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Posts with tag next inning

Hewlett-Packard (HPQ): Tech expert sees sees 'clear value'

In Next Inning newsletter, technology stock guru Paul McWilliams sees weakness in Hewlett Packard (NYSE: HPQ) as an opportunity to buy "one of the best-managed large cap tech companies in the world."

"Following Mark Hurd's appointment as CEO back in 2005, we turned cautiously bullish on the shares. It didn't take long to realize that he was not only making the right decisions, but also executing them swiftly and effectively.

"Hurd hit the ground running, trimming fat and restructuring both internal and sales channel operations. The net results were rapidly growing sales, improved profitability and a much higher stock price.

"Now, in line with our earnings preview, Hewlett Packard announced results that were better than the consensus expectation of the covering analysts; HPQ also raised its full year guidance.

"However, the real news is the company's intention to purchase EDS for $13.9 billion. The news of the acquisition has knocked the stock down to a level that represents a clear value opportunity.

"In my view, this is a brilliant move by HPQ and that the negotiated price represents a solid value for HPQ. I believe this represents an opportunity for investors to buy one of the best-managed large cap tech companies in the world at a clear value price."

Each day, Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers the latest market commentary and favorite investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

Best Stocks for 2008: Fast growth at QuickLogic (QUIK)

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"My favorite speculative pick for 2008 is QuickLogic (NASDAQ: QUIK)," says Paul McWilliams, editor of Next Inning. "This is a swing for the fence with a potential upside substantially over 100%. However, coupled with this potential upside are significant risks that investors should carefully consider.

"QuickLogic has been a niche player in the programmable logic market for nearly two decades, but due primarily to the fact that its parts could not be erased and reprogrammed, it never developed meaningful traction. However, what worked against QuickLogic in the past is now working in its favor.

"Manufacturers of battery-powered high-end consumer devices must minimize power consumption and often require instant-on capability and desire strong copy protection -- all areas where QuickLogic excels. And, even more important for QuickLogic, these customers not only couldn't care less if a part can be reprogrammed; they don't even want to deal with programming it once.

Continue reading Best Stocks for 2008: Fast growth at QuickLogic (QUIK)

Best Stocks for 2008: 'Video changes everything' at Cisco (CSCO)

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"My top conservative idea for 2008 is Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO)," says Rusty Szurek with Next Inning.

"While the phrase has definitely lost some of its cache, the simple fact remains, 'video changes everything' and for Cisco, that's doubly true. Cisco stands to benefit from the explosive growth we're seeing today in IPTV and internet video.

"The firm will not only benefit from the specialized video equipment it obtained in its acquisition of Scientific Atlanta, but also by the higher traffic demands video places on both the internet as a whole and on business and home networks -- all markets where Cisco is far and away the world market share leader.

"Some might say that Cisco's push into dedicated video products, which range from service provider equipment to home set-top boxes to its TelePresence initiative that is visible in virtually every major corporation in the world today, is like the salty pretzels served free at your local bar.

Continue reading Best Stocks for 2008: 'Video changes everything' at Cisco (CSCO)

Best Stocks for 2008: In tune with Harmonic (HLIT)

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"My top speculative pick for 2008 is Harmonic (NASDAQ: HLIT), a beneficiary of the 'video changes everything' theme," says Rusty Szurek with Next Inning.

"Harmonic is the only broad-line pure-play video infrastructure company of meaningful size left standing in the market today. Its three primary markets are cable, satellite and the budding world of telecom video or, as it's often called, IPTV.

"There is a war raging between these three competing methods for delivering TV programming. Fortunately for Harmonic, the bullets of differentiation these three industries are using in this war are derived from products Harmonic sells.

"Satellite operators are focused on leveraging HD programming through their inherent bandwidth advantage, but need to overcome weaknesses in downloaded video-on-demand. Cable companies are leveraging their inherent advantages to deliver rich video-on-demand experiences, but must quickly overcome bandwidth limitations to keep pace with satellite's rapid deployment of HD programming.

Continue reading Best Stocks for 2008: In tune with Harmonic (HLIT)

Best Stocks for 2008: Inside Intel (INTC)

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"My favorite conservative idea for 2008 is Intel (NASDAQ: INTC), which I consider a core holding," says Paul McWilliams, editor of Next Inning.

"INTC is the number one semiconductor company in the world and if we exclude memory products, Intel manufactures more wafers on leading-edge fabrication processes than all the rest of the semiconductor industry combined.

"While its prior CEO was caught sleeping at the wheel, its new CEO, Paul Otellini, has both revitalized Intel's 'healthy sense of paranoia' and usurped the short-term architectural advantages temporarily enjoyed by its only viable competitor, Advanced Micro Devices.

"The net result is that Intel's pro forma operating profit margin has bounced back from a low of 17.7% in early 2006 to nearly 26% last quarter. Between this and the anecdotal evidence we can see in the constant barrage of advertisements we see for PCs, I think the evidence strongly suggests that Intel is again able to sell its processors at a premium when compared to Advanced Micro Devices.

Continue reading Best Stocks for 2008: Inside Intel (INTC)

Sigma Designs (SIGM): A 'blowout' quarter for media chips

"I use the term 'blowout' very sparingly," says tech expert Paul McWilliams in his Next Inning newsletter, which focuses solely on technology investing. "But even 'blowout' falls short of describing the quarter turned in by Sigma Designs (NASDAQ: SIGM)."

Indeed, the advisor notes, "I've likely described something as a 'blowout' less than ten times in the past five years. These 'waterfall' quarters don't happen often. As for Sigma, I didn't see this one coming and it's time to fix it.

"As background, SIGM makes media processor SoC (System on Chip) solutions for STB, BluRay and HD DVD, TV and various consumer devices that benefit from hooking into an IP video network.

"IPTV is an IP video network and, as a result of IPTV, we are putting these sorts of video networks in our homes. Roughly 77% of SIGM's sales last quarter were into IPTV STB applications.

"To give you an idea the magnitude of this recent surprise, SIGM's revenue for Q3 of this year (the October quarter) is closer to the forecasts most analysts had for Q4 next year than it was to what they were forecasting for the quarter just closed.

Continue reading Sigma Designs (SIGM): A 'blowout' quarter for media chips

Hewlett Packard (HPQ): 'Next Inning' bets on Hurd

Tech expert Paul McWilliams has been impressed by CEO Mark Hurd at Hewlett Packard (NYSE: HPQ). In his Next Inning newsletter, he explains, "CEO Mark Hurd arrived at Hewlett Packard nearly two years now. Since then, he has done pretty much what we, and many others, said needed to be done prior to his arrival."

He continues, "In June 2005, we explained that Hurd not only needed to make some organizational changes, but he also needed to seriously refine HPQ's global strategy. The changes since then are exactly what needed to be done to revitalize the then struggling HPQ.

"Meanwhile, the consensus for the full year, which ends this month, has been raised again; it currently stands at an impressive $2.87 per share with next year looking like $3.26.

"Even if we ignore the $4.68 that HPQ carries on its balance sheet in net tangible assets, at its current price of $51 and change, it is trading noticeably below the average price to earnings ratio of the S&P500.

"Since I think there's absolutely no doubt remaining that HPQ's CEO, Mark Hurd, has done a brilliant job of leading the company and that in the long term that HPQ will grow earnings faster than the S&P500, I see no reason that it should trade at a lesser multiple.

"Based on this thinking, my view of the midpoint for HPQ's fair value range is about $55. However, in giving myself some room for error, I've set my accumulation target at $50 and my new hedge target at $60."

Each day, Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com features the latest stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+29.8811,632.38
NASDAQ+21.922,325.88
S&P 500+5.191,282.19

Last updated: July 24, 2008: 05:25 AM

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