Slim Down for Summer with That's Fit

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Posts with tag ntdoy

Sony and the debacle known as PlayStation 3

Man, it stinks to be Sony (NYSE: SNE). According to Forbes, the media company has lost $3.3 billion on its PlayStation 3 console so far. Wow. When the mighty fall, they fall hard. The PlayStation 3 is a heck of a powerful system, but the Nintendo (OTC: NTDOY) Wii has captivated players not only with its innovative nature, but with its affordable price. Right from the start, Nintendo decided to go with less costly components so that each console sold would generate a profit. Its retail price of $250 is a lot better than $500 to a consumer's wallet, especially when a cheaper system is also a lot of fun.

And talk about a hit to PlayStation's brand equity. Here's what most people think about the third PlayStation (from my experience at least): it doesn't have a lot of games available, there aren't many kid-friendly titles offered, I don't want to pay that much for a PlayStation system so I'll just wait for further price cuts. Boy, imagine if Sony has to cut the price even further. Sony already loses a bundle on each system.

Not only is Nintendo hurting Sony, but Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and its Xbox 360 is also out there causing damage. You can pick up a low-end version of the Xbox 360 without a hard drive for around $280. Too bad Sony decided to incorporate Blu-ray and hard drives into its business model for the PlayStation 3. Admittedly, I thought it was the right thing to do at the time as well, but I guess Sony and I have been proven wrong.

Continue reading Sony and the debacle known as PlayStation 3

Investing in brain health

brainSpurred by a near epidemic occurrence of brain-degenerating conditions as we age, people of all ages and backgrounds are stepping up their personal efforts to improve and maintain their brain health. According to a story in USA Today, sales of brain fitness software reached nearly $230 million in 2007. USA Today stated, "SharpBrains, (a market research firm) estimates the brain fitness software market will reach $2 billion in 2015 in the United States."

Prudent investment strategy might include a speculative foray into this popular and growing field. In light of this, you may wish to pay heed to blogger Steven Mallas, and read his take on Activision (NASDAQ: ATVI).

First on the list for brain maintenance is physical activity, which probably accounts for the outstanding sales of Nintendo's Wii Fit. from Nintendo Ltd. (OTC: NTDOY). Active lives promote healthy blood circulation, which helps to feed steady amounts of oxygen to the hungry brain. Good hard work, cardiovascular exercise and even regular sexual activity can all help to keep your heart pumping adequate levels of oxygen into your brain.

Continue reading Investing in brain health

Activision reached a new 52-week high -- how high is it going?

At least one of my stocks is doing pretty well in this terrible, depressing market environment. Activision (NASDAQ: ATVI) hit a new 52-week high of $36.84 on Tuesday. It closed a little below that, but it was a great, high-volume day for the stock, one that saw the shares rise almost 5%.

Yes, with the Dow Jones index shedding 100 points, with every other stock in my portfolio in the red, including MFA (NYSE: MFA), which closed down to $6.66 -- the number of the beast, my friends -- Activision not only held its own, but it powered higher. Perhaps it's due to the new Guitar Hero game coming out for the DS. Perhaps there's a new wave of excitement over the merger now that investors are receiving their documents (I just got mine the other day, a big book full of wonderful information about the Activision/Vivendi agreement). No matter, though, it was Activision's day, since competitors Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: ERTS) and Take-Two Interactive (NASDAQ: TTWO) were down Tuesday, and THQ (NASDAQ: THQI) closed up only four measly pennies.

I love this price action, and I think it might be predicting a prosperous Q4 holiday season for the company, which will eventually be called Activision Blizzard after the merger. I'm also hoping the action indicates that the stock will be reasonably stable during the summer, which I think is going to be rough on the markets as oil and inflation headlines dominate the tape.

Continue reading Activision reached a new 52-week high -- how high is it going?

May was another merry month for the video-game industry

Take-Two Interactive's (NASDAQ: TTWO) Grand Theft Auto IV game stole the number-one position on the software sales chart for May, according to data from market research firm NPD. It sold over 1.3 million copies last month, and it has moved over 4 million since it hit the street. I figured Take-Two would be taking the top slot here, but the big question on my mind pertained to how Nintendo's (OTC: NTDOY) Wii system would do in May. After all, the fad has to wear out at some point, right? At some magical juncture, either Sony's (NYSE: SNE) PlayStation 3 or Microsoft's (NASDAQ: MSFT) Xbox 360 will displace the Wii and become the top-selling system of the month.

Well, that hasn't happened yet. The Wii sold the most, moving 675,000 systems. That was more than three times the amount of consoles sold by PlayStation 3. And as for the Xbox 360, that came in dead last, moving only 187,000 units. All told, total video-game sales, including hardware and games, increased 37% year-over-year. Yep, video games are still hot.

I'm going to predict that the Wii Fit will be the top-selling game package for the month of June. This thing is flying off the shelves in my area, even at $90 (apparently, high fuel costs aren't hurting Nintendo's clientele). Does that mean that Nintendo might make for a good short-term trade? Maybe, but I'd prefer buying it safely below $60 per share. As of this writing, it's trading well above $60 per share. I continue to hold Activision (NASDAQ: ATVI) as my play on video games, and will be keeping Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: ERTS) in the back of my mind as August approaches, since that will be when the new Madden game arrives in stores. Not sure if that's worthy of a trade yet.

Disclosure: I own Activision; positions can change at any time.

Nintendo's Wii Fit sold out everywhere. News flash: Gaming is red-hot.

After preparing to see if Nintendo Ltd.'s (OTC: NTDOY) Wii Fit game would fly off the shelves once it was released yesterday in the U.S., there was no disappointment to be had. That is, the Wii Fit was sold out at 11 different stores in my area by noon on the day of release. You'd think this was holiday shopping time or something, yes?

The Wii Fit, which comes with a game disc and a unique exercise "board" with sensors and all kinds of feedback, is geared towards exercise routines more than playing games. But, the unit does both -- it's a game that's masquerading as an exercise game. Just like the Wii Sports game that ships for free with every Nintendo Wii gaming system sold, exercise is the key to Nintendo's strategy with the Wii, even though it sells standard fantasy games as well.

But, the sheer insanity of word-of-mouth marketing and media coverage showed itself yesterday, as I visited no less than 11 different retail stores, from Wal-Mart, Inc. (NYSE: WMT) to Best Buy, Inc. (NYSE: BBY) to Circuit City Stores, Inc. (NYSE: CC). There was not a Wii Fit to be found. In fact, two of the Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT) locations told me that all Wii Fit stock had sold within 10 minutes of the store's opening that morning. It seems Nintendo may continue to dominate the current gaming systems for quite a while.

April video-game sales show Nintendo is still very 'fit'

Another month has gone by, and in the world of video games, the story remains the same. I have been very impressed with the resilience of the Nintendo (OTC: NTDOY) franchise. This Wii "fad" just continues on and on. According to data from marketing-research firm The NPD Group, last month, the Wii system sold over 714,000 units, and the Nintendo DS moved over 414,000 units. Game systems by Sony (NYSE: SNE) and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) were left far, far in the dust. The Associated Press said all other major systems couldn't even reach 200,000 in terms of unit sales.

And now, this week will bring a potentially big catalyst for the Wii. The Wii Fit device, which is an electronic exercise program designed to take full advantage of every innovative nuance offered by the console, is expected to be a huge hit. I can almost guarantee that it will be, as I personally have heard a lot of buzz over it and, on an anecdotal level, I know a lot of people intend to pick it up when it is released. I don't think it's going to fail, even at the relatively high price point of around $90.

I'm not, however, going to buy any Nintendo stock based on the coming excitement this week, even though I think the shares have a great chance of popping. I've owned Nintendo in the past and made money on it, and I'm always thinking about when to re-enter, but for now, I am staying on the sidelines. For me, it feels like too much of a risk in terms of investors selling on the news once the Wii Fit is out. I could be wrong, of course; in fact, Nintendo's ADR's closed up a buck to settle at $72.50 per share on Friday. That puts it not too far away from the 52-week high. But, as much as I love the video-game sector -- I own shares of Activision (NASDAQ: ATVI), in fact -- and as much I recognize Nintendo's dominance over the PlayStation 3 and the Xbox 360, I'm going to sit this one out.

Disclosure: I owns shares of Activision; positions can change at any time.

Activision heeds its call of duty to beat expectations

No matter how you slice it, whether you look at GAAP or non-GAAP statistics, Activision, Inc. (NASDAQ: ATVI) kicked it during the quarter. And I mean really kicked it.

Net sales for Q4 set off at warp factor 11, rising 93% to $602.5 million. Earnings per diluted share on a reported basis came in at $0.14, reversing a year-ago loss of $0.05 per share. For the full fiscal year, Activision grew revenues by 92% -- again, sales growth in the 90's! -- to $2.9 billion. Earnings per diluted share were $1.10 in 2008 versus a measly $0.28 in 2007. Take that, Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ: ERTS) and THQ Inc. (NASDAQ: THQI)! Activision is truly taking advantage of consoles from Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT), Sony Corporation (NYSE: SNE), and Nintendo Co. Ltd. (OTC: NTDOY). Titles such as Call of Duty 4, Guitar Hero, and Transformers drove the results -- like I always say, it's always about the quality of the slate. On an adjusted basis, earnings beat expectations by a whopping $0.12, according to Briefing.com.

I bet EA is really wishing its deal went through for Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (NASDAQ: TTWO) right about now! I believe Activision will continue to do well the rest of the year, and I love its fundamentals, but what about the stock? As of this writing, it's up about 3%. If you are looking to trade Activision, I'd probably wait until all the earnings excitement is over and be patient for pullbacks as the market may perceive that everything is priced in at the moment now that the news is out.

Disclosure: I own shares in Activision; positions can change at any time.

Battle of the Brands: Nintendo Wii vs. Sony PlayStation 3

This post is part of our Battle of the Brands feature. Let us know which brand you prefer, and check out other Battle of the Brands posts.

The Nintendo Ltd. (OTC: NTDOY) Wii and Sony Corp. (NYSE: SNE) PlayStation 3 were released within two weeks of each other, in November of 2006, as the latter two of the three "seventh generation" home video-game consoles, with the Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) Xbox 360, released a year earlier, being the third. Now, a year and a half later, let's review how the two gaming machines stand up to each other.

Out of the gate, the Wii was a hit. It broke sales records, led by its revolutionary controller and Wii Sports, a silly mini-game compilation that came packaged with the console. The focus of the system was more on its unique game play, which Nintendo hoped would draw casual gamers, than its intense graphics abilities. The gamble paid off, as the Wii surpassed the Xbox 360, which was released earlier, as the top-selling console in September 2007.

The PlayStation 3 had no such luck at the start. The console's strategy, like the Xbox 360's, revolved around graphics, which made the system more expensive -- $499 for the basic PS3 at launch was double the Wii's $249 launch price. Sony also decided to intertwine the fate of the console with that of the next generation DVD technology the company backed, the Blu-ray disc. However, the release of the PS3 slightly predated the high-definition craze, and so having a Blu-ray player was not an important enough selling point to help the console at launch. Another issue for the PS3 at launch was the lack of a cornerstone franchise for the system. Xbox had Halo, and Nintendo, with its deep video-game roots, had Zelda, Mario, and Metroid. Without a "must buy" game or franchise, Sony was left out, and its PlayStations stayed on the shelves.

Continue reading Battle of the Brands: Nintendo Wii vs. Sony PlayStation 3

Will video games help Blockbuster (BBI)?

I'm not a huge fan of Blockbuster (NYSE: BBI), but I do concede that I think the movie renter is on to something with its latest move. According to this brief AP piece, Blockbuster wants to leverage the current video game console cycle to add value for its shareholders. Management intends to increase its presence in this sector by adding more hardware, software and accessories dedicated to consoles from Sony (NYSE: SNE), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Nintendo (OTC: NTDOY) to its locations.

This would be wise. I think all retailers should have a comprehensive and well-defined strategy when it comes to video games -- why let GameStop (NYSE: GME) have all the fun? Blockbuster should really go all out on this form of leisure entertainment and aggressively pursue this potential area of growth. Kids -- and teenagers and adults, for that matter -- love to try before they buy when it comes to game software.

Management has to realize, however, that it's not enough to just expand its video game sections; oh no. Indeed, some heavy branding and promotional initiatives are definitely required to convince consumers that Blockbuster is a go-to place for rental/buying needs related to PlayStation 3, Xbox 360, Wii and the Nintendo DS. I haven't thought of Blockbuster as a place to rent video games for a long time now (I also haven't thought about Blockbuster in general, since there aren't any close to me anymore).

So, yes, Blockbuster should do what it can to hitch onto the hot video game growth curve. This is a much, much better idea than buying Circuit City (NYSE: CC), I can tell you that. (For more on that debacle, check out Zac Bissonnette's recent post on the subject.)

Disclosure: I don't own shares in any of the companies mentioned here; positions can change at any time.

Earnings highlights: Microsoft, Yahoo!, Apple, Amazon, Texas Instruments and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Microsoft, Yahoo!, Apple, Amazon, Texas Instruments and others

Nintendo scores earnings power-up, but can you possibly buy the stock here?

I'd like to own Nintendo (OTC: NTDOY), but there are a couple things that bother me about the current chapter of its amazing story. First, let me take a look at a report about the video-game juggernaut's earnings.

According to The New York Times, Nintendo's profit number was one for the record books. Sales soared to the sky, rocketing 73% to over $16 billion. Net profit also went ballistic -- in a good way -- by about 48%, coming in at $2.5 billion. Yeah, the Wii console was a big driver, but don't forget that little handheld wonder called the Nintendo DS -- people sometimes miss that part of the tale, and they shouldn't. The DS sold over 30 million units on a global basis during the fiscal year, while the Wii sold over 18 million units. Yep, Sony (NYSE: SNE) and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) still have something to worry about, as the Wii has taken the shine away from the PlayStation 3 and the Xbox 360. The company's position in the current gaming cycle is strong, no question. And publishers like Activision (NASDAQ: ATVI) and Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: ERTS) all strive to be big supporters of Nintendo's systems.

Here are the problems, though, that I alluded to at the opening. First, as of this writing, the ADR's are, according to AOL Finance, priced at $71.14 (the ADR's don't change during the day on this quote system, as they update after the close; I'm seeing a current bid on my brokerage's quote system of $68.50, so the shares might possibly go lower tonight). This represents something of a recent run-up, so I'm not interested in chasing the stock at these levels (last time I was interested in Nintendo, there was a price drop). But, there could be a more pressing issue -- on an anecdotal level, in my area, the Wii's are currently plentiful. Has the system peaked? Hey, don't go by my anecdotal observations, but I'm just saying that, for me personally, buying Nintendo at this time is something I'd have to consider very, very carefully.

Disclosure: I own shares of Activision; positions can change at any time.

Best Buy ramping up marketing for Nintendo's Wii Fit game release

Best Buy, Inc. (NYSE: BBY), always the one to capitalize on unique marketing opportunities at every chance it gets, sees another one coming down the road very soon. The upcoming Nintendo Wii gaming title Wii Fit, which is to be released on May 17, should be one of Nintendo's hottest gaming titles of this year.

The Wii has made its mark using interactive and physical gameplay, requiring the physical involvement of the players instead of the couch potato thumb involvement of regular competitive game consoles. For that reason alone, the Wii has become immensely popular, outselling both the Sony Corp. (NYSE: SNE) Playstation 3 and the Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) Xbox 360.

Best Buy's marketing angle with the Wii Fit release happening in over a month includes some teaser ads near fitness DVDs that use Nintendo's catchy Wii slogan: "how will it move you?" The new Wii Fit game, which will include a "balance board" to help those playing the game to interact as much as possible physically, needs to have a "best outlet" for sales here in the U.S. due to its existing mass population appeal, and if Best Buy can ramp up anticipation correctly, it may become the outlet to buy the Wii Fit game title come the third week of May. That is, unless competitor Circuit City Stores, Inc. (NYSE: CC) becomes aggressive on its Wii Fit marketing -- and I don't see that happening.

THQ is not casual when it comes to casual gaming

THQ (NASDAQ: THQI) is not casual when it comes to casual gaming. What is casual gaming, you ask? It is a genre of videogaming for people who don't want to learn a bunch of button combos for a complex first-person shooter or don't possess the desire to spend fifty hours winding their way through a vast role-playing universe. And it just might be an important avenue of growth for the videogame industry, since it opens up new markets beyond the hardcore gamer. Publishers such as Activision (NASDAQ: ATVI) and Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: ERTS) know that casual-gaming strategies are important these days, as do console makers Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Sony (NYSE: SNE). Heck, Nintendo's (OTC: NTDOY) overall strategy is arguably completely casual in nature, considering the appeal of the Wii.

THQ announced the other day that it would buy Elephant Entertainment and enter into a publishing deal with Oberon Media. Both of these companies are purveyors of casual-gaming entertainment and they are meant to broaden the scope of THQ's offerings in this area. Expectations are for casual games to grow significantly over time.

It may be a smart thing for THQ to grow its casual-gaming business, but it needs to focus right now mostly on getting its main pipeline back in order. Recent delays for certain titles, as well as sagging sales of games that were supposed to do well, have caused THQ's stock to fall; in fact, THQ's recent quarter was kind of bad, in my opinion. So, yes, go after the casual market -- but remember the less-than-casual and hardcore players as well, as they are major drivers for the success of a gaming slate.

Disclosure: I own shares of Activision; positions can change at any time.

Wii users will soon have access to 'Rock Band'

If I had a dime for every time a person asked me "Is Rock Band ever coming out for the Nintendo (OTC: NTDOY) Wii?" I'd have more money than Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: ERTS) and Viacom (NYSE: VIA) combined. Seriously. Now, though, Wii fans can see the light at the end of the tunnel because Rock Band debuts on the popular platform on June 22 of this year. I don't think any gamer on the planet expected the title to not come out for the Wii.

Not only is this great news for Wii users, but it's also excellent information for shareholders of EA and Viacom. As Richard Driver pointed out, the game is a valuable asset for Viacom. EA benefits because Rock Band is the publisher's answer to Activision (NASDAQ: ATVI)'s Guitar Hero franchise. In fact, Nintendo really stands to benefit this summer from both Guitar Hero and Rock Band because a version of the former will be coming out for the Nintendo DS handheld. There's definitely going to be a rock rumble happening when the dog days are upon us, although I'd expect that Rock Band for the Wii will have a much bigger impact. That doesn't seem too hard to predict considering that music games of these types work better on consoles, in my opinion.

This is going to be one hell of a test for Activision, EA, Viacom and the Wii. Will users adopt Rock Band in droves? Will the Guitar Hero franchise be threatened? In theory, the Wii is a console for casual gamers who just like to play some tennis or a few of the extremely fun midway diversions that can be found in the awesome title Carnival Games -- will they go for something more expensive and more involved? My prediction -- Rock Band will be a hit, but it won't sell a ton of units until the holiday shopping season is upon us. Can't wait to see what happens come June. Till then, rock on, my friends!

Disclosure: I own shares of Activision; positions can change at any time.

Activision bringing 'Guitar Hero' to the DS -- I'm not so sure about this ...

I don't have to tell you how utterly, unbelievably, unequivocally popular Activision's (NASDAQ: ATVI) Guitar Hero game is. It's currently selling tons of units on the Nintendo (OTC: NTDOY) Wii, the Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) Xbox 360 and the Sony (NYSE: SNE) PlayStation platforms. It's too tough for me to play, but legions of others are having a grand old time living out their rock-and-roll fantasies.


I've been wondering for a while now if the DS would ever get a Guitar Hero game. Let's be honest -- all of us know several kids and/or adults who own one of these handhelds; they're like everywhere (and, yes, I want one too, to be frank, although I hate small game devices). I was thinking that Activision was leaving a lot of money on the table by not programming a version for Nintendo's handheld. But then I thought that a DS version would be like an insult to the image of the franchise -- how could a developer possibly capture the feel of the console iterations on the little DS? Didn't make sense to me, so I figured we'd never see a DS version.

Continue reading Activision bringing 'Guitar Hero' to the DS -- I'm not so sure about this ...

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Last updated: July 05, 2008: 06:35 PM

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