recovery posts
FeedPosted Mar 30th 2011 12:30PM by Michael Fowlkes (RSS feed)
Filed under: Employees, Economic Data, Workspace, Recession
According to the ADP Employer Services Report, the private sector added 201,000 new jobs in March, basically in-line with 203,000 new jobs that analysts had been expecting to see.
February's figures were revised downwards to 208,000 from a previously estimated 216,000 new jobs.
March's employment gains bring the four-month average of new jobs to 211,000, more than enough to keep the labor track on path. Analysts estimate that the economy needs to add 125,000 new jobs each month in order to keep up with population growth, so any jobs over that figure result in a lower unemployment figures.
Continue reading Labor Market Continues to Show Signs of Improvement
Posted Dec 22nd 2010 12:00PM by Gary Shilling (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Newsletters, Economic Data, Housing
In projecting U.S. GDP growth at about a 2% rate for the remainder of this year and in 2011, I have noted that the two propellants of growth so far in this economic recovery -- the inventory revival and fiscal stimuli -- are largely exhausted.
But are there other sectors of the economy that might serve as the backbone of any meaningful economic recovery? I don't see any, especially with U.S. consumers continuing their saving spree, repaying debts and remaining hesitant to spend like they did during the boom times of earlier years.
Continue reading Bleak Prospects for Further Economic Growth
Posted Dec 9th 2010 9:00AM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Good news, Employees, Indices, Economic Data, Recession
The Bureau of Labor Statistics has an indicator that tracks the number of people who simply quit their jobs. CNBC.com reported that the indicator, which they dubbed "Take This Job and Shove It," climbed in October with 2 million people quitting their jobs, up from 1.7 million in the same month a year ago. The last time this pattern occurred was in 2003 when the economy started a long upward trend.
The "Shove It" indicator tends to turn up when people are confident enough that they will find another job if they quit their present one.
Continue reading More People Are Quitting Their Jobs
Posted Apr 21st 2010 5:30PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Good news

At first glance, Wednesday's good news data point looks anything but: the U.S. Treasury may sell $128 billion in notes next week -- a record, Bloomberg News
reported. The large debt amount stems in part from record spending for both the fiscal stimulus and the bank bailout.
And the good news in the above? Institutional investors and analysts sense that a modest reduction in the Treasury Department's borrowing needs is approaching, due to the strengthening U.S. economy, Bloomberg News reported. A Bloomberg survey of bond/debt dealers forecasts that the Treasury will sell $2.4 trillion in debt in 2010, compared to $2.11 trillion in 2009.
Continue reading Ray of Light: U.S. Treasury Borrowing May Be Peaking
Posted Apr 16th 2010 5:00PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Employees, Recession

That the job creation task ahead for policy makers and executives alike is significant would be an understatement. The task is, arguably, as great as any economic endeavor since the restructuring of the U.S. economy for armaments production during the mobilization for World War II.
Here are the basics: the U.S. Labor Department puts the number of unemployed persons
at 15 million as of the end of March, roughly 8.4 million of which stems from the 2007-2009 recession.
Continue reading A Sight Investors Would Love: Above-Trend Job Growth
Posted Apr 12th 2010 12:10PM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Economic Data, Recession
According to an Associated Press survey of leading economists, jobs and home values will stay unstable into 2011. The survey indicates that the recovery is going to continue trudging along through the year, which should prompt the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates near zero. Three-fourths of the economists surveyed believe that the interest rates will stay low until the final quarter of 2010.
Other highlights from the survey (if you can call them highlights) include the belief that the unemployment rate will stay "stubbornly high" during the next two years. The group believes that the unemployment rate will drop to 9.3% by the end of this year and will drop to 8.4% at the end of 2011.
Continue reading Survey: Economic Recovery to Drag Through 2011
Posted Nov 11th 2009 6:00PM by Michael Fowlkes (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Forecasts, Good news, Competitive Strategy, Employees, Market Matters, Applied Materials (AMAT), Technology, Recession

Semiconductor maker Applied Materials (
AMAT) reported
its fiscal fourth quarter numbers this afternoon following the market close, and the company easily outpaced analyst estimates.
Going into this afternoon's earnings report, analysts had been expecting to see the company show earnings of 3 cents per share, but the company surprised to the upside by posting actual Q4 earnings of 13 cents.
Continue reading Applied Materials (AMAT) tops analyst estimates
Posted Oct 1st 2009 9:50AM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Economic Data

On Thursday, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said the
global economy will grow next year, but cautioned the recovery will be sluggish. The IMF added that the recovery could even "stall out" if policymakers assume the slump is over. The IMF's recent outlook, however, is better than July's outlook, as the IMF predicts better growth in 2010 thanks to "strong public policies ... that have supported demand and all but eliminated fears of a global depression."
As for the recovery, the IMF believes that it will be subdued and "well below" the growth seen before the economic crisis. The group added that there is a "significant risk" of a reversal, noting that central banks in advanced economies need to wait until the recovery is on firm footing.
Continue reading International Monetary Fund sees sluggish recovery
Next Page >