"If you want what you never had, then do what you have never done."

I don't know to whom to attribute that quote. It was on a T-shirt my niece was wearing when we went to her home for Christmas dinner. When I saw it, it hit me like a warm balmy breeze on a cold December day. Those are the simple words which I have never condensed into such a simple statement, yet they are representative of the dynamics which have colored my life. Yes, I'm that guy you never really got to know when you worked with him or went to school with him. I'm that guy who was "over there". I'm that guy who fights against conventional wisdom. It's not because I can't buy into the concepts of what already works. It's a matter of a bull headed refusal to be limited by a blind acceptance of the status quo. What already works isn't always good enough to satisfy me.

That's my position on eBay, Inc. (NYSE: EBAY). As a matter of fact, what already works over there doesn't seem to be working so well these days. I received an unofficial report today that as of Dec. 24, 2006, eBay listing count has dropped below 10 million. If that's true, it equals an over 30% decrease of average listing volume in the last quarter. This does somewhat mimic historical performance over the last three years.The most up-to-date figures that I can get which I trust are from medved up to Dec. 16, which show eBay listing volume at about 14.3 million on that date. In any case, based on my tracking of the numbers, things aren't really too good on eBay for overall listing quality and volume. The numbers over the next 30 days will tell the story as to the true effects of the eBay "revolutionaries" on that site and their future. If there is not a significant jump in listing volume beginning in January, be ready for some heads to roll.

The general consensus on yesterday's announced partnership between Google and Dell to pre-load Google's search toolbar and homepage on Dell PCs seems to be: Google + , Microsoft - and Dell ~. According to Moors & Cabot research VP Cindy Shaw, as quoted in the New York Times, "It's a slight positive for Dell ... But it will not solve Dell's larger issues. It's not going to be what gets people to buy a Dell."

Dell's bigger issues include a major decline in profit, and no one seems to think this partnership will result in huge additional revenues for the nation's biggest PC manufacturer. Good Morning Silicon Valley puts most of the analysis in their headline regarding the deal, wondering, "How soon can we get these Google apps added to the Dell De-crapifier?", and mentioning that it's a net positive for Google in the search wars: "It's a turnkey solution for Google as well, at least when it comes to wresting control of PC users' default settings away from Microsoft." Meanwhile, Garett Rogers at Googling Google "didn't realize this was news" and hopes for Google software on every Dell sold and -- no, that's not all -- wants even more deals in the future.

For Amit Agarwal, it's not the smiley happy party it seems to be for the Google fans 'round the net. He warns glumly in a tantalizing headline that the deal is "Dangerous for Desktop Search Industry." He worries that default-setting-not-changing users will "miss the innovations from other desktop search companies" and wonders how long it is until Microsoft runs to the DOJ, as Google just did in anger over Vista's default-happy browser. Steve Bryant from Infoweek seems to agree with the general negative feelings towards Google, calling the company an "infovore."