MOST NOTEWORTHY: Ericsson, Circuit City and Hot Topic were today's noteworthy downgrades:

• Societe Generale downgraded shares of Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERIC) to Hold from Buy after the company lowered its Q4 guidance. Goldman Sachs downgraded shares to Neutral from Buy on the company's lowered Q4 revenue outlook and the growing probability that the wireless infrastructure market will decline again in 2008.
• Circuit City (NYSE: CC)'s rating was lowered to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan, as they believe the company's high cost turnaround will require a strategic partner or acquirer, which may not happen until after 2H08 and this year's holiday season.
• Citigroup downgraded shares of Hot Topic (NASDAQ: HOTT) to Hold from Buy to reflect their pushed out expectations for an earnings recovery.

OTHER DOWNGRADES:

• Office Depot (NYSE: ODP) was downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform at Bear Stearns.
• Lehman downgraded Telecom Italia (NASDAQ: TI) to Underweight from Equal Weight.
• Goldman removed Freeport McMoRan (NYSE: FCX) from its Conviction Buy List.

Office Depot, Inc. (NYSE: ODP) stock is falling this morning on news that it does not expect fourth quarter sales to match sales from the third quarter. Q3 results reported today were solid, as the company posted 43 cents EPS against expectations of 40 cents, but the company's outlook for the holiday dragged down shares and in this morning's conference call, ODP warned that 2008 first quarter sales could also drop off. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on ODP.

After hitting a one-year high of $42.03 last November, the stock hit a one-year low of $16.51 in October. This morning, ODP opened at $18.08. So far today the stock has hit a low of $17.82 and a high of $18.71. As of 10:55, ODP is trading at $18.25, down 55 cents(-2.9%). The chart for ODP looks neutral but improving, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Staples, Office Depot, GlobalSCAPE and CytRx were today's noteworthy initiations:

• Jefferies initiated shares of Staples Inc (NASDAQ: SPLS) with a Hold rating and $22-$24 target. The firm finds the current valuation fair given the increased risk of excess store growth in the industry, increased promotional activity and deceleration of employment growth.
  
• Jefferies expects shares of Office Depot Inc (NYSE: ODP) to trade sideways given the company's accelerating store growth, greater promotional activity and execution issues. The firm resumed coverage with a Hold rating and $22-$24 target.
  
• Soleil started shares of GlobalSCAPE Inc (AMEX: GSB) with a Buy rating and $12 target, as they believe the company has the opportunity to grow revenues around 35%-40% annually and is an attractive acquisition candidate for suitors who address the corporate networking infrastructure marketplace.
  
• Cytrx Corporation (NASDAQ: CYTR) was initiated with a Buy rating and $6 target at Oppenheimer, as they are optimistic regarding the market potential of arimoclomol in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis and sees several catalysts approaching over the next 12-18 months.

OTHER INITIATIONS:

• Deutsche Bank started shares of Alliance Imaging Inc (NYSE: AIQ) and Pediatrix Medical Group Inc (NYSE: PDX) with Hold ratings and target of $10.50 and $70, respectively.
  
• Credit Suisse started shares of Accenture Ltd (NYSE: ACN), Genpact Limited (NYSE: G) and Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation (NASDAQ: CTSH) with Outperform ratings and targets of $50, $20 and $53, respectively.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: American Eagle, CVS/Caremark, Office Depot, WPP Group and Pixelworks were today's noteworthy upgrades:

• American Eagle Outfitters Inc (NYSE: AEO) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wachovia, as the firm believes momentum from a strong Spring/Summer can carry into the fall/Holiday seasons.
  
• JP Morgan views CVS/Caremark Corporation (NYSE: CVS) as the most sophisticated healthcare offering, the largest PBM, and has first mover advantage. The firm upgraded shares to Overweight from Neutral.
  
• JP Morgan also upgraded shares of Office Depot Inc (NYSE: ODP) to Overweight from Neutral based on valuation and potential turnaround.
  
• Morgan Stanley upgraded WPP Group (NASDAQ: WPPGY) to Overweight from Equal Weight as they believe the company can still meet its profit forecasts and margin goals in a slowing global economy.
  
• Jefferies upgraded shares of Pixelworks Inc (NASDAQ: PXLW) to Hold from Underperform on valuation as they no longer believe the risk/reward favors shorting at these levels.

OTHER UPGRADES:

• Stifel upgraded Tempur Pedic International (NYSE: TPX) to Buy from Hold.
  
• Merrill upgraded Tyco Electronics (NYSE: TEL) to Buy from Neutral.
  
• BB&T upgraded Celanese Corporation (NYSE: CE) to Buy from Hold.
  
• CIT Group Inc (NYSE: CIT) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse.

Looking back at recent company statements regarding earnings and guidance, there seems to be a big disparity in the type of companies reporting above average numbers to those reporting below average numbers.

Beating

• Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) -- Q3 guidance
• National Semconductor Corporation (NYSE: NSM) -- Q1 earnings
• Western Digital Corporation (NYSE: WDC) -- Q1 guidance

In Line

• Texas Instruments Inc (NYSE: TXN) -- Q3 guidance

Missing

• Staples Inc (NASDAQ: SPLS) -- Q2 earnings, Q3 guidance
• Office Depot Inc (NYSE: ODP) -- Q2 earnings
• Harley Davidson Inc (NYSE: HOG) -- 2H2007 guidance
• Weyerhaeuser Company (NYSE: WY) -- Q3 guidance

If legendary mutual fund manager Peter Lynch's adage that higher stock prices follow higher earnings still holds true, then it is time to take a closer look at technology stocks.

CNBC and Bloomberg have been asking one economic pundit after another whether the U.S. economy is in a recession. The unanimous answer has been a resounding no.

However, recent Office Depot Inc (NYSE: ODP) comments support a much different conclusion. At the Goldman Sachs retail conference yesterday, its CFO, Patricia McKay, said small businesses are slowing their spending and the retailer is also being hurt by the sagging housing market. How a sagging housing market effects Office Depot, I am not sure, but Office Depot does touch a number of different markets including the very important back-to-school market.

The Office Depot miss follows a late August warning from Staples Inc (NASDAQ: SPLS) that reported a 2% drop in same-store sales, down from 4% positive comps last year.

The office supply sector has proven a good measure of economic activity for most of this decade, forecasting the 2002 economic recovery and now, apparently, an economic slowdown. This is another data point for Fed Chairman Bernanke to use in his argument to drop rates.

Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C), Office Depot Inc. (NYSE: ODP) and Gap Inc. (NYSE: GPS) were three of the top stock ideas mentioned from long-time value investor Bob Olstein in this weekend's Barron's Magazine.

Olstein, who is portfolio manager of Olstein All Cap Fund, likes Citigroup for its 4.8% yield and good earnings power when adjusted for the big hit it is going to take from private equity deals it has committed the financing for. The huge international financial services firm should be able to earn $4.50 per share when all the trouble is past, ergo selling for just 10x earnings. Citigroup is also popping up on Eddie Lambert's holdings these days.

Office Depot is another name the value investor likes. After having a great run earlier this decade, increasing from around $12 per share to $43 by early 2006, the stock has since crashed hitting $24. Olstein believes the office-supply retailer can earn $2.50 per share, implying about a 10x price-to-earnings ratio. Office Depot has recently hired management that drove the success at Autozone and the retailer already generates a ton of free cash flow. Olstein has a $35 price target.

One point comes clearly across from Olstein: he is finding some good bargains following the recent stock market correction.

This morning, office goods retailer Staples Inc. (NASDAQ: SPLS) reported its second quarter earnings results, matching analyst estimates for its most recent quarter. Analysts had been expecting to see the company earn 25 cents per share, and that was exactly what Staples came through with, as net income was $178.8 million.

While it is good to see the company hit analyst estimates, the stock is still going to be under some pressure this morning after offering a lower full year earnings growth forecast from its previous estimates. In earlier statements, the company had put forth full year guidance of somewhere in the range between 15% and 20% growth. Now the company is predicting that earnings will grow at "about" 15%.

In premarket, the stock is trading down 1.3%, dropping 31 cents to $23.00.

Nordstrom (NYSE: JWN) - overall implied volatility Elevated into EPS. JWN is expected to report EPS of .68 cents on 8/23 according to Thomson First Call. STFL say's "we believe JWN is successfully leveraging its sales success with operational improvements, better systems and well managed expenses." JWN over all option implied volatility of 42 is above its 26-week average of 30 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price risks.

TJX Cos (NYSE: TJX) - implied volatility Elevated into 8/14 EPS & Outlook. TJX, an off-price retailer with 1,530 T.J. Maxx & Marshall stores, is recently up .35 to $27.87. TJX is expected to report 2Q EPS of .36 cents on 8/14. Buckingham has a Strong Buy rating and $34 price target on TJX. BUCK say's "remains one of our top picks in the current weak retail environment." TJX over all option implied volatility of 35 is above its 26-week average of 25 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risks.

Office Depot (NYSE: ODP) - all volume & volatility Elevated as ODP near 2-year lows. ODP is recently up .34 to 23.74. ODP has a market cap of $6.4 billion. ODP September 25 calls have traded 404 times on transaction volume of 8,018 contracts above its open interest of 1,038 contracts. ODP September option implied volatility of 47 is above its 26-week average of 29 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.

Volatility Index S&P 500 Options-VIX at down 2.25 to 26.08.

Daily options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

While the market plummeted 311 points today on loan worries; it is easy for people to forget the market is still up. Last week when the Dow broke 14,000; it was up 12.3% for the year. Now the market is up 8.1%. But are we really in a crisis? Market corrections are a normal part of the action and we will live through it. People celebrate when their favorite retail stores have a sale and drop prices; but when the stock market has a sale they panic.

The NYSE had volume of 4.2 billion shares with 313 shares advancing while 3,036 declined for a loss of 275.98 points to close at 9,654.38. On the NASDAQ, 3.5 billion shares traded, 553 advanced and 2,583 declined for a loss of 48.83 to 2599.34.

Akamai Technologies (NASDAQ: AKAM) fell $8.91 (-19%) to $38.27 on outlook. The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (NYSE: GT) fell $2.87 (-9%) to $29.18 on cut forecasts. Sotheby's (NYSE: BID) fell $5.60 (-11%) to $45.50. OfficeMax Incorporated (NYSE: OMX) fell $3.1 (-8%) to $33.65 after Office Depot (NYSE: ODP) weighed down the sector with lower results.

The options market saw about two and have time normal activity with 11.3 million puts and 8.6 million calls for a put call ratio of 1.3. A lot of this volume was on the indexes we usually ignore index option volume because it isn't that interesting by the PowerShares QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ: QQQQ) saw heavy volume on the August 50 calls (QQQHX) with over 109,815 options trading and the 49 calls (QQQHW) moved over 84,000 contracts. On the put side of things there were a lot of people buying insurance with the August 48 puts (QQQTV) moving 147,000 options trading and the August 49 puts (QQQTW) counted over 122,000 options traded. Apple Computer (NASDAQ: AAPL) saw heavy volume on the August 150 calls (APVHJ) with over 74,816 options trading as the stock moved up 6% today. General Motors (NYSE: GM) saw heavy volume on the January 40 calls (GMAH) with over 33,000 options trading.

Kevin Kersten is an Options Analyst with InvestorsObserver.com. Mr. Kersten does own Office Depot Stock.

Office Depot (NYSE: ODP) warned that its quarter would be disappointing due to weak economic conditions in the U.S. and slow sales of PCs because Vista adoption is anemic.

It would be tempting to view the Office Depot warning as isolated, but it probably is not. The first line of companies that are likely to be having similar problems are Office Max (NYSE: OMX) and Staples (NASDAQ: SPLS). The three companies are already doing badly. Office Depot's shares are down 20% over the last year, and the shares of the other two companies are flat.

Sales at the companies may well be something of an economic indicator of how business in general is doing. They sell a wide range of products from PCs to office furniture. If these purchases are being delayed it means that a lot of the corporate economy across the country is being pinched.

The poor sales at Office Depot and its competition is also probably a sign that PC sales and Vista adoption are weaker then is thought in some circles. With Dell (NASDAQ: DELL) and Hewlett-Packard (NASDAQ: HPQ) trading near 52-week highs, Wall Street clearly assuming there is a pick-up in computer sales. And, if Vista sales are indeed slow, Microsoft's (NASDAQ: MSFT) next quarter could be soft.

Look out below.

Douglas A. McIntyre is a partner at 24/7 Wall St.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Cheesecake Factory (CAKE), Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD), Alltel (AT), Home Depot (HD) and Nokia (NOK) were today's more noteworthy downgrades:

• Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ: CAKE) was downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at CIBC, to Outperform from Strong Buy at Raymond James and to Peer Perform from Outperform at Bear Stearns after the company reduced its second quarter guidance.

• Buffalo Wild Wings (NASDAQ: BWLD) was cut to Neutral from Buy at Merriman on valuation.

• Lehman downgraded Alltel Corp (NYSE: AT) to Equal Weight from Overweight as the firm doesn't expect a competing bid for the company.

• Home Depot (NYSE: HD) was cut to Market Perform from Outperform following yesterday's rally and feels that with the HD sale out of the way, the focus will now turn to Home Depot's ability to grow in the challenging do-it-yourself retail market. Goldman cut Nokia to Neutral from Buy on valuation...

OTHER DOWNGRADES:

• JP Morgan cut Headwaters (NYSE: HW) to Underweight from Neutral.

• Citigroup downgraded Prudential Financial (NYSE: PRU) to Hold from Buy.

• Matrix USA cut Phototronics (NASDAQ: PLAB) to Sell from Hold.

• Ferris, Baker downgraded Gladstone Commercial Corp (NASDAQ: GOOD) to Neutral from Buy.

• Citigroup removed Office Depot (NYSE: ODP) from its Citi Recommended List.

Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Yes, it's June already, and as the heat begins to rise, so does rumor rage.

PACKETEER INC (NASDAQ: PKTR)

On the block? If some investors have their way it is. The developer of wide area network, or WAN, Application Optimization systems expects first quarter revenues to fall about 20% from the fourth quarter's $42.7M. Leading the insurgency is "activist investor" Elliott Associates which holds 6.3% of the shares. In a letter to the firm's board, Elliott wrote that the company has "proven unable" to take advantage of its "leading technology." Better to be in the arms of a bigger company? The vultures think so.

GUITAR CENTER INC (NASDAQ: GTRC)

Quicker than you can strum your guitar, this number appears to be up. Up for sale. The information is coming faster than a high strung solo. Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE: GS) is playing the lead. What an auction it will be. For the leading retailer of musical instruments, the stock disappoints, the direct response business is out of tune. A Goldman analyst reportedly said the company is a turnaround candidate, but may sell. Talk about blowing your own horn. We hear the LBOs are lined up right outside the Westlake Village headquarters in California. Everyone have a number?

INFOSPACE INC (NASDAQ: INSP)

How many pesetas, uh Euros, does it take to make about a billion dollars? Ask Spain's LaNetro Zed. That's about what some think they're offering to buy InfoSpace, the developer of tools and technology that helps "regular" folk find content and information on the Internet or on their mobile. Privately-held LaNetro Zed provides mobile phone content and services. What's the hook here that they'd pay that much? Access to the U.S. market, of course. The answer, by the way, is about 800M Euros.

OFFICE DEPOT INC (NYSE: ODP)

If you just lined up $1B worth of borrowing, which could go up to $1.25B, what would you do with it? Buy something, maybe? Sound like a good idea? Well, that's what Office Depot just did, and may do. Now who are they going to buy? OfficeMax Inc (NYSE: OMX), maybe? Maybe. If true, then, along with Staples Inc (NASDAQ: SPLS), there would be just two biggies in retail office supplies, and the Depot would be number one.

OPENWAVE SYSTEMS INC (NASDAQ: OPWV)

And we're off! The stock has been on an upward trend for about a month. Volume is increasing. Sybase Inc (NYSE: SY) is in the lead to buy the phone browser and messaging company. What about Harbinger's push on the inside? Now it's BridgePort Networks in the pack. Will Openwave overtake it? The field is tightening. Others could move up and take the lead. No one knows for sure how this one gwill end, folks. What a finish it's going to be!

DILLARD'S INC (NYSE: DDS)

The founders may be seeking "strategic alternatives." Eyes wide open, please.

Vahan Janjigian, a quantitative analyst, sees value in Office Depot (NYSE: ODP), which he feels will benefit from growing acceptance of Microsoft's Vista operating system. Here's his latest from The Forbes Growth Investor.

Office Depot, he notes, operates 1,174 stores in the U.S. and Canada, including 16 new stores that opened during the quarter. Operations, he says, have improved ever since new management took over in 2005.

The pro forma operating profit margin expanded to 5.5% in 2006 from 4.6% in 2005 and 4.3% in 2004, he points out, and a remodeling initiative is boosting sales and profits by providing a better shopping experience and lower operating expenses.

Janjigian also notes that the company has expanded its line of private-label goods, which offer better value to customers yet carry higher margins. He estimates that private label sales now generate about one-fourth of net revenues.

However, the analyst points out, North American sales have been depressed as customers put off computer purchases while waiting for the Vista operating system from Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and he now expects sales to rise as Vista gains acceptance.

He suggests, "Sales should rise from Vista and any remaining weakness in comparable store sales should be offset by margin expansion."

He also notes that all older format stores should be remodeled within the next few years and about 350 new stores should be opened by 2008. He says, "The combination of top-line growth and expanding margins should help earnings grow at mid-teen rates. As such, we rate the stock a buy."

For more stock picks from the leading financial newsletter advisors, visit Steven Halpern's free daily website, TheStockAdvisors.com.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• General Electric Company (NYSE: GE) is near a deal to sell its plastics division to Saudi Basic Industries for $11B, reported the Wall Street Journal (subscription required).
• Anheuser-Busch Companies Inc (NYSE: BUD) has stopped making its Spykes malt beverage amid poor sales and criticism that it was marketing to underage drinkers, reported the Wall Street Journal.

OTHER PAPERS:

• According to the Telegraph, citing Cadbury-Schweppes ADS (NYSE: CSG), two rival private-equity groups are preparing to bid for the U.S. beverages arm of the company, with bids in the GBP8B range.
• The Times of India reported that Citigroup Inc (NYSE: C) is putting its captive business process outsourcing arm, which could be worth between $1B-$1.5B, on the block.
• BusinessWeek's "Inside Wall Street" column focused on OfficeMax Incorporated (NYSE: OMX), Verichip Corporation (NASDAQ: CHIP) and Morton's Restaurant Group (NYSE: MRT):
  
• Office Max may be a target for Staples Inc (NASDAQ: SPLS) or Office Depot Inc (NYSE: ODP).
  
• Verichip, a maker of RFID chips, is starting to get attention on Wall Street.
  
• Morton's is being helped by boardroom business being conducted at the upscale steakhouse.