Nouriel Roubini, a professor at New York University, has recently been profiled in both Barron's and The New York Times. There may be nothing special about his training or methods, but what is fairly unique is his opinion that we are on the brink of a modern version of the Great Depression.
It is hard to say why the media wants to give his analysis voice, but he has become the object of almost endless fascination.
The foundation of his view of the economy is that the current housing disaster will get much, much worse and that banks will end up writing off almost $1.5 trillion in mortgage-related paper. That is about three times what they have taken as charges so far. The New York Times quotes Roubini as saying, "A good third of the regional banks won't make it."
While a number of experts believe that the recession could last a year, Roubini would he called an extremist by most measures. He foresees a downturn lasting 18 months.
The media does not like Roubini because he may be right. They like him because predictions of great economic collapse and mayhem sell papers. That is too bad. The public deserves a more balanced view.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 24/7 Wall St.










