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Hudson City Tops Bullish Volatility Skews; Xcel Energy Tops Bearish

On Wednesday, Investors pushed call option prices higher in the savings & loan industry and pushed put option prices higher in the electric utilities industry.

Any time the volatility skews above 1.00, it is an indication that calls are more expensive than puts. Typically, when calls are more expensive than puts, it means the demand for calls is greater than the demand for puts because investors believe the stock is going to rise in the future and they want to take advantage of that movement by buying calls.

The opposite is also true. Any time a volatility skews below 1.00, it is an indication that puts are more expensive than calls.

Bullish Volatility Skews

- Hudson City Bancorp, Inc. (HCBK)---part of the Savings & Loans industry---came in at the top with a volatility skew of 1.13. This may come as a surprise as HCBK is down -6.89 percent for the past month.

Continue reading Hudson City Tops Bullish Volatility Skews; Xcel Energy Tops Bearish

Analyst Calls: ARNA, ATLS, BJ, CTVI, FO, GRMN, IRET, NI, NS, SWN, VMI ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Goldman Sachs upgraded BJ's Wholesale (BJ) to neutral from sell and has a $43 target on the stock. Note that private equity firm Green Equity took a 9.5% stake in the company. Shares were also upgraded at Jefferies to buy from hold.
  • Stephens upgraded Covenant Transportation (CVTI) to overweight from equal weight after the company positively preannounced Q2 results. The firm raised its target for shares to $12 from $5.
  • Leerink upgraded Arena Pharmaceuticals (ARNA) to outperform from market perform after the company signed a partnership deal with Eisai for U.S. commercialization rights to lorcaserin. The firm believes the deal removes a major concern and upped its target for shares to $6 from $5.
  • Fortune Brands (FO) was upgraded to hold from sell at Citigroup.
  • KeyBanc upgraded NiSource (NI) to buy from hold.
  • Akzo Nobel (AKZOY) was upgraded to buy from neutral at UBS.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: ARNA, ATLS, BJ, CTVI, FO, GRMN, IRET, NI, NS, SWN, VMI ...

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: BAC, FITB, RTP, SYMC, MS, T, VZ ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Morgan Stanley said Bank of America's (NYSE: BAC) capital needs are largely known and shares are trading "cheaply despite reduced downside risk." The firm upgraded shares to Overweight from Underweight and raised the price target to $25 from $16. Shares were also upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Baird citing manageable capital needs and attractive risk/reward.
  • Keefe Bruyette upgraded Fifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ: FITB) to Outperform from Market Perform on valuation as it views the stock as inexpensive despite the recent rally. The firm has an $8 target on the stock.
  • Banc of America/Merrill upgraded Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERIC) to Buy from Neutral as it believes fewer hedging losses could bring upside over the next few quarters.
  • Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP) was raised to Overweight from Neutral at Barclays.
  • EnerNOC (NASDAQ: ENOC) was lifted to Buy from Neutral at Janney Montgomery.
  • Westpac Banking (NYSE: WBK) was upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Credit Suisse.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: BAC, FITB, RTP, SYMC, MS, T, VZ ...

Analyst downgrades 7-24-07: AXP, GSF, NFLX, TIVO and WSM

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Netflix (NFLX), NiSource (NI), TiVo (TIVO), Williams-Sonoma (WSM) and KLA-Tencor (KLAC) were today's more noteworthy downgrades:
  • Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) was cut to Hold from Buy at Needham to reflect the lowered subscriber guidance and their belief that things can get worse before getting better. Shares were also downgraded at Cowen, to Neutral from Outperform, and Lehman, to Equal Weight from Overweight.
  • NiSource (NYSE: NI) was cut to Underweight from Equal Weight at Lehman based on the expected increases in interest expense and taxes.
  • TiVo (NASDAQ: TIVO) was downgraded to Short from Sell at SMH Capital and believes the current valuation now reflects 20% penetration of the Comcast Corp (CMCSK)-owned digital sub base for the joint venture product bundle, which the firm considers aggressive. In addition, the firm believes TiVo's new pricing structure doesn't add much value.
  • Matrix cut Williams-Sonoma (NYSE: WSM) to Sell from Hold on valuation and deteriorating operating results.
  • Citigroup downgraded shares of KLA-Tencor (NASDAQ: KLAC) to Hold from Buy on valuation as they see risk to 2H07 estimates due to slower near-term cost savings and higher integration costs...
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Merrill downgraded Wyeth (NYSE: WYE) to Neutral from Buy.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 10, 2012: 07:06 PM

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