Over the past couple of months we have seen oil prices move steadily higher, but the precious crude sold off Monday as economic concerns returned to the market.

What a difference a week makes. This time last week we were seeing increased optimism that the current recession was nearing its end, but those hopes were wiped out late last week by disappointing consumer confidence and employment data.

There is too much noise on Wall Street, and it becomes clearer with each passing day why some of the best money managers and investors in the world choose to do their business from somewhere else.

The most famous of all being 'my pal' Warren Buffett who has operated his business from the amazing "financial Mecca" of Omaha, Nebraska.

Today I wake up to the news that the market is down because oil is down because the world economy may not be healing as fast as many had hoped.

Last week a rogue trader caused the price of oil to spike up to $73.00 per barrel. Last week also we had some bleak news hit the tape. The jobs market got worse with 467,000 jobs lost. Wages are dropping due to shortened work weeks and factory shut downs. Unemployment rose to 9.5%. Consumer confidence also fell.

Now all of this is finally penetrating the minds of investors. The stock market is selling off and now the word has gotten to the oil traders who are selling oil and oil products in the commodities markets. Crude oil for August delivery fell to $63.76 per barrel. Gasoline for August delivery fell 5.83 cents to $1.7325 per gallon and heating oil dropped 6.62 cents to $1.6354 per gallon. Natural gas slid 15.7 cents to $3.158 per 1000 cubic feet.

The unemployment numbers just came out and showed that the U.S. economy lost 467,000 jobs last month. That was the trigger for the oil traders. Within a few minutes oil dropped $2.02 per barrel to $67.19 at 9:07 EDT.

Adding fuel to the decline was the report that gasoline stockpiles rose by 2.9 million barrels, but crude dropped 3.7 million barrels.

Why did China raise its gasoline and diesel prices? Beijing has a pricing policy that uses a 22-day moving average of crude oil. With the price of crude oil trading at around $71 per barrel, China felt it necessary to raise the price of gasoline and diesel fuel 9% and 10%, respectively. This will raise the price of a gallon of gasoline to $3.00 per gallon, compared with the U.S. price of $2.66 a week ago, according to Reuters news service.

With economies around the world gaining ground this quarter, it follows that demand for crude oil is also increasing. So far we've seen a doubling of oil prices since last February. The main concern is, given the pace of recovery, is there a point where demand for crude oil and gasoline will taper off. If so, we may be looking at an intermediate top in oil prices. However, if world economies continue to improve, crude oil could move to $75 to $80 per barrel.

Drill, baby, drill was the calling card of the Republican Party during the last presidential election.

With high oil prices and rising demand, finding new sources of oil is imperative. Given environmental concerns, offshore drilling is one space that still offers meaningful potential to increase domestic supply.

Diamond Offshore Drilling (NYSE: DO) operates some 45 deep water rigs that are keeping extraordinarily busy with oil prices on the rise.

You have to love OPEC. It's not uncommon for the barons of the giant cartel to voice their interest in seeing oil at such-and-such a price.

Recently, OPEC reiterated its desire to see oil prices at $80 per barrel. This, they claim, is the price needed to spur additional investment in crude projects. Apparently, anything less will result in oil sitting idle in the ground.

Did commodities get ahead of themselves? And specifically, did one commodity -- the world's most important commodity -- get ahead of itself?

In macroeconomic terms, oil raced ahead about 100% in less than five months -- an eye-blink in macroeconomic terms -- to $72, all on the belief that the U.S. and global recessions were bottoming. Other pivotal commodities, such as copper, followed suit.

Oil moved up above $70 early in the session, but was unable to hold that momentum through the day. After its strong start to the day, prices dropped $2.19 to $67.83.

A major reason for the drop in prices can be attributed to the World Bank. The World Bank slashed its forecast for this year's global economic growth, and reported that the current recession is deepening.

What's the current, sexy trade by institutional investors? Buy oil, sell the dollar.

For market absolutists and conservative economists, this is an 'np' -- or nooo problem. Like oil? Knock yourself out, and buy away. Oil's sexiness, due to expected increases in oil demand as the U.S. and global economies recovery, is a major reason crude's price has increased about 100% in six months. Oil closed Wednesday up 56 cents to $71.01 per barrel.

Oil prices have dropped a bit this morning, challenging support at the $70 level, due mainly to what some call "mixed signals" about the U.S. economy. The black gold has backed off as data pointed to the fact that the U.S. economy is still weak, even if it is emerging from the recession.

On Tuesday, the Federal Reserve announced that industrial production dropped more than expected during May, which has triggered the new weakness in the oil patch. Crude prices have also felt the sting of the market's early week weakness as the Dow Jones Industrial Average has backed off from its recent rally. In addition, the dollar has played an important part in crude prices. A weak dollar leads to higher oil prices as commodities are considered a safe-haven investment against a weak dollar.

How do we know that world trade is loosening up? One indication is the U.S. trade deficit. Unfortunately the U.S. has been running a growing trade deficit for the past two months. You may be asking, what causes our trade deficit? The U.S. trade deficit is caused by importing more goods than we export. In April the trade gap widened by 2.4% from March to $29.2 billion. This follows a 10-year low in February.

The trade gap narrowed by 53% from a year ago when world trade collapsed from the global recession. The slight gains in the past two months indicate that some improvement is occurring in world commerce.

Stagflation, a period when inflation re-heats despite stagnant or non-existent economic growth, may be rearing its ugly head again.

And the culprit, or primary cause? The usual suspect: rising oil prices, many economists agree. Oil traded Tuesday above $70 per barrel -- a roughly 100% rise in six months.

Earlier this week we were looking at oil prices, and wondering if we would see the precious crude break through the psychological $70 barrier, and that is exactly what we saw today.

For the first time since last November, oil prices were briefly above $70 today, moving up as high as $70.32 before profit taking pushed oil prices down on the day. We finished up the week at $68.44, down 37 cents.

A couple of months ago, I would have bet that oil would probably peak out this summer in the upper $60's, and possibly move back through the psychological $70 mark, but it is starting to look like I would have been wrong. We have yet to hit the heart of the high demand summer driving months, and oil is already poised to break through $70 a barrel.

When we looked at oil prices yesterday we mentioned that the first place you are going to feel the recent jump in price is going to be at the gas station. And today, you will be seeing another slight jump in price as the national average for a gallon of gasoline moved over a penny higher last night to a current national average of $2.525.