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richard moroney posts

Mid-year favorites from Dow Theory: BIIB, CMCSA, OII

"Midyear is as good a time as any to pause and reflect," says Richard Moroney in Dow Theory Forecasts -- a newsletter with the distinction of having been published for more than 50 years.

Here, he reviews the state of the market and offers a look at trio of favorite stocks which he considers "fundamentally superior" companies: Biogen Idec (NASDAQ: BIIB), Comcast (NASDAQ: CMCSA), and Oceaneering International (NYSE: OII).

Continue reading Mid-year favorites from Dow Theory: BIIB, CMCSA, OII

Don't look to high yield stocks for high returns

Stocks are up this year but not everyone is profiting. One reason is that many investors, stung by the market collapse, have been looking for safety by investing in dividend paying stocks. But Richard Moroney, editor of Dow Theory Forecasts, says that investing for yield is a flawed strategy.

Moroney, a chartered financial analyst, points out that while the S&P 1500 Index is up about 16% so far this year, investors in high-yielding stocks (with yields of 4% or more) have a year-to-date return of just 4%. And he says that stocks that do not pay dividends are up an average of 29%.

We spoke with Richard Moroney to find out why this is the case -- and what income investors should do.

Continue reading Don't look to high yield stocks for high returns

Earnings surprises: Quant picks 'best buy' trio

"We screened our database for standouts based on meaningful profit surprises," says quantitative analyst Richard Moroney.

In Upside, a service focused on applying in-depth quantitative analysis to small to mid-cap growth companies, he looks at a trio of stocks earning his "Best Buy" rating -- Priceline (NASDAQ: PCLN), Sybase (NYSE: SY), and Synaptics (NASDAQ: SYNA).

"All things equal, the better a stock's earnings momentum and profit outlook, the more likely it is to outperform in the year ahead.

Continue reading Earnings surprises: Quant picks 'best buy' trio

Tune in to DirecTV (DTV)

"In recent months, DirecTV (NASDAQ: DTV) has shown that pay television is recession-resistant; indeed, the company has been dishing up subscriber growth," says Richard Moroney.

In his Dow Theory Forecasts, the advisor explains why the satellite-TV system operator is among those select stocks consider to be "Focus List" buys -- the top long-term buy rating in their model portfolio.

"In the nearly 15 years since DirecTV sold its first satellite-television system, the company has grown to serve more than 18 million U.S. subscribers, or 16% of the country's households. DirecTV also operates in Latin America, where it generates 12% of revenue.

Continue reading Tune in to DirecTV (DTV)

China 3G boosts Qualcomm (QCOM)

This post is part of a 12-article feature on the best bets for investing in China. To see all the other recommendations in this special report, click here.

"The rollout of China's 3-G cell-phone network offers huge potential for Qualcomm (NASDAQ: QCOM)," suggests Richard Moroney in the blue chip advisory, Dow Theory Forecasts.

"Third-generation networks offer higher download speeds for phones that browse the Internet and download songs and movies.

Continue reading China 3G boosts Qualcomm (QCOM)

A trio of technology values

"We are still finding attractively valued growers in tech," says quantitative analyst Richard Morney.

In his Upside stock advisory newsletter, he notes "We have found several especially promising tech stocks with solid track records, strong finances, and attractive growth prospects."

Here, the advisor reviews three stocks that earn his top 'best buy' rating: Akamai NASDAQ: AKAM), Synaptics (NASDAQ: SYNA) and TeleCommunications Systems (NASDAQ: TSYS).

Continue reading A trio of technology values

Smooth seas for Oceaneering International (OII)

"We see smooth seas ahead for deepsea driller Oceaneering International (NYSE: OII)," says Richard Moroney.

The editor of the blue chip advisory, Dow Theory Forecasts, explains, "Most of the world's untapped oil reserves lie under the ocean floor, and oil producers are spending an increasing portion of their capital budgets on deepwater drilling."

"While oil prices don't directly affect Oceaneering International's profits and cash flows, they do move the stock. Oil prices fell by two-thirds in the second half of 2008, pushing Oceaneering shares under $20 for the first time since July 2005.

Continue reading Smooth seas for Oceaneering International (OII)

Healthcare favorites for long-term growth

"Long-time healthcare investors can be forgiven their confusion; drug stocks are supposed to be defensive, but many of the largest drugmakers have been pounded," observes Richard Moroney.

Nevertheless, in the blue chip Dow Theory Forecasts, the advisor sees two favorite healthcare and pharmaceutical issues as long-term opportunities: AstraZeneca (NYSE: AZN) and Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ).

Moroney explains, "Healthcare companies' profits are supposed to remain fairly steady regardless of the economic situation. But hospitals' capital spending fell in the December quarter, and many consumers are putting off medical care because they cannot afford it.

Continue reading Healthcare favorites for long-term growth

Transocean (RIG): A platform for profits?

"What's going on with Transocean (NYSE RIG), the owner of the world's biggest fleet of offshore drilling rigs?" asks Richard Moroney, a specialist in blue chip stocks.

In his Dow Theory Forecasts, he explains, "The shares plunged 67% - nearly $100 a share - in 2008, and we can't blame the usual suspects." Here, he explains why he continues to rate thes stock a "Focus List Buy" in his blue chip-focused advisory service.

"Poor operating performance? Wall Street expects 2008 per-share profits of $14.34, up 68%. Shaky future? Transocean is expected to grow per-share earnings 4% in 2009 and 10% annually over the next five years.

"Fundamentals eroding? Not at all. The balance sheet is sturdy and the backlog stout at $41 billion, or three times expected 2009 revenue. Rather, we see two chief contributors to Transocean's steep slide, and neither should jeopardize long-term prospects.

Continue reading Transocean (RIG): A platform for profits?

Obama's plans boost electronic medical records firms

"One of my favor defensive sectors is healthcare," says Elliott Gue; the contributing editor to Personal Finance looks to Quality Systems (NSDQ: QSII), a company that helps automate medical records.

Quantitative analyst Richard Moroney also sees opportunity in the same niche sector. In his Upside newsletter, he looks to a competing play, Cerner (NASDAQ: CERN). Here are their reviews.

"The President made health care a centerpiece of his campaign, including investments in health care-related information technology (IT).

"Health care IT systems can save doctors' offices and hospitals significant administrative costs as well as prevent mistakes. In addition, some major health insurance firms are already putting heavy pressure on their physician networks to adopt these systems."

"Medical offices and hospitals are seeking to automate many functions, from storing patient records online to automatically submitting insurance claims for reimbursement.

"It's estimated that as much as 90% of health care records at smaller medical practices are still maintained in paper form, while even bigger hospitals keep close to half of their records manually.

"Quality Systems, a holding in our growth portfolio, is a leading provider of such systems. It sells software used to manage electronic patient records, billing, scheduling and other common administrative functions for medical and dental practices.

Continue reading Obama's plans boost electronic medical records firms

Top Stock Picks '09: Amedisys (AMED)

This post is part of a special annual report -- Top Stock Picks '09 -- in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked 75 leading newsletter advisors to select their favorite investment for the new year.

"Amedisys (NASDAQ: AMED), a provider of home health services," notes Richard Moroney, whose Upside Stocks newsletter uses a quantitative system to select high growth, smaller cap issues.

"The company operates more than 500 locations, focuses on Medicare-eligible patients because of favorable reimbursement rates as well as a large and growing patient base.

"The U.S. Census Bureau estimates that some 8,000 Americans will become Medicare eligible each day beginning in 2011. By 2030, nearly 58 million baby boomers will be eligible for Medicare benefits.

"In 2007, nearly 90% of the company's revenue was derived from Medicare. "Acquisitions and market-share gains should fuel strong results. In addition, Amedisys should benefit from an aging population beset by chronic illnesses.

"The company has developed specialized services that focus on high-cost diseases and chronic conditions. An estimated one-half of the U.S. population will have a chronic condition in 2020, or nearly 160 million people.

Continue reading Top Stock Picks '09: Amedisys (AMED)

Top Stock Picks '09: Biogen Idec (BIIB)

This post is part of a special annual report -- Top Stock Picks '09 -- in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked 75 leading newsletter advisors to select their favorite investment for the new year.

"Biogen Idec (NASDAQ: BIIB) -- which has a highly effective though risky treatment for multiple sclerosis called Tysabri -- is our top pick for 2009," says analyst Richard Moroney.

The editor of Dow Theory Forecasts, an advisory that has been published for more than 50 years, explains, "Despite superior growth prospects, the Tysabri concerns have kept Biogen's shares under pressure.

"In the past two months, consensus profit estimates have crept upwards for Biogen Idec. Per-share profits are expected to climb 33% in 2008 and 9% in 2009. Over the next five years, profits are expected to climb 12% annually. Two factors support this outlook.

"First, Biogen plows nearly a third of its revenue into research and development, raising expectations of a fertile lineup of new drugs. Second, there's Tysabri, a highly effective though risky treatment for multiple sclerosis.

Continue reading Top Stock Picks '09: Biogen Idec (BIIB)

Pharma favorites: Biogen (BIIB) & AstraZeneca (AZN)

"Investors should keep a defensive posture," says Richard Moroney. However, the editor of the blue chip advisory service, Dow Theory Forecasts, see opportunity in two drug stocks that he has just added to his buy list.

"In general, we prefer to let the market's action signal that the point of maximum pessimism has passed before deploying our cash reserves. But we intend to remain engaged, looking for stocks capable of bucking the bearish trend.

"Biogen Idec (NASDAQ: BIIB) produces biotechnology drugs that treat non-Hodgkin's lymphoma and multiple sclerosis. Per-share profits jumped 69% and operating cash flow surged 71% in the September quarter.

"Wall Street expects per-share-profit growth of 9% in 2009 and 7% in 2010, but good news on Biogen's most-promising drug could render those targets conservative.

"At 12 times estimated 2009 earnings, Biogen shares are the cheapest of the six largest U.S. biotech stocks. Biogen is being initiated as a Focus List Buy and a Long-Term Buy.

"AstraZeneca (NYSE: AZN) is being added to the Buy List. The British drugmaker offers an intriguing blend of value and growth potential. A study released this month showed that the company's cholesterol drug Crestor reduced the risk of various heart problems by 44%.

"The study could potentially expand Crestor's addressable market to include millions of new patients, though AstraZeneca is soft-pedaling the potential benefits. AstraZeneca, which earns a Quadrix Overall score of 94 and yields 4.5%, is being added to the Buy List."

Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a daily look at the latest market commentary and favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

IBM: 'The picture has changed'

This post is part of a report entitled "Six-pack of technology favorites." You can read about the other top tech stock picks here.

"For more than a decade, International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM) lived up to its reputation as a slow-growing, stodgy company," says Richard Moroney.

The editor of the blue chip advisory, Dow Theory Forecasts, contends, "But over the last 12 months, the picture changed. Strong operating momentum is now propelling genuine operational growth despite U.S. economic weakness."

"Acquisitions and cost cuts have accounted for most of IBM's growth in recent years. In the 10 years ended 2006, sales increased at an annualized rate of less than 2%, and the company lost both market share and in?uence.

"However, sales growth has accelerated in each of the last three quarters, and per-share pro?ts have risen at least 23% in each period. Consensus estimates, trending upward over the last month, project per-share-pro?t growth of 24% in 2008 and 11% in 2009.

"A broad business mix has helped the company keep growing during the economic slowdown. IBM may still be best known for its hardware, but the company's strength over the last year has stemmed from the services and software businesses, which tend to be less economically sensitive than hardware.

"Hardware accounted for about 18% of sales in the six months ended June, while services represented 58% and software generated 20%. Financing operations brought in most of the last 4%.

"While the current economic climate has pinched the consumer, companies are still investing heavily in new technology. IBM's products and services help customers improve ef?ciency, productivity, and security, which in turn can reduce costs. In the six months ended June, IBM's revenue rose 12%, while per share-pro?ts jumped 34%. Revenue from services increased 17% in the six-month period.

Continue reading IBM: 'The picture has changed'

A six-pack of technology favorites

With concerns over recession, turmoil in the financial sector, fear of rising rates, high market volatility and a rising aversion to risk, many investors have been avoiding technology stocks.

Investors have feared that these economic headwinds will dampen both consumer spending for technology products and reduced capital expenditures for technology in the corporate sector.

Despite these concerns, some of the newsletter industry's leading advisors are looking beyond the current malaise and seeing longer-term value in some of the tech sector's leading players. They believe that much of the "bad news" is already reflected in the price of the shares, with little recognition being given to their longer-term potential.

For those willing to go against the crowd and buy, as they say, "while blood is running in the street," we offer a six-pack of technology stocks that the some top advisors considers to be among their favorite ideas.

Continue reading A six-pack of technology favorites

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Last updated: July 11, 2009: 07:50 AM

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