Even with the stimulus checks, retail sales numbers for June and July have been nothing to cheer about. And this coming week should provide another look at how things have been shaping up in the apparel and accessories arena. A number of companies are scheduled to release quarterly numbers, from upscale retailer Nordstrom to the parent of discounter TJ Maxx, from hipster Urban Outfitters to global giant Wal-Mart. Here's a look at what Wall Street is anticipating.
Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial expect the following to report strong earnings growth when compared to the same period of the previous year.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: S1 Corp, CME Group and Elizabeth Arden were today's noteworthy upgrades:
Stephens upgraded shares of S1 Corp (NASDAQ: SONE) to Overweight from Equal Weight after meeting with management to reflect their increased confidence in the company's ability to execute. The firm maintains a $9 target on the stock.
Citigroup upgraded shares of CME Group (NYSE: CME) to Buy from Hold as they find the risk/reward attractive with volumes picking up and consensus estimates at more rational levels. The firm maintains a $485 target.
Oppenheimer raised Elizabeth Arden (NASDAQ: RDEN) to Outperform from Perform on valuation, as they believe the current share price does not adequately reflect potential earnings accretion from the company's licensing agreement with Liz Claiborne (NYSE: LIZ) or restructuring savings.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Nova BioScience, Saba Software and Darling were today's noteworthy initiations:
Jefferies initiated Nova BioSource Fuels (NYSE: NBF) with a Buy rating and $3.75 target, and finds the risk/reward attractive for biofuels investors as the company has more than 100M gallons of biodiesel capacity slated to come onstream by 2009.
B. Riley expects Saba Software's (NASDAQ: SABA) renewed focus on profitability to drive substantial EPS and free cash flow expansion in FY09. The firm started shares with a Buy rating and $6 target.
Stephens believes Darling International (NYSE: DAR) shares offer a solid commodity cycle and an attractive renewable fuels opportunity and initiated shares with an Overweight rating and $17 target..
OTHER INITIATIONS:
Elizabeth Arden (NASDAQ: RDEN) was initiated with a Market Perform rating at Wachovia.
Women of a certain age and socio-economic demographic know Elizabeth Arden Inc. (NASDAQ: RDEN) as a purveyor of prestige beauty products and luxurious day spas. Fortunately for the company, many of those women live outside the U.S. and have yet to be affected by the slowdown in consumer spending. International growth for the company increased 20%, while net sales in the U.S., including the December holiday pampering season, declined 0.5% with weak holiday sales at upscale department stores.
Boosted by international sales, net income increased $8.9 million to $33.8 million, or $1.15 per share. Despite the soft holiday quarter reported January 31, the company is sticking with its previous guidance of diluted EPS $1.65-1.75, up $0.29-0.39 over FY2007. Net sales are forecast to increase in the low single digits -- not the most dramatic forecast.
Elizabeth Arden is tightening its supply chain and increasing the sale of higher profit margin products in its international markets. The company will introduce new fragrance brands in 2008, including the fragrance M by Mariah Carey to appeal to younger customers. Investors do not seem to be much impressed with these new initiatives. The stock has dropped almost 6% over the weekend.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Coca-Cola, PepsiCo, Business Objects, Cognos and Cooper Companies were today's noteworthy downgrades:
Deutsche Bank downgraded Coca-Cola Company (NYSE: KO) and PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP) to Hold from Buy on valuation, as they believe shares reflect prospects for growth.
Business Objects (NASDAQ: BOBJ) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS following the acquisition by SAP AG (NYSE: SAP) and to Hold from Buy at Jefferies, as the firm finds the acquisition price fair and does not expect a counter-bid. Soleil believes the SAP offer is reflected in the stock price, and downgraded Business Objects to Hold from Buy.
Roth Capital downgraded shares of Cognos (NASDAQ: COGN) to Hold from Buy based on recent share appreciation as shares capture a vast majority of a potential takeover bid; Goldman downgraded shares to Neutral from Buy and Jefferies downgraded shares to Hold from Buy on valuation.
JP Morgan lowered shares of Cooper Companies (NYSE: COO) to Underweight from Neutral. The firm believes Street estimates are too high given a negative mix shift in the company's contact lens business, which could lead to a FY08 EPS shortfall.
Elizabeth Arden (NASDAQ: RDEN) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at SunTrust.
UBS downgraded Healthcare REITs to Market Weight from Overweight. UBS downgraded Health Care REIT (NYSE: HCN) and Ventas (NYSE: VTR) to Neutral from Buy and Omega Healthcare (NYSE: OHI) to Sell from Neutral.
The Wall Street Journal's (subscription required) "Heard on the Street" column focused on Credit Suisse Group's (NYSE: CS) new CEO, Brady Dougan, saying the company chose him to hold a steady course, avoiding periods of high revenues followed by crashes.
Barron's Online's (subscription required) "Weekday Trader" column wrote that Elizabeth Arden Inc (NASDAQ: RDEN) trades at a discount to its industry and the broader market, and looks enticing at current levels.
OTHER PAPERS:
BusinessWeek's"Inside Wall Street" column reported that AMR Corporation (NYSE: AMR), the parent of American Airlines, is a buyout target of a group that includes the Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE: GS).
The New York Times reported that Congress has reintroduced legislation to allow the federal government to further regulate the tobacco industry by cracking down on marketing aimed at young people.
The New York Times also reported that Microsoft Corporation's (NASDAQ: MSFT) CEO Steve Ballmer said Wall Street analysts are being too optimistic about sales of Windows Vista.
According to the Red Herring, Google Inc (NASDAQ: GOOG) has acquired Adscape for $23 million.
Even with the stimulus checks, retail sales numbers for June and July have been nothing to cheer about. And this coming week should provide another look at how things have been shaping up in the apparel and accessories arena. A number of companies are scheduled to release quarterly numbers, from upscale retailer Nordstrom to the parent of discounter TJ Maxx, from hipster Urban Outfitters to global giant Wal-Mart. Here's a look at what Wall Street is anticipating..gif){kind=logo}
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