Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL), the personal computer maker, is due to report its financial results after the market close. The company is expected to post a 9% drop in earnings to 31 cents per share, according to Briefing.com. DELL shares were 1.5% higher in premarket trade (8:00 am). Dell shares were 2.7% lower about half an hour after the open.
General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE) is seeking funds from China Investment Corp., Government of Singapore Investment Corp. and at least two other sovereign-wealth funds. GE shares have plunged some 60% this year as the company has lowered 2008 profit target twice. But GE also raised $3 billion last month as Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE: BRK) invested in the company. GE shares declined 8.3% around 9:55 am. The company said that while it is in talks with Asian investors about joint ventures, it has no intention of raising additional capital from sovereign-wealth funds.
General Motors Corp (NYSE: GM), Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) and Chrysler Llc returned empty-handed from Washington as the bailout plan for the automotive sector seems hanging by a thread. The sought after compromise couldn't be reached and the Senate canceled plans for a vote Wednesday. The Bush administration and congressional Republicans have rejected Democrats' plan to dip into the $700 billion Wall Street rescue fund for a $25 billion automotive sector bailout. Interestingly, some think no bailout will not send the stock market off a cliff. Meanwhile, Chrsyler still wants to merge with GM -- little wonder there.
However, GMAC Financial Services has applied to the Federal Reserve to become a bank holding company. If approved, it would allow GM's financing arm to be eligible for aid under the Treasury's $700 billion bank rescue plan, automotive bailout or not. Still, GM shares were down about 10% in premarket trade (8:05 am), just as Ford's were up 3.2% (8:05 am). GM shares were beaten down another 11.5% around 9:55 am, Ford's were down some 4.8%.
International Speedway (NASDAQ: ISCA), a promoter of motor sports entertainment, closed at $25.23 Tuesday. ISCA December option implied volatility of 58 is above its 26-week average of 34 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
PetsMart (NYSE: PETM), the operator of more than 1,075 pet stores, is scheduled to report Q3 EPS today. PETM closed at $15.06 Tuesday. PETM November 15 straddle is priced at $1.65, PETM December 15 straddle is priced at $3.40. PETM December option implied volatility is at 97: January is at 75; above its 26-week average of 56 according to Track Data, indicating larger near term movement.
First Solar (NYSE-FSLR) is recently down $6.56 to $104 in pre-open trading. Friedman Billings says: "Recent checks suggest that FSLR's new strategy in the U.S. market (entering the distributed, rooftop segment) is already facing headwinds." FSLR overall option implied volatility of 121 is above its 26-week average of 82 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Last week, JA Solar Holdings Co. Ltd. (NASDAQ: JASO) posted a quarterly loss and lowered its guidance. But as interest in alternative energy continues to grow, analysts polled by Thomson Financial are still looking for good things from solar energy concerns scheduled to report earnings this week.
Strong growth at Trina Solar Ltd. (NYSE: TSL) in the third quarter prompted it to lift its guidance back in October. Analysts expect the Chinese company to post profits that are 76.3% higher than a year ago, or $1.18 per share on revenues of $268.4 million (+225.0%). Though Trina Solar missed estimates in the second quarter, analysts on average recommend buying TSL. Shares are down 81.4% from a year ago and trading near an all-time low.
Earnings of rival LDK Solar Co. Ltd. (NYSE: LDK) are expect to have risen 47.9% to $0.71 per share on revenues of $486.7 million (+206.6%). Also based in China, LDK has not missed estimates in recent quarters; in fact, it blew past expectations in the second quarter. Yet the consensus recommendation is to hold LDK. Like Trina Solar, LDK's shares are trading near an all-time low; the share price has fallen 50.0% in the past year.
Analysts anticipate third-quarter earnings for Canadian Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: CSIQ) to be a whopping 96.3% higher than a year ago, or $0.54 per share on revenues of $248.0 million (+154.5%). The company easily topped estimates in the previous quarter. ReneSola Ltd. (NYSE: SOL) and Suntech Power Holdings Co. Ltd. (NYSE: STP) are also expected to report earnings growth of 29.7% ($0.37 per share) and 23.8% ($0.42 per share), respectively. All three of these stocks reached 52-week lows last week, and all are considered buys.
Results for the tech stocks in last week's preview were a mixed bag, some beats, some misses, some in line. By and large, expectations for tech companies reporting results this week remain high, though. Here's what analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial are anticipating in the way of earnings, as compared to the same period of the previous year.
PetSmart (NASDAQ: PETM) shares are trading higher after an analyst at JP Morgan upgraded the stock to "Overweight" from "Neutral" with a $29 price target. As noted by Eric Buscemi, the analyst cited improving margins and strong area relative to other retail outlets. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on PETM.
After hitting a one-year high of $35.01 in September, the stock hit a one-year low of $18.75 in March. PETM opened this morning at $23.51. So far today the stock has hit a low of $22.57 and a high of $23.62. As of 11:30, PETM is trading at $22.89, up $0.68 (3.1%). The chart for PETM looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock its highest 5 STARS (out of 5) strong buy rating.
For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bull-put credit spread below the $20 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 4.2% return in just five weeks as long as PETM is above $20 at July expiration. PetSmart would have to fall by more than 12% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: PetSmart, Banco de Chile and Xerium Technologies were today's noteworthy upgrades:
JP Morgan upgraded PetSmart (NASDAQ: PETM) to Overweight from Neutral citing the company's position in a relatively strong category, benefits from food inflation, and margin improvements.
Deutsche Bank upgraded shares of Banco de Chile (NYSE: BCH) to Buy from Hold as they expect greater earnings power following the acquisition of Citibank Chile.
Citigroup upgraded Xerium Tech (NYSE: XRM) to Buy from Hold on the success of the company's debt renegotiation. The firm also raised the company's target to $7 from $2.
PetSmart (NASDAQ: PETM) issued its Q1 earnings numbers on Wednesday, and the market didn't take too kindly to them. At the time of this writing, the shares were down in after-hours trading by over 3%. I can kind of see why.
Revenues did okay, rising 9% to $1.2 billion. Earnings per share, however, dropped like a rock. Last year, the company booked $0.78 per diluted share; this year, the company did $0.32 per diluted share. However, investors need to realize that there was a gain on an investment in the previous year's quarter that skewed results; backing out the $0.47 per-share benefit gives an earnings number of $0.31 per diluted share in Q1 2007. So, the real earnings growth was rather tepid, and this might explain to some degree why there was a bit of a sell-off after the news, even though, according to Briefing.com, PetSmart beat bottom-line expectations by a penny and did exceed on the top-line as well.
Guidance for Q2 was also an issue, as Briefing.com seemed to indicate that management's growth expectations are not precisely what Wall Street was looking for. For the full year, however, PetSmart is looking to do about what Wall Street wants. If management hits the full-year earnings range of somewhere between $1.51 and $1.59 per share, then the P/E ratio on the stock is around 14. Sure, that isn't expensive, but I don't know if I want to enter a company such as this in the kind of environment we find ourselves in. Yes, pets are important and will be taken care of, but people might cut down on pampering them to excess. Plus, there's a lot of competition out there for your pet dollars. Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT), Costco (NASDAQ: COST), BJ's (NYSE: BJ), and every supermarket in the country all vie for a slice of the pet market.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: PetSmart, Marsh & McLennan and Pinnacle Airlines were today's noteworthy upgrades:
Banc of America upgraded PetSmart (NASDAQ:PETM) to Buy from Neutral on valuation, as they believe the market is overly negative on the company's cyclicality.
Keefe Bruyette upgraded shares of Marsh & McLennan (NYSE:MMC) to Outperform from Market Perform on increased confidence management will be able to improve margins.
JP Morgan upgraded Pinnacle Airlines (NASDAQ:PNCL) to Overweight from Underweight citing the company's FCF and contract certainty.
OTHER UPGRADES:
Hasbro (NYSE:HAS) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Needham.
Calyon raised Airtran Holdings (AAI) to Add from Neutral.
Liberty Entertainment (LMDIA) was raised at Merrill to Buy from Neutral.
PetsMart (NASDAQ: PETM), the operator of more than 1000 pet stores, is scheduled to report EPS on March 5.
PETM March option implied volatility is at 55: April at 50 and July at 40; above its 26-week average of 39 according to Track Data, indicating larger near term movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Coca-Cola, Novo Nordisk and Equinix were today's noteworthy upgrades:
Bear Stearns upgraded The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE: KO) to Outperform from Peer Perform, as they expect it to post solid earnings short-term with potential upside, and over the long-term due to its upgraded business model.
Bernstein raised its rating on Novo Nordisk AS (NYSE: NVO) to Outperform from Market Perform, as they believe consensus estimates do not reflect the company's growth potential.
Merriman upgraded shares of Equinix Inc (NASDAQ: EQIX) to Buy from Neutral on valuation following the recent sell-off. The firm expects strong Q4 results.
PetsMart (NASDAQ: PETM), the operator of more than 993 pet stores, closed at $23.04 Thursday.
PETM is scheduled to report Q4 EPS on March 5.
Goldman says: "We are upgrading PETM to Buy from Neutral. We expect PETM to embark on a classic transition from a struggling growth retailer in the "productivity ceiling" phase of our retailing cycle to a more returns-focused origination."
PETM overall option implied volatility of 50 is above its 26-week average of 35 according to Track Data, indicating larger movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
MOST NOTEWORTHY: PetSmart, Plantronics and First Cash Financial were today's noteworthy downgrades:
Wachovia downgraded PetSmart (NASDAQ: PETM) to Market Perform from Outperform, citing margin concerns following the company's lowered Q4 SSS guidance.
Baird downgraded Plantronics (NYSE: PLT) to Neutral from Outperform citing weaker core business outlook.
Jefferies downgraded shares of First Cash Financial (NASDAQ: FCFS) to Hold from Buy following the disappointing results, as they believe the company's auto lending business will create an earnings drag in 2008, limiting potential share price appreciation. Shares were also lowered to Market Perform from Outperform at JMP Securities.
PetSmart Inc. (NASDAQ: PETM), the country's largest supplier of all types of pet needs, is taking a $4.7 million write down to exit the horse equipment business in its stores. From now on, PetSmart will concentrate on cats, dogs, ferrets and fish. The company released 3Q 2007 results last week. Net sales were up 1.4% to $1.12 billion, but net income was down $2 million to $29.5 million. PetSmart figures it can turn a bigger profit per square foot by concentrating on smaller sized pet needs, as well as by providing pet services such as grooming and training. Pet services income increased 23% to $111 million for the quarter.
PetSmart also operates in-store Banfield veterinary offices through MMI Holdings, but is in the process of changing the financial arrangements that govern that relationship. PetSmart sold its portion of MMI Holdings Inc. earlier in the year. The proceeds from the sale account for $0.48 per share for the full year projected EPS of $2.05-2.09. To bolster its bottom line, PetSmart has accelerated its stock buyback, purchasing 6.2 million shares for $225 million during 3Q 2007, with plans to purchase another $75 million worth of stock.
Unlike many retailers that are cautious about this holiday shopping season, CEO Phil Francis is optimistic. Shelves once given over to equine equipment are now filled with quicker selling gift items for household pets "to delight the customer."
In addition to its retail functions, PetSmart also operates PetSmart Charities, which sent pet rescue vans and supplies to California to assist with animal evacuations during the recent wildfires. To date, PetSmart's in-store pet adoption program has given the gift of a home and family to more than 3 million pets.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: BEA Systems, Nokia, Medco Health, Quest Diagnostics and PetSmart were today's noteworthy downgrades:
Citigroup downgraded shares of BEA Systems (NASDAQ: BEAS) to Hold from Buy on valuation following the $17/share offer by Oracle (NASDAQ: ORCL) as they think a public bidding war for the company is unlikely.
ABN Amro downgraded shares of Nokia Corporation (NYSE: NOK) to Hold from Buy on valuation and believes above consensus Q3 results are already priced into shares.
Wachovia downgraded Medco Health Solutions (NYSE: MHS) to Market Perform from Outperform on valuation.
The firm also downgraded Quest Diagnostics (NYSE: DGX) to Market Perform from Outperform, as they believe the prospects from stabilizing volumes and cost savings are reflected in valuation and Street estimates.
Credit Suisse downgraded shares of PetSmart (NASDAQ: PETM) to Neutral from Outperform citing aggressive pricing at Petco, accelerating growth initiatives, limited visibility around expense management, and lack of consistent results.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
Methanex Corporation (NASDAQ: MEOH) was downgraded to Sector Underperformer from Sector Performer at CIBC.
International Speedway
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