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Time Warner: Stay on the Sidelines After Q2?

Time Warner Inc. (TWX), a media company which competes with The Walt Disney Corporation (DIS) and News Corp. (NWS), among others, has traded in a narrow range over the last twelve months. The 52-week low is $26.43; the 52-week high is $34.07. Shares finished Wednesday's session at a price of $32.47.

Management released Q2 numbers earlier in the day. According to the AP, adjusted profit was 50 cents per share, five pennies better than expectations. Sounds good, but there wasn't much action in the stock. That $32.47 closing price I just referred to represents a flat percentage gain.

Continue reading Time Warner: Stay on the Sidelines After Q2?

CBS: Should You Take a Look After Second-Quarter Earnings?

cbs earningsHave you been thinking about buying CBS (CBS)? It's not too far away from its 52-week high. At the end of Tuesday's regular session, the stock, whose colleagues include Disney (DIS), General Electric's (GE) NBC Universal, and News Corp. (NWS), settled out at a price of $15.01; the high for the year is $16.98. The one-year chart tells an interesting story: The trend over the last twelve months has been up, but lately, there's been a healthy amount of sideways action, which, of course, might not be healthy for growth investors.

Then again, for longer-term investors, at least the shares have been holding up, right? And now we come to the second-quarter report, released Tuesday after the bell. What does it tell us about the situation?

Continue reading CBS: Should You Take a Look After Second-Quarter Earnings?

Analyst Calls: ALU, CHL, EXC, GENZ, KO, NDSN, NSW, SJM, TXN ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • JPMorgan upgraded Coca-Cola (KO) to overweight from neutral due to valuation and expectations that developed market volume should improve. The firm raised its target price for shares to $66.
  • BB&T upgraded Nordson (NDSN) to buy from hold and has an $82 price target on the stock. The firm believes certain drivers of Nordson's Advanced Tech unit are becoming more secular vs. cyclical and that the company's EBIT margins can go higher.
  • Credit Suisse upgraded Embraer (ERJ) to outperform from underperform, citing the positive announcements from the Famborough Air Show. The firm raised its price target to $37 from $21.
  • Universal Health (UHS) was upgraded to outperform from sector perform at RBC Capital.
  • Mead Johnson (MJN) was upgraded to conviction buy from buy at Goldman.
  • Coventry Health (CVH) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at Leerink.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: ALU, CHL, EXC, GENZ, KO, NDSN, NSW, SJM, TXN ...

News Corp. Should Get Rid of MySpace

MySpace logoNews Corp. (NWS) and MySpace. They've been together for a while. And I have a question: Should they still be together? Is there any reason for the social networking business to be in Rupert Murdoch's empire? Personally, I don't see a rationale for keeping MySpace in the fold.

Of course, I'm sure Chief Digital Officer Jonathan Miller has a different opinion. In fact, in the following Reuters article, he denies rumors concerning a desire on the part of News Corp. to sell the asset. Too bad, because I think it should be sold. Seriously, my sympathies go out to anyone in charge of bringing MySpace back to relevancy.

Continue reading News Corp. Should Get Rid of MySpace

Four Risky Stocks for the Fourth: ANF, BBY, DWA, NWS

Independence Day picksIt's the Fourth of July. Time to declare your independence from fear. Specifically, the fear of holding risk in your portfolio. Ergo, I list four stocks here that investors should perhaps keep on a watch list. The choice is yours, but maybe you might find something of interest in these four.

Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF): This stock is most definitely a risk, make no mistake about it. Being a retailer based on fashion, how can it not be in the current climate? Yet, back in May, the company's first-quarter numbers didn't seem so bad (although they didn't comprise the best data set I've ever seen, either). And the one-year chart shows that Friday's closing price of $31.11 is getting close to recent support levels.

Continue reading Four Risky Stocks for the Fourth: ANF, BBY, DWA, NWS

Analyst Calls: AH, AMP, BDX, DIS, ETH, JBL, MRK, NE, NWS, TWX, VIA ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • FBR Capital upgraded Noble Corporation (NE) to outperform from market perform as it finds the company's acquisition of Frontier Drilling as smart and strategic. The firm upped its target price for shares to $42 from $36.
  • Citigroup upgraded Ameriprise (AMP) to buy from hold, citing potential margin expansion from the Columbia acquisition. The firm maintains a $50 price target for shares.
  • Thomas Weisel upgraded Jabil Circuit (JBL) to overweight from market weight, citing valuation and the company's growth prospects. The firm raised its target for shares to $20 from $18.
  • Blackrock (BLK) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at Keefe Bruyette.
  • Disney (DIS) and News Corp (NWS) were upgraded to buy from neutral at Goldman.
  • Portland General Electric (POR) was upgraded to neutral from underperform at BofA/Merrill.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: AH, AMP, BDX, DIS, ETH, JBL, MRK, NE, NWS, TWX, VIA ...

Disney's 'Toy Story' Isn't Helping Stock

I've got to laugh. As I've related in prior pieces, I've owned shares of Disney (DIS) for a long, long time. Too long, actually, since the company hasn't been a great investment over the last decade. I mean, the stock isn't above $40 yet? And I thought it would reach that level by this summer. Talk about being wrong.

And why should it be over $40 by now? Well, there was this acquisition of a little business called Pixar some years back. Remember that? Remember how it was supposed to transform the company into a powerhouse source of entertaining animated projects? Even better, the implied presumption was that the market would reward the stock for CEO Bob Iger's intelligent move; after all, he was supposed to be the Mouse's savior after it ran into trouble with erstwhile leader Michael Eisner.

Continue reading Disney's 'Toy Story' Isn't Helping Stock

Analyst Calls: ABX, AKS, BK, GBDC, GD, NEM, NWS, ODSY, PNC, UQM ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Deutsche Bank upgraded Barrick Gold (ABX) to buy from hold and reiterates a buy rating on Newmont Mining (NEM) after upping its 2011 gold forecast to $1,450 per ounce and 2012 forecast to $1,600 per ounce. The firm upped its target for Barrick shares to $53 from $45, for Newmont shares to $74 from $72, and on hold-rated Goldcorp (GG) and Kinross Gold (KGC) to $40 and $20, respectively.
  • Citigroup upgraded General Dynamics (GD) to hold from sell following the recent pullback in shares. The firm keeps a $67 price target for the stock.
  • UBS upgraded Public Service (PEG) to buy from neutral and has a $34 price target on the stock. The firm cites the company's solid balance sheet, earnings profile, and valuation for the upgrade.
  • News Corp. (NWS) was upgraded to buy from hold at Soleil.
  • AK Steel (AKS) was upgraded to neutral from underperform.
  • Progress Energy (PGN) was upgraded to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
  • PNC Financial (PNC) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at Keefe Bruyette.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: ABX, AKS, BK, GBDC, GD, NEM, NWS, ODSY, PNC, UQM ...

Should Disney Have Charged for the 'Lost' Finale?

Shareholders of Disney (DIS) are looking forward to a little boost this

Sunday. The television series Lost is coming to an end, and there is a lot of celebratory buzz surrounding the send-off. I've never really sat down to watch the show (at least, not an entire episode all the way through), but I actually may watch the last moments of the final episode in the quizzical universe. Yes, the buzz has apparently sucked me in, too.

Yet, I have a thought to propose to the media industry: Should Disney charge viewers to see the finale?

Continue reading Should Disney Have Charged for the 'Lost' Finale?

Iron Man 2: A Hero Again for Disney

Iron Man 2 top movie for second weekend Disney's (DIS) Iron Man 2 did it again. According to early estimates from the Associated Press (which could change once final numbers are issued, like they did last time around), the superhero flick, which is distributed by Viacom (VIA), captured $53 million over the weekend at domestic theaters, making it the top feature once again.

The new Robin Hood picture, starring Russell Crowe and brought to multiplexes by General Electric's (GE) Universal Pictures, came in second with what I thought was a weak $37 million.

Continue reading Iron Man 2: A Hero Again for Disney

Remaining Bullish on Disney After Q2

Bullish on DisneyWalt Disney company (DIS), the media giant that competes with CBS (CBS), General Electric's (GE) NBC Universal, and News Corp. (NWS), reported Q2 earnings after the bell on Tuesday. After reviewing them, I think it's safe to say management did a good job of delivering a solid quarter. But . . . what about the stock?

That's the big question mark. During yesterday's after-hours session, the stock was down 3.5%, or over a buck at one point. Obviously we'll have to wait and see where the shares end on Wednesday after the regular session to get a better feel for what the traders think, but there's no question that the Mouse has had a slightly rough time in the last several sessions.

Continue reading Remaining Bullish on Disney After Q2

'Iron Man 2' Tops at Theaters: What About Disney Stock?

Disney (DIS) purchased Marvel Entertainment last year, and the first release since that corporate marriage was consummated, Iron Man 2, opened this past weekend at domestic theaters. The project dominated the screens, as it was expected to do. According to estimates at Box Office Mojo, the movie, which is distributed by Viacom (VIA), brought in about $133 million.

The rest of the weekend's features all made less than $10 million; talk about an unfair fight. Time Warner's (TWX) A Nightmare on Elm Street came in second with $9 million. DreamWorks Animation's (DWA) How to Train Your Dragon, also distributed by Viacom, was third, grossing over $6 million. News Corp.'s (NWS) Date Night took up the fourth spot, while CBS (CBS) Films and The Back-Up Plan did enough business to secure position number five.

Continue reading 'Iron Man 2' Tops at Theaters: What About Disney Stock?

CBS: Better Income, Cash Flow in Q1

CBS (CBS), the famous broadcaster whose competitors include Disney (DIS), General Electric's (GE) NBC Universal, and News Corp. (NWS), reported Q1 earnings after the bell on Wednesday. This afternoon, the stock is firmly in the red: at the time of this writing, shares were down over 4% to $14.93. Below $15, can you believe it? Volume is very strong with more than two hours to go before the close of regular activities, so by the time this is published, volume might end up being quite impressive.

The 52-week high on the stock is $16.98. The market has been discounting better times ahead for the company, as the following one-year chart seems to indicate.

Continue reading CBS: Better Income, Cash Flow in Q1

Time Warner's Q1: Buy or Sell on the News?

TWX earningsTime Warner (TWX), a media entity whose competitors include Disney (DIS), News Corp. (NWS), and Viacom (VIA), reported first-quarter earnings on Wednesday. The stock ended up selling off, closing down 2.4% to $31.88 by the end of the session. Volume was heavy. But was the information contained within the report so bad? Or, was it simply a case of the shares reacting more to the general market weakness?

It's hard to say since you can't always be sure what's going on in the minds of the sellers. But I'll say this: The first quarter didn't look so bad to me. Net income was 61 cents per share, adjusted. Expectations were set at 48 cents per share.

Continue reading Time Warner's Q1: Buy or Sell on the News?

News Corp.'s Q3: Good Enough to Buy?

News Corp. (NWS), a media conglomerate whose colleagues include CBS (CBS), Disney (DIS), General Electric's (GE) NBC Universal, Time Warner (TWX), and Viacom (VIA), issued its Q3 report Tuesday after the bell. I thought things looked pretty good.

Net sales increased 19%, and net income calculated out to 32 cents per share; Bloomberg Businessweek says the expectation was for around 23 cents per share of profit. Very cool. If you reference the actual press release, you'll see that just about all the operating segments performed extremely well on a year-over-year basis.

Continue reading News Corp.'s Q3: Good Enough to Buy?

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Last updated: May 28, 2012: 10:39 AM

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