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Closing Bell: Sudden euphoria, take 18 (C, DNDN, LOW, ORCL, SII)

Today started out strong with a weaker dollar ahead of tomorrow's FOMC meeting. We have a slew of data coming out the rest of the week and tomorrow's commentary on securities purchases and liquidity programs should likely beat out the notion that rates are still staying at near-zero percent.

Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 9,829.27 +50.41 (0.52%)
S&P 500 1,071.63 +6.97 (0.65%)
Nasdaq 2,146.30 +8.26 (0.39%)

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Continue reading Closing Bell: Sudden euphoria, take 18 (C, DNDN, LOW, ORCL, SII)

Drill into Schlumberger (SLB)

"The oil-services sector remains my favorite long-term play in the energy industry," says sector specialist Elliott Gue. In The Energy Strategist, the advisor looks to industry-leader Schlumberger (NYSE: SLB).

Gue explains, "Oil services firms will benefit directly from the increasing technical complexity of oilfield development. International business is the primary driver for Schlumberger, which generated only 22% of its revenues from North America in 2008.

"The important question is, where do we sit in the cycle for international operations? In my view, the second half of 2010 will mark the beginning of a new uptrend.

Continue reading Drill into Schlumberger (SLB)

Hurricane plays: Winners and losers

"I have four Hurricane Season stock picks -- two bullish, two bearish -- to play this summer's potentially wild weather," says Sean Broderick in his Uncommon Wisdom advisory.

"Last year's stormy weather spawned 16 named storms, which was higher than the long-term average of about 10 tropical storms and six hurricanes per year in a typical Atlantic hurricane season.

"The major hurricane forecasters have now made their predictions, and it's for a 'moderate' hurricane season. That's good news for America's oil and gas industry.

Continue reading Hurricane plays: Winners and losers

It will pay to own Schlumberger

It's an energy-intensive world, and even though the U.S. and global recessions have led to real declines in aggregate energy usage, don't look for that trend to continue.

Further, as Saudi Arabia reminds us, barring a breakthrough technology, fossil fuels will remain a major energy source for at least the next thirty to fifty years. In other words, the reign of oil has merely paused, not ended, which is why it's appropriate to review Schlumberger (NYSE: SLB).

Continue reading It will pay to own Schlumberger

Consider Frontline, unless you think oil won't remain a primary energy source

Readers of this space know that one of the preferred sectors is oil/oil services, and an extension of the above concerns companies whose fate is linked directly to the demand for oil. And with the aforementioned in mind, Frontline Ltd. (NYSE: FRO) is worth a review.

Frontline is a shipping company that operates very large crude carriers (VLCC) and Suezmax tankers. The company transports primarily crude oil products, but also raw materials (coal, iron ore).

Continue reading Consider Frontline, unless you think oil won't remain a primary energy source

Consider Atwood, because the world will be oil-hungry again, soon

Readers of this space know that one of the preferred plays is oil/oil services. And why not? Demand for the world's most important commodity has merely paused with the global recession, and it has not been displaced.

True, alternate energy sources will increase in terms of the percentage of total energy consumed in the decades ahead, but oil has such a dominate share it will remain a major energy source for a long time, which is why contract driller Atwood Oceanics (NYSE: ATW) worth a review.

Continue reading Consider Atwood, because the world will be oil-hungry again, soon

Time to get-ahead-of-the-pack with Cameron

The Obama administration's promise to create a more self-reliant, energy-independent nation and the impact of efforts to first limit, then eliminate global warming from fossil fuels opens the door to alternative energy source development.

But, as Saudi Arabia reminds us, and the world, barring a breakthrough technology, fossil fuels will remain a major energy source for at least the next thirty to fifty years. In other words, oil is down now, but it's not out, and so Cameron International Corporation (NYSE: CAM) is worth a review.

Continue reading Time to get-ahead-of-the-pack with Cameron

Schlumberger's first-quarter earnings drop but still top expectations

Early this morning, oil firm Schlumberger (NYSE: SLB) reported earnings of 78 cents per share -- which was considerably lower than last year's same-quarter results of $1.09 per share. While the results were worse than a year ago, SLB managed to top the consensus estimate by three cents. Quarterly revenue totaled $6.0 billion, which was off from last year's revenue of $6.29 billion.

SLB, which is the world's largest oilfield services company, attributed the lower results to a slump in energy demand, which forced customers to reduce activity and search for price reductions. The company also noted that the rate of decline in its oilfield services division dropped considerably compared to the fourth quarter, thanks mainly to a sharp drop in the firm's North American natural gas rig count. SLB stated, "Our visibility on 2009 has not materially changed from the end of the fourth quarter."

Continue reading Schlumberger's first-quarter earnings drop but still top expectations

Oceaneering is well-positioned for the next oil boom

Few sectors contained more promise during the recent global GDP expansion than drillers and oil servicers. However, few sectors became more oversold than the aforementioned, as well, during the oil bust in 2008.

Further, while one should not expect oil to return to the $140-range anytime soon, the notion that oil will remain in the $40-50 range for a long time is equally slim. And that makes the case for Oceaneering International (NYSE: OII).

Continue reading Oceaneering is well-positioned for the next oil boom

Smooth seas for Oceaneering International (OII)

"We see smooth seas ahead for deepsea driller Oceaneering International (NYSE: OII)," says Richard Moroney.

The editor of the blue chip advisory, Dow Theory Forecasts, explains, "Most of the world's untapped oil reserves lie under the ocean floor, and oil producers are spending an increasing portion of their capital budgets on deepwater drilling."

"While oil prices don't directly affect Oceaneering International's profits and cash flows, they do move the stock. Oil prices fell by two-thirds in the second half of 2008, pushing Oceaneering shares under $20 for the first time since July 2005.

Continue reading Smooth seas for Oceaneering International (OII)

Oilfield services: Four favorite turnarounds

"Many experts believe that oil prices are at unsustainably low prices now, and they expect a sharp rise in the commodity price as supply and demand come back into line again," says turnaround expert George Putnam.

In The Turnaround Letter, he suggests, "If oil does begin to rise again, the oilfield service stocks could rebound sharply." Here, he takes a look at large cap plays on a rebound within the oilfield services sector.

"We all know that oil prices have fallen dramatically from their highs in the summer of 2008. But different types of oil-related stocks have reacted quite differently to the price change in the underlying commodity.

"For example, while oil itself has dropped nearly 70% from its 12-month high, the stock of the largest integrated oil company, Exxon-Mobil (NYSE: XOM), is down only 26%, less than the stock market as a whole.

Continue reading Oilfield services: Four favorite turnarounds

Schlumberger: 'Best of breed' in oil services

"Long term, supply remains the key issue to watch in the crude oil market; depressed prices continue to force producers to scale back on exploration and development spending," says energy expert Elliott Gue.

In The Energy Strategist, he says, "I watch oil service giant Schlumberger (NYSE: SLB) as a gauge of overall health in energy markets; it has its hands in just about every imaginable oil- or gas-producing market on the planet."

"Schlumberger's fourth quarter earnings release and conference call were far and away the most bearish from the company in at least five years.

"CEO Andrew Gould was notably downbeat, particularly during the analysts' question and answer (Q&A) session. Predictably, earnings estimates have plummeted since that call.

Continue reading Schlumberger: 'Best of breed' in oil services

Schlumberger (SLB): Drilling for value

"Valuations for even the best-placed, most well-established companies in the energy space are sitting at levels unseen since the late 1990s when oil prices collapsed to around $10 per barrel," says energy sector specialist Elliott Gue.

Here, the editor of The Energy Strategist looks at Schlumberger (NYSE: SLB), noting, "The firm active in just about every imaginable market and I regard the company as a top-notch indicator of ongoing trends in the oil services business."

"It's clear that there's been some slowing in demand, and the credit crunch has had an impact on the fundamental business. But the reaction in the stock market over the past three months goes well beyond even a worst-case scenario.

"Bottom line: Many energy-related stocks are pricing in a severe recession and recent action in the broader markets is reminiscent of sentiment characteristically seen near market lows. The short-term outlook for the energy patch is much better now than it was during the bear market in 1998 and 2002.

"I regard Schlumberger as a top-notch indicator of ongoing trends in the oil services business and, more broadly, international oil and gas drilling activity. I always pay close attention to what Schlumberger has to say in its conference calls and, as usual, this quarter's call was instructive.

Continue reading Schlumberger (SLB): Drilling for value

Transocean bumps Halliburton from Goldman's conviction buy list

Goldman Sachs shook up its ratings on the oil-services sector today, and made a notable adjustment to its "conviction buy" list -- Halliburton (NYSE: HAL) was ousted from the roster in favor of Transocean Inc. (NYSE: RIG). The brokerage firm still maintains a "buy" rating on HAL, but it's pretty obvious that the stock is now playing Jan Brady to RIG's Marcia.

So, why does Goldman prefer RIG to HAL? The former is more strongly levered to oil than the latter -- and, going forward, the analysts expect strong fundamentals and heightened oil prices to support "oilier" stocks. In a note to clients, Goldman said, "... we continue to expect a healthy oil-services spending environment through 2010, supported by low reinvestment rates and secular trends to more complex, high-margin drilling services."

Despite the bullish "buy" ratings on both securities, Goldman tempered its optimism by trimming its price targets on the duo. HAL's forecast was slashed from $63 to $58, while RIG's was trimmed from $189 to $178. The new price targets represent a 44.5% premium from HAL's closing price yesterday, and a 47% increase from RIG's Thursday settlement.

Continue reading Transocean bumps Halliburton from Goldman's conviction buy list

Drilling for gains in offshore drilling services

"Our 'Forecasts Focus List' contains only two energy stocks, both of which are in the oil services sector: Oceaneering International (NYSE: OII) and Transocean (NYSE: RIG)," says blue chip advisor Richard Moroney.

The editor of Dow Theory Forecasts says, "While stocks in the equipment and services group tend to move with oil prices in the near term, their profits depend more on exploration spending than on commodity prices."

"Concerns about slowing demand for crude oil and re?ned products both in the U.S. and overseas have many investors worried. But investors in the equipment and services group should not panic.

"Most producers continue to spend aggressively. And U.S. crude-oil inventories remain well below the average for this time of year, with fewer than 20 days of supply in storage.

"Demand for offshore-drilling services remains strong, giving Transocean excellent growth potential. Consensus estimates project per-share profits will rise 69% in 2008 and 15% in 2009. Transocean, the world's largest offshore drilling contractor, operates in every major drilling region.

"A combination of tight global rig supplies and the ongoing discovery of new offshore reserves have driven rig lease rates higher and kept Transocean's fleet busy. The company's largest, most expensive rigs are 95% sold out for 2009, and the backlog is growing.

Continue reading Drilling for gains in offshore drilling services

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-14.2810,318.16
NASDAQ-10.782,146.04
S&P 500-3.521,091.38

Last updated: November 22, 2009: 08:57 AM

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