reinsurance posts
FeedPosted Apr 8th 2010 3:40PM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad News

All we can do is wait for Alex.
Hurricane season start June 1, 2010, with Alex chosen as the first name, and it's expected to be above average. The Colorado State University forecast released on Wednesday predicts 15 named storms in the Atlantic basin, due partly to record warm water. Eight of them are expected to reach hurricane status, with sustained winds of 74 mph, and four are forecasted to become Category 3, 4 or 5 storms, with sustained winds of 111 mph. Typically, there are only 10 named storms, with six becoming hurricanes (two of them major), based on data going back to 1950.
William Gray, a member of the CSU Tropical Meteorology Project, told
USA Today, "The probability of a major hurricane making landfall along the U.S. coastline is 69%, compared with the last-century average of 52%."
Continue reading Insurers Ready for Above-Average Hurricane Season
Posted Apr 2nd 2010 12:40PM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Other Issues
The first catastrophe bond of the quarter closed on opening day ... and it was a big one. State Farm's Merna Re II transaction was good for $350 million in risk capital, upsized from the earlier reported amount of $250 million. Though large, it doesn't compare to the previous Merna Re catastrophe bond, which set a record at $1.2 billion that remains to be beat.
Merna Re II was oversubscribed, but State Farm only wanted to place $350 million, Thomson Reuters reports (registration required). According to one investor who knew about the transaction, "The deal was oversubscribed at +365 basis points and after being upsized to $350 million." The investor added, "The initial price talk was 365 - 405 bp, but the deal got priced at 365 bp. However, Merna was a simple transaction and State Farm only wanted to place 350 million."
Continue reading State Farm Closes First Cat Bond of Q2
Posted Mar 29th 2010 12:00PM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Deals, Allstate Corp (ALL)

This year, you can expect experienced
catastrophe bond issuers in the
insurance and
reinsurance sectors to dominate the market, as they did in 2009. Instead of replacing maturing bonds, however, many will be turning to new transactions. Fresh moves are likely, therefore, in a sector that could double last year's issuance total and at least approach the 2007 record of $7 billion in risk capital.
Eighteen tranches of eight cat bonds are set to mature in the second quarter,
according to the Thomson Reuters Insurance Linked Securities Community. On the eve of hurricane season in the Gulf of Mexico, $2.77 billion in risk capital will mature, including State Farm's $1.2 billion Merna Re transaction, the largest transaction in the history of this form of risk transfer. Only part of Merna Re will be replaced by Merna II, with industry trade publication Trading Risk, which is put out by the Insurance Insider, reporting that the $250 million successor to Merna Re has been upsized to $700 million.
Continue reading Catastrophe Bonds: Same but Different in 2010
Posted Mar 29th 2010 10:30AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Good news
Look for big numbers from the property/casualty sector of the insurance industry for full-year 2009. Light catastrophe losses were a big help, leaving more cash in the coffers to benefit from the recovering financial markets following the September 2008 crisis. Reinsurance companies, in particular, will benefit from the light catastrophe activity of 2009.
Among 52 publicly traded insurance companies, rating agency Fitch reports, the incurred loss ratio fell to 65.8%, a decline of 1.8 percentage points, and the expense ratio increased to 28.5% (up 0.6 percentage points). This caused underwriting profits for the entire group to improve, as indicate by the overall combined ratio of 94.3% for 2009, down from 95.5% in 2008 (a lower combined ratio s a positive development).
Continue reading Strong 2009 Results for Insurance Sector
Posted Mar 25th 2010 9:30AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports

Last year was a good one for Lloyd's of London.
Profits more than doubled, surging to a record $5.81 billion, thanks largely to strong investment gains and a quiet
catastrophe year. Investment gains last year amounted to $2.66 billion, an increase of 84.8%. But, it wasn't all just a rising tide in the financial markets. Lloyd's did pick up a gain of more than 20% in premium volume -- and currency fluctuations played a role.
Says Lord Peter Leven, Lloyd's chairman, the increase in profits "has been achieved despite the economic turbulence that characterized most of 2009, although we were certainly helped by a low level of catastrophe losses." In particular, a quite hurricane season in the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico was kind to Lloyd's balance sheet.
Continue reading Lloyd's of London Turns in Record Year
Posted Mar 23rd 2010 11:30AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), Allstate Corp (ALL), MetLife Inc. (MET)

In the U.S. alone, insurance companies hold more than $2.2 trillion in corporate debt, having spent 2009 buying bonds at a faster rate than it had in the past five years. As
Warren Buffett of Berkshire Hathaway (
BRK.A) put it,
the market was "raining gold." Net purchases of corporate bonds by the U.S. insurance industry jumped to $153 billion last year, most of it in the first quarter, when yields were highest. In 2008, outflows reached $59 billion. In 2004, inflows hit $172 billion.
According to Judy Greffin, Allstate's (
ALL) chief investment officer, tells
Bloomberg News, "It has paid off very nicely," as evidenced by the 20% growth in Allstate's corporate debt holdings last year, which reached $33.1 billion. She continues, "With the benefit of hindsight, I would have loved to have bought more." Likewise, Buffett indicated that he should have invested more. MetLife (
MET) and Prudential Financial (
PRU) also benefited from the corporate debt rally, which has helped them recover much of the capital lost from the financial crisis of September 2008.
Continue reading U.S. Insurers Addicted to Corporate Bonds
Posted Mar 22nd 2010 4:00PM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Politics

Bermuda is angling to pick up props from European regulators. There's plenty at stake – namely, the huge insurance and reinsurance presence on the island. If the Bermuda Monetary Authority can demonstrate its oversight chops,
the industry won't need to seek greener pastures when Solvency II, a new insurance regulatory measure, takes effect. Changes to capital and supervision rules in Europe, particularly with Solvency II in the works, could affect companies like Axis (
AXS), Catlin (
CLNGF), Flagstone Re (
FSR), RenaissanRe (
RNR) and XL Insurance (
XL).
So, what's on the table? Well, gross written premium hit $104 billion in Bermuda last year. If you use Lloyd's of London as a reference point, Bermuda is four times larger. Though the U.S. leads in throwing business to insurers in Bermuda, Europe isn't far behind in second. This is why Bermuda is thinking about Solvency II. Even though the directive only applies directly to European carriers, secondary effects will be evident around the world.
Continue reading Bermuda Readies Itself for New Insurance Regulation in Europe
Posted Mar 19th 2010 10:10AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Deals, Amer Intl Group (AIG)
Merna Re, the largest catastrophe bond of all time, is set to mature in June, and State Farm is already putting together its replacement, the creatively named Merna Re II. The successor, planned for issuance in April, is said to be for $400 million in risk capital, though investor demand could push it as high as $700 million. This still pales in comparison to the $1.2 billion that the original brought in the door.
If State Farm is able to stimulate demand for Merna Re II, which would protect the company from non-California earthquake risk in the U.S., it will be third cat bond to come to market in 2010, which is expected to be a strong year for this form of risk transfer. The cat bond market fell silent after the near-collapse of American International Group (AIG) in September 2008 but was still the third busiest in terms of capital issued in the history of the cat bond market. Heading into 2009, prospects for the cat bond space seemed uncertain, but a robust fourth quarter eventually resulted in a year-over-year increase, driven mostly by repeat issuers.
Continue reading State Farm Planning Monster Cat Bond
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