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Sunday Funnies: Market Reruns Not Returns

All it takes is one story to ignite the market, reverse fortune and increase volatility. In the past two weeks this has happened a lot, as the tug-of-war between bulls and bears plays out. The fervor created by headlines portrays investors with little conviction about what to do with their money.

Inflation or deflation, what can we look forward to? Is China going to blow-up its economy with its very own housing bubble? Will Greece default and others follow? Will BP p.l.c. (BP) stock fall deeper than its undersea gushing Gulf of Mexico oil well, and take other oil service companies down with it?

Does any of this matter -- yes and no.

Continue reading Sunday Funnies: Market Reruns Not Returns

BP Bounces Off 52-Week Low

BP logoShares of BP PLC (BP) have been in free fall the past month as investors worry whether or not the company is going to be able to deal with the oil disaster in the Gulf, but the stock made a nice move today, gaining 12.3% on the day to close the session at $32.78.

While today's price jump was impressive, it was still not enough to make up for the 16% drop we saw yesterday, which marked the stock's worst trading day since 1972.

Continue reading BP Bounces Off 52-Week Low

JPMorgan Shifts Coverage of Offshore Drillers

JPMorgan Thursday morning rearranged its ratings on four oil service companies -- a reflection of the broker's shift toward large-cap oil firms and away from offshore drillers. While JPMorgan upgraded Baker Hughes (BHI) to overweight and Weatherford (WFT) to neutral, it cut Ensco (ESV) to neutral and reiterated Transocean (RIG) at neutral.

The brokerage's logic behind the BHI, WFT and ESV calls makes sense. But I am not too sure about the move on Transocean. Keeping in mind that Transocean is the owner of the Deepwater Horizon rig (leased to BP) that blew up and caused the massive oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico, JPMorgan believes that Wednesday's 8% drop in the stock was based on emotion, saying the stock is a "moving target."

Continue reading JPMorgan Shifts Coverage of Offshore Drillers

Oil Supplies Drop, Anyone Surprised?

oil suppliesIn Asian trade Thursday morning, oil was pushed past $74 per barrel following a report that crude inventories in the U.S. fell more than expected. The July crude contract hit $74.25 in late trading, an increase of $1.39 per barrel. The drop in oil supplies was attributed to growing consumer demand. A week ago, crude supplies dropped by 1.4 million barrels while analysts were calling for an increase of 1 million barrels.

According to Barclays Capital, "Oil prices are clearly at the mercy of jittery nerves and fragile sentiment ... Once the nerves calm down, and fundamentals reassert themselves, we would expect prices to move higher quickly." Solid reasoning, but I don't think that Barclays is really going out on a limb here.

Continue reading Oil Supplies Drop, Anyone Surprised?

BP Oil Spill Liability Estimated at $40 Billion

BP Plc (BP) is facing many problems as a result of the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico -- and now we are getting an idea of the financial ramifications of the spill (or at least one research firm's estimate). According to research firm Tudor Pickering Holt, BP and other companies face a liability of $35 billion to $40 billion as a result of the ongoing oil spill in the Gulf.

Analysts from the firm compared the current spill to the costs associated with the Exxon Valdez spill and added in some timing estimates and "guess work" to come up with a potential price tag. The analysts told Fox Business, "You've got to try and put some realistic projections on oil spill liability before you can try to value any stock involved."

Continue reading BP Oil Spill Liability Estimated at $40 Billion

Criminal Investigation Launched over BP Oil Spill

BP logoIt really is hard to believe that is has been six weeks since BP's (BP) oil well exploded and sank in the gulf, and even harder to believe that the company has still not been able to stop oil from leaking out into the ocean.

Everyone wants answers to what exactly led to the to oil rig's explosion, and today the U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder stated that a criminal investigation had been launched into the matter to determine which, if any, laws were broken leading up to the disaster.

Continue reading Criminal Investigation Launched over BP Oil Spill

Battle to 'Structure the Debate' on Off-Shore Oil Drilling Has Just Begun

In Washington, he who 'structures the debate' usually wins the public policy war.

Case in point: The impact of BP Plc.'s (BP) Gulf of Mexico oil spill on off-shore drilling. Even as public and private groups work feverishly to plug the leak, a battle to 'structure the debate' regarding the spill is going on at a similar pace.

If the oil spill is deemed roughly analogous to a commercial jetliner that crashed due to a pilot's error, there should be little concern about the fate of current and future off-shoring oil drilling projects.

Continue reading Battle to 'Structure the Debate' on Off-Shore Oil Drilling Has Just Begun

BP to Decide on Latest Attempt to Stop the Leak

It's already Wednesday but BP (BP) is still trying to decide whether to use its "top kill" method to stop the oil gushing out of a broken well at the bottom of the Gulf of Mexico. It's been more than a month since the explosion that caused the massive spill. The latest attempt includes "force-feeding" the leak with "heavy drilling mud and cement."

BP's CEO Tony Hayward told NBC's Today show that the "top kill" procedure could happen Wednesday if he okays the procedure. This is just the latest in a series of attempts by BP to stem the tide of flowing black gold from the busted pipeline.

Continue reading BP to Decide on Latest Attempt to Stop the Leak

BP Hopes to Stop Oil Leak (and Stock Slide) Next Week

BP Oil SpillIt's has been over a month since BP's (BP) oil well in the Gulf of Mexico exploded and collapsed, and the company has still not been able to stop the flow of oil into the ocean. The company's engineers are now hoping that they finally will be able to stop the leak as early as the 25th.

There has been a lot of debate over just how much oil is being leaked into the ocean. One thing is for sure: any oil is too much oil. Everyone is waiting to hear the good news that BP has been able to successfully stop the oil from spewing into the gulf.

Continue reading BP Hopes to Stop Oil Leak (and Stock Slide) Next Week

Oil from BP Spill Enters Loop Current, Putting Florida at Risk

The worst fear has occurred. Oil from the BP (BP) spill has been seen by the European Space Agency moving south into the fast-moving Loop Current -- a body of fast-flowing water coming from the Caribbean. They warn that the oil slick will reach Florida within approximately six days.

Scientists from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the U.S. government's climate body confirmed the oil movement, but said it was a "light sheen." It could mix with the water and be hard to detect.

Continue reading Oil from BP Spill Enters Loop Current, Putting Florida at Risk

BP Inserts Tube into Leaking Well, but Devastation May Be Far Worse

British Petroleum (BP) said it has made a breakthrough in controlling the oil gushing out of the broken well in the Gulf of Mexico. BP said it inserted a four-inch pipe wrapped with a rubber flange into the larger, leaking pipe to funnel the oil to a drill ship at the surface. The tube will capture only a portion of the gushing oil and is not a complete solution to the problem.

BP's next attempt at stopping the leak will be a "Junk shot." This consists of blasting pieces of rubber and golf balls into the well to stop the leak and then cap it. BP is also using sub sea dispersants to try and break up the oil plumes, but at this point it is not known how well the dispersant is working at deep levels.

Continue reading BP Inserts Tube into Leaking Well, but Devastation May Be Far Worse

Obama Reacts to What He Calls a 'Ridiculous Spectacle'

BP oil spillIt has been three weeks since a BP (BP) oil rig exploded and sank in the Gulf of Mexico, and still the company has not been able to stop oil from spewing into the gulf. Friday, the companies involved got a earful from President Obama.

The three companies involved in the oil spill are BP, Transocean Offshore (RIG) and Halliburton (HAL).

Continue reading Obama Reacts to What He Calls a 'Ridiculous Spectacle'

IEA Cuts Oil Demand Forecast, Cautions Against 'Knee-Jerk Reaction' to BP Spill

The 2010 oil demand outlook saga continues. The International Energy Agency created a hurdle of sorts for the rising-oil-demand-thesis advocates, by lowering its 2010 global oil demand forecast by 190,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 86.4 million bpd.

In its May report, the IEA quickly added that the revision stems largely from changes to non-historical baseline data, including slightly higher GDP prognoses, offset by a higher oil price assumption.

In its most recent forecast, OPEC, producer of about 40% of the world's oil, estimated global oil demand at 85.38 million bpd.

Continue reading IEA Cuts Oil Demand Forecast, Cautions Against 'Knee-Jerk Reaction' to BP Spill

BP's Attempt to Cap Oil Spill Fails

BP oil spillSince April 20 when a BP (BP) oil rig ruptured and toppled into the ocean, 5,000 barrels of oil a day have leaked into the ocean off the U.S. Gulf Coast.

So far, BP engineers have tried unsuccessfully to cap the rupture. Their latest attempt was to drop a 98-ton dome over the spill in hopes of containing the oil. This too, failed. Gas and underwater pressure formed ice crystals on top of the dome, forcing engineers to abort the plan.

To make matters worse, a vessel chartered by the Financial Times and oil spill consultants spotted thick crude oil deposits at the mouth of South Pass, one of the navigable channels of the Mississippi.

Continue reading BP's Attempt to Cap Oil Spill Fails

BP, Gulf Coast States Cross Fingers as Containment Dome Is Deployed

Gulf oil spillOn April 20, 2010, a BP (BP) oil rig ruptured and toppled into the ocean, killing 11 crew members and initiating a massive oil spill. Now, BP engineers have deployed a 98-ton container with which they hope to contain the primary oil leak.

An estimated 210,000 gallons have poured into the gulf each day since the leak began. So far, efforts to stop the gushing oil have been unsuccessful. First, robots tried to shut the valves that control the oil flow. This did not work. So now this four-story metal "funnel" has been suspended just above the oil leak. Engineers hope to lower it onto the sea floor within days. Doing so requires pin-point precision, and they are battling darkness and high underwater pressure.

Continue reading BP, Gulf Coast States Cross Fingers as Containment Dome Is Deployed

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