The editors of All Star Investor explain, "This graphic chip manufacturer stumbled earlier this year, but we find a compelling a turnaround story." Here's his review.
"This is a difficult environment for short-term investors. When the Dow jumps up 200 points one day, and crashes 200 points the next, it's hard to tell where to turn. Calling bottoms is nearly impossible
"In this market, we have become value investors -- seeking an inexpensive company that's almost-undiscovered by mainstream investors.
"Technology is not typically known as a place for value. In fact, quite the opposite. Since the Tech crash, a shift has happened. Certain semiconductors have been hammered over the past several years -- especially in the last 12 months.
"One of those, a leader in graphics chips, has been especially beaten down. NVIDIA fell from a 52-week high of $39.67 last October. The Santa Clara-based chip designer is now trading around $12.00 today. Did it really deserve the punishment the market delivered? We don't think so.
With concerns over recession, turmoil in the financial sector, fear of rising rates, high market volatility and a rising aversion to risk, many investors have been avoiding technology stocks.
Investors have feared that these economic headwinds will dampen both consumer spending for technology products and reduced capital expenditures for technology in the corporate sector.
Despite these concerns, some of the newsletter industry's leading advisors are looking beyond the current malaise and seeing longer-term value in some of the tech sector's leading players. They believe that much of the "bad news" is already reflected in the price of the shares, with little recognition being given to their longer-term potential.
For those willing to go against the crowd and buy, as they say, "while blood is running in the street," we offer a six-pack of technology stocks that the some top advisors considers to be among their favorite ideas.
Today was another very volatile day with stocks posting triple-digit DJIA losses. Shares opened and traded lower, then recovered sharply before falling back down at the end of the day. Oil and commodities rose. Oil was up over $3.00 to over the $116 a barrel mark on soft inventory levels and reports Russia is seizing a Georgian pipeline. With gold rising almost $17.00 and the dollar falling, it almost felt like the commodity trades were coming back on. There was a drop in import prices, but that wasn't enough to keep the bears from roaring today.
Here are Wednesday's unofficial closing bell numbers:
Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) saw shares down marginally today as the stock was down 0.8% at $498.53 in the final minutes before the close. Jim Cramer interviewed Google's CEO & Chairman on CNBC today and he brought back that $750 Target.
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) turned in putrid earnings. It also announced that it would buy back a ton of its own shares.
The graphics chip company took a charge of nearly $200 million in its last quarter for product problems. Nvidia also admitted it did not see strong competition coming from rival AMD (NYSE: AMD). Nvidia lost $120 million in the quarter and revenue dropped slightly. Under most circumstances, especially in a weak market, the company's shares would be punished.
But according toThe Wall Street Journal, "On a positive note, Nvidia announced a $1 billion increase to its stock-buyback program." For a company with a market cap of only $6 billion that is a big deal.
Share buybacks often do not do much for a company's stock price, but in a market where earnings are having a rough time in most sectors, the idea that EPS can be pushed up by a falling number of shares in the float could become more attractive. It is a form of "reverse dilution," which could find a new place in a bear market.
Nvidia share shares rose 10% after hours [shares are rising 6% in premarket as of 8:10 a.m.]. It may be a signal to management at other companies that buybacks are a sign that a firm thinks its shares are undervalued. The market cares more about that than it used to.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
U.S. stock futures were mixed Wednesday ahead of retail sales, import price data and oil inventories reports. Analysts expect retail sales, to be reported at 8:30 a.m., rose 0.5% in July. Futures may find direction after the report. Meanwhile, oil futures rose ahead of the inventory report due out at 10:35 a.m., the dollar fell against some currencies and gold futures rose. [Update: Following a decline in retail sales in July, futures turned lower.]
Deere & Co. (NYSE: DE) has just reported quarterly results and shares sank 6.1% in premarket trade. The world's largest maker of farm machinery, said earnings in the latest quarter rose 7% and revenue increased 17% as soaring crop prices boosted global demand for its agricultural equipment. The company, however, missed on earnings and gave forecast that was lower than estimations.
Earnings are still due from Macy's (NYSE: M), among others.
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) shares rose 7.3% in premarket trading despite reporting a $121 million loss Tuesday. Investors liked that Nvidia announced a stock buyback of $1 billion and predicted margin improvement.
Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) also rose, up 1.2% in premarket trading after the largest maker of semiconductor-production machinery forecast better-than-estimated orders and CEO Mike Splinter said conditions will improve. Its fiscal third-quarter profit plunged 65%, but sales results beat estimates.
Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) knows that the market for basic server and PC chips will not grow as fast over the next five years as it did over the last five. The economy plus high market penetration will see to that.
So, Intel is looking to new markets to save its bacon. It has already entered the segment for relatively low-powered chips for handheld "computers." Whether that business will ultimately be large is anyone's guess.
According toThe Wall Street Journal, the world's largest chip company "is providing the first details of a chip technology that is designed to help break into new markets, starting with high-end graphics used for computer games and animation." This technology will help higher end PCs run games and video content.
With Intel's balance sheet and big share of the current PC market, the announcement could spell gigantic trouble for AMD (NYSE: AMD) and Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA). A little over two years ago AMD bought graphics chip company ATI. So far, the deal has been a bust.
Concerns that the graphics chip market could get crowded and that margins could be under pressure have already driven AMD and Nvidia to recent 52-week lows. Over the last year, Intel shares are off about 5%. Shares in the other two companies are down over 60%. With Intel coming into the market, that could actually get worse.
Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) shares fell today with most other tech stocks after Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) lowered its second-quarter revenue outlook to a range between $875 million and $950 million, well below analysts' expectations of $1.1 billion. NVDA cited end-market weakness for the lower forecast, which could be a bad sign for INTC. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on INTC.
After hitting a one-year high of $27.99 in December, the stock hit a one-year low of $18.05 in January. This morning, INTC opened at $20.62. So far today the stock has hit a low of $20.26 and a high of $20.80. As of 12:10, INTC is trading at $20.65, down 0.28 (-1.3%). The chart for INTC looks bearish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.
For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an August bear-call credit spread above the $23 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 13.0% return in six weeks as long as INTC is below $23 at August expiration. Intel would have to rise by more than 11% before we would start to lose money.
Today was a good end to a strange trading week, while many shares had light volume with today's half-day trading session. Non-Farm payrolls declined worse than expected to 62,000, and May was revised higher to 62,000 jobs lost as well. The ISM non-Manufacturing came in again under 50 at a very weak 48.2, signaling growth isn't back to being close to the table. The dollar traders were probably less than thankful after the European Central Bank raised its overnight rates and as oil neared $146.00 per barrel intra-day. These are today's unofficial closing bell levels:
Abbott Labs (NYSE: ABT) saw a rise of almost 1% to $54.75 after the FDA approved its XIENCE drug eluting stent.
NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) saw a horrific drop after the company's earnings warnings. This is what happens when your new product fails enough that it increased the severity. Shares were down 30% at $12.49 at the close.
Penn National Gaming (NASDAQ: PENN) actually rose despite the merger finally being called off. We knew this was coming. Shares closed up 3.7% at $29.66 today.
Have a great weekend, and remember markets are closed Friday in observance of the July 4 holiday.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Nvidia, Air France and UnitedHealth were today's noteworthy downgrades:
JP Morgan downgraded Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) to Neutral from Overweight following the company's lowered guidance.
Deutsche Bank cut Air France (Other OTC:AFLYY) to Sell from Hold as they believe consensus revenue estimates need to come down.
Following UnitedHealth's (NYSE:UNH) lowered guidance, UBS said there is "little hope" for improvement in 2009 and that the company has above average exposure to the Medicare segment, which is being politically pressured. UBS downgraded shares to Neutral from Buy.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
Aetna (NYSE:AET) and Health Net (NYSE:HNT) were downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman.
Dice Holdings (NYSE:DHX) was lowered at Wachovia to Market Perform from Outperform.
Zhone (NASDAQ:ZHNE) was downgraded to Source of Funds from Buy at ThinkPanmure.
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), the big graphics chip maker, warned on profits. It was an inauspicious beginning to the earnings season for tech stocks. Many of the world's PCs use Nvidia chips. One of the reasons the company gave for its trouble is slowing demand combined with lower prices. The news was considered so bad that NVDA shares fell over 20% after hours.
According toMarketWatch,the company "expects its second-quarter revenue and gross margin to be lower than its previously announced forecast. The company now expects revenue from $875 million to $950 million." The consensus among analysts was that the company would have revenue of $1.1 billion.
Because the firm's products are so closely associated with PC sales, shares in other chip companies like Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) and computer makers like Dell (NASDAQ: DELL) are almost certain to be viewed as candidates for earnings downgrades of their own.
Nvidia's forecast could be the start of a very hard quarter for tech companies. And they may have been Wall Street's last significant hope.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Stock futures were mixed early Thursday morning, the last and shortened day of trading this week -- markets will close at 1 p.m. EDT. Oil, again, has reached new highs as investors awaited the ECB decision on interest rate. Wall Street is also anxious about the upcoming jobs report, especially after Wednesday the ADP employment figures were worse than expected. Today's session will likely be choppy.
Despite starting the day on a positive note Wednesday, U.S. stocks ended sharply lower after the ADP employment figures damped mood on the Street. Also, crude oil prices rose sharply and an analyst warned that General Motors (NYSE: GM) may have to consider bankruptcy at some point; GM stock closed below $10 a share. The Dow industrials tumbled 166 points, or 1.46%, entering bear territory -- down over 20%, the Nasdaq Composite lost 53 points, or 2.32%, and the S&P 500, fell 23 points, or 1.82% - the only major index still not in bear territory.
Soon, at 7:45 a.m. EDT, the European Central Bank will announce its decision on interest rates. The ECB is widely expected to increase rates, which in turn could further weaken the dollar, driving oil prices higher.
Then, at 8:30 a.m., the Labor Department will release the June payroll figures. Economists expect the unemployment rate to fall to 5.4% from 5.5% last month, but job losses are expected to rise to 60,000 positions, up from 49,000 in May, according to Briefing.com.
At 10:00 a.m., the June ISM services index will be released, and another decline is expected.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: iRobot, Felcor Lodging and Office Max were today's noteworthy initiations:
Stanford initiated iRobot (NASDAQ: IRBT) with a Buy rating and $18 target and believes better-than-expected military robot sales will allow the company to beat 2008 consensus estimates.
Felcor Lodging (NYSE: FCH) was initiated at Keefe Bruyette with a Market Perform rating and $12.50 target. The firm believes material upside is unlikely given the company's above average suburban and airport exposure.
Soleil assumed Office Max (NYSE: OMX) with a Hold rating and $17 target, as they believe macroeconomic challenges and heightened competition will limit near-term upside in the stock.
With concerns over recession, turmoil in the financial sector, fear of rising rates, high market volatility and a rising aversion to risk, many investors have been avoiding technology stocks. 
Today was another very volatile day with stocks posting triple-digit DJIA losses. Shares opened and traded lower, then recovered sharply before falling back down at the end of the day. Oil and commodities rose. Oil was up over $3.00 to over the $116 a barrel mark on soft inventory levels and reports Russia is seizing a Georgian pipeline. With gold rising almost $17.00 and the dollar falling, it almost felt like the commodity trades were coming back on. There was a drop in import prices, but that wasn't enough to keep the bears from roaring today. 
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Stock futures were mixed early Thursday morning, the last and shortened day of trading this week -- markets will close at 1 p.m. EDT. Oil, again, has reached new highs as investors awaited the ECB decision on interest rate. Wall Street is also anxious about the upcoming jobs report, especially after Wednesday the ADP employment figures were worse than expected. Today's session will likely be choppy..gif){kind=logo}
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