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Today was one of those Fridays that felt bad most of the trading day. It was an options expiration date today, and there was no domestic economic news to drive the markets. PC earnings failed to ignite interest and sellers had most of a quiet Friday in August to themselves. A tame CPI and a slightly better University of Michigan sentiment reading failed to greatly enthuse investors despite the crummy week we saw. A hawkish Fed president Hoenig out calling for higher rates might not have helped. We also never got that GM IPO Filing that was supposed to come. This was a day that honestly felt like the red or green signal for the markets were not certain until the bitter end. 
Rambus (RMBS - option chain) shares are rising today after the company announced it has signed a patent licensing agreement with NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA), under which RMBS grants NVDA a patent license for certain memory controllers at a 1% royalty rate for SDR memory controllers and a 2% royalty rate for other memory controllers. However, neither company has signed a release of liability or dismissed any litigation between them. RMBS had earlier charged that NVDA has infringed on some of its chip patents. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on RMBS.
Research in Motion (RIMM) closed up $1.83 to $57.53. RIMM is expected to launch its Blackpad in November. August put option implied volatility is at 40, September at 51, December is at 46; versus its 26-week average of 43 according to Track Data, suggesting larger September price movement.
This was another day where the real closing verdict of red or black was unknown right up until the closing bell. The day looked very mixed from index to index and sector to sector. Consumer confidence came in weak again, and there is still mixed data on housing prices. Continue reading Closing Bell: Official Win, but Mixed Bag (BP, DPZ, X, VLO, RF, RMBS, NBG)
BP's stock price (BP) recently declined $6.11 to $36.81 in pre-open trading. The April 20th Gulf of Mexico explosion that led to a deepwater rig sinking and the spilling of oil is operated by Transocean (RIG) in a field 65% owned by BP with minority partners Anadarko Petroleum (APC) and Mitsui. Crude oil futures are recently down 2.33% to $72.25 according to Bloomberg. BP overall option implied volatility of 46 is above its 26-week average of 32 according to Track Data, suggesting larger near term price movement.
Stocks with implied volatility above 30-day mean; Vivus (VVUS), Rambus (RMBS), ATP Oil & Gas (ATPG) according to IVolatility.
Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.
Rambus Inc. (RMBS) designs, develops, and licenses chip interface technologies and architectures that are used in digital electronics products.
The microchip sector has been lagging lately but appears to be gaining investor attention.
RMBS is selling very close to a major support line and recently triggered a buy from our in-house indicator, the Collins-Bollinger Reversal (CBR). Note the oversold stochastic.
After seven months of one of the strongest rallies in history, the stock market is showing signs of faltering. From here on out through the rest of 2009, I believe the advance will shift gears, and instead of recording new highs every month, the trend will tend to flatten.
And as we head into the heart of the fourth quarter, I wouldn't bet on the market making many more new highs this year.
Rambus Inc. (NASDAQ: RMBS - option chain) shares are rising today after the company said European Union antitrust regulators have agreed to drop a probe and any fines if the company reduces its royalty rates for DRAM memory chip patents. The European Commission had charged RMBS with setting exorbitant royalties for DRAM patents. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on RMBS.
RMBS opened this morning at $16.84. So far today the stock has hit a low of $16.55 and a high of $17.81. As of 11:15, RMBS is trading at $17.44 up 2.35 (15.6%). The chart for RMBS looks bullish.
Continue reading European Union ends Rambus (RMBS) antitrust action
After three days of selling and profit taking, it seems that low wholesale inflation and slightly higher weekly jobless claims were enough of a recipe for a rally.Rambus (NASDAQ: RMBS - option chain) shares are rising today after the Federal Trade Commission withdrew its antitrust case against the company due to a recent Supreme Court ruling against the FTC. The withdrawal eliminates the possibility of further litigation in the matter. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on RMBS.The markets finally found that oversold bounce that everyone was hoping would eventually come. This was at least based on the "return of China" after it gave another positive manufacturing report. The depressing Beige Book from the Fed didn't even manage to kill the buying. Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels:Continue reading Closing Bell: China to the rescue (GE, RMBS, BIG, DRYS, BIDU)
Even while dancing on the edge of the Great Abyss one should keep one's eye on the numbers. In this case, the key indicators that presage an economy at risk of totally imploding. Sure, the auto sales numbers were no worse than grim expectations and the ISM manufacturing number was actually a positive. But, oh, we have lots of nasty numbers to go around. Start with the RevPar number. That's short for revenue per available room at hotels and is a solid indicator of the health of the travel industry, as well as the state of business travel spending. The number? Down a stunning 15.3% in the month of January, year-over-year.
Hershey (NYSE: HSY) closed at $40.23 Wednesday. HSY call volume was heavy on August 6, with 21,092 contracts trading. HSY August option implied volatility is at 56, September at 44; above its 26-week average of 30 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Rambus (NASDAQ: RMBS) closed at $15.34 Wednesday. RMBS is the frequent subject of patent infringement & anti-trust claim issues. Hynix Semiconductor, Samsung Electronics and Micron Tech (NYSE-MU) have had patent infringement suits with RMBS. RMBS September option implied volatility of 103 is above its 6-month average of 74 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Financial Select Sector-XLF overall volatility at 39; 26-week average is 38
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Rambus (NASDAQ: RMBS) closed at $16.46 Monday.
RMBS is the frequent subject of patent infringement & anti-trust claim issues. Hynix Semiconductor, Samsung Electronics and Micron Tech (NYSE: MU) have had patent infringement suits with RMBS.
RMBS July 16 straddle is priced at $1.60. RMBS August option implied volatility of 90 is above its 26-week average of 72 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
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