The Wall Street Journal says that Citigroup (NYSE:C) CEO Vikram Pandit has the support of the board. That is even with the bank likely to lose another $10 billion in the most recent quarter. Over at The New York Times, the business desk sees Citi sacking its chairman. "Federal banking regulators are pressing Citigroup to shake up its board and replace its chairman, Winfried F. W. Bischoff, in an effort to restore confidence in the beleaguered financial giant."

Since Pandit and Bischoff have overlapped during much of their time in power, the division of blame does not make a great deal of sense.

It would appear the government and board at the bank want to show that someone was punished for Citi's performance. Director Robert Rubin has already left. That was apparently not enough of a sacrifice. The reality of the matter is that the whole board and most of management have been part of the Citi strategic decision-making process for the last year to two years. There is plenty of responsibility to go around.

It sounds like Bischoff is gone. But, it is just a little theater. He did not do anything special except to sit on a board with a number of people who made a remarkable number of mistakes.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

The confusion at Citigroup (C) gets more confused originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 12 Jan 2009 08:50:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Last month, I posted on 2008's eight worst ideas. At the top of my list was deregulation. Robert Rubin, who spent a decade as a director of Citigroup (NYSE: C) and is now retiring, is partly responsible for one very important act of deregulation -- the repeal of Glass-Steagall which separated investment and commercial banking. (It was former Citi CEO Sandy Weill's 1998 merger of his Travelers with Citi that spurred Glass-Steagall's repeal in the 1999 passage of the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act which allowed commercial and investment banks to own each other.)

And by bringing down that barrier -- established in the wake of the stock market manipulations of the 1920s enabled by commercial banks that made margin loans to trade stocks -- the U.S. helped usher in the current financial catastrophe. Now the government is gradually reimposing Glass-Steagall -- in effect, if not in law.

Rubin was well rewarded for his decade of "service" to Citi -- taking in $126 million and being paid as an employee while claiming to be a mere advisor. But for that measly sum, Rubin's reputation -- which was at its zenith following his tenure as Treasury Secretary in the 1990s -- is shredded. It probably didn't help that since he joined Citi's board in October 1999, its stock has fallen 82% -- destroying $164 billion in stock market value. Meanwhile, the empire that Weill ushered in -- based on the idea that people wanted to buy all their financial services from one provider -- is being dismantled.

Continue reading As Rubin departs Citi, deregulation gets a spike through its heart

As Rubin departs Citi, deregulation gets a spike through its heart originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 10 Jan 2009 08:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The high and the mighty at Citigroup (NYSE: C) will not take bonuses for 2008. That includes CEO Vikram Pandit, Chairman Win Bischoff, and board member extraordinaire Robert Rubin.

It may save Citi shareholders a few million dollars, but it is hardly much of a penalty for an awful year in which the bank's stock fell 77%. The management at Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) skipped bonuses and their shares were only down 58%.

The bonus cuts are just window dressing. Rubin has made millions of dollars serving on the Citi board. According to Bloomberg, "Pandit got $165 million from Citigroup in 2007 when he sold Old Lane Partners LP, the hedge fund he co-founded and ran."

Put another way, the loss of bonus money probably means very little to these people. The humiliation is a greater pain than the financial sacrifice.

That really leaves no penalty other than to fire the three. So far, the Citi board has shown it does not have the guts to do that.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Citigroup (C): Cutting bonuses for rich people originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 02 Jan 2009 08:52:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Vikram Pandit, CEO of Citigroup (NYSE: C), and his top managers may give up their 2008 bonuses as a show that they are willing to make sacrifices after the federal government saved the bank with a huge bailout package. Board member Robert Rubin may have been the first to suggest the move.

According to the FT, "People close to the situation said last week's government rescue made it almost impossible for Citi's board to award cash bonuses to other senior executives, led by chief executive Vikram Pandit."

For anyone not paying attention to the Citi mess, its stock has been down as much as 90% this year. The federal government is pouring money into the bank like water, and the company is still losing money due to consumer credit losses, bad LBO loans, and mortgage derivatives.

To put a point on it, why would the Citi board even consider bonuses in the first place without the risk of being tarred and feathered by shareholders and the government?

"Giving up" bonuses is a meaningless gesture for executives who do not deserve them and would likely get nothing in the first place. Maybe it is nice PR.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Citigroup's Pandit may give up that big bonus he does not deserve originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 04 Dec 2008 10:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Corzine, Summers said to be on short list for Obama's Treasury Secretary

Corzine, Summers said to be on short list for Obama's Treasury Secretary originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 04 Nov 2008 15:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

And now what could become history's biggest transfer of tax dollars to bail out bad lending begins. Last month Congress passed a bill that gave the Treasury Department $800 billion to bail out Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE). And while it is unclear how much money will be used to bail them out, the general outlines of the soon-to-be-announced terms are becoming clearer than they were last night.

The New York Times and The Washington Post report on five key features as follows:

• Government bankruptcy. Fannie and Freddie will be taken under a conservatorship -- which is similar to a bankruptcy wherein a trustee operates the company so it can be fixed and ultimately sold back to public investors. The bailout would reduce the value of their common and preferred shares "to little or nothing," according to the Times.
• Taxpayers bailout defaulted mortgages. Some share of the $800 billion in taxpayer funds will be used to pay "any losses on mortgages [Fannie and Freddie] own or guarantee," according to the Times.
• Payouts on a quarterly basis depending on reported results. Treasury is trying to dribble the bailout over time. "Instead of giving each company a big capital infusion up front, the government could make quarterly injections as the companies' losses warrant. This would be an attempt to minimize the initial cost of the rescue," according to the Washington Post.

Continue reading Government to wipe out Fannie/Freddie shareholders by Sunday

Government to wipe out Fannie/Freddie shareholders by Sunday originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 06 Sep 2008 08:48:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

While kudos should be given to the Fed for trying to do whatever it takes to shore up the banking system, what is a bit more worrisome is how both Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton approach the problem. Obviously they started out by blaming President Bush for these problems.

According to an AP report:

"Now we are in the soup and we better get ourselves out of it before the consequences get drastic," Democratic presidential contender Hillary Rodham Clinton told reporters. Barack Obama said: "History will not judge President Bush kindly for his failure to act in a way that could've prevented or alleviated this economic crisis."

Does Obama think that the President could have prevented the entire economic crisis, had he acted differently? In fact I postulate that one of the major reasons that Wall Street is in the current situation is because of a precedent taken 10 years ago by then Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin. He bailed out his Wall Street buddies after they were set to lose billions in bad investments in Asia, among other places. Go figure that after they get saved once, they go ahead a decade later and continue to make investments without taking into account risk. They knew that they could get away with it because they would get bailed out. And guess what? They are going to get bailed out.

The fact is that the Fed, by injecting liquidity, is doing exactly what it should be doing to try and get the banking system back on track. Many economists believe that had the same strategy been implemented in 1929, there never would have been a Great Depression. Back then they took money out of the system and companies went bankrupt. The Fed is making no such mistake this time.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer's fund has no position in any stock mentioned, as of 3/17/08.

Barack and Hillary: Government is the problem not the solution originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 17 Mar 2008 17:42:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

With news the embattled mortgage lender Northern Rock is being nationalized by the British government, until it can find a buyer, the question arises whether this is a good move or not?

Analysts at Bear Stearns said that the government's move is positive for the sector. The expected managed decline in the Northern Rock balance sheet should create less competitive mortgage market conditions," said analyst Robert Sage.

Who is this positive for? Certainly not the consumer. Competitive mortgage markets are the best thing that can happen to a consumer. Why should the consumer have to pay higher mortgage rates? Does this analyst think that the government setting mortgage rates is helpful in anyway? Let's not forget that the banks are responsible for this whole mess. Had they actually been careful in their lending practices, we wouldn't be in the mess we are currently in.

Continue reading Is Northern Rock's nationalization a good thing?

Is Northern Rock's nationalization a good thing? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 18 Feb 2008 08:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

BusinessWeek reports that former Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) Chair Robert Rubin picked Vikram Pandit because Rubin thought Pandit could "drive the vision, drive the execution." I welcome a comment from anyone who can explain what that means. What comes to my mind is that Pandit is going to drive an execution squad behind him ready to gun down anyone who gets in his way.

I am not thrilled with Pandit's ascension and it looks like he is going to turn one of his weaknesses -- a lack of consumer banking expertise in a bank that gets half its income from that business -- into a strength. How so? Pandit looks poised to sell Citi's credit card business. I guess if Citi dumps all the consumer businesses, then he'll know something about the businesses that remain.

To increase the value of Citi's stock, I'd recommend three steps:

Continue reading Three steps for Pandit to lift Citi's stock

Three steps for Pandit to lift Citi's stock originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 12 Dec 2007 09:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

As expected, Citigroup names Vikram Pandit CEO originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 11 Dec 2007 16:47:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Vikram Pandit the front-runner to be Citigroup's CEO originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 10 Dec 2007 07:56:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Wall Street has to wonder why so many structured investment vehicles are being downgraded now? Are they really worth so much less than they were a month or two months ago? Since many of their assets do not trade due to a lack of market liquidity, there may never be an answer.

According to The Wall Street Journal (subscription required), "Debt-rating agency Moody's Investors Service, signaling a new turn for the worse for some bank-affiliated funds, said it downgraded or put on review debt totaling $119 billion that was issued by structured investment vehicles that have been paralyzed by lack of investor appetite." The value of many of the SIV assets linked to mortgages dropped by 22% between October 19 and November 21.

Citigroup (NYSE: C) has a continuing problem here. The financial paper adds, "the drop in the market values and the inability to finance the SIV debt is expected to put new pressure on banks such as Citigroup to support the billions of dollars in debt that SIVs face having to pay in coming months."

All of this raises the question of whether the $7.5 billion stake that Citi sold to an investment arm of the Abu Dhabi government will be enough to support the bank's need to improve its balance sheet, or whether it will have to raise additional funds. It begs the question of who would want the job of being Citi CEO, or whether chairman Robert Rubin will have to step into the spot in an attempt to get back some market confidence for the bank.

One thing is virtually certain. Some of the SIVs are near failure. HSBC (NYSE: HBC) took $45 billion in SIVs onto its balance sheet. The bank would not have done this unless an extreme measure was required. The same decision may have to be made at Citi. At $33, down from a 52-week high of $57, many investors think the bank's stock has bottomed.

That would be a mistake.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

SIVs get more downgrades originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 01 Dec 2007 12:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Will Ben Bernanke be Santa or the Grinch? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 27 Nov 2007 17:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Bloomberg News reports that Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson keeps trying to cheer lead the dollar back up. His boss was a cheerleader at Andover so Paulson fits right in. Just one little problem -- government economic policies are at odds with the cheer.

This topic is important to everyone, particularly now as Americans climb into their cars for Thanksgiving. That's because oil is denominated in dollars so the weaker the dollar gets, the higher oil climbs. If you've been looking at the gas pumps recently, you know that the price of gas is rising.

Paulson's problem is he seems to think that confidence in the currency comes from repeating the phrase "strong U.S. economy." Or as he put it: "The U.S. has a very competitive, strong economy that's proven itself over many years. The dollar has been the world's reserve currency since World War II and there's a reason."

Continue reading With his strong dollar talk and weak dollar actions, should Hank Paulson go run Citigroup?

With his strong dollar talk and weak dollar actions, should Hank Paulson go run Citigroup? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 16 Nov 2007 10:48:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

With all the focus on the US Dollar's current free-fall and pundits predicting further weakness for the greenback, a little perspective is in order.

First of all, where have all the pundits been for the last five years? It's not like the dollars fall from grace started yesterday. In fact the dollar's fall has been a result of global growth, not a faltering US economy. The fact is that even with the subprime mess, rising commodity prices and the war in Iraq, the US economy is growing just fine. Could all the doomsayers in the media have a political agenda? Remember, an election is approaching.

Continue reading The US dollar is ready to rebound

The US dollar is ready to rebound originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 12 Nov 2007 13:04:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Citigroup (NYSE: C) announced $8-11 billion in write downs on its $55 billion exposure in U.S. subprime mortgages/CDOs.

C announced Charles Prince, Chairman and CEO has elected to retire from C. Sir Win Bischoff, will serve as acting CEO and Robert Rubin, will serve as Chairman of the Board.

C is recently trading at $37 in pre-open trading, below its close of $37.73.

Goldman Sachs lowered its 12-month price target to $48 from $51.

C November option implied volatility is at 72, December is at 51, above its 26-week average of 27 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price risks.

Daily options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Option update: Citigroup volatility aggressive after announced writedowns and leadership change originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 05 Nov 2007 09:11:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The New York Times reports that Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) may make Robert Rubin Chairman until it can find a CEO. This temporary solution is analogous to what Merrill Lynch & Co. (NYSE: MER) did by making Alberto Cribiore, a director, its interim non-executive Chairman.

Rubin, who has made $150 million at Citigroup since he left the Treasury Department eight years ago, has traded a sterling reputation at Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE: GS) and Treasury for a nice chunk of change at Citigroup. Unfortunately for him, making bank at Citigroup has tarnished his reputation -- despite his efforts to distance himself from Citigroup's problems. Meeting with clients and walking around without shoes offering advice -- known in his contract as "no operational responsibilities" -- does not seem to have buffed Rubin's reputation.

If the New York Times is correct, it remains to be seen how Rubin's role will change. It could be that his primary job will be to take the lead on recruiting Prince's successor. Will he take on an interim non-executive Chairman's role like Cribiore? I imagine he'll seek to evade legal responsibility for Citigroup's problems. Otherwise, he could end up spending more time than he'd like dealing with shareholder lawsuits.

Continue reading Will Robert "No Operational Responsibilities" Rubin chair Citigroup?

Will Robert "No Operational Responsibilities" Rubin chair Citigroup? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 04 Nov 2007 09:37:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

In the weeks ahead, BloggingStocks will take an in-depth look at the U.S. dollar's decline, its impact on the global and U.S. economies, as well as on job creation, trade, and investment.

Continue reading (Yet another) remonstration about the weak U.S. dollar

(Yet another) remonstration about the weak U.S. dollar originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 30 Oct 2007 19:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The New York Times [registration required] reports that Citigroup (NYSE: C) and JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) are working with the Treasury Department to create a $75 billion fund to bail out Structured Investment Vehicles (SIV) -- of which there are thought to be $400 billion worldwide. What are SIVs? Why do they need to be bailed out? Why is the Treasury Department getting involved? Will the bailout plan work? Why should you care?

Before addressing these questions, it's worth pointing out that Hank Paulson, the current Treasury Secretary and former Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE: GS) CEO, has not had much success as a government servant. His efforts to talk China into loosening its currency have fallen flat. And a high-level government source told me that Paulson's brusque personal style has not endeared him to other economic policy makers.

When Paulson took the job in May 2006, I speculated that the reason he took it was so he would have the chance to outshine Robert Rubin, another former Goldman executive, whose tenure at Treasury was widely perceived to have been brilliant. I thought then that Paulson thought a financial crisis would occur under his tenure that would enable him to demonstrate his financial crisis management skills. The SIV crisis is a big problem but I doubt he'll rise to the occasion like Rubin did.

Continue reading Hank Paulson's got an Enron-like crisis that could swamp Citigroup (C) and JPMorgan (JPM)

Hank Paulson's got an Enron-like crisis that could swamp Citigroup (C) and JPMorgan (JPM) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 14 Oct 2007 10:25:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Bloomberg News reports that on August 17th, in the midst of the August credit crunch, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke sought the advice of Citigroup (NYSE: C) Chairman and Former Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin, mortgage backed securities inventor Lewis Ranieri and hedge fund honcho Ray Dalio of $32.1 billion Bridgewater Associates. Kenneth H. Thomas, a Wharton lecturer, obtained the information on Bernanke's calls and contacts under the Freedom of Information Act.

Although there are no details of what Bernanke discussed with these investment luminaries, I applaud him for making the effort. One of the things that helped Alan Greenspan to make decisions was the network of business and finance leaders which he had created when he headed his own consulting firm prior to his move to Washington. Such real world contacts are particularly important for Bernanke to develop given his academic background.

It would be very helpful for investors to know how Bernanke makes his decisions. But this little glimpse into his schedule reveals an obvious point -- it would be very difficult to believe that anyone Bernanke spoke with would not have obtained very valuable information from which they could profit. And we'll never know whether Rubin, Ranieri, or Dalio did just that.

The rest of us can always eat cake.

Peter Cohan is president of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter.

Bernanke seeks street smarts originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 03 Oct 2007 13:56:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.