pby posts
FeedPosted Apr 20th 2009 10:30AM by Jim Cramer (RSS feed)
Filed under: PepsiCo (PEP), Ford Motor (F), General Motors (GM), Market matters, Walgreen Co (WAG), Citigroup Inc. (C), Target Corp. (TGT), Brinker Intl (EAT), Penney (J.C.) (JCP), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), American Express (AXP), AutoNation Inc (AN), AutoZone Inc (AZO), Centex Corp (CTX), Charles Schwab Corp (SCHW), Kellogg Co (K), Hershey Co (HSY), Sears Holdings (SHLD), CVS Corp (CVS), Gap Inc (GPS), General Mills (GIS), Procter and Gamble (PG), Yum Brands (YUM), Kohl's Corp (KSS), Johnson Controls (JCI), Gilead Sciences (GILD), Nordstrom, Inc (JWN), Unilever ADR (UL), Jones Apparel Group (JNY), Cramer on BloggingStocks, Recession, E*TRADE (ETFC)
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer is seeing signs of a coming boom, but he's still being cautious here. If you had to define the early cycle, if you had to outline what stocks should be soaring coming out of a recession into a boom and which ones should be faltering, you would have to say the action in this market in the last month is the quintessential behavioral pattern.
What are the components of the early cycle? First, it's the homebuilders. As is typical coming out of a recession, the stocks precede the bottom of housing. That's exactly what's happening with the lowest permits and highest affordability and best mortgage rates and massive inventory. Everywhere, except on Wall Street reporting, the bottom is bursting out. When you read the lead story in the Sunday Philadelphia Inquirer, and it is all about the thousands of prospective homebuyers heading south to pick up condos and homes for half of what they were worth two years ago -- or even less -- and you know that virtually no one has broken ground in the Sunshine State in a year, you can bet that the bottom's actually behind us. This housing market has wiped out all but the most stable private builders and even the public ones are merging as we know from
Pulte (NYSE:
PHM) (
Cramer's Take) and
Centex (NYSE:
CTX) (
Cramer's Take). So, in the next cycle, you can see some profitability developing year over year even though the new homes don't have much margin because the foreclosed homes next door are going for a song. And don't believe this won't change the dynamic of future foreclosures. In most areas, rent is higher than the interest on mortgages, so you will find that second or third job needed to stay in your home. The incentive structure's radically different than a year ago.
Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: The seductive pull of the early cycle
Posted Jan 26th 2009 12:55PM by Eric Buscemi (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Bed Bath and Beyond (BBBY), Chevron Corp (CVX), Lennar Corp'A' (LEN), Analyst initiations
Analyst upgrades:
- Citigroup upgraded shares of Lennar (NYSE:LEN) to Buy from Hold on valuation as they believe the recent sell-off on concerns of fraud is overdone. The firm thinks the allegations made by Barry Minkow/Fraud Discovery Institute are unfounded and has an $11 target on shares.
- Merriman upgraded Nautilus Group (NYSE:NLS) to Neutral from Sell after meeting with management to reflect increased optimism on the company's turnaround.
- Baird upgraded Leap Wireless (NYSE:LEAP) to Outperform from Neutral based on valuation and strong subscriber trends.
- Transocean (NYSE:RIG) was added to Goldman's Conviction Buy List.
- Pearson PLC (NYSE:PSO) was raised to Neutral from Underweight at JP Morgan.
- Smith & Nephew (NYSE:SNN) was lifted to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse.
Analyst downgrades:
- JP Morgan downgraded Bed Bath & Beyond (NASDAQ:BBBY) to Underweight from Neutral and lowered their target to $20 from $26 as they believe potential benefits from the Linens' N Things closing are being overstated and that the risk/reward is unfavorable at current levels.
- Keefe Bruyette downgraded Citizens Republic (NASDAQ:CRBC) to Market Perform from Outperform and cut their target to $3 from $7 to reflect the company's lower capital position.
- UBS downgraded Energizer (NYSE:ENR) to Sell from Neutral and lowered their target to $40 from $48 citing signs of a battery price war, Wal-Mart's (NYSE:WMT) reduction in space allocation, and the company's cuts in investment.
- Chevron (NYSE:CVX) was removed from Goldman's Conviction Buy List.
- MetroPCS (NYSE:PCS) was lowered to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital.
- Lincoln Electric (NASDAQ:LECO) was cut to Sell from Neutral at Piper Jaffray.
Analyst initiations:
- Global Hunter believes Pep Boys (NYSE:PBY) is well-positioned to benefit from increased demand for replacement parts and maintenance services as new car purchases are deferred. Shares were initiated with a Buy rating and $5.50 target.
- Jefferies started Sanofi-Aventis (NYSE:SNY) with an Underperform rating and sees downside risk to the stock from the potential introduction of Lovenox generics in the U.S.
- Merriman assumed Alter Nrg (NYSE:ANRGF) with a Neutral rating and recommends waiting on the sidelines pending increased visibility on the company's gasification projects.
- JP Morgan (NYSE:JPM) was re-initiated with a Buy rating at Goldman. Shares were also added to Goldman's Conviction Buy List.
- Hudson City Bancorp (NYSE:HCBK) was assumed with an Overweight rating and $15 target at Barclays.
- DG FastChannel (NASDAQ:DGIT) was initiated at BWS Financial with a Strong Buy rating and $30 target.
Posted Sep 7th 2008 12:30PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Forecasts, Economic data
In last week's preview we took a peek at expectations for Campbell Soup earnings, but now the company is scheduled to report fiscal fourth quarter results this coming Thursday. With Krispy Kreme also among the handful of companies scheduled to report this week, we may yet see whether consumers are turning to comfort foods in these uncertain times.
Campbell Soup Co. (NYSE: CPB), the world's biggest soup maker, is still expected by analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial to post net income of 25 cents per share (up 44.0% from a year ago) on revenue of $1.7 billion (up 7.4%). The Camden, N.J.-based company has just missed earnings estimates in the past few quarters. Its long-term EPS growth forecast is 7.9%, which is less than the industry average, but about the same as rivals Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT) and HJ Heinz (NYSE: HNZ). The analysts' consensus recommendation is currently to buy Campbell.
Hip, Canadian apparel retailer Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ: LULU) is also anticipated to be a big earnings gainer when it reports this week. Net income is expected to come in at 13 cents per share (up 46.2% from a year ago) on revenue of $88.2 million (up 50.3%). Lululemon met expectations when it reported 12 cents per share in the previous quarter. Its long-term EPS growth forecast is a healthy 40.2%, which is better than the industry average and that of rival Under Armour Inc. (NYSE: UA). The analysts' consensus recommendation is currently to buy Lululemon.
Continue reading The week in preview: Chicken soup (or a doughnut) for the recession-weary soul?
Posted Jun 14th 2008 9:10AM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Microsoft (MSFT), PepsiCo (PEP), Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (KKD), Alcoa Inc (AA), Best Buy (BBY), Nortel Networks (NT), QUALCOMM Inc (QCOM), Texas Instruments (TXN), ,
Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
Continue reading Earnings highlights: Lehman, UBS, Krispy Kreme, Pepsico, Pep Boys and others
Posted Jun 11th 2008 5:10AM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports
On Tuesday, retail auto parts and repair chain Pep Boys Manny, Moe & Jack (NYSE: PBY) reported that its fiscal first-quarter profit jumped on a gain from selling properties and then leasing them back. Meanwhile, Quality Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: QSII), a provider of software for medical and dental group practices, said its net income for the fiscal fourth quarter surged on strong maintenance revenue growth.
Philadelphia-based Pep Boys first-quarter net income rose 47% from a year ago to $4.7 million, or 9 cents per share, which included a $5.5 million net gain related to the sale-leaseback transactions.
For the quarter ended May 3, revenue fell 8% to $498 million, and same-store sales fell 5.6%.
Analysts polled by Thomson Financial, on average, had predicted a loss of 3 cents per share, on revenue of $497.2 million.
Shares rose 89 cents Tuesday, or 10.2%, to $9.62, then rose another 3 cents in after-hours trading. Shares are down 16.2% year to date.
Continue reading Pep Boys and Quality Systems report boosts in quarterly earnings
Posted Jun 8th 2008 12:30PM by Andrew Horowitz (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Economic data,
At best it was a week that was difficult; at worst it was a very concerning sign about what is to come. We have finally seen a significant drop in the overall sentiment due to extraordinarily high oil prices mixed with an unemployment level at 5.5%. The mixture of these and other troubling economic projections has finally come to cause investors to pause and realize that this is no place to be accepting risk beyond what is absolutely necessary.
This week will show a significant amount of reservation by investors not accepting of any shortfalls on earnings or even outlooks that are not significantly rosy. The current picture and the economic outlook was the focus of The Disciplined Investor Podcast this week, with help from money manager and economist, Michael "Mish" Sheldock.
Monday, June 9
Shuffle Master Inc. (NASDAQ: SHFL) will be reporting earnings that are expected to be $.07 per share. This has continued to be a difficult market for them even as casino construction has been rising around the world and the use of many of the products of this company are beneficial to the net profits of their customers. The stock has suffered dramatically over the past 12 months and, unless there is a product shift or new technology announced, there should be no reason that we see a catalyst for growth. Look for revenues of $45.55 million.
Ashworth Inc. (NASDAQ: ASHW) is a high-brow retailer that is expected to show a significant turn toward the negative this quarter. First Call estimates are looking for a negative $.06 per share while a year ago they were earning $.03 per share. Once again, there doesn't seem to be any reason why this company should see a beneficial upside unless investors are willing to short cover at this point. Even if that is the case, that will probably end up being temporary anyway.
Continue reading The Week in Preview: Mixed bag
Posted Jun 8th 2008 9:10AM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, , Nucor Corp (NUE), Toll Brothers (TOL), Smithfield Foods (SFD), Wells Fargo (WFC)
Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
See also: Earnings highlights: Wal-Mart, Lehman Bros., Take-Two, Ciena, Trina Solar and others
Also, continued real estate losses are expected to hurt the quarterly reports of banks such as like Wachovia (NYSE: WB), Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC), and National City (NYSE: NCC). And Steven Mallas wonders why Playboy (NYSE: PLA) shares have tanked since its last earnings report.
Upcoming results to watch for include Krispy Kreme (NYSE: KKD), Pall Corp. (NYSE: PLL), Pep Boys (NYSE: PBY), Korn Ferry (NYSE: KFY), and Casey's General Stores (NASDAQ: CASY).
Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage.
Posted Jun 7th 2008 9:10AM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Wal-Mart (WMT), Diageo plc (DEO), Ciena Corp (CIEN), , Wells Fargo (WFC), Trina Solar ADS (TSL), , Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (POT)
Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
See also: Earnings highlights: Toll Bros., National Semiconductor, Dr Pepper, Guess and others
Also, continued real estate losses are expected to hurt the quarterly reports of banks such as like Wachovia (NYSE: WB), Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC), and National City (NYSE: NCC). And Steven Mallas wonders why Playboy (NYSE: PLA) shares have tanked since its last earnings report.
Upcoming results to watch for include Krispy Kreme (NYSE: KKD), Pall Corp. (NYSE: PLL), Pep Boys (NYSE: PBY), Korn Ferry (NYSE: KFY), and Casey's General Stores (NASDAQ: CASY).
Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage.
Posted Feb 5th 2008 9:46AM by Laurie Pasternack (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Good news, Broadcom Corp'A' (BRCM), Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (POT)
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Potash, Cadbury Schweppes and Zoran were today's noteworthy upgrades:
- Citigroup upgraded shares of Potash (NYSE: POT) to Buy from Hold and raised its target to $178 from $141 to reflect their expectation for a more bullish outcome from the ongoing China Potash contract negotiations.
- Cadbury Schweppes (NYSE: CSG) was raised to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan to reflect the company's takeout potential and cash returns.
- Oppenheimer raised its rating on Zoran (NASDAQ: ZRAN) to Outperform from Perform on valuation, as they believe the recent weakness is overdone.
OTHER UPGRADES:
- Pep Boys (NYSE: PBY) was upgraded to Market Weight from Underweight at Thomas Weisel.
- JMP Securities upgraded Actuate (NASDAQ: ACTU) to Strong Buy from Outperform.
- Goldman raised Broadcom (NASDAQ: BRCM) to Buy from Neutral.
Posted Feb 4th 2008 10:05AM by Laurie Pasternack (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Palm Inc (PALM)
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Siemens , Siliconware Precision and Palm were today's noteworthy upgrades:
- Goldman upgraded Siemens AG (NYSE: SI) to Buy from Neutral and views shares as defensive in the current environment.
- Merriman upgraded shares of Siliconware Precision (NASDAQ: SPIL) to Buy from Neutral on valuation, as they believe the negative sentiment regarding the U.S. economy is already priced into shares.
- JP Morgan upgraded Palm (NASDAQ: PALM) to Overweight from Underweight citing new smart-phone products expected in 2008 and stronger-than-expected Centro sales.
OTHER UPGRADES:
- Pep Boys (NYSE: PBY) was raised to Neutral from Underperform at Credit Suisse.
- Jefferies upgraded Pioneer Drilling (NYSE: PDC) to Buy from Hold.
- Deutsche Bank upgraded Cablevision (NYSE: CVC) to Buy from Hold.
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