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Analyst upgrades 1-3-07: Home Depot, Google at the top

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Home Depot (NYSE: HD) and Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) were the most notable upgrades for the first trading session of 2007.
  • Home Depot (NYSE: HD) was upgraded to Strong Buy from Hold with a $50 target at Raymond James, expecting that the worst is over in the housing market with hopes 2007 will be a better year.
  • Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) was added to Stifel Nicolaus' Select List while maintaining its Buy rating, citing Google's growth rate as compared to its peers. Note that Stifel removed eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY) from their Select List.

OTHER UPGRADES:
  • Bear Stearns upgraded JB Hunt Transport (NASDAQ: JBHT) to Outperform from Peer Perform with a $27 target; the firm expects JB Hunt to Outperform its pure truckload competitors during the downturn and for a potential buyer to surface.
  • Bear Stearns also upgraded Merck (NYSE: MRK) to Outperform from Peer Perform with a $53 target, based on improved sales growth for Vytorin/Zetia, growth from Junuvia and vaccines, along with pipeline catalysts.
  • Piper Jaffray upgraded shares of Pacific Sunwear (NASDAQ: PSUN) to Outperform from Market Perform with a $25 target, believing that tight inventory management favors margin improvement and that business at core stores have stabilized.
  • Calyon upgraded UAL Corp (NASDAQ: UAUA) to Add from Neutral and raised their target to $48 from $35 based on good prospects for 2007.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Holiday sales season: The data arrives

Analysis provided by Eric Buscemi of Theflyonthewall.com:

Earlier in the week we blogged about Wal-Mart's Same-Store Sales miss, saying this was not enough information to signal the awful holiday shopping season the market predicted from the indicator. With more information now available, we thought we would review:

  • Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE:WMT) confirmed its preliminary SSS estimate of -0.1%, which at least did not drop further. Competitors Target Corp. (NYSE:TGT) and Costco Wholsesale Corp. (NASDAQ:COST) also announced their SSS numbers, with Target outperforming slightly [+5.9% vs. +5.7%] and Costco underperforming slightly [+5% vs. +5.7%]
  • High-end retail looked good, with both Federated Department Stores Inc. (NYSE:FD) [+8.4% vs. +4.8%] and Saks Inc. (NYSE:SKS) [+7.2% vs. +6.8%] outperforming
  • Clothing retailers were mixed, with Guess Inc. (NYSE:GES) [+12.1% vs. +5.6%], Pacific Sunwear of California Inc. (NASDAQ:PSUN) [-3.8% vs. -4.6%] and Hot Topic Inc. (NASDAQ:HOTT) [-4.3% vs. -6.8%] beating consensus estimates, while Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (NYSE:ANF) [-3% vs. +3%], Bebe Stores Inc. (NASDAQ:BEBE) [+5.8% vs. +7.9%] and perennial underperformer Gap Inc. (NYSE:GPS) [-8% vs. -5.4%] fell short of their estimates
  • Speaking of perennial underperformers, Pier 1 Imports Inc. (NYSE:PIR) [-15.3% vs. -13.6%] and Sharper Image Corp. (NASDAQ:SHRP) [-27% vs. -18%] continued embarrassing their investors.

This adds up to a mixed bag for retailers, with the sector as a whole seeing a good deal of weakness today. This Fly maintains that it is still too early to predict doom and gloom for the whole season, however. The true telling sign for the holiday shopping season will be in consumer electronics, as CIBC World Markets channel checks predict that consumer electronics "won the day" on Black Friday.

Analyst initiations 11-7-06: Palm initiated with Buy

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Palm Inc. (PALM) and Pacific Sunwear (PSUN) top today's modest initiation list.

  • Bank of America initiated coverage of Palm, Inc. (NASDAQ:PALM) with a Buy citing the company's position in the fast growing smartphone market and expectations for upside in new Treo Launches.
  • Pacific Sunwear of California, Inc. (NASDAQ:PSUN) was initiated at Caris with an Average rating. The firm said shares of Pacific Sunwear should be avoided until the company clears up their inventory and merchandise problems.

OTHER INITIATIONS:

  • CIBC resumed coverage and upgraded shares of Goldcorp, Inc. (NYSE:GG) to Sector Outperformer from Sector Performer after the firm said the market had not priced in the higher zinc and lead prices.
  • Nintendo (OTC:NTDOY) was initiated with a Buy rating at Soleil because of its dominant position in the hand-held segment.
  • Finally, Isis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:ISIS) was initiated at Cowen with an Outperform rating. The firm said Isis has a potential "blockbuster" therapeutic in the cholesterol market. They believe Isis could outperform the market by 40% over the next six-to-twelve months.

Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Analyst upgrades 10-30-06: Yahoo! and Lockheed Martin upgraded to Buy

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Yahoo! (YHOO) and Lockheed Martin (LMT) top today's extensive list of upgrades.

  • Yahoo!, Inc. (NASDAQ:YHOO) was upgraded at Merrill Lynch to Buy from Neutral on valuation as the company heads into the seasonally-strong period.
  • Goldman Sachs upgraded Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE:LMT) to Buy from Neutral citing valuation, margin expansion and consistent execution.

OTHER UPGRADES:

  • Pacific Sunwear of California, Inc. (NASDAQ:PSUN) business is bottoming, according to J.P. Morgan. They believe a new CEO could help a recovery, prompting the firm to upgrade the retailer to Neutral from Underweight.
  • Cephalon, Inc. (NASDAQ:CEPH) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Leerink Swann. The upgrade was based on increasing confidence in their pain franchise, positive feedback from MEDACorp consultants and increased confidence in earnings power.
  • Finally, L-3 Communications Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:LLL) was added to Goldman Sachs' Americas Buy List. Goldman cited the above average organic revenue growth, new management strategy and defense contract opportunities.

Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

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Last updated: May 28, 2012: 11:34 PM

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