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Analyst initiations: FNM, FRE, RVBD and SSTI

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Riverbed Technology (RVBD), Silicon Storage (SSTI), Regal Entertainment (RGC), Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddy Mac (FRE) were today's more noteworthy initiations:
  • CIBC initiated shares of Riverbed Technology (NASDAQ: RVBD) with a Sector Performer rating, citing valuation. The firm believes the mobile opportunity is a wild card, and cites increased Cisco Systems (CSCO) risk.
  • Silicon Storage (NASDAQ: SSTI) as announced several new products in late 2006 and 1H07 with shipments expected to start in 2H07 along with significant revenues in 2008; Barrington initiated shares with a Market Perform rating.
  • Ferris Baker Watts initiated Regal Entertainment (NYSE: RGC) with a Neutral rating, seeing annual top-line growth only in the low- to mid-single digits.
  • Fox-Pitt Kelton believes both Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) are finally set to emerge from restatement issues with new accounting procedures and operating systems in place, initiating both companies with an Outperform rating...
OTHER INITIATIONS:
  • Needham initiated Tennant (NYSE: TNC) with a Buy rating.
  • CIBC started Centene (NYSE: CNC) with a Sector Performer rating.
  • Deutsche initiated Thomson (NYSE: TOC) with a Buy rating.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Analyst downgrades 6-22-07: ANF, BGFV, COGN, TLB and SBUX

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Select theater stocks, Equity Inns (ENN), Talbots (TLB) and Starbucks (SBUX) filled today's noteworthy downgrade segment:
  • Banc of America said summer blockbusters have fallen off faster than they expected and there are fewer mid-tier films to support growth:
  • Equity Inns (NYSE: ENN) was cut to Sell from Hold at AG Edwards after the Whitehall acquisition. JMP Securities and Friedman Billings cut shares to Market Perform from Outperform and KeyBanc downgraded Equity Inns to Hold from Buy.
  • Matrix USA downgraded Talbots (NYSE: TLB) to Sell from Hold based on the eroding return of capital because of the company using capital to acquire and open new stores. Friedman Billings downgraded shares of
  • Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX) to Market Perform from Outperform and removed the company from their FBR Top Picks list on expectations that 2H07 same-store sales will no longer improve, removing a catalyst...
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Banc of America downgraded Cognos (NASDAQ: COGN) to Neutral from Buy.
  • Roth downgraded Fuel Tech Inc (NASDAQ: FTEK) to Hold from Buy.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Shrek 3 could bring movie theaters back into favor

Shrek 3 and Spider-Man 3 are coming to a movie theater near you, just as the sector is coming out of an ugly downturn.

Overcapacity and over-leverage had led to an ogre-ish performance causing theater operators to file for bankruptcy or get picked up by private equity.

Now theater companies are going public or emerging from bankruptcy with little fanfare. However, according to Buzz Zaino, long-time great stock picker at Royce Opportunity Fund, it is time to start looking at these stocks again. In Barron's fund-manager interview (subscription required), Zaino said box-office receipts are up 7.2% year-to-date with a summer of good new releases expected to keep the momentum going.

Carmike Cinemas Inc (NASDAQ: CKEC) looks particularly attractive since it has upgraded 75% of its screens to digital, on which, in addition to showing movies, new alternative concepts are expected to generate additional revenue. Other movie chains Zaino likes are Regal Entertainment Group (NYSE: RGC) and Cinemark Holdings Inc (NYSE: CNK).

Expected improvements in box-office receipts should lead to nice incremental EBITDA margins especially for Carmike since its theater upgrade is mostly completed.

Few have mentioned theater stocks as a place to invest in. Zaino is one of the best at find long-forgotten industries as fundamentals are on the upswing. This ogre of an industry appears ready to return some princely profits to shareholder.

Analyst initiations 4-24-07: ADM, QSFT, NSM, MXIM and UTX initiated today

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Four analog semiconductors, Archer Daniels Midland Co (ADM) and United Technologies Corp (UTX) were today's more noteworthy initiations:
  • Archer Daniels Midland Co (NYSE: ADM) was initiated with a Neutral rating at Banc of America based on expected declines in ethanol margins. JP Morgan started shares with an Overweight rating.
  • United Technologies (NYSE: UTX) was started with a Strong Buy rating at Matrix USA with a $90 intrinsic value...
OTHER INITIATIONS:
  • Merrill Lynch started BigBand Networks, Inc (NASDAQ: BBND) with a Neutral rating, ThinkEquity started shares with an Accumulate rating and $19 target, Jefferies started them with a Buy rating and Cowen started shares with an Outperform rating.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+30.6910,464.40
NASDAQ+6.872,176.05
S&P 500+4.981,110.63

Last updated: November 25, 2009: 05:48 PM

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