Analyst Upgrades

• Kaufman Bros. upgraded Vancelnfo (VIT) to buy from hold, citing better earnings visibility. The firm raised its target price for shares to $26 from $22.
• Janney Montgomery upgraded Progressive (PGR) to buy from neutral with an $18.50 price target, citing valuation and market share gains.
• JPMorgan upgraded Marriott (MAR) to overweight from neutral. The firm has a $36 price target on the stock.
• eBay (EBAY) was upgraded to outperform from neutral at Credit Suisse.
• Werner Enterprises (WERN) was upgraded to neutral from underperform at Credit Suisse.
• CNOOC (CEO) was upgraded to neutral from underperform at Macquarie.

Analyst Upgrades

• Deutsche Bank upgraded Southern Copper (SCCO) to buy from hold to reflect valuation and positive near-term catalysts. The firm raised its target for shares to $38 from $35.
• JMP Securities upgraded Ultimate Software (ULTI) to outperform from market perform. The firm cites the company's expanding employee base for the upgrade. The firm has a $40 target on the stock.
• Piper Jaffray upgraded Aeropostale (ARO) to neutral from underweight following the company's Q4 results and raised its target for shares to $31 from $24.
• Kennametal (KMT) was upgraded to sell from conviction sell at Goldman.
• Lifetime Brands (LCUT) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at Barrington.
• Volvo (VOLVY) was upgraded to overweight from underweight at JPMorgan.

Analyst Upgrades

• Oppenheimer upgraded Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) to outperform from perform as it finds the risk/reward on shares attractive and believes the company's Q4 results and easing comparisons could serve as positive catalysts. The firm set a $46 price target on shares.
• Bernstein upgraded 3M Company (MMM) to outperform from market perform based on expectations the company will continue to beat and raise guidance and that the organic growth rate will continue to improve. The firm raised its target to $99 from $90.
• Roth Capital expects Nvidia (NVDA) to benefit from its new GPU platform Fermi in Q1, resulting in a PC business recovery. Additionally, the firm, which upgraded shares to buy from hold and has a $21 target, expects Nvidia to offset Intel (INTC) declines by selling low-end GPUs compatible with Intel's Pinetrail and Westmere platforms.
• Syngenta (SYT) was upgraded to buy from hold at Collins Stewart.
• Cameron (CAM) was raised to overweight from neutral at HSBC.
• Sigma-Aldrich (SIAL) was lifted to outperform from neutral at Baird.

Analyst upgrades:

• Deutsche Bank upgraded T. Rowe Price (TROW) to buy from hold due to valuation and solid core trends. The firm raised its target on shares to $57 from $55. Note the firm downgraded Franklin Resources to hold from buy (see below).
• KeyBanc upgraded U.S. Steel (X) to buy from hold based on stable domestic cost environment in 2010 and likelihood of sustained higher spot pricing. The firm has a $65 target on shares.
• Goldman upgraded Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ) to buy from neutral, citing oil leverage, sizable resource base and free cash flow. The firm raised its target to $90 from $88.
• Darden (DRI) was upgraded to buy from neutral at UBS.
• Carnival (CCL) was upgraded to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan.
• AmerisourceBergen (ABC) was upgraded to overweight from equal weight at Barclays.

Analyst upgrades:

• Citigroup upgraded Vistaprint (VPRT) to buy from hold on valuation following the recent pullback in shares. The firm also raised its price target on the stock to $62 from $55.
• Fox-Pitt upgraded Eaton Vance (EV) to outperform from in line citing strong fundamentals. The firm raised its target to $36 from $34.
• Stifel Nicolaus upgraded Hospitality Properties (HPT) to buy from hold citing valuation and expected cash dividend in 2010. The firm has a $22 target on the stock.
• The Advisory Board (ABCO) was upgraded to overweight from equal weight at First Analysis.
• Technip (TKPPY) was upgraded to outperform from neutral at Credit Suisse.
• Jefferies upgraded Energy XXI (EXXI) to hold from underperform and raised its target to $2 from $1.

Analyst upgrades:

• Citigroup upgraded Robert Half (NYSE: RHI) to Hold from Sell following the company's Q2 results, believing the worst may be behind the company. Citi raised its target on shares to $24 from $18.
• Goldman upgraded AnnTaylor (NYSE: ANN) to Buy from Neutral and raised its target to $13 from $6.50, citing improved merchandising and inventories.
• Baird upgraded TrueBlue (NYSE: TBI) to Outperform from Underperform and raised its target to $12 from $9, citing the better-than-expected Q2 report and guidance, strong balance sheet, and valuation.
• F5 Networks (NASDAQ: FFIV) was upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at BofA/Merrill.
• Credit Suisse (NYSE: CS) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank.
• Sanmina (NASDAQ: SANM) was upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Credit Suisse.

The dealmaking is heating up in the nuclear sector. Today, Exelon Corp (NYSE: EXC) upped its hostile bid by 12% for NRG Energy (NYSE: NRG). This new price tag translates into a valuation of $7.45 billion.

The wrangling between the companies has gone on for roughly eight months. In fact, hostile deals can be time-consuming (in some cases, lasting a couple years).

Something else: Exelon has indicated that this is the "best and final offer." Apparently, the company has realized new cost savings, which justifies the higher valuation.

Analyst upgrades:

• Stephens upgraded The Andersons (NASDAQ: ANDE) to Overweight from Equal Weight on expectations the company is benefiting from good space income opportunities and better ethanol profitability. The firm raised its target price to $31 from $28.
  
• Jefferies upgraded NRG Energy (NYSE: NRG) to Buy from Hold as the analyst believes Exelon (NYSE: EXC) will have to materially raise its offer to close the acquisition. The firm raised its target on shares to $25 from $22.50.
  
• FBR Capital upgraded FMC Technologies (NYSE: FTI) to Outperform from Market Perform after meeting with management to reflect the company's 2011 growth potential. The firm raised its target on shares to $51.
• J. Sainsbury (OTC: JSAIY) was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley.
  
• SVB Financial (NASDAQ: SIVB) and Fulton Financial (NASDAQ: FULT) were upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital.

U.S. stock futures were higher Monday morning, indicating stocks could rise at the open after China Sunday announced a $585 billion stimulus package, which includes tax cuts and infrastructure spending. This cause world markets to climb as well as commodities. Oil followed stock markets and jumped above $64 a barrel. Another boost to stocks was further aid from the government to AIG.

[Update 8:25: Circuit City Stores Inc. (NYSE: CC) filed for bankruptcy. Shares are down 52% in premarket trading to 12 cents.]

American International Group (NYSE: AIG) -- The government on Monday provided new financial assistance to the troubled insurance giant, including pouring $40 billion into the company in return for partial ownership. Altogether, AIG got around $150 billion. AIG shares are shooting up over 21% in premarket trading.

General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM), Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) and Chrysler are also moving closer to a bailout as Obama's chief of staff, Rahm Emanuel, called the industry an "essential" part of the U.S. economy. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said that the administration should consider expanding the $700 billion financial industry bailout to include car companies. With this kind of support, still undecided is the size and timing of any aid. GM shares are up 2.3% (it was hit by a downgrade from Barclays) and Ford shares are up nearly 5% in premarket trade. [Update 9:10: as expected, with the GM downgrade, it is down over 10% in premarket trading, Ford is only slightly down thought]

NRG Energy Inc. (NYSE: NRG) on Sunday rejected an unsolicited $6.1 billion all-stock bid from nuclear power giant and utility operator Exelon Corp. (NYSE: EXC), calling it too low. NRG shares jumped 6.8% in premarket trading.

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the sellers are in control, and without dividend protection, we have no floor.

The bad stuff is in the market. It just has to get more in. That's all. That's the conclusion you have to reach when you see companies like Terex (NYSE: TEX) (Cramer's Take), which is valued at only a billion and a half dollars, or Joy Global (NASDAQ: JOYG) (Cramer's Take) at $2 billion and change or McDermott (NYSE: MDR) (Cramer's Take) at $3 billion.

In other words, forget about the stock prices. They are almost all absurd unless we are headed into a recession of such magnitude that companies start showing severe losses in the first quarter. Think about the market cap size. If Terex, which is actually a pretty good machinery company, can sell at a billion and a half dollars -- about the price that some acquisitive company might have paid for a division of Terex a year ago -- why can't it sell at $1 billion? How about $800 million? What's to stop it? The sellers at this point obviously don't even care about it, not one bit. They just want money. The buyers have had their heads twisted off and don't want anything more to do with it. No one wants to recommend it because the estimates are too high. And without a dividend, it has no protection; besides, people might perceive that the dividend can't be paid -- a la Freeport (NYSE: FCX) (Cramer's Take) -- and sell it anyway.

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says you can game the psychology of the market if you want, but know the rules.

I see the plan: Every day that the market looks like it is going down we give $10 billion to some bank! It is sure-fire. Did you notice the momentary weakness in France Monday? Quick, cut checks to BNP, SocGen and Agricole. Why not? When ING (NYSE: ING) (Cramer's Take) looked like it was a disaster, giving $13 billion to that one-time conservative bank turned all of Europe around!

Monday, when there was a moment that we looked weak, when it looked like we were going to go from plus 200 to below 100, Treasury let it be known that there is a whole other round of checks coming for the second-tier players. Who knows? Boom. That plus higher oil prices turned the market around in the upside-down world we are now in! No doubt soon Downey (NYSE: DSL) (Cramer's Take) and BankUnited (NASDAQ: BKUNA) (Cramer's Take) might get checks and then everything will go higher.

Oh, and on top of that, we have a new stimulus plan, one specially designed, no doubt, to move Target (NYSE: TGT) (Cramer's Take) back to its moving average and get Macy's (NYSE: M) (Cramer's Take) off the critical list.

Today was another strong day in the market, which may be mostly credited to Ben Bernanke giving a carte blanche for another economic stimulus package in his testimony this morning. We saw a rise in California home buying, but that was credited to foreclosure purchases at far lower prices.

Below are today's unofficial closing bell levels:
DJIA 9,265.43 +413.21 +4.67%
S&P500 985.38 +44.83 +4.77%
NASDAQ 1,770.03 +58.74 +3.43%
10YR T-Bond 3.886% (-0.052%)
Top ANALYST UPGRADES
52-Week Lows

Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO) traded higher by about 2% in pre-market after its rating was raised to Outperform from Market Perform at Morgan Keegan. The firm believes orders are holding up better than many suspect. Another reason for the upgrade was forward valuation levels. Shares closed up almost 6% at $18.96 today.

Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM) traded up 10% today to close at $74.99 as part of a broad oil-sector upgrade at Oppenheimer after recent weakness, and as oil prices recovered throughout the day.

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says this is the first real deal to take advantage of the new low prices of this era.

Editor's note: Jim Cramer will present his 2009 stock outlook for the first time at TheStreet.com Investment Conference on Saturday, Oct. 25. Limited seating. Act now.

The Exelon (NYSE: EXC) (Cramer's Take) bid for NRG Energy (NYSE: NRG) (Cramer's Take) is what we need to see if we are going to find terra firma. We need to see healthy companies with good balance sheets going after other healthy companies that have balance sheets that won't let them do well.

If there were no credit crunch, NRG -- like Constellation Energy (NYSE: CEG) (Cramer's Take) before it -- would be doing just fine. In fact, you would be wondering what the heck it was doing so low. Reliant Energy (NYSE: RRI) (Cramer's Take) and Mirant (NYSE: MIR) (Cramer's Take) also fit the same pattern. These are all companies that need ready access to capital, and it doesn't exist right now.

NRG has a pro-nuke history and so does Exelon. Nuclear power has taken on an almost holy image in this country if the plants are already built because you simply can't afford to build new ones. NRG is one of the few utilities in the whole country that is trying to build plants, something that would be fabulous for Exelon and NRG's shareholders alike. It's a great match.

Exelon (NYSE: EXC) offered to buy NRG Energy (NYSE: NRG) for $6.2 billion or 0.485 of an EXC share for each NRG shares, which is worth about $26.43 for each NRG share. EXC, the biggest U.S. operator of nuclear power plants, closed at $54.50. EXC November option implied volatility of 75 is above its 26-week average of 75 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

NRG, a generation company with annual revenues of $5.9 billion, closed at $19.33. NRG November option implied volatility of 133 is above its 26-week average of 42 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Volatility Index S&P 500 Options-VIX at 70.33; 10-day moving average is 61.44.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

U.S. stock futures jumped higher Monday morning as investors gain more confidence in the different government actions taken to stabilize financial markets. Global shares advanced overnight following measures taken worldwide. Indeed, the three-month U.S. dollar LIBOR, a measure of the rate at which banks lend to each other, dropped to 4.06% from 4.42%.

Also, investors will be keeping an eye on Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke testimony before the House Budget Committee on the economic outlook and financial markets at 10:00 am EST, same time as the release of the September leading indicators.

As OPEC prepares for a production cut and oil rose to above $74 per barrel, earnings season on Wall Street continues in full swing this week:

• Ericsson AB (NASDAQ: ERIC) shares are rising over 18% in pre-market trading after it posted a better-than-expected third-quarter profit due to cost cut measures and a sales surge.
• Mattel Inc. (NYSE: MAT) reported third-quarter results this morning. Mattel's income rose, but not enough and it missed expectations.
• Hasbro (NYSE: HAS) reported a 14% drop in third-quarter profit, but it beat expectations.
• Halliburton (NYSE: HAL) swung to a loss in the third quarter, but managed to beat earnings expectations by a penny excluding charges. Revenue in the quarter rose 24%.
• SanDisk (NASDAQ: SNDK), American Express (NYSE: AXP) and Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) report third-quarter results after the closing bell.