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Options Update: Netflix Volatility Near Nine-Month Lows; Shares Near Record High

Netflix (NFLX) overall option implied volatility is at 45, according to Track Data, below its 26-week average of 52, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Panera Bread (PNRA) overall option implied volatility is at 37, according to Track Data, above its 26-week average of 32 into its release of Q4 results, suggesting larger price movement.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Analyst Calls: AA, AMD, AMR, AZN, CIT, GSK, HPQ, M, NVDA, PCX, SPWRA ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) to buy from neutral at UBS.
  • Fluor (FLR) to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan.
  • Macy's (M) to outperform from neutral at Credit Suisse.
  • Canadian Solar (CSIQ), JA Solar (JASO) and HeartWare (HTWR) to buy from hold at Auriga.
  • Ashford Hospitality (AHT) to outperform from market perform at FBR Capital.
  • RenaissanceRe (RNR) to buy from neutral at Janney Capital.
  • DCT Industrial (DCT) to market perform from underperform at Wells Fargo.
  • Coeur d'Alene Mines (CDE) and Silver Standard (SSRI) to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank.
  • Weatherford (WFT), Hercules (HERO), GulfMark Offshore (GLF), Tidewater (TDW) and GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) to buy from hold, and Diamond Offshore (DO) to hold from underperform, at Jefferies.
  • Ritchie Bros. (RBA) to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
  • AstraZeneca (AZN) to buy from hold at Citigroup.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: AA, AMD, AMR, AZN, CIT, GSK, HPQ, M, NVDA, PCX, SPWRA ...

Analyst Calls: AMD, BLK, CSX, DKS, GME, HGSI, HON, KEY, NSC, STP, ZION ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Goldman upgraded CSX (CSX) to neutral from sell.
  • General Cable (BGC) was upgraded to buy from hold at KeyBanc.
  • Morgan Stanley upgraded Chart Industries (GTLS) and Dresser Rand (DRC) to overweight from equal weight.
  • Blackrock (BLK) was upgraded to outperform from neutral at Macquarie.
  • Credit Suisse upgraded Zions Bancorp (ZION) to neutral from underperform and GameStop (GME) to outperform from neutral.
  • Honeywell (HON) was upgraded to outperform from sector perform at RBC Capital.
  • Panera Bread (PNRA) was upgraded to buy from neutral at SunTrust.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: AMD, BLK, CSX, DKS, GME, HGSI, HON, KEY, NSC, STP, ZION ...

Analyst Calls: CTV, CVX, EAT, FCX, ICE, MAR, MW, TRV, WLP ...

Analyst Upgrades
  • Verisk (VRSK) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at Wells Fargo.
  • Marriott (MAR) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at Bernstein.
  • Jefferies upgraded Teekay (TK) and Tsakos Energy (TNP) to Buy from Hold.
  • Cadence Design (CDNS) was upgraded to sector perform from underperform at RBC Capital.
  • BofA/Merrill upgraded NV Energy (NVE) to buy from underperform and Education Realty Trust (EDR) to neutral from underperform.
  • Men's Wearhouse (MW) was upgraded to buy from hold at Stifel.
  • William Blair upgraded Atheros (ATHR) to outperform from market perform.
  • Freeport McMoran (FCX) was upgraded to buy from hold at Argus.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: CTV, CVX, EAT, FCX, ICE, MAR, MW, TRV, WLP ...

Put Writer Bets on Solid Support for Panera Bread Co.

Less than an hour into today's session, Panera Bread Company (PNRA) was already racking up heavy put volume. Roughly 5,233 contracts changed hands within the first half-hour of trading, easily outpacing the stock's predicted put activity. Most of the volume was evenly split between two near-term strikes, with one speculator looking for PNRA to remain above $75 during the next month.

Specifically, the security's August 70 put and August 75 put each traded more than 2,500 contracts this morning, with volume well outpacing open interest at both strikes -- suggesting that new positions are being opened. It appears that the trader is selling the August 75 puts and buying the August 70 puts, which means we're looking at a short put spread, or credit spread.

Continue reading Put Writer Bets on Solid Support for Panera Bread Co.

Panera Bread (PNRA): A 'Case Study in Quality'

"Quality is a big reason why Panera Bread (PNRA) has not only survived but prospered during this economic slowdown," says Alexander Green.

The editor of The Oxford Club explains, "I prefer to buy from -- and invest in -- companies that compete primarily on the basis of quality.

"Why? Because quality is remembered long after price is forgotten. In short, Panera is a case study in how to attract customers -- and shareholders -- the right way. Customers tend to patronize those firms with a reputation for meeting or exceeding expectations. Plus, satisfied customers are an excellent source of referrals.

Continue reading Panera Bread (PNRA): A 'Case Study in Quality'

Coming soon: The Burger King of the future

Burger King Holdings Inc. (NYSE: BKC) announced plans Wednesday to overhaul its 12,000 locations worldwide. The fast-food giant is seeking a sleeker, futuristic look that includes LCD-screen menus, rotating chandeliers, and corrugated metal and brick accents (see pictures at the above link) on the inside, as well as metal canopies and additional signs on the exterior.

The new upscale design, called 20/20, is expected to cost franchisees between $300,000 to $600,000 per restaurant. Some 60 locations have already been remodeled, including in Miami, Mexico City, Edinburgh, and Shanghai, and 75 more are expected to be completed by the end of 2010. All new restaurants will be built using the 20/20 design.

Continue reading Coming soon: The Burger King of the future

Short City Update: Panera Bread, Cal-Maine Foods - cover each short

An update: a decision to close two short positions - due to the probability of higher-than-expected U.S. GDP growth in Q3/Q4, and the impact that better economic recovery would have on consumer spending.

The two closed positions: Panera Bread (NASDAQ: PNRA), recommended on May 29, 2009 at a price of $52.65, and Cal-Maine Foods (NYSE: CALM), recommended on the same day at a price of $23.21.

Continue reading Short City Update: Panera Bread, Cal-Maine Foods - cover each short

Cramer on BloggingStocks: China-led drop offers a time to buy

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says even stocks without exposure to that country will probably be on sale today.

If China has pulled back 20%, do we have to pull back 20%, even though they were up 80% and we are up 9%? Are we so in lock step now that when China catches a cold, we are the ones with pneumonia?

I don't think so. It's such an easy story to stretch out, though you can see that our Freeports (NYSE: FCX) (Cramer's Take) and our Exxons (NYSE: XOM) (Cramer's Take) can get hammered.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: China-led drop offers a time to buy

The week in preview: Some expected earnings winners

The earnings crunch rolls on this coming week, with quarterly reports expected from Coach Inc. (NYSE: COH), Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM), Kellogg (NYSE: K), MasterCard (NYSE: MA), Motorola (NYSE: MOT), Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S), Travelers (NYSE: TRV), Time Warner (NYSE: TWX), U.S. Steel (NYSE: X), Viacom (NYSE: VIA), Walt Disney (NYSE: DIS), and many others.

Below are some reporting companies for which analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters have high hopes. What does that mean? Well, all of them are expected to report double-digit earnings grown in the most recent quarter. They have tended to offer positive surprises in recent quarters. They have long-term EPS growth forecasts of greater than 10%, and they have earnings multiples that are higher than their industry or sector averages, or higher than at least one top competitor. And they all have First Call consensus recommendations to buy.

Continue reading The week in preview: Some expected earnings winners

Save money, give stock to charity!

Surviving this recession is foremost on peoples' minds, but giving to charity is especially important in times like these. So how can you effectively give while preserving your net worth?

If you plan on liquidating any profitable, or taxable, positions in the stock market thanks to the current uptrend and also want to give to your favorite charity, the strategy outlined below is key to optimizing your gift, as well as your capital.

Though giving cash to causes is the most popular form of charity, desperate times call for creative measures, and any type of gift will be gladly accepted. By giving stock directly to charity, and bear in mind that the stock must be in your portfolio for one year or more as short-term capital gains are not applicable, you not only avoid capital gains taxes on your gains, but you can actually use the gift of your stock as a tax deduction. Hence, the cost of your gift is lower than giving cash directly. Think of it as an overall investment for yourself and the charity.

Continue reading Save money, give stock to charity!

Consumer stocks to sell now: #3 -- Landry's Restaurants (LNY)

Consumer stock to sell: Landry's Restaurants (LNY)One of the first movers seeing an uptick in spending due to increased consumer confidence is the restaurant space. Only a few diehards really like to stay home and cook. Dining out is a great way to escape. Even better is going to a restaurant for a meal that's affordable.

The fact that dining has suffered during this recession is indicative of how bad things really have been.

Given that confidence is rising, it's no surprise then that Landry's Restaurants (NYSE: LNY) has almost tripled in value since hitting bottom in early March.

Continue reading Consumer stocks to sell now: #3 -- Landry's Restaurants (LNY)

Short City: Panera Bread, Cal-Maine Foods

Investor and trader Mishko Janusevich had a mantra that he used to repeat while outlining the top, new stock shorts that appeared that day, as determined by technical indicators.

He would stand next to the overhead projected stock chart at the front of the trading room, point to the stock chart and recite, "You see this stock? You see that it's dropped $8 in past two days? You think it can't drop any more? SELL THAT STOCK it's dropping more!!"

Short these shares if you can tolerate high-risk and are an experienced investor that does not remove Buy/Stop Losses.

Continue reading Short City: Panera Bread, Cal-Maine Foods

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Restaurants right for the taking

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says Panera is one company that has plenty of room for expansion.

If the restaurant stocks are stabilizing after a real downturn that has lasted for several weeks, this group -- a leadership group from the fall when gasoline fell in price -- is going to have a wicked move back.

I like Yum! Brands (NYSE: YUM) (Cramer's Take), which never broke down. This is one in which technicians signaled weakness, with Top Gun Rick Bensignor and I going head to head on "Mad Money." He was right that it initially would downtick, but I think it is bottoming along with McDonald's (NYSE: MCD) (Cramer's Take). It's got the growth and it has good tumbling raw costs. The dollar's going the way for both stocks.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Restaurants right for the taking

Food for thought: Best buys in food & beverage

In a difficult economic environment, it is often wise for investors to consider stocks in more defensive and relatively recession-resistant sectors. And one such area is food and beverage stocks.

As the long-standing market maxim goes, consumers can pull back on spending for vacations, remodeling, and new cars, but they still need to eat and drink.

In that light, I turned to nine leading newsletter advisors who serve up their current favorite ideas in the food and beverage sector:

Continue reading Food for thought: Best buys in food & beverage

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 10, 2012: 10:12 PM

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