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<generator>Blogsmith http://www.blogsmith.com/</generator><item><title><![CDATA[Market to tumble on bad economic stats]]></title><link>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/09/05/market-to-tumble-on-bad-economic-stats/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/09/05/market-to-tumble-on-bad-economic-stats/</guid><comments>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/09/05/market-to-tumble-on-bad-economic-stats/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/major-movement/" rel="tag">Major Movement</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/international-markets/" rel="tag">International Markets</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/forecasts/" rel="tag">Forecasts</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/indices/" rel="tag">Indices</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/marketmatters/" rel="tag">Market Matters</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/mandftoday/" rel="tag">Money and Finance Today</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/economic-data/" rel="tag">Economic Data</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/djia/" rel="tag">DJIA</a></p><p><img hspace="4" border="1" align="right" vspace="4" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.bloggingstocks.com/media/2007/10/arrow_down_down_240.jpg" alt="" />The U.S. market is driving the world -- whose <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/06/business/worldbusiness/06asia.html?hp">stock indices plunged</a> after yesterday's 345 Dow rout. But what does today bring? A chance for recovery or further devastation depending on whether reported economic statistics are better or worse than economists expect. Early reports are bad.</p>
<p>Here are the reports to watch, and what analysts had been expecting according to <a href="http://money.cnn.com/2008/09/05/markets/stockswatch/index.htm"><em>CNNMoney</em></a>:</p>
<ul>
    <li><strong>Job cuts -</strong> Economists expected 75,000 lost jobs, but the 8:30am report was <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=aklRMKFpGM_Y&amp;refer=home">84,000 lost jobs</a> -- worse than expected. </li>
    <li><strong>Unemployment rate -</strong> They had forecast the jobless rate to stay the same at 5.7%, but economists were wrong on this one too and unemployment rose to <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/06/business/economy/06econ.html?_r=1&amp;hp&amp;oref=slogin">6.1%</a>. </li>
    <li><strong>Hours worked </strong>- Economists anticipated the hour work week wouldn't change from July at 33.7, and they were right.</li>
    <li><strong>Change in hourly earnings -</strong> Economists saw a 0.3% increase in the hourly wage, the same as July, but hourly wages rose 0.4%. Some may interpret this as inflationary pressure, but the increase is likely not enough to increase consumer spending either.</li>
</ul>
In general, these statistics suggest consumers are less able to spend money. Since initial numbers suggest things are worse than had been anticipated, stocks could plunge, causing policymakers to meet this weekend to try to hatch another plan to boost investor confidence for announcement on Sunday night.
<p><em>Peter Cohan is President of</em> <a href="http://petercohan.com/"><em><font color="#0072bc">Peter S. Cohan &amp; Associates</font></em></a><em>. He also </em><a href="http://www3.babson.edu/Academics/Divisions/management/facultyprofile.cfm?pageid=391236"><em><font color="#0072bc">teaches management at Babson College</font></em></a><em> and edits </em><a href="http://petercohan.blogspot.com/2007/01/cohan-letter-up-15-in-2006.html"><em><font color="#0072bc">The Cohan Letter</font></em></a><a href="http://petercohan.blogspot.com/2007/01/cohan-letter-up-15-in-2006.html"><em><the cohan="" letter=""></the></em></a><em>. </em></p><p style="padding:5px;background:#ddd;border:1px solid #ccc;clear:both;"><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/09/05/market-to-tumble-on-bad-economic-stats/">Market to tumble on bad economic stats</a> originally appeared on <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com">BloggingStocks</a> on Fri, 05 Sep 2008 09:15:00 EST.  Please see our <a href="http://www.weblogsinc.com/feed-terms/">terms for use of feeds</a>.</p><h6 style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;"></h6><a href=http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=aklRMKFpGM_Y&amp;refer=home>Read</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/09/05/market-to-tumble-on-bad-economic-stats/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/forward/1305390/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/09/05/market-to-tumble-on-bad-economic-stats/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a>]]></description><category>economic data</category><category>EconomicData</category><category>inthenews</category><category>no-farm payroll</category><category>No-farmPayroll</category><category>nonfarm payroll</category><category>NonfarmPayroll</category><category>unemployment</category><dc:creator><![CDATA[Peter Cohan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 05 Sep 2008 09:15:00 EST</pubDate></item></channel></rss>
