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<generator>Blogsmith http://www.blogsmith.com/</generator><item><title><![CDATA[Kohl's stock is strong today on earnings, but should you chase it?]]></title><link>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/08/15/kohls-stock-is-strong-today-on-earnings-but-should-you-chase-i/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/08/15/kohls-stock-is-strong-today-on-earnings-but-should-you-chase-i/</guid><comments>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/08/15/kohls-stock-is-strong-today-on-earnings-but-should-you-chase-i/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/earnings-reports/" rel="tag">Earnings Reports</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/wmt/" rel="tag">Wal-Mart (WMT)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/tgt/" rel="tag">Target Corp. (TGT)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/kss/" rel="tag">Kohl's Corp (KSS)</a></p><p><a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/kohl-s-corporation/kss/nys">Kohl's Corporation</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/kohl-s-corporation/kss/nys">KSS</a>) is up over 7% as I write this. Wall Street is apparently infatuated by the company's Q2 <a href="http://money.aol.com/news/articles/qp/pr/_a/kohls-corporation-reports-earnings-of/rfid130773977">numbers</a>, issued on Thursday after the bell. On the surface, however, one might question why there's such an interest. After all, the top line increased only 4% and the bottom line actually decreased 7% to $0.77 per diluted share. And, more dishearteningly, same-store sales, a vital metric for retailers, fell well over 4%. In fact, for the six-month period, same-store sales declined well over 5%. </p>
<p>Here's what Wall Street seems to be thinking. The gross margin expanded from 38.9% to 39.6% in the quarter. In the six-month timeframe, the gross margin expanded from 37.9% to 38.2%. Also, management increased its earnings outlook for the fiscal year from a range of $2.95 to $3.15 per share to $3.02 to $3.18 per share. This guidance assumes declines in comps of between 2% and 4% for each of the next two quarters. Kohl's beat estimates by $0.04, according to <a href="http://money.aol.com/news/articles/qp/briefing/_a/kohls-beats-by-004-reports-revs-in-line/rfid130775165">Briefing.com</a>. And cash from operations more than doubled over the last six months to roughly $874 million. </p>
<p>All of that is pretty impressive, so I guess I can understand the buying of the stock to some degree. I do see some things to be concerned about, though. While gross margins went up, operating margins went down. Plus, I don't like the declining comps in this case. And I have to wonder how the economy will treat Kohl's in the coming holiday season. I definitely wouldn't be in a rush to chase this stock, especially after the run-up today. As I've said in other pieces on retail investing, <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/wal-mart-stores-inc/wmt/nys">Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/wal-mart-stores-inc/wmt/nys">WMT</a>) and <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/target-corporation/tgt/nys">Target Corporation</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/target-corporation/tgt/nys">TGT</a>) are businesses I'd look at first in this sector. However, one thing I do have to concede is that the stock has been very strong lately, so there may be a case to be made for capturing some momentum here. Still, if I'm going for momentum, I might go with retail businesses that have stronger brand equities (in my opinion, at least). </p>
<p><em>Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change at any time.</em> </p><p style="padding:5px;background:#ddd;border:1px solid #ccc;clear:both;"><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/08/15/kohls-stock-is-strong-today-on-earnings-but-should-you-chase-i/">Kohl's stock is strong today on earnings, but should you chase it?</a> originally appeared on <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com">BloggingStocks</a> on Fri, 15 Aug 2008 16:19:00 EST.  Please see our <a href="http://www.weblogsinc.com/feed-terms/">terms for use of feeds</a>.</p><h6 style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;"></h6><a href=http://money.aol.com/news/articles/qp/pr/_a/kohls-corporation-reports-earnings-of/rfid130773977>Read</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/08/15/kohls-stock-is-strong-today-on-earnings-but-should-you-chase-i/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/forward/1285825/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/08/15/kohls-stock-is-strong-today-on-earnings-but-should-you-chase-i/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a>]]></description><category>Kohls</category><category>KSS</category><category>retail investing</category><category>retail stocks</category><category>RetailInvesting</category><category>RetailStocks</category><category>Target</category><category>TGT</category><category>Wal-Mart</category><category>WMT</category><dc:creator><![CDATA[Steven Mallas]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 15 Aug 2008 16:19:00 EST</pubDate></item></channel></rss>
