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Options Update: Estee Lauder August option prices up into EPS and outlook

Estee Lauder (NYSE: EL) closed at $37.64. EL is scheduled to report Q4 EPS on August 13. EL August 35 straddle is priced at $3.50, September 35 straddle is at $4.50. EL September option implied volatility of 44 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement after EPS.

Patterson Companies (NASDAQ: PDCO) closed at $25.46. PDCO, a distributor of dental and veterinarian products, is scheduled to report Q1 EPS on August 20. August option implied volatility is at 53, September is at 37; verses its 26-week average of 41 according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement after EPS.

Options Update: Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Analyst downgrades: PDCO, VMED and MNKD

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Patterson Companies, Virgin Media and MannKind were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Patterson (NASDAQ:PDCO) was downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Baird, as the firm's checks indicate industry fundamentals have softened and it sees greater near-term risk for dental consumables than dental equipment.
  • Virgin Media (NASDAQ:VMED) was cut to Hold from Buy at Jefferies as they believe the company's results could be under pressure given the continued competitive activity and potential weakening of the UK economy.
  • Piper downgraded shares of MannKind (NASDAQ:MNKD) to Neutral from Buy and lowered their target to $1.50 after Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) discontinued inhaled insulin Exubera due to an increase in lung cancer cases.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Lehman cut Cheniere Energy (LNG) to Equal Weight from Overweight.
  • Pantry (PTRY) was cut to Market Perform from Outperform at Friedman Billings.
  • JP Morgan lowered Watsco (WSO) to Neutral from Overweight.

Three health care stocks to avoid: Johnson & Johnson, Medtronic and Patterson

Just because a company is in the health are field, it doesn't mean it's a buy. That's because investors have figured out that future demand for a product does not translate into unexpectedly high profit for the companies that meet the demand.

Obviously demand for medical products and services is going to rise as 77 million baby boomers age. But that demand does not necessarily translate into making money -- either in the product or stock markets. Why not? Because the competition is fierce. Not only are rivals going after each other with aggressive marketing but in many cases the government or pharmacy benefit managers are the buyers. And these buyers cap prices -- often at levels that make it difficult for suppliers to make a decent profit.

Furthermore, companies in this industry must invest considerable amounts in R&D to develop new products since they can't rely on profits from products that lose patent protection due to competition from generics. And the success rates of those R&D efforts seem to be dropping -- leaving many competitors with high costs, declining revenues, and uncertain futures.

Continue reading Three health care stocks to avoid: Johnson & Johnson, Medtronic and Patterson

Analyst upgrades 3-29-07: Berkshire Hathaway & Warner Music Group upgraded

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Warner Music Group Corp (WMG), Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc (RRGB) and Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRK.A) were some of today's notable upgrades:
OTHER UPGRADES:
  • UBS upgraded ARM Holdings plc (NASDAQ: ARMHY) to Buy from Neutral as the firm believes the company will be a significant beneficiary of the acceleration in 3G handset adoption in 2007.
  • Wachovia upgraded Pactiv Corp (NYSE: PTV) to Outperform from Market Perform on valuation.
  • O2Micro International Ltd (NASDAQ: OIIM) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Oppenheimer citing a possible near-term court settlement with Samsung, which provides significant earnings leverage.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+73.0010,270.47
NASDAQ+18.862,167.88
S&P 500+6.241,093.48

Last updated: November 14, 2009: 10:09 AM

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