real estate posts
FeedPosted Nov 20th 2009 2:30PM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Economic data, Housing, Recession
The loans that got us into this mess were generally the first to fall. Variable rate mortgages written without documentation for people with sketchy credit histories shocked nobody as their slide became an avalanche. But, the good stuff is starting to follow. An increasing amount of fixed rate mortgages offered to borrowers with solid credit histories are feeling their ways to foreclosure. Blame unemployment for this one. When people can't work, it gets pretty hard to pay the mortgage.
Fixed rate, high quality mortgages had a foreclosure a year ago. Last quarter, it jumped to 33%, according to a Mortgage Bankers Association report. As this happened, the amount of homeowners behind on their payments or in foreclosure just set another record high ... for the ninth month in a row. Subprime mortgages are headed in the other direction. Low quality adjustable rate mortgages are now 16% of new foreclosures -- compared to 35% last year. And, more than 18% of Federal Housing Administration loans are anywhere from one payment behind to in foreclosure, with California, Nevada, Arizona and Florida worst off: together, they accounted for 44% of new foreclosures.
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Continue reading Even the good die young? High-quality mortgages approaching foreclosure
Posted Nov 19th 2009 4:00PM by Jon Ogg (RSS feed)
Filed under: Intel (INTC), Sears Holdings (SHLD), E*TRADE (ETFC)

Today's jobs data was
not bad, relatively any way, but the housing delinquencies and foreclosure rates was just awful and not representative of anything good. The overseas selling had the markets soft this morning and despite a recovery off lows the 'positive green line' was never really in the cards at the end of the trading day. The retailers are also running soft because of
excessive discounting and promotions before the holiday season even starts.
Here are the unofficial closing bell levels:
Dow 10,341.44 -84.87 (-0.81%)
S&P 500 1,094.90 -14.90 (-1.34%)
Nasdaq 2,156.82 -36.32 (-1.66%)
Top Analyst CallsTop Day Trader AlertsTop Stock/Market RumorsContinue reading Closing Bell: The grinch comes early (INTC, HOTT, MVIS, ETFC, SHLD)
Posted Nov 14th 2009 5:30PM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Economic data, Housing
If you're worried about the value of your home, 2010 could bring a little bit of good news. The National Association of Realtors reported Friday that home prices could edge 4% higher next year. In 2009, home prices declined by 13%. The association's chief economist, Lawrence Yun, says, "Going into 2010, I anticipate that prices will also begin stabilizing or begin to modestly improve." He continues, "I don't think the fear factor will be at play in 2010."
First-time buyers taking advantage of a range of incentives -- including an $8,000 tax credit -- accounted for 47% of transactions this year, up from 41% in 2008. With the credit extended to April 30, 2010, there's hope that first-timers will continue to breathe some life into the real estate market. According to Yun, approximately 2 million people gobbled up the tax advantage.
Continue reading Home values could creep up next year
Posted Nov 3rd 2009 3:40PM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Indices, Economic data, Housing, Recession, Financial Crisis
Investment-grade commercial real estate prices gained 4.4% in the third quarter of this year. But, it's hard to tell if -- like brief blips of hope we've seen in consumer spending, unemployment and even luxury meals in London -- this is a change in the market or just a tease.
This increase in the MIT Center for Real Estate's transaction-based index (TBI) is the first up-tick in more than a year and the biggest gain since the middle of 2007. One quarter doesn't make a trend, cautions David Geltner, director of research at the MIT Center for Real Estate, but he says, "this is the strongest sign of a bottom that we've had in two years." The TBI reached 36.5% below its 2007 peak last quarter, up from 39% from the high-water mark in mid-2007.
Continue reading Commercial real estate comeback
Posted Oct 5th 2009 9:00AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Good news, Economic data, Headline news, Housing, Recession
A year ago, Manhattan homeowners lived within the firm grasp of the worst recession in 70 years. A skyrocketing real estate market seemed ready to come back to Earth, as carnage in the financial services industry – which spread to just about every other business – decimated incomes and net worths throughout the city.
From the second quarter to the third, this year, the sale of co-ops and apartments spiked between 46% and 69% according to several reports from the real estate business. Sales are still lower than last year, but the recovery has been nothing short of amazing (to the chagrin of those of us who had dreams of one day moving up from the rental class).
Prudential Douglas Elliman reported a price increase of almost 2% from the second quarter, though the median was down 8% to 18% from last year – to the $760,000 to $850,000 range. Jonathan Miller, president and CEO of Miller Samuel Inc., a real estate appraisal and consulting firm, calls this good news, but cautions that it doesn't mean we're at the bottom.
Continue reading Pricey Manhattan homes are moving again
Posted Sep 9th 2009 1:50PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Stocks to Buy, Housing, Recession
"Right now, I believe real estate investment trusts (REITs) are one of the worst places you can put your money; but there is one exception," says Tom Dyson.
In Daily Wealth, he looks to Realty Income (NYSE: O), explaining, "This REIT -- which has paid 463 consecutive quarterly dividends -- is one of my all-time favorite income investments." Here's his review.
"I see abandoned real estate all over my town. Half the businesses still operating are running on fumes. Our Kmart is a basket case. It's always empty. The Walgreen's is a teardown. Sears has gone. The carpet store has gone and they've boarded up the car dealership.
Continue reading Realty Income (O): 'Rock solid' in real estate
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