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Options Update: iShares MSCI South Korea Index Fund April Volatility Low, July Elevated

iShares MSCI South Korea Index Fund (EWY) April put option implied volatility is at 25, July is at 29; compared to its 26-week average of 27, according to Track Data, suggesting less near-term price movement compared to outer month risk.

CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) closed up 1.53 to 19.44.

Option volume leaders today: Apple (AAPL), Citigroup (C), Netflix (NFLX), Kraft (KFT), according to Track Data.

Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Chuck Adds optionsXpress to Schwab's Portfolio

Charles Schwab (SCHW) has announced its decision to acquire optionsXpress (OXPS) in a friendly all-stock deal. This deal will help Schwab compete with other firms like E-Trade (ETFC), Ameritrade (AMTD), and Bank of America (BAC), which all have large online brokerage services and are vying to provide investors with the best tools and services.

The deal, which is expected to close by the third quarter of 2011, will cost Schwab $1 billion, and the company will issue 60 million new shares to swap each outstanding share of optionsXpress with 1.02 of its own shares. Our $19.74 price estimate for Charles Schwab is at a premium of almost 12% to its current market value.

Continue reading Chuck Adds optionsXpress to Schwab's Portfolio

Options Update: Berkshire Hathaway Volatility at Low End of Range

Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) overall option implied volatility of 21 is below its 26-week average of 24, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement for Warren Buffett's conglomerate.

Wendy's/Arby's (WEN) overall option implied volatility is at 40, below its 26-week average of 47, according to Track Data, suggesting less risk into its investor's day on January 27.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Options Update: JPMorgan January Call Spreaders Active on Low Volatility

JPMorgan (JPM) January 39 and 41 calls are active on total call volume of 100K contracts, compared to 40K puts. December and January call option implied volatility is at 27, February is at 29, below its 26-week average of 35, according to Track Data. Large call volume suggests spreaders positioning for tighter price movement.

DuPont (DD) is hosting an investor day on Dec. 9. Overall option implied volatility of 25 is near its 26-week average, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Option volume leaders today: BAC, LVS, AAPL, C, according to Track Data.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Chasing Value: "Home Prices Are About to Bottom"

"Home Prices Are About to Bottom" was the headline for the Barron's cover story the week of July 14, 2008. The story explained that the housing market should level off in many areas of the country by the end of the year.

I have made some equally unfortunate prognostications in my tenure at BloggingStocks, so my purpose is not to poke fun at Barron's but to point out that here we are, over two years later, and it is still debatable whether the housing market has bottomed out.

Continue reading Chasing Value: "Home Prices Are About to Bottom"

Options Update: Intuitive Surgical November Volatility Elevated, Shares Sell Off 5%

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) closed down $15.32 to $290.26 on Monday. Goldman Sachs initiated a sell rating on ISRG. October put option implied volatility is at 38, November and January is at 42, versus its 26-week average of 37, according to Track Data, suggesting larger November price movement.

Transocean (RIG) closed up $2.30 to $62.36. RIG calls are active on 51K calls (30K puts) with concentrated volume in November calls. October call option implied volatility is at 37, November is at 41, January is at 37, versus its 26-week average of 43, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Options Update: Apple Volatility Low, Shares Approach Record High

Apple (AAPL) closed up $1.93 to $272.15 on Thursday. More calls than puts traded on total option volume of 359,000 contracts. AAPL October put option implied volatility is at 29, January is at 33, below its six-month average of 36, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Alcoa (AA) is expected to report Q3 EPS on October 7. October put option implied volatility is at 36, January is at 39, versus its 26-week average of 42, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing near-term movement into EPS.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Options -- A Foolish Bet on BP?

Earlier today, I posted Whose Best Interests Are Served If BP Is Pushed into Bankruptcy? where I disclosed having taken a position in BP p.l. c. (BP), and for better or worse my first test will be the market close on July 16, 2010.

Over the past year, I have started reporting on various put options that I have been doing. In today's example, I sold to open BP at a July strike price of $22.50 (a naked put), receiving $0.50 per share.

My break even is $22.00, and the stock opened today at $27.65 with three weeks to go.

Continue reading Options -- A Foolish Bet on BP?

More Options Volume in Las Vegas Sands; This Time on the Bull Side

Las Vegas Sands in 1955Earlier this morning, Elizabeth Harrow wrote about a call seller in front-month Las Vegas Sands (LVS) options, expressing a moderately bearish outlook. That wasn't all the excitement in the Sands pits today, however, as we also saw call-spread activity in the September series. In contrast to the call selling, this particular trade represented a moderately bullish thesis.

In late-morning action, more than 8,000 calls had changed hands simultaneously on both the September 23 and 27 strikes. Given the open interest levels heading into today's session, it is probable that this volume was initiated to open. It looks as though the 23-strike calls (in-the-money by more than $4) were bought for $6.08 per contract while the 27-strike calls (in-the-money by about 60 cents) were sold for $3.48 each, resulting in a net debit of $2.60 per bull call spread.

Continue reading More Options Volume in Las Vegas Sands; This Time on the Bull Side

Bulls Buying Calls in Research in Motion

Research in Motion RIMM logoResearch in Motion (RIMM) shares closed down Wednesday, under-performing the broader market, which finished near break even. RIMM didn't report any news of its own accord, but investors likely reacted to an ill-received earnings guidance from mobile-phone peer Nokia Corporation (NOK). A large-scale options trader evidently used yesterday's pullback as an opportunity to scoop up some longer-dated call options.

Early yesterday, a block of around 7,000 out-of-the-money January 85 calls hit the tape for $1.45 per contract ($145 apiece), for a total premium of slightly more than $1 million paid. While open interest is already 10,000 at this strike, it appears these calls were bought to open, judging from an increase in implied volatility (and the fact that these options have more than six months until expiration).

Continue reading Bulls Buying Calls in Research in Motion

'Potential Buy' on Intel (INTC): A Put-Selling Strategy

Intel INTC logoRight now you could sell a put option on Intel (INTC) and pocket a bunch of cash," says Karim Rahemtulla. The contributing editor to White Cap Research explains, "There's no time like a down market to enter 'potential' positions in high-quality stocks."

"Thing is, as volatility continues to ramp-up, options premiums increase right along with it. This means when you buy options, you'll pay more. And when you sell options, you'll get more.

Continue reading 'Potential Buy' on Intel (INTC): A Put-Selling Strategy

An Intel (INTC) Bull Makes a Big Bet

One Intel (INTC) investor placed a sizable bullish bet earlier this morning by selling puts and buying calls to simulate a long stock position using options. Shortly after 11:00 AM, this investor bought roughly 10,000 October 25 calls for 47 cents apiece and simultaneously sold 10,000 October 18 puts for 80 cents apiece, collecting a total of 33 cents per spread. Both the call and the put are out-of-the-money, each by about 16%.

Because this type of spread carries a similar risk profile as Intel long stock (without the required capital needed to buy the shares outright), it is occasionally referred to as a "synthetic long stock." Since the call and put are at different strikes in this trade, the strategy is technically called a "synthetic long stock – split strikes."

Continue reading An Intel (INTC) Bull Makes a Big Bet

Option Buyers Extend Their AIG Bet

AIG FlagWith the broader market see-sawing between positive and negative territory, American International Group (AIG) has been consistently higher since the open. Currently, in mid-afternoon trading, the shares are up more than 4% on reports that the company may be restructuring the $35.5 billion sale of its AIA Group to Prudential of the U.K.

Options traders are taking this opportunity to roll existing positions in AIG from the soon-to-expire May series to the June series. Specifically, 9,000 May 55 calls have been sold to close for 27 cents each and 7,000 of the June 55 calls have been bought to open for $1.10. The trader in question effectively paid 87 cents per trade to roll these positions to the later-dated series.

Continue reading Option Buyers Extend Their AIG Bet

Option Bulls Like the Look of Ford Motor

As my old friend Mark reported earlier this morning, Ford Motor (F) posted strong sales in Europe last month. Sales increased 16.1% on the continent in March, making the Detroit-based automaker the leading seller of vehicles in the European market.

This news has not gone unnoticed on the Street today, as F has jumped almost 2% higher. The options market has perked up as well, as more than 205,000 option contracts have already traded today and calls are outpacing puts roughly six to one. Early on (shortly after the opening bell sounded), more than 21,000 May 15 calls were purchased for about 25 cents apiece. This is a small premium to put at risk for the potential unlimited upside above $15.25 (the breakeven price).

Continue reading Option Bulls Like the Look of Ford Motor

Potash Bears Emerge After Goldman Downgrade

Potash (POT) has been severely underperforming the broader market of late, losing almost 15% of its value during the past four weeks. Things aren't looking much better today, as the stock has surrendered nearly 3% following a downgrade at Goldman Sachs. The brokerage lowered its rating on POT (along with its peer - Mosaic ( MOS)) to "neutral" from "buy" today. Goldman also trimmed its 12-month price target on POT to $123.69 from $131, citing a number of fundamental concerns, including weak volume and lower corn prices.

Continue reading Potash Bears Emerge After Goldman Downgrade

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IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
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Last updated: February 12, 2012: 06:27 AM

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