SINA Corp (NASDAQ: SINA), a Chinese online media company, is scheduled to report Q2 EPS on August 6. SINA August option implied volatility is at 78; September is at 55. SINA average option implied volatility over the last 26-weeks is 58 according to Track Data, suggesting larger August price movement.
The9 (NASDAQ: NCTY), an online game operator headquartered in Shanghai, closed at $22.73. NCTY is scheduled to report Q2 EPS on August 7. NCTY August option implied volatility is at 101, September at 81; above its 26-week average of 69, suggesting larger price movement.
NetEase (NASDAQ: NTES), an interactive online community in China, is scheduled to report Q2 EPS after the market close on August 13. NTES August option implied volatility of 70 is above its 26-week average of 45, suggesting larger price fluctuations.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
After hitting a one-year low of $13.45 in August, the stock hit a one-year high of $25.70 earlier this month. This morning, NTES opened at $23.24. So far today the stock has hit a low of $22.02 and a high of $23.52. As of 11:30, NTES is trading at $22.95, down 1.10 (-4.6%). The chart for NTES looks bullish but slightly deteriorating.
For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a June bear-call credit spread above the $25 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 4.2% return in four weeks as long as NTES is below $25 at June expiration. NetEase would have to rise by more than 9% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.
NTES hasn't been above $25 except for a few days in the past year and has shown resistance around $25.40 recently. This trade could be risky if the stock continues on its upward trend, but with their recent earnings announcement, it seems that is not likely.
DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in NTES.
The9 (NASDAQ: NCTY) implied volatility elevated into 8/29 EPS.
NCTY, an online game operator headquartered in Shanghai, is recently down $0.10 to $38.65. NCTY is expected to report EPS on 8/29/07. NCTY has a market cap of $996 million. NCTY September option implied volatility of 79 is above its 26-week average of 59 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.
SNDA, an interactive entertainment media company and operator of on line games in China, is recently up $1.56 to $30.68. SNDA has a market cap of $2.2 billion. SNDA is expected to report second quarter EPS on 8/28. SNDA September option implied volatility of 70 is above its 26-week average of 46 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.
NetEase (NASDAQ: NTES) implied volatility of 43 above 26-week average of 36.
NTES, an interactive online community in China, is recently down .10 to $16.33. NTES over all option implied volatility of 43 is above its 26-week average of 36 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.
Daily options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Lowe's (LOW), Cooper Tire & Rubber (CTB), Campbell Soup (CPB), Reuters Group (RTRSY) and Netease.com (NTES) were today's noteworthy upgrades:
JP Morgan upgraded Lowe's (NYSE: LOW) to Overweight from Neutral based on improved risk/return and conservative near-term estimates. UBS upgraded Lowe's to Buy from sell on valuation.
Cooper Tire & Rubber (NYSE: CTB) was upgraded to Buy from Sell, as the firm thinks Copper is benefiting from surging demand for tires in Asia and considers the recent weakness a buying opportunity.
UBS upgraded shares of Campbell Soup (NYSE: CPB) to Buy from Neutral, citing expected growth acceleration, productivity savings, and attractive valuation.
Deutsche Bank is positive on the Thomson (TOC)-Reuters combination and expected synergies, upgrading Reuters Group (NASDAQ: RTRSY) to Buy from Hold.
Netease.com (NASDAQ: NTES) was upgraded to Positive from Neutral at Susquehanna based on valuation and checks that indicate better than expected performance of Westward Journey Online III...
MOST NOTEWORTHY: EMC Corp (EMC), NetEase.com, Inc (NTES), Wireless Ronin Technologies (RNIN), Activision (ATVI) and GameStop Corp (GME) were today's noteworthy initiations:
BMO Capital expects upside to EMC Corp's (NYSE: EMC) June quarter estimates, but only sees limited share upside from current levels. The firm started shares with a Market Perform rating and $21 target.
Pali Research believes NetEase.com (NASDAQ: NTES) must address the discontinuity in its growth and started shares off with a Neutral rating.
Barrington expects Wireless Ronin (NASDAQ: RNIN) to benefit from growth towards broadcasting to the outdoor component of out-of-home and views the company as an emerging growth opportunity that is starting with a strong technological base and management team. The firm started shares with an Outperform rating.
First Albany initiated shares of GameStop (NYSE: GME) with a Buy rating, citing upside potential to 2008 estimates.
Activision (NASDAQ: ATVI) was also initiated at First Albany, with a Buy rating, as the firm is expecting strong results and guidance...
OTHER INITIATIONS:
Jefferies initiated Polycom (NASDAQ: PLCM) with a Buy rating.
Deutsche Bank started Zoran (NASDAQ: ZRAN) with a Buy rating.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Costco Wholesale Corp (COST), Apple Inc (AAPL), DirecTV Group, Inc (DTV) and EchoStar Communications (DISH) were today's more noteworthy upgrades:
Piper Jaffray upgraded shares of Costco Wholesale Corp (NASDAQ: COST) to Outperform from Market Perform with a $65 target to reflect valuation, improved fundamentals and hidden value in real estate.
Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) was added to American Technology's Focus List with a $145 target.
Cowen upgraded shares of DirecTV Group, Inc (NYSE: DTV) and EchoStar Communications (NASDAQ: DISH) to Neutral from Underperform citing potential cash flow growth and re-capitalization opportunities that will offset competitive risks in the near-term.
OTHER UPGRADES:
Con-Way Inc (NYSE: CNW) was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Stephens citing a tonnage rebound at the company.
Bear Stearns transferred coverage and raised its rating of Netease.com, Inc (NASDAQ: NTES) to Outperform from Peer Perform citing valuation.
Bernstein upgraded its Cardiac Rhythm Management group, which contained Boston Scientific Corp (NYSE: BSX), Medtronic, Inc (NYSE: MDT) and St. Jude Medical, Inc (NYSE: STJ), to Outperform from Market Perform. The firm cited anticipated recovery of the ICD market and easier comps for 2007 and expects the U.S. ICD market to have 10% growth compared to last year's negative growth.
JP Morgan upgraded Borland Software Corp (NASDAQ: BORL) to Overweight from Underweight, as the firm expects the company to achieve margin targets and named Borland its turnaround pick for 2007.
"There are still many years of spectacular growth ahead for China, which should culminate with the Olympics," notes Charles Payne, editor of the top-tier Wall Street Strategies newsletter. Payne is also well known from his weekly appearances on FOX TV's Bulls & Bears and FOX and Friends.
And while he cautions, "You definitely want to be out of that market when the trumpet begins playing the Olympic theme," he currently highlights select opportunities, such as his latest recommendation, NetEase.com (NASDAQ: NTES).
The company -- headquartered in Beijin -- was founded in 1997. Payne notes, "Netease operates an interactive online and wireless community in China, providing Chinese language content and services through its online games, wireless value-added services, and Internet portals."
The firm's online games business, he notes, focuses on massively multiplayer online role-playing games. In order to participate in these online games, users purchase prepaid point cards which he notes are are sold in China through wholesalers, Internet cafes, software stores, supermarkets, bookstores, newspaper stands, and convenience stores.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: General Electric Co (GE), Brocade Communications Systems Inc (BRCD) and Netease.com Inc ADS (NTES) rounded out today's more notable upgrades:
UBS upgraded General Electric Co (NYSE: GE) to Buy from Neutral with a $14 target based on valuation and expectations for strong earnings in its gas turbine business.
Brocade Communications Systems Inc (NASDAQ: BRCD) was upgraded by Goldman Sachs to Buy from Neutral with an $11 target to reflect the cost savings associated with the McData acquisition. Bear Stearns also upgraded Brocade to Outperform from Peer Perform following its Q1 report and $200 buyback; Raymond James upgraded shares to Outperform from Market Perform.
Deutsche Bank upgraded Netease.com Inc ADS (NASDAQ: NTES) to Hold from Sell with a $23 target following the company's Q4 report.
OTHER UPGRADES:
Credit Suisse upgraded Reuters Group ADS (NASDAQ: RTRSY) to Outperform from Neutral citing the company's favorable outlook.
Citigroup upgraded Moody's Corp (NYSE: MCO) to Buy from Hold with a $77 target as they believe weakness surrounding the company's quarter has created a buying opportunity.
William Blair upgraded Career Education Corp (NASDAQ: CECO) to Market Perform from Underperform.
BWS Financial upgraded shares of CuraGen Corp (NASDAQ: CRGN) to Strong Buy from Buy with an $8 target following its recent sell-off. The firm believes the concerns that CuraGen will not be able to sell its 454 Life Science stake are baseless.
Caris upgraded Marvell Technology Group (NASDAQ: MRVL) to Above Average from Average following its solid quarter as they believe Marvell has worked through the excess inventory in storage and wireless LAN. Needham also upgraded Marvell Tech to Buy from Hold with a $26 target following its Q4 results.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: OSI Restaurant Partners (OSI), D.R. Horton (DHI) and Microsoft (MSFT) top today's list of downgrades.
OSI Restaurant Partners, Inc. (NYSE:OSI) was downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Oppenheimer.
The firm believes the $40 bid is fair and the risk/reward of waiting for a deal outweighs the potential modest increases of other bids. D.R. Horton, Inc. (NYSE:DHI) was downgraded to Sell from Buy at Merrill Lynch. They expect 2007's outlook to be a negative catalyst for the homebuilder.
Bank of America resumed coverage of Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ:MSFT) with a Neutral, below their previous rating of Buy. They believe Microsoft's core earnings drivers are not all Vista-related and that given the company's valuation, sees few near-term catalysts to drive shares higher.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
C.E. Unterberg downgraded Netease.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:NTES) to Market Perform from Buy, citing a lack of near-term growth drivers after reporting weak Q3 results.
Himax Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:HIMX) was downgraded to Sell from Buy at Merrill Lynch also following the company's Q3 results.
Tribune Company (NYSE:TRB) was downgraded at A.G. Edwards to Hold from Buy. The firm said shares are trading based on a sale of the company. They believe downside risk is valued at $26-$29 with no sale and upside as much as $40 a share if the company was sold.
SINA Corp (NASDAQ: SINA), a Chinese online media company, is scheduled to report Q2 EPS on August 6. SINA August option implied volatility is at 78; September is at 55. SINA average option implied volatility over the last 26-weeks is 58 according to Track Data, suggesting larger August price movement. 
NetEase
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