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The Week in Preview: Fed's Beige Book, More Retail Earnings and Canadian Banks

The Federal Reserve's next Beige Book report is scheduled to be released this week. This report is a compilation of anecdotal information on current economic conditions from each of the 12 Federal Reserve Bank districts, and it is released eight times a year. The data comes from interviews with business contacts, economists, market experts, and other sources. The previous report, released in January, showed some improvement in most districts and growth in consumer spending over the holiday period, though unemployment remained high. The December report showed modest improvement in eight of the districts.

Retailers were in the earnings spotlight last week and for the most part made a strong showing of it. Even as the earnings season winds down, some more retailers are scheduled to release quarterly results this week.

Continue reading The Week in Preview: Fed's Beige Book, More Retail Earnings and Canadian Banks

The week in preview: Canadian banks, Aeropostale, Shanda Interactive ...

It's been reported that Canadian banks have fared better than their U.S. and European counterparts recently. The Bank of Montreal (BMO) did report strong fourth-quarter results last week. This week, analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect competitor Royal Bank of Canada (RY) to post modest earnings growth as well, while Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) and Toronto Dominion Bank (TD) are expected to post earnings declines.

Analysts are looking for $0.98 per share (+6.1%) earnings from RBC, $1.25 per share (-7.4%) from Toronto Dominion and $1.36 per share (-21.8%) from Canadian Imperial. The long-term EPS growth forecast for these three banks is for ranges from 10% and 12%, which is in the same ballpark as U.S. rivals Bank of America Corp. (BAC) and Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC). Earnings multiples for these Canadian banks are 10x to 12x, but only Toronto Dominion has a First Call consensus recommendation of buy. The Motley Fool, though, recently commented on Royal Bank's steady income and reliability. All three banks are trading near their 52-week highs, and shares of all are up well more than 100% since March lows.

Continue reading The week in preview: Canadian banks, Aeropostale, Shanda Interactive ...

In Canada you will find good, old-fashioned bankers

The banking crisis is a nasty mess throughout most of the U.S. and Europe. Just recently Lloyds Banking Group PLC (NYSE: LYG) ceded 75% of its assets to the government of Britain, and Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) closed at $1.05 on Monday. Let's not forget JP Morgan Chase & Company (NYSE: JPM) has $87.7 trillion worth of outstanding OTC contracts as of September 30. JPM will not disclose how much of this is toxic.

However, it seems this is not the case everywhere. In Canada, for example, banks look healthier.

Continue reading In Canada you will find good, old-fashioned bankers

The week in preview: Eye on Marvel, KBR, First Solar, Deckers and more

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expected the parade of earnings declines to continue into the final week of February, with Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia Inc. (NYSE: MSO), Nordstrom Inc. (NYSE: JWN), Home Depot Inc. (NYSE: HD), Wynn Resorts Ltd. (NASDAQ: WYNN), Macy's Inc. (NYSE: M), DreamWorks Animation SKG Inc. (NYSE: DWA), Limited Brands Inc. (NYSE: LTD), Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT), Royal Bank Of Canada (NYSE: RY), Del Monte Foods Co. (NASDAQ: DLM), Kohl's Corp. (NYSE: KSS), Washington Post Co. (NYSE: WPO), Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL), Gap Inc. (NYSE: GPS), Campbell Soup Co. (NYSE: CPB), RadioShack Corp. (NYSE: RSH), and H.J. Heinz Co. (NYSE: HNZ) all expected to post lower earnings for the most recent quarter. Office Depot Inc. (NYSE: ODP), Saks Inc. (NYSE: SKS), and Cooper Tire & Rubber Co. (NYSE: CTB) are expect to have swung to a loss.

Continue reading The week in preview: Eye on Marvel, KBR, First Solar, Deckers and more

The week in preview: Canadian banks, homebuilders, Sears and food producers

Last week, Bank of Montreal (NYSE: BMO), one of Canada's oldest and largest banks, reported growth in its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings. But it may be the only one that does, as at least two of the Canadian banks scheduled to report fourth-quarter numbers this week have already released preliminary results that warn of lower earnings due to debt write-downs and trading losses.

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect Toronto-based Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (NYSE: CM) to post earnings 42.6% lower than a year ago, or $1.28 per share. CIBC beat estimates by a penny in the third quarter, but missed by a penny in the period before that. The bank faces a class-action lawsuit related to investments in collateralized debt obligations consisting of U.S. subprime mortgages. Shares have climbed 20.7% from a recent 52-week low of $39.52, but are down 37.8% in the past three months.

Toronto Dominion Bank (NYSE: TD), Bank of Nova Scotia (NYSE: BNS), and Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE: RY) are expected to report more modest earnings declines of $1.01 per share, $0.73 per share, and $0.83 per share, respectively. All three Toronto-based banks topped estimates in the third quarter. Toronto Dominion and RBC have recently announced plans to offer shares in order to raise capital. Toronto Dominion and Scotiabank have been trading near 52-week lows, and their share prices are down around 39% in the past three months. But only Toronto Dominion has a consensus buy recommendation from analysts.

Continue reading The week in preview: Canadian banks, homebuilders, Sears and food producers

Analyst calls: RBC, BDK, KR, LEN, KR, CPB, MTL, LM, PIR, AAPL, AVP ...

Analyst upgrades:
Analyst downgrades:
  • Merrill downgraded Campbell Soup (NYSE: CPB) to Neutral from Buy and expects marketing and promotional spending to limit earnings growth in 2009 and 2010. The firm lowered their target to $35 from $42.
  • Mechel Steel (NYSE: MTL) was cut to Underweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley to reflect declining coal demand.
  • Friedman Billings downgraded shares of Legg Mason (NYSE: LM) to Underperform from Market Perform on liquidity concerns given the Legg Mason's leveraged balance sheet and falling EBITDA. The firm lowered their target to $7 from $11.

Continue reading Analyst calls: RBC, BDK, KR, LEN, KR, CPB, MTL, LM, PIR, AAPL, AVP ...

Closing Bell: Dow, S&P up, although markets remain mixed with no "New Deal" yet

Today was all about financial bailout packages being on and off, and on and off, and on and off. Financial stocks were most of the news, but you've heard enough about that you will only hear about non-financial companies today. Q2 GDP was revised lower than original projections, but that number is older than dirt now. The funny thing today was that they started ringing the closing bell on NYSE a minute early on accident.

Below are the unofficial closing bell levels:
DJIA 11,160.49 +138.43 +1.26%
S&P500 1,214.56 +5.38 +0.44%
NASDAQ 2,185.56 -1.01 -0.05%
10YR T-Note 3.827% (-0.035%)
TOP ANALYST CALLS
52-Week Lows

KB Home (NYSE: KBH) posted really ugly numbers with its losses growing four-fold and sales down over 50%. Yet somehow, traders are hoping a bailout will drive the future. Shares were actually up 1.2% at $21.42 immediately before the close.

Research In Motion Ltd. (NASDAQ: RIMM) was downgraded across the board after its earnings disappointment. Shares were down 26%, or $21.50, right before today's close.

Marvell Technology Group Ltd. (NASDAQ: MRVL) was crushed on R-I-M's disappointing numbers. Shares hit a new 52-week low and were down 10.4% at $9.64 in the final minutes of the day.

Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (NYSE: POT) was down over 7% in today's final minutes at $146.57. An analyst downgrade from RBC and a cautious sector call from Citi is to blame. The concern here is easy. Farmers are having their credit cut and they can't afford to pay endless increases in agriculture prices.

RBS news shows banks have a long way to go

Royal Bank of Scotland (NYSE: RBS) made an anticipated announcement that it would raise $12 billion because of losses. According to Reuters, the money is "to cover a potential 5.9 billion pound writedown on the value of toxic assets and help rebuild a stretched balance sheet."

The fact that one of Europe's largest money center banks has to raise so much capital is probably not a good sign for large U.S. banks like Citigroup (NYSE:.C) and Bank of America (NYSE:.BAC). The asset mix at RBS is likely not terribly different from most other huge financial institutions.

There have been concerns that if the housing market continues to fall and credit problems move to consumer debt and car loans that the writeoffs at banks could spike up again. Those who hoped that the worst was behind U.S. banks may well be wrong.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Investing in Ontario: Royal Bank of Canada (RY), Manulife Financial (MFC), Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)

Its abundance of resources and location on the Great Lakes have made Ontario an economic powerhouse. Canada's capital, Ottawa can be found there, as well as its largest city, Toronto, which is also Canada's financial hub. Seven of Ontario's eight largest companies are financial institutions, and Toronto is also the home of one of the largest stock exchanges in the world. When the Motley Fool took a look at stock investment opportunities in Ontario this past June, three of the companies they focused on were financial institutions: Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE: RY), Manulife Financial Corp. (NYSE: MFC) and Toronto-Dominion Bank (NYSE: TD). Considering the credit crunch and the weakness of the U.S. dollar, I thought it might be interesting to see how those companies are faring now.

The Royal Bank of Canada, also known as RBC Financial Group, is Canada's largest financial institution. It has 1,300 domestic locations and offices in 30 countries. In September, RBC's Gord Nixon won Canada's Outstanding CEO of the Year award for 2007. More recently, RBC announced the acquisition of a Caribbean bank, and it was one of four Canadian banks affected by restructuring at VISA. With RBC's five-year earnings per share growth rate of 26.5% (better than the S&P 500), the consensus recommendation of analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial is to buy RBC, despite missing earnings expectations for the past two quarters. RBC's share price is near an all-time high on the NYSE, closing Thursday at $57.09 on the NYSE. RBC will release its next quarterly report on November 30.

Continue reading Investing in Ontario: Royal Bank of Canada (RY), Manulife Financial (MFC), Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)

Investing in Wisconsin: Ladish (LDSH), Snap-On (SNA), and others

Cheese, corn, beer -- that's what most of us think when we hear the name Wisconsin. But the three Wisconsin-based companies that made Fortune's 2007 list of 100 fastest growing companies -- Ladish Inc. (NASDAQ: LDSH), Joy Global Inc. (NASDAQ: JOYG), and Regal Beloit Corp. (NYSE: RBC) -- are manufacturers that have nothing to do directly with cheese, corn, or beer.

Wisconsin does lead the nation in cheese production. Heck, two of those three items -- cheese, corn, and beer -- even appear on the Wisconsin design state quarter. Despite Wisconsin's reputation as an agricultural state, though, agriculture isn't the largest part of the state economy. Tourism is also an important industry in Wisconsin, with such destinations as the Wisconsin Dells, Circus World and the House on the Rock, but that's not the leading sector either. Manufacturing makes up the largest part of the Wisconsin economy, as the companies on Fortune's list indicate.

At number 21 on the list of the fastest growing companies was aerospace components maker Ladish, which is headquartered in Cudahy, Wisconsin. Ladish's three-year annual revenue growth rate was 28% and its five-year earnings per share growth was 104%. Back in July, Ladish reported a strong second quarter, beating expectations, and a solid outlook for rest of the year. Then, in August, the company announced that it would expand its operations in Poland. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial consider Ladish a buy. The share price reached a 52-week high of $60.00 on Tuesday. It was trading in the mid $20s a year ago.

Continue reading Investing in Wisconsin: Ladish (LDSH), Snap-On (SNA), and others

Analyst downgrades: Process control sector, RHD, VG, CCE and RIG

MOST NOTEWORTHY: The process control sector, R.H. Donnelley, Vonage, Coca-Cola Enterprises and Transocean were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Baird reduced estimates across the board in the process control sector due to lower expectations for North American industrial and residential construction. The firm downgraded Roper Industries (NYSE: ROP), Regal-Beloit Corp (NYSE: RBC) and Baldor Electric (NYSE: BEZ) to Neutral from Outperform and AO Smith Corporation (NYSE: AOS) to Underperform from Neutral.
  • Goldman downgraded shares of R.H. Donnelley Corporation (NYSE: RHD) to Neutral from Buy after the company updated its 2007 guidance to reflect deteriorating trends in local advertising.
  • Vonage Holdings Corp (NYSE: VG) was downgraded to Sell from Hold at Soleil due to liquidity concerns.
  • Coca-Cola Enterprises (NYSE: CCE) was downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank on valuation and mixed near-term trends.
  • Transocean Inc (NYSE: RIG) was downgraded to Hold from Buy at Gabelli. Even though the deepwater market continues to be strong, the firm is concerned regarding the continuing weakness in the jackup market as well as the limited upside potential due to the company's ships being in use through 2009.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:

Correction creates buying opportunity in Ciena

Ciena Corporation (NASDAQ: CIEN), the optical components maker, has gotten hit pretty hard during this correction. The stock has dropped from $32 in late February and is trading around $26 today, almost a 20% drop.

This morning, RBC Capital Markets upgraded the stock to Outperform and set a $33 target price. The reasoning for the upgrade is expected stronger demand for its products due to high video and data traffic. The RBC report cited industry growth is expected to jump to $14.5 billion by 2009 up from $10.9 billion in 2006. If Ciena continues to grow faster than the market, that is good news for Ciena and its shareholders.

At Verizon Communications Inc (NYSE: VZ), a large customer, business is expected to be down, but growth from British Telecom, AT&T Inc (NYSE: T) and MCI may offset the decline, the report suggested.

Ciena's sell off is too much too fast. I'd suggest using the stock weakness to pick up some shares.

Analyst initiations 2-23-07: Citigroup started with an Overweight

MOST NOTEWORTHY:
  • RBC Capital Markets initiated three Chinese Internet companies this morning: Baidu.com Inc (NASDAQ: BIDU) with a Sector Perform and a $124 price target, SINA Corporation (NASDAQ: SINA) with a Sector Perform and a $39 price target, and Sohu.com Inc (NASDAQ: SOHU) with an Outperform and a $33 price target. RBC believes Sohu.com is well positioned to benefit from secular growth in online advertising and is the most direct beneficiary of the 2008 Beijing Olympics, as it hosts the official site.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
  • Citigroup Inc (NYSE: C) was initiated by JP Morgan with an Overweight. The firm sees performance in international, corporate and investment banking improving.
  • Callaway Golf Company (NYSE: ELY) was initiated by Morgan Joseph with a Buy and $19 price target.

Analyst downgrades 2-23-07: Newmont Mining downgraded to Underperform

MOST NOTEWORTHY:
  • L-3 Communications Holdings Inc (NYSE: LLL) was downgraded by Bank of America to Neutral from Buy based on valuation, as they see limited upside from current levels. The firm's target for L-3 is $92.
  • NewMont Mining Corp (NYSE: NEM) was downgraded by RBC Capital Markets to Underperform from Sector Perform based on Newmont's weak production profile and declining financial forecasts. The firm lowered its price target for Newmont to $48 from $52.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • K Swiss Inc (NASDAQ: KSWS) was downgraded by Susquehanna to Neutral from Positive. The firm does not believe domestic sales will stabilize until 2008 and sees European growth being less robust over the next several quarters.
  • Alltel Corporation (NYSE: AT) was downgraded at Deutsche Bank to Hold from Buy on valuation. The firm's target for Alltel is $63.

MySpace worth $20 billion?

myspaceNews Corporation (NYSE:NWS) is a prime example of how traditional media companies can leverage New Media. The formula is: buy a hot Internet property. And then leave it alone. Allow it to keep growing.

It has been magical for MySpace, which is the most trafficked site on the Web. And, despite intense competition, MySpace is still dominant.

So, an analyst at RBC, Jordan Rohan, looked into the following: What is MySpace really worth?

Well, valuation is not really a science – especially when trying to figure what a company is worth when it is a part of a large, sprawling organization.

But, there are some tried-and-true techniques that help. In fact, one approach is known as comparable valuation. It's basically what appraisers use to value houses. That is, the value of a house is probably related to similar houses that have sold recently.

Rohan took the same approach with MySpace.

Continue reading MySpace worth $20 billion?

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-37.1910,741.98
NASDAQ-16.872,374.41
S&P 500-5.921,159.90

Last updated: March 20, 2010: 12:46 AM

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