Analyst Upgrades

• Bunge (BG) to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank.
• Textron (TXT) to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan.
• CSX (CSX) to buy from neutral and Pulte Group (PHM) to conviction buy from neutral at Goldman.
• Aol (AOL) to buy from neutral at UBS.
• Kohlberg Capital (KCAP) to outperform from market perform at JMP Securities.
• Owens Corning (OC) to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
• Jefferies (JEF) to buy from neutral at Ticonderoga.
• Harris (HRS) to outperform from perform at Oppenheimer.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: AOL, BG, CCL, CP, CSX, HRS, NE, OC, PHM, RIG, SBUX, TXT ...

Analyst Calls: AOL, BG, CCL, CP, CSX, HRS, NE, OC, PHM, RIG, SBUX, TXT ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 23 Mar 2011 11:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

This is the fourth update to my ranting eight months ago that acquiring six of the most hated, and most highly traded stocks with constant negative headlines would outperform the overall market. The theory has born fruit as the toxic stocks are ahead and the difference is increasing over time.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Toxic Stock Update #4 -- BAC, BP, C, GE, GS, RIG

Chasing Value: Toxic Stock Update #4 -- BAC, BP, C, GE, GS, RIG originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 11 Mar 2011 15:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Analyst Upgrades

• Tyson Foods (TSN) to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank.
• Carmike Cinemas (CKEC) to buy from neutral at Merriman.
• Ambow Education (AMBO) to conviction buy from neutral at Goldman.
• Johnson Controls (JCI) to overweight from equal weight at Barclays.
• Dynex Capital (DX) to outperform from market perform at JMP Securities.
• Ensco (ESV) to outperform from neutral at Credit Suisse.
• York Water (YORW) to buy from hold at Brean Murray.
• Mid-America Apartment (MAA) to market perform from underperform at FBR Capital.
• Cheniere Energy Partners (CQP) to hold from sell at Citigroup.
• Forest Oil (FST) to positive from neutral at Susquehanna.
• Tractor Supply (TSCO) to outperform from neutral at RW Baird.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: DISH, DTV, JCI, LULU, MOS, MTN, POT, RIG, TSCO, TSN ...

Analyst Calls: DISH, DTV, JCI, LULU, MOS, MTN, POT, RIG, TSCO, TSN ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 09 Mar 2011 11:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Analyst Upgrades

• Wells Fargo (WFC) to conviction buy from neutral at Goldman.
• Adobe (ADBE) to buy from neutral at UBS.
• Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB) to outperform from market perform at FBR Capital.
• Vail Resorts (MTN) and Goldcorp (GG) to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank.
• OmniVision (OVTI) to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan.
• Penn Virginia (PVA) to hold from sell at Canaccord.
• Hub Group (HUBG) to outperform from market perform at Morgan Keegan.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: ADBE, AOL, CAT, CSTR, FITB, GG, GPS, MDAS, RIG, WFC ...

Analyst Calls: ADBE, AOL, CAT, CSTR, FITB, GG, GPS, MDAS, RIG, WFC ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 25 Feb 2011 11:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Closing Bell: When Markets Hold Up Better Than Expected (AAPL, GRMN, RIG, UAL, USO, GLD)

Closing Bell: When Markets Hold Up Better Than Expected (AAPL, GRMN, RIG, UAL, USO, GLD) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 23 Feb 2011 16:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Paulson Still a Big Bull on Gold

Paulson Still a Big Bull on Gold originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 15 Feb 2011 15:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Here are the next four of my 2011 picks. I am behind schedule, after publishing the first 5 earlier in the week (see: Chasing Value: 2011 Stock Picks -- 5 of 11). This year instead of starting completely anew, I am adjusting my 2010 picks. There is no sense in abandoning good ideas just because the calendar turned a page.

You will actually find support of running themes I have been writing about over the past few months. One of these is the idea of making a contrarian investment in a basket of stocks that have been both scalded and scolded in the headlines. Six stocks were included in such a group that I called the "toxic stocks" (see: Chasing Value: Toxic Stock Update #3 -- BAC, BP, C, GE, GS, RIG).

Continue reading Chasing Value: 2011 Stock Picks -- 6, 7, 8, 9

Chasing Value: 2011 Stock Picks -- 6, 7, 8, 9 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 06 Jan 2011 18:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Analyst Upgrades

• Wynn Resorts (WYNN) to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan.
• Oracle (ORCL) and Alliance Data Systems (ADS) to outperform from neutral at Macquarie.
• Saint Joe (JOE) to outperform from market perform at Keefe Bruyette.
• Starwood Hotels (HOT) to neutral from underperform at RW Baird.
• Middlesex Water (MSEX) to buy from neutral at Janney Capital.
• Consol Energy (CNX) to buy from hold at BB&T.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: BAC, CMA, DO, HOT, ORCL, RIG, RTN, SBUX, TLB, WYNN ...

Analyst Calls: BAC, CMA, DO, HOT, ORCL, RIG, RTN, SBUX, TLB, WYNN ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 16 Dec 2010 11:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

In the middle of the summer with the stock market smoldering from the economic aftershocks of the BP (BP) oil spill, I decided to post a contrarian story emphasizing a very common refrain among value investors, "my pal Warren" being head of the class: buy on fear (sell on greed). This notion is continuing to work for what I called the toxic stock portfolio.

This is the third update to my ranting five months ago that six of the most reviled and most highly traded stocks featured by daily bad press as a group would outperform the overall market. It has, with the big winner rising from being one of the biggest losers.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Toxic Stock Update #3 -- BAC, BP, C, GE, GS, RIG

Chasing Value: Toxic Stock Update #3 -- BAC, BP, C, GE, GS, RIG originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 13 Dec 2010 12:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Options Update: Qualcomm November Volatility Elevated into EPS and Analyst Meeting originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 03 Nov 2010 09:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Election Day Trades (MRK, PFE, WLP)

Election Day Trades (MRK, PFE, WLP) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 02 Nov 2010 14:50:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

It will be a busy week. Republicans are poised to gain control of the House of Representatives and gain governorships in Tuesday's mid-term elections. Also, the Federal Reserve is expected to announce another round of quantitative easing Wednesday, following the FOMC meeting. Major retailers are scheduled to report October same-store sales Thursday, while the October unemployment rate, announced on Friday, is expected to remain at 9.6%.

Toyota's (TM) fiscal second-quarter results will be one of the highlights on the earnings front this week. After three periods of way underestimating Toyota's earnings, have the analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters got it right this time? The stock sure could use a boost. Teva Pharmaceuticals (TEVA) is in a similar situation; i.e., high expectations for this week's quarterly results but a stock in need of a boost. Marathon (MRO) and Starbucks (SBUX) are also expected to post strong earnings growth this week, but both stocks are riding high.

Continue reading Week in Preview: Election, QE2, Unemployment and More Earnings

Week in Preview: Election, QE2, Unemployment and More Earnings originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 31 Oct 2010 12:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

A very common refrain among value investors, "my pal Warren" being head of the class, is buy on fear (sell on greed), and it is working with the toxic stock portfolio.

This is the second update to my ranting twelve weeks ago that the six most highly traded stocks receiving the most bad press would be a great contrarian investment, and that this group would outperform the overall market without much difficulty.

It was true earlier, and it is still true today as the DJIA topped 11,000 again. The toxic stocks list includes Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C), General Electric (GE), BP (BP), Goldman Sachs (GS) and Transocean (RIG).

Continue reading Chasing Value: Toxic Stock Update #2 -- BAC, BP, C, GE, GS, RIG

Chasing Value: Toxic Stock Update #2 -- BAC, BP, C, GE, GS, RIG originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 11 Oct 2010 10:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Options Update: Intuitive Surgical November Volatility Elevated, Shares Sell Off 5% originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 28 Sep 2010 09:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

In case you need to be reminded to look closely at the books, today's poster boy for erroneous ledgers, Bernie Maddoff, should be a constant reminder. Furthermore, when you are looking at the books, remember that Benjamin Graham, mentor to "my pal Warren," advised buying stocks for less than their intrinsic value. And book value is the starting point in attempting to establish that.

Two weeks ago, I posted an update on my toxic stock picks. These were six unloved stocks where I felt the stage was set for market beating returns. The same is true again for today's market-beating group, although it is not the headlines that tied this group together, but their standout bargain metrics.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Cheap Stocks by the Book

Chasing Value: Cheap Stocks by the Book originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 16 Aug 2010 12:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Toxic Stock Update BAC, BP, C, GE, GS, RIG

Chasing Value: Toxic Stock Update BAC, BP, C, GE, GS, RIG originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 05 Aug 2010 15:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Until recently, my largest positions were in financial stocks Citigroup (C), Wells Fargo (WFC) and Bank of America (BAC). As a contrarian investor, I do buy on fear and sell on greed as "my pal Warren" has advised for many years. This has worked out to be very profitable over the past 18 months. However, in the past 30 days the financial stocks have dropped to second place in favor of oil and gas stocks.

I think the economic recovery is moving at a snail's pace, lowering anticipated demand for oil while gas was already depressed based on the same factors and the addition of numerous new large supplies. Add to this the mess in the Gulf of Mexico and the public's already negative sentiment about oil companies and you have the makings of depressed pricing in the sector.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Buffett Must Be Buying Oil

Chasing Value: Buffett Must Be Buying Oil originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 02 Aug 2010 11:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The U.S. Coast Guard and the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management Regulation and Enforcement are investigating events that occurred before the BP blast.

Workers who survived the blast have filed suit against Transocean Ltd. (RIG), the company that owned the rig. Michael Williams, a rig worker on the Deepwater Horizon, filed suit against Transocean in federal court in New Orleans, April 29. Williams identified several safety violations aboard the Deepwater Horizon.

Continue reading Automatic Alarm System Was Disabled Before Deepwater Horizon Blast

Automatic Alarm System Was Disabled Before Deepwater Horizon Blast originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 24 Jul 2010 09:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Buying a Toxic Portfolio -- BP, RIG, C, GS, BAC and GE

Chasing Value: Buying a Toxic Portfolio -- BP, RIG, C, GS, BAC and GE originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 19 Jul 2010 14:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Traders Buy Plunge Protection on Transocean Ltd.

Traders Buy Plunge Protection on Transocean Ltd. originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 01 Jul 2010 13:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.