Listen to the Joystiq Podcast (because your ears can't read)

AOL Money & Finance

Posts with tag presidential debates

U.S. presidential debate 1: No knockout punches from either candidate

The nation's two candidates for U.S. president met Friday in Mississippi in their first debate, with both candidates scoring points, but with neither candidate registering a decisive "knock out blow."

The debate played out pretty much along scripted lines -- something campaign operatives were no-doubt delighted to see. In modern, televised debates, the goal is not so much to win as to avoid losing; a serious gaff can set a campaign back, whereas a victory, even a decided one, rarely moves a candidate up in the polls more than a percentage point or two.

Republican Party nominee U.S. Sen. John McCain, R-Arizona, effectively demonstrated his experience in and knowledge of foreign policy, underscoring the need to win the war in Iraq. McCain believes the United States now has taken the upper hand in Iraq -- if he doesn't believe the nation is winning the war outright -- and does not see defeat as an option.

Democratic Party nominee U.S. Barack Obama, D-Illinois, effectively demonstrated that electing him president would represent a decided break from the policies of the Bush Administration, and he underscored the need for the United States to rebuild both its economy at home and standing/reputation with its allies abroad and throughout the world.

Perhaps the most compelling dimension of the debate was the fact that despite discussing the financial crisis currently gripping the nation, neither candidate said he would make any adjustments to his platform/agenda in light of the decidedly more-challenging fiscal environment. Sen. McCain did not say he would forgo his goal to cut income and business taxes. Sen. Obama did not say he would curtail goals to increase spending on education, infrastructure, and basic research/technology.

Continue reading U.S. presidential debate 1: No knockout punches from either candidate

U.S. Presidential Debate 1: Once focal point, now side-show in 2008 campaign thanks to financial crisis

Political science teaches us that, historically, the first U.S. Presidential debate is the most important debate during the presidential campaign, mainly because it's the most-watched debate of the three presidential debates and one vice presidential debate.

That would have been the case this year, as well, given the closeness of the race, and the increase in political interest/participation by American citizens in several segments of the electorate this election cycle.

Financial crisis alters debate backdrop

However, the debates have been displaced in importance by the crisis facing the financial system and the U.S. Congress' and President's efforts to reach an agreement on a plan that will end the crisis and shore-up severely-stressed credit, bond, stock, and currency markets.

The upcoming debate now looks like a side-show, a momentary diversion, before the nation returns to the work of trying to avoid a re-emergence of the barter system in two thousand and eight, Anno Domini.

Continue reading U.S. Presidential Debate 1: Once focal point, now side-show in 2008 campaign thanks to financial crisis

The 2008 U.S. Presidential race heats up

Although it may seem like it's been going on for a long time, the sprint called the U.S. presidential campaign has just started.

Maybe you just wish the race was over by now?

True, given the near-continual political coverage of the primaries and general election campaign on 24-hour, cable broadcast news networks MSNBC (NYSE: GE), CNN (NYSE: TWX), and Fox News (NYSE: NWS), it probably seems like the campaigns have been going on since the dawn of recorded history.

But, really, the political calculus becomes substantive after Labor Day, primarily because the polls are more telling. The summer polls are less-predictive/less-reliable because, in a nutshell, Americans have vacations and summer leisure activities on their minds.

The Gallup Poll


U.S. Senator John McCain, R-Arizona, has pushed ahead of U.S. Senator Barack Obama, D-Illinois, 49%-44%, in the Gallup tracking poll, as of interviews conducted through September 8. There are several, accurate polls one can monitor, but the recommendation here is to follow Gallup, given the organization's strong performance record in survey research.

Look for McCain's percentage to fall and Obama's percentage to rise as the 'bounce' that McCain received stemming from the Republican National Convention fades. Almost all candidates get a 'bounce,' or an increase in voter support, coming out of their party's nominating convention. But know also that at least a portion of this bounce typically disappears in a week or two. The conventions are largely four-day advertorials for the candidates and they tend to sway selected voters, but only temporarily. As the convention hype fades, voters look at the candidates more-critically, which accounts for the dip in support.

However, if McCain's bounce doesn't disappear before September 26, or if his support continues to increase, then most likely some other factor is at work, boosting the Republican U.S. Senator. And given her newness to the campaign and the national political stage, it's most likely Vice Presidential Nominee Gov. Sarah Palin, R-Alaska. But don't draw any conclusions about Palin yet: let's see what the Gallup Poll looks like in a week or so before forming any conclusions about her impact.

Continue reading The 2008 U.S. Presidential race heats up

Would presidential debates in Spanish be magnifico?

At least one top Washington pundit expects the Spanish language television networks to sponsor presidential debates en Espanol.

Latinos and other Spanish speakers are probably cringing at the thought of the likes of Hillary Cilnton, Barack Obama and John McCain practicing rolling their Rs. If anything these events would provide loads of hilarious YouTube clips.

This prediction made by Newsweek's Howard Fineman on "The Chris Matthews Show" underscores the growing clout of Spanish language media. The presidential campaigns are going to write plenty of checks to Univision Communications Inc. (NYSE:UVN) and General Electric Co.'s (NYSE:GE) Telemundo because of the importance of the Latino vote.

For example, Spanish-language TV spending rose at 13.9 percent last year compared with 2.5 percent gain in network TV and a 3.4 percent gain for cable, according to TNS Media Intelligence. There was a similar disparity in both newspapers and magazines. There's no reason not to expect that trend to continue.

If Fineman's prediction comes true, it will benefit Democrats Bill Richardson and Chris Dodd, who speak Spanish. Richardson, the governor of New Mexico, is the only Latino candidate, and Dodd, a Senator from Connectict, learned the language as a Peace Corps volunteer.

"Dodd I'm told by Spanish speakers, speaks Spanish better than Richardson does," Fineman said on the program today (via Mediabistro.)

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice

Last updated: November 22, 2008: 03:37 AM

BloggingStocks Exclusives

Hot Stocks

BloggingStocks Featured Video

TheFlyOnTheWall.com Headlines

WalletPop Headlines

AOL Business News

Latest from BloggingBuyouts

Sponsored Links

My Portfolios

Track your stocks here!

Find out why more people track their portfolios on AOL Money & Finance then anywhere else.

BloggingStocks Partners

More from AOL Money & Finance