According to an ominous story on Bloomberg.com this morning, the recession is already here. It makes the argument that in many sectors of the economy, corporate profits were severely depressed in the third quarter.
In order to protect the bottom line, many companies have announced wholesale lay-offs in the tens of thousands. They are looking to every department to cut expenses and staff and often just eliminate entire departments. There is no doubt that this shake-out is happening because a day has not gone by in the past six months that we have not read about the falling dominoes of the economy.
The housing market, which was ripe with speculators and dreamers (of home ownership or huge profits) fueled by cheap financing which has disappeared, is now in full retreat. The depressed housing and credit markets were the first to show signs of weakness, followed by mortgage lenders who did not have to announce lay-offs, they just closed their doors. The home builders are not building, and the suppliers like Lowe's Co. (NYSE: LOW) and Home Depot (NYSE: HD) on the retail end and Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) and USG Corp (NYSE: USG) on the wholesale end are feeling it.
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