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Race to declare victory for stimulus

When you spend $787 billion, there's a lot of pressure to show results. So, there's no surprise that success is being proclaimed across the country. States are saying that they've used the federal stimulus package money to create or save more than 388,000 jobs this year. Teachers, construction workers and other professions have realized the upside of stimulus cash according to reports from 33 states and Puerto Rico, with the remainder of the results being released on Friday.

Of course, the numbers "should be taken with a grain of salt," says Ethan Pollack of the Economic Policy Institute. The states were tasked to count the jobs created or protected, but the results have been of dubious accuracy. This doesn't mean the stats can't provide fodder to people on both sides of the aisle.

Columbia Business School's Frank Lichtenberg says the data shows a solid economic impact, and the Obama administration's Council of Economic Advisors believes the stimulus spending has taken care of between 600,000 and 1.1 million jobs.

And, there are those who disagree.

Continue reading Race to declare victory for stimulus

Five signs that green is the next bubble

We're tired of bubbles, right? Anyone 30 or older has lived through two big ones so far, with a brief period of prosperity separating the decimation of dot-com largesse and mortgage-fueled paper wealth. It could take until 2014 for the jobs lost to be replenished, and there's little reason for optimism.

So, with the economy in the tank, we can focus elsewhere -- maybe on saving the planet. If we can't put green in our wallets, maybe we can add some to our lifestyles. Or, you could do both. Green technology could be the next boom in the United States, even if we do lag some parts of the world, and investing in clean solutions is really nothing other than investing in the next big thing. Even if you don't give a damn about climate change (or don't think it exists at all), the green market could likely become your employer -- or trigger the economic growth that will create your next job.

Some signs are visible already.

Continue reading Five signs that green is the next bubble

Dell could win big in the electronic medical records field

Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL) wants to get into the game of digitizing medical records for physicians who work with (not at) hospitals. Dell wants to ensure all these physicians and their offices remain compatible with the computer systems used by small and mega hospitals, along with making any current processes less expensive and more efficient.

Just like Hewlett-Packard Corp. (NYSE: HPQ), Dell may be able to expand its services and consulting into areas just waiting for extreme amounts of help and expertise. With consumer and business PC purchases continuing to be slower than in the past -- and with a presidential mandate to digitize all medical records in the U.S. -- Dell's opportunity here is enormous. That is, if it goes bananas and actually takes advantage of it beyond lip service.

Continue reading Dell could win big in the electronic medical records field

Obama grant draws fresh eyes to Ener1 Inc. ahead of earnings

Late Wednesday, the EnerDel unit of Ener1 Inc. (NASDAQ: HEV) scored a grant from the Obama administration to make battery parts. The company's $118.5-million handout was part of a $2.4-billion grant package doled out to automakers and related firms by the federal government in order to fund the domestic development of next-generation car batteries.

Indiana-based Ener1 says that the Obama grant, along with $480 million in Department of Energy loans it's applied for, should translate to rapid growth in its staff. The company has 150 employees currently, but said that number could surge to 3,000 workers as soon as 2015.

Continue reading Obama grant draws fresh eyes to Ener1 Inc. ahead of earnings

Antitrust orgy coming: Airlines, tech and others in sights

Christine A. Varney heads up antitrust at the Department of Justice, and she's going hunting. She is the point person for a group consisting of the presidential administration and some Congressional Democrats that is looking to put the breaks on large companies in several industries.

Already, airlines have run into roadblocks when requesting relief from antitrust regulations. Varney & Co. are digging into complaints by AT&T (NYSE: ATT) and Verizon (NYSE: VZ) that cable competitors – e.g., Cablevision (NYSE: CVC) – have locked them out of the market for cable company-produced programming.

(Imagine that, a phone company complaining! Usually, they're the objects of derision.)

Continue reading Antitrust orgy coming: Airlines, tech and others in sights

Bloomberg poll finds Obama popular with non-American investors

Europeans and Asians have positive views of President Barack Obama, according to the latest Quarterly Bloomberg Global Poll of investors and analysts. Americans, on the other hand, are split down the middle.

According to the study, 87% of respondents in Asia and Europe rate Obama favorably. In the United States, only 49% share this perspective -- a number that drops to around 25% when only his economic policies are considered. Much of this difference comes from an overseas distaste for the previous White House resident, but it seems people in this country are less interested in distinctions: 43% of respondents favored Bush's policies to Obama's (compared to 80% overseas).

Continue reading Bloomberg poll finds Obama popular with non-American investors

House health care bill seeks 5.4% tax increase on $1 million earners

House Democratic leaders, with the blessing of President Obama, Tuesday proposed a sweeping health care reform package designed to lower costs and encouraging employers to offer coverage to all employees, Bloomberg News reported Tuesday, adding that they plan to pass the historic legislation before the August recess.

A key revenue item in the bill: a 5.4% income tax increase on couples earning more than $1 million per year, and a 1% increase on incomes over $350,000 per year. Capital gains would also be subject to the tax, the Associated Press reported Tuesday. The bill would raise an estimate $500 billion over the next decade to help pay for universal health care.



Continue reading House health care bill seeks 5.4% tax increase on $1 million earners

Fed to okay TARP repayment for some banks, appoint a Pay Czar

This morning, the U.S. Federal Reserve is expected announce that some banks will be allowed to repay the money lent to them under the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). Some of the banks expected to receive approval are Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM), American Express (NYSE: AXP), Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS), State Street (NYSE: STT) and U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB). All of these banks have expressed interest in repaying the government.

What is interesting is that there will be yet another Czar joining the White House, a "Repayment Czar," (what is the deal with the media's fascination with Russian royalty?) or as the administration will call the position, the "Special Master for Compensation."

Continue reading Fed to okay TARP repayment for some banks, appoint a Pay Czar

Obama to GM CEO Wagoner: You're Fired!

Last fall, I suggested that General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM) ought to follow a six point restructuring plan. One of those steps was to can GM's CEO Rick Wagoner. Under his tenure, which began in 2000, GM's stock has lost 95% of its value and GM has posted $30 billion in 2008 losses while presiding over a North American market share slide from 33% to 19%. What amazes me is that GM's board did not step in years ago. So Monday, President Obama will officially ask Wagoner to step aside.

Continue reading Obama to GM CEO Wagoner: You're Fired!

If the U.S. economy strengthens, Fiscal Stimulus II may be shelved

In his column last week, New York Times (NYSE: NYT) columnist and Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman laid waste to those who argue that he's not critically assessing Obama administration programs. He offered a cogent critique of the U.S. Treasury's tardiness regarding the banking system fix.

Either temporarily nationalize those banks that are clogging the system, buy the toxic assets at unsubsidized prices, or announce some other market-valued removal plan to unclog the system, but let's put this train in motion, Krugman said, in so many words, to get to the root of the matter: We need to get credit flowing freely to facilitate commerce.

Continue reading If the U.S. economy strengthens, Fiscal Stimulus II may be shelved

In banking fix, U.S. must remain focused on success, not justice

Lately, it has been as if every lesson from a first-year graduate seminar in public policy is being played out on the national stage.

Let's underscore one point: the nation appears to be nearing a policy to deal with the financial crisis. Investors should try to keep that at the forefront. Or maybe paste it on to their computer screens at work or in their home offices, so that they can maintain a sense of perspective. Yes, it's about a year late, but there was another U.S. president in charge then: the new guy's just arrived. Moreover, if calm prevails, the nation is going to get through this difficult period, this aftermath of the decade of policy errors, the decade of descent.

Continue reading In banking fix, U.S. must remain focused on success, not justice

Will the U.S. economy need a second fiscal stimulus package?

In the landmark, blockbuster film "Jaws" (1975), reluctant sailor, Police Chief Martin Brody (Roy Scheider), while chumming bait, gets his first look at the great white shark that's been terrorizing Amity's shoreline community. Captain Quint (Robert Shaw) and Marine Biologist Matt Hooper (Richard Dreyfuss) are immediately struck by the shark's size.

But Chief Brody is struck by another reality. "You're gonna need a bigger boat," Brody said.

In today's environment, with the U.S. economy in a pronounced recession and credit markets still constrained, the Keyensians - - which include most Congressional Democrats - - are playing the role of Chief Brody. They know what's needed to go after that shark (the recession).

'You're gonna need a bigger stimulus.' (In this case the 'bigger stimulus' means a second stimulus package.)

Continue reading Will the U.S. economy need a second fiscal stimulus package?

Will Citi CEO get a 33 cent bonus this year?

Congress is sending a bill to President Obama's desk that limits banker pay. Specifically 11 pages in the 1,073-page $787 billion stimulus bill describe a provision that limits bonuses for executives at all financial institutions getting government money to a maximum of a third of their salary. And these are not cash bonuses -- instead they'll be paid in company stock that executives can't sell until the government investment has been repaid.

Citigroup (NYSE: C) CEO Vikram Pandit, volunteered to take a $1 salary until his company returns to profitability. Assuming Citi posts a loss in 2009, Pandit's maximum bonus for the year will be 33 cents -- which at today's price would amount to a tenth of a share of Citi stock.

Continue reading Will Citi CEO get a 33 cent bonus this year?

Where does the U.S. economy go from here?

The U.S.'s first fiscal stimulus package 'of size' since the recession's start has passed - - albeit in a modified form that decreased spending by about $140 billion over the original outline.

Further, the young President Barack Obama, like the young President John F. Kennedy, has learned that presidential honeymoons can be short inside the beltway, particularly if you have to trade policy to obtain votes both inside your party and among the loyal opposition.

Meanwhile, investors and the financial community more broader await the specifics pertaining to Obama administration's revised plan to stabilize the banking system, with the declining Dow discounting that even a successful plan will require months of systemic adjustment, and, of course, more public funds.

Continue reading Where does the U.S. economy go from here?

Martin Wolf: If the U.S. dares to succeed, it will

Financial Times columnist Martin Wolf reminds investors that, contrary to some views expressed in the United States, depressions are neither good for us, nor unavoidable.

Further, despite the recent year's many reverberations, the United States remains, Wolf argues (and the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency agrees), the world's preeminent economy in the global economic system it has created and promoted. Moreover, U.S. policy errors had much to do with the current crisis, even if aided by policy errors abroad. By extension, the healing and recovery starts in the U.S. -- with America as the leader of determined, globally-coordinated action.

Continue reading Martin Wolf: If the U.S. dares to succeed, it will

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Last updated: November 12, 2009: 05:44 PM

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