Poor Office Depot (NYSE: ODP). Have you checked the price of the retailer's stock lately? It closed on Wednesday with a value of $2.10. It actually rose over 11% that day upon news of its third-quarter earnings. I can assure you that I wasn't buying the stock.
The numbers didn't tell the story of a company that would make a worthy addition to a stock portfolio hell bent on hanging tough during a market meltdown. Instead, the 7% revenue decrease and the loss per share, on an adjusted basis, of $0.01 relate a tale of a business that one should ignore. At least that's the way I see things. Comps in the North American retail division were horrible. The return on invested capital as calculated by management took a significant drop. Let's face it, Office Depot just isn't cutting it. Granted, the economy is wreaking havoc on the business, but come to think of it, I don't really have a good picture of what the brand is supposed to be about. Well, I know it's about office supplies, but why should I shop there as opposed to Staples (NASDAQ: SPLS) or OfficeMax (NYSE: OMX)? Good question, huh? Looks like the retailer needs to get the message out as to why the shopping experience at its locations is of a higher value compared to the office stores mentioned. For that matter, I'm sure a lot of people use Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) to pick up office supplies too. My point is that management needs to step up its game and create some better marketing programs for its stores. Be creative like Staples. That "easy button" device is turning into a cool cultural icon (well, I might be exaggerating, but I think it's creative, at any rate).
Earlier, I said "at least that's the way I see things" in terms of my opinion about the sad state of Office Depot, but I suppose I should point out that there are obviously a lot of investors out there who don't see a lot to love when it comes to this chain. The stock is down over 63% on the one-month period at the time of this writing. I see no reason to speculate on this business. The economy isn't getting better, and Office Depot just doesn't seem to be in a strong position. What will it take to turn things around? Like I say, in addition to hoping for an improved macro climate, come up with a better advertising campaign, build a more intense connection with the consumer. Office supplies are commodities, but shopping experience is not. That's the opportunity. Differentiating a brand from the competition based on things like customer service and an easy time of it at the checkout register is a traditional strategy in the retail industry. If Office Depot can offer something in that area, it should let me know about it. Since just about every retailer is struggling to keep the traffic coming into their chains, now is the time to exploit the other guy's weakened state and grab every customer possible.
Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change at any time.
So the earnings crunch continues, and here's a look at some companies scheduled to report results this week that are anticipated to be big winners and losers in terms of earnings growth.
Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial expect the following to report strong earnings growth when compared to the same period of the previous year.
Apache Corp. (NYSE: APA): $4.10 EPS (+53.9%) on revenue of $3.8 billion (+54.6%)
EOG Resources Inc. (NYSE: EOG): $2.34 EPS (+50.0%) on revenue of $1.7 billion (+62.2%)
Avon Products Inc. (NYSE: AVP): $0.47 EPS (+44.7%) on revenue of $2.6 billion (+11.5%)
Oil was down another $5.00 per barrel today, yet that failed to cause a major rally despite a $9.00 in just two days. Today's end of day rally was led by financials after an FDIC conference which led to excitement about the sector. If you were looking for any brightness in home sales, May's pending home sales came in at -4.7% year over year. We also saw wholesale inventories in May rise by +0.8%. Perhaps more interesting is that the MAY Consumer Credit rose more than expected to $7.8 Billion. Below are the unofficial closing bell levels for today: DJIA 11,384.21 (+152.25) S&P500 1,273.68 (+21.37) NASDAQ 2,294.42 (+51.10) 10YR T-Note 3.88% (-0.05%) 52-WEEK LOWS TOP 10 ANALYST CALLS
Hank Paulson's speech gave some support after his speech didn't ring of the "Death of GSE's" and shares of Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) were up over 10% at $17.40 in today's final minutes.
Office Depot is going to announce its second quarter numbers later this month, and investors got a better picture of just what to expect this morning after the company stated that it is now forecasting a 10% drop in its same-store sales for the quarter, citing the slowing American economy as the main reason.
The company also warned it expects the remainder of the year to remain difficult. While the retailer believes that sales trends should improve slightly, it is remaining pessimistic. Margins for the quarter, it says, have declined by about 200 basis points than what it had previously anticipated. Even before today's revision, the company had estimated about 200 to 250 basis point decline in its margins. Looking at the rest of the year, the company thinks that its margins should increase sequentially in both Q3 and Q4.
Office Depot (NYSE: ODP) is recently trading at $8.86 in pre-open trading, below its close of $10.41.
ODP announced Q2 same-store sales fell nearly 10% versus the prior year. ODP will announce Q2 EPS on July 30. ODP expects its profit margins to improve sequentially in the third and fourth quarter.
ODP July option implied volatility is at 74, August is at 69; above its 26-week average of 54 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Shares of office supply retailer Office Depot Inc. (NYSE: ODP) have been surging in the premarket despite the fact that company reported a big fall in its first-quarter profit. However, Office Depot was able to report earnings per share that topped analysts' forecasts, giving a lift to its shares.
The retailer reported that quarterly profit plunged 55% to $68.8 million, or 25 cents a share, as the housing meltdown brought deep declines for the company's sales in Florida and California. These numbers are down from $153.8 million, or 55 cents a share, a year ago. Excluding one-time items, Office Depot's earnings would have come at 29 cents a share. Analysts' forecasts (which typically exclude one time items) were for 22 cents per share.
Looking at revenue, Office Depot saw a drop of 3.2% to $3.96 billion, as the retailer faced North American sales declines. Analysts predicted a higher revenue of $4.07 billion for the quarter, according to Thomson Reuters.
Staples Inc. (NASDAQ: SPLS), a supplier of office products and a fierce competitor of both OfficeMax (NYSE: OMX) and Office Depot (NYSE: ODP), reported earnings for the fourth quarter yesterday. Excluding an extra calendar week, Staples saw its net sales rise by 8% to $5.3 billion and its diluted earnings per share rise by 15% to $0.47. For the full year, again excluding the extra week, net sales increased 9%; adjusted diluted earnings per share rose by 15%, coming in at $1.42. The full-year results included various adjustments related to tax issues, litigation, and stock compensation.
The numbers are okay, I suppose, but they don't necessarily make me want to jump into the stock. For one thing, same-store sales for North America declined 3% for the year (they did rise a modest 2% in Europe, however). For another, the stock is only yielding about 1.5% right now -- I'd wait for a bigger yield before thinking about Staples. Yes, it's true that the company increased its annual dividend by 14%, but I'll tell you something about that -- I am not a fan of annual dividends. I'd rather get my payout spread throughout the year.
Staples is a major brand in office supplies, and I do shop there. But nothing about this earnings report makes me want to check the retailer out any further, at least at this time. I'll have to see a few more quarters to see how the company handles the current economic malaise; for now, there are better ideas out there for one's investment dollars.
Office Depot (NYSE: ODP) closed at $13.81 Thursday, near a six-year low.
ODP has a market cap of $3.7 billion. ODP has long term debt of $581 million. ODP reported total September 2007 revenue of $3.9 billion. ODP has been frequently mentioned buyout candidate over the last two years.
ODP overall option implied volatility of 59 is above its 26-week average of 49 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.
While earlier this month, OfficeMax (NYSE: OMX) reported a solid third quarter due largely to cost-cutting and the weak dollar, office supply leader Staples' (NASDAQ: SPLS) third quarter report this week was more like that of second-place rival Office Depot (NYSE: OPD)'s third-quarter report last week. That is, profits and domestic same-store sales fell. However, Staples managed to beat expectations (low expectations though they were), sending share prices up after being dragged down with OfficeMax and Office Depot following their reports.
Staples reported Q3 net income of $274.5 million, or 38 cents per share, compared with $289.9 million, or 39 cents per share, in the same period last year. A $38 million charge from the settlement of an employee class-action suit shaved 4 cents per share from Staples' earnings, yet the latest quarter's profit was still 42 cents per share, beating the consensus EPS forecast of analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial, who had expected 40 cents per share.
As Office Depot executives did last week, Staples executives said they expect weak consumer spending due to the housing slump and credit market difficulties to continue into the new year. Yet so far Staples' share price has risen, from a 52-week low of $19.69 before the Q3 report, to close at $23.51 on Wednesday. That's about seven cents shy of halfway from that low back to the 52-week high of $28.00 from mid December of 2006.
The consensus forecast of analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial is for earnings of 48 cents per share for the fourth quarter (up from 46 cents a year ago), or $1.42 per share for the year (up from $1.28 a year ago). The consensus recommendation is to buy Staples, with forecast growth of 20.4 percent over the next three to five years.
Here are some highlights from this past week's 
Office Depot
Here are some highlights from this past week's 
Shares of office supply retailer 
Office Depot
While earlier this month, 
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