9212,454.83
NASDAQ-1.852,837.53
S&P 500-2.861,317.82

Last updated: May 28, 2012: 01:43 PM

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