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CVS Caremark: Long-Term Bet After Q4?

CVS Caremark (CVS), which competes with Walgreen (WAG), Rite Aid (RAD), and Wal-Mart (WMT), posted fourth-quarter data on Monday. Sales increased 7%, and adjusted earnings per share from continuing operations (excluding, in addition, a penny per share relating to a tax benefit) came in at 78 cents -- good for a growth rate of over 11%. That bottom-line performance matched analyst projections, according to our earnings preview.

As we all know, matching expectations is sometimes the death of a stock. The market has no conscience when it comes to mercilessly punishing an equity for not going beyond the call of the analysts. However, CVS actually did pretty well yesterday, rising 5% by the end of the session; the move was backed by healthy volume.

Continue reading CVS Caremark: Long-Term Bet After Q4?

Retailers Enjoy Solid January, Led by Luxury Set

Shoppers spent more time – and money – in malls last month, with many retailers posting on Thursday strong results in what tends to be the final month of their fiscal year. The rich are doing a better job of prying open their wallets, as RetailMetrics, a research firm that covers the industry, reported that luxury retailers such as Saks (SKS) enjoyed larger gains in January than bargain stores. Signs of life in financial markets have made wealthier consumers more willing to spend ... and we all know that a recovery has to start someplace.

Continue reading Retailers Enjoy Solid January, Led by Luxury Set

Kohl's: Pull-Back Is a Buy Opportunity

Retailer Kohl's Corp's (KSS) stock has dipped in the past two months, and typically that would be a concern with a retailer, but not this solid retail sector performer, which is a major reason I'm reiterating my buy rating for the company's shares, first recommended on April 26, 2009, at a price of $43.862.

Simply, Kohl's has the right business model at the right time. Kohl's is a moderate-price retailer that's held its own amid the recession, and will now benefit from a wider customer spectrum as the economic expansion continues.

Continue reading Kohl's: Pull-Back Is a Buy Opportunity

Trade Update: Realized Loss on GameStop

My trade on GameStop Corp. (GME) has come to an inauspicious end. Today, I sold out of my position, realizing a significant loss.

It's always difficult to turn a paper loss into an authentic one. You worry if the stock is going to suddenly rise after you sold out. I'm sure that could happen in my case. In fact, at the time of this writing, shares were higher than the price at which I sold them. I ditched them at around $19.60 per share.

Continue reading Trade Update: Realized Loss on GameStop

Coach Sells Off on a Decent Quarter

Coach (COH) is a mystery to me today. I thought the numbers from its latest quarter were pretty good. And yet, the stock sells off. That alone is not so mysterious; heck, it happens all the time. What makes it so strange for me is I've covered so many other retailers that post awful numbers and then go on to see a big bid. Hey, that's the market, right?

Anyway, Coach said total sales increased 11% in the second quarter. North American same-store sales advanced over 3%. Earnings came in at 75 cents per share, 8 cents better than last year's income stat. Earnings.com says Wall Street was looking for 72 cents per share.

Continue reading Coach Sells Off on a Decent Quarter

Sales Increase in Third Quarter Drives Results for Carter's

Carter's Inc. (CRI), a retailer of children's apparel, reported Q3 earnings on Friday. The company delivered a nice increase in both sales and net income. It even beat earnings estimates. Yet, the stock is down over 3% as I write this. The market can be funny sometimes, huh?

The top line increased over 10%. Adjusted per-share profit came in at 84 cents. That represented a whopping increase over the adjusted 58 cents per share recorded one year ago. Carter's also experienced a good rise in comparable store sales; the statistic went up over 6%. The OshKosh segment didn't do so well with comps, however.

Continue reading Sales Increase in Third Quarter Drives Results for Carter's

Retail Sales Fall in December, Surprising Analysts

Despite all the hype and wishful thinking, retail sales, reported Thursday morning, fell in December. This came as a surprise to analysts, many of whom forecasted increases of 2% or more, though there were some calling for declines of up to 3%. The holiday season wasn't enough to overcome cautious consumer spending, which has been driven largely by an unemployment rate that remains stubbornly high at 10%.

Data from the Commerce Department released Thursday puts the decline in retail sales from November to December at 0.3%, while expectations were for an increase of 0.5%. Excluding auto sales, the drop was 0.2%, still weaker than the 0.3% increase anticipated by analysts. This decline follows an increase of 1.2% in October and 1.8% in November. In September, retail sales fell 2% from August.

Continue reading Retail Sales Fall in December, Surprising Analysts

Target Thinks Its Stock Is a Good Investment -- Should You?

Target Corporation (TGT), a retailer that competes with Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (WMT) and Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY), had some good news today for its shareholders. Management has decided to reinstate its stock buyback program. According to the press release, the company believes the economic environment has improved to the point where reducing some of its float could be a worthwhile investment.

This buyback is a continuation of a $10 billion program begun back in November 2007. About half of that sum has already been spent; the remainder of the allocation is expected to be used up in two to three years. So, this isn't an aggressive move, certainly. And, as always, evolving market conditions can affect the intended schedule.

Continue reading Target Thinks Its Stock Is a Good Investment -- Should You?

Electronic Arts Lowers Its Full-Year Forecast ... Again

It is shaping up to be a very rough day for Electronic Arts (ERTS), as the company has lowered its full-fiscal-year guidance for a second time in two months.

Electronic Arts expects to report a loss of $1.94 to $2.24 per share, which is far greater than the earlier-estimated loss of $1.20 to $2.05 per share. Revenue is now expected to total $3.6 billion to $3.68 billion, a narrower range than the previously forecast $3.6 billion to $3.9 billion. Taking one-time charges out of the equation, Electronic Arts expects earnings of 40 to 55 cents per share compared to its earlier forecast for 30 cents to a dollar per share. Furthermore, Electronic Arts estimated a third-quarter loss of 24 cents to 32 cents per share on revenue of $1.23 billion to $1.25 billion.

Continue reading Electronic Arts Lowers Its Full-Year Forecast ... Again

Closing Bell: Actually Better Than It Looks (LEN, GE, GME, BBBY, SHLD, QCOM, BA, BAC)

Today's stock market was up more than it was not throughout the trading session, yet the feeling was more of an up-day after better than expected retail data and after more and more data points to a decent jobs figure for Friday's unemployment and non-farms payrolls data. Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 10,607.69 +34.01 (0.32%)
S&P 500 1,141.65 +4.51 (0.40%)
Nasdaq 2,299.00 -2.09 (-0.09%)

Top Analyst Upgrades/Downgrades

Continue reading Closing Bell: Actually Better Than It Looks (LEN, GE, GME, BBBY, SHLD, QCOM, BA, BAC)

Trade Update: GameStop -- An Absolute Nightmare

Have you ever had one of those days? Yeah, you've had 'em. I'm having one right now. I cannot believe how wrong my thesis on GameStop (GME) turned out to be. Wrong, wrong, wrong.

I honestly thought things were going to be different today. The video-game retailer would report its holiday sales and I would see a pop in my shares. I would have the opportunity to sell out at a nice price above my cost basis. A cost basis, by the way, that had been severely challenged soon after I opened the position.

Continue reading Trade Update: GameStop -- An Absolute Nightmare

Bed Bath & Beyond Surpasses Estimates, Delivers Good Comps in Q3

Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) scored in its fiscal third quarter. Sales rose well over 10%. Same-store sales increased a very impressive 7.3%. The real star, however, was the net income number. Earnings per diluted share soared 71% higher to 58 cents.

Wow, huh? Bed Bath & Beyond's management really benefited from the improving times. You've also got to give some credit to good retail positioning. Analysts weren't counting on much more than 43 cents per share, according to Earnings.com. In addition, I found the nine-month statement of cash flows a pleasing document to read.

Continue reading Bed Bath & Beyond Surpasses Estimates, Delivers Good Comps in Q3

Family Dollar Up Big on Q1 report

Family Dollar Stores (FDO) is a hot stock this afternoon. As of this writing, shares were up over 11% on monster volume. Investors loved the first-quarter numbers. I found them intriguing, too.

Sales increased almost 4%, with same-store sales registering a 2.4% expansion. Net income jumped over 16% to 49 cents per diluted share. According to our earnings preview, Family Dollar was supposed to do 47 cents. Gross margin improved; one of the driving factors for this improvement was a reduction in seasonal markdowns, something I find particularly encouraging, since avoiding markdowns should always be near the top of the list when it comes to advisable actions in retail operations. In addition, management reiterated its guidance for the full fiscal year. Taking everything in total, I think we can say that the retailer delivered a strong quarter, especially in the face of the tough holiday period.

Continue reading Family Dollar Up Big on Q1 report

December Layoffs Lowest in a Year

The job market looked grim at the beginning of 2009, but as we crossed into 2010, there seems to be a glimmer of hope. We still aren't seeing jobs added yet, but at least the cuts are headed in the right direction. Last month, according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas, announced layoffs fell 10% to 45,094. This is the lowest level seen since December 2007, exactly two years earlier, when there were only 44,416 job cuts. The most recent tally is also off 10% from November's 50,349, making it the fifth month in a row that layoffs have decreased. Since July, the stat has fallen 14% a month, on average.

Continue reading December Layoffs Lowest in a Year

Day After Christmas Tops All but Black Friday for Retailers

The second best shopping day of the holiday season didn't come until after the festivities ended. Dec. 26, 2009 wasn't good enough to top Black Friday, but data from ShopperTrak shows that it did shoot past the last Saturday before Christmas, which is usually among the top days of the holiday season. This year, that Saturday wasn't able to realize its potential because of a snowstorm that smacked the East Coast.

Store traffic fell 6.6% from 2008 for the day after Christmas, but sales still reached $7.9 billion. Analysts expected the the first post-holiday shopping day to assume more importance, largely because of the storm a week earlier

Continue reading Day After Christmas Tops All but Black Friday for Retailers

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DJIA+150.2510,058.64
NASDAQ+24.822,150.87
S&P 500+13.781,070.52

Last updated: February 10, 2010: 03:41 AM

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