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<generator>Blogsmith http://www.blogsmith.com/</generator><item><title><![CDATA[The confusion at Citigroup (C) gets more confused]]></title><link>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2009/01/12/the-confusion-at-citigroup-c-gets-more-confused/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2009/01/12/the-confusion-at-citigroup-c-gets-more-confused/</guid><comments>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2009/01/12/the-confusion-at-citigroup-c-gets-more-confused/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/c/" rel="tag">Citigroup Inc. (C)</a></p><p><img alt="" hspace="4" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.bloggingstocks.com/media/2008/12/another_citigroup_logo.jpg" align="right" vspace="4" /><em>The Wall Street Journal </em><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123172133334572421.html?mod=testMod">says that</a> <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/citigroup-incorporated/c/nys">Citigroup</a> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/citigroup-incorporated/c/nys">C</a>) CEO Vikram Pandit has the support of the board. That is even with the bank likely to lose another $10 billion in the most recent quarter. <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/12/business/12citi.html?hp">Over at</a> <em>The New York Times,</em> the business desk sees Citi sacking its chairman. "Federal banking regulators are pressing Citigroup to shake up its board and replace its chairman, Winfried F. W. Bischoff, in an effort to restore confidence in the beleaguered financial giant."</p>
<p>Since Pandit and Bischoff have overlapped during much of their time in power, the division of blame does not make a great deal of sense.</p>
<p>It would appear the government and board at the bank want to show that someone was punished for Citi's performance. Director Robert Rubin has already left. That was apparently not enough of a sacrifice. The reality of the matter is that the whole board and most of management have been part of the Citi strategic decision-making process for the last year to two years. There is plenty of responsibility to go around.</p>
<p>It sounds like Bischoff is gone. But, it is just a little theater. He did not do anything special except to sit on a board with a number of people who made a remarkable number of mistakes.</p>
<p><em>Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com. </em></p><p style="padding:5px;background:#ddd;border:1px solid #ccc;clear:both;"><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2009/01/12/the-confusion-at-citigroup-c-gets-more-confused/">The confusion at Citigroup (C) gets more confused</a> originally appeared on <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com">BloggingStocks</a> on Mon, 12 Jan 2009 08:50:00 EST.  Please see our <a href="http://www.weblogsinc.com/feed-terms/">terms for use of feeds</a>.</p><h6 style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;"></h6><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2009/01/12/the-confusion-at-citigroup-c-gets-more-confused/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/forward/1426732/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2009/01/12/the-confusion-at-citigroup-c-gets-more-confused/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a>]]></description><category>C</category><category>inthenews</category><category>Pandit</category><category>robert rubin</category><category>RobertRubin</category><category>Rubin</category><category>vikram pandit</category><category>VikramPandit</category><category>wall street</category><category>WallStreet</category><category>Winfried F. W. Bischoff</category><category>WinfriedF.W.Bischoff</category><dc:creator><![CDATA[Douglas McIntyre]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 12 Jan 2009 08:50:00 EST</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[CIBC's Rubin says oil to hit $200, gasoline $7 by 2012]]></title><link>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/04/24/cibcs-rubin-says-oil-to-hit-200-gasoline-7-by-2012/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/04/24/cibcs-rubin-says-oil-to-hit-200-gasoline-7-by-2012/</guid><comments>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/04/24/cibcs-rubin-says-oil-to-hit-200-gasoline-7-by-2012/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/international-markets/" rel="tag">International Markets</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/forecasts/" rel="tag">Forecasts</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/commodities/" rel="tag">Commodities</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/oil/" rel="tag">Oil</a></p>The worst-case scenario regarding the price oil just became, well, a little worse. <br /><br />On Thursday CIBC World Markets Chief Economist Jeff Rubin said oil production will barely grow over the next five years, and that shortfall, combined with solid emerging market demand, will drive oil to $150 per barrel by 2010 and $200 per barrel by 2012, and <a href="http://www.financialpost.com/story.html?id=469214">The Financial Post reported Thursday.</a> <br /><br />Just as bad, and despite easing gasoline demand in the United States, U.S. gasoline prices will climb to as much as $7 per gallon by 2012, Rubin said, and <a href="http://www.financialpost.com/story.html?id=469214">The Financial Post reported.</a> <a href="http://www.nymex.com"><br /></a><p><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/04/24/cibcs-rubin-says-oil-to-hit-200-gasoline-7-by-2012/" rel="bookmark">Continue reading <em>CIBC's Rubin says oil to hit $200, gasoline $7 by 2012</em></a></p><p style="padding:5px;background:#ddd;border:1px solid #ccc;clear:both;"><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/04/24/cibcs-rubin-says-oil-to-hit-200-gasoline-7-by-2012/">CIBC's Rubin says oil to hit $200, gasoline $7 by 2012</a> originally appeared on <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com">BloggingStocks</a> on Thu, 24 Apr 2008 17:58:00 EST.  Please see our <a href="http://www.weblogsinc.com/feed-terms/">terms for use of feeds</a>.</p><h6 style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;"></h6><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/04/24/cibcs-rubin-says-oil-to-hit-200-gasoline-7-by-2012/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/forward/1176884/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/04/24/cibcs-rubin-says-oil-to-hit-200-gasoline-7-by-2012/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a>]]></description><category>CIBC</category><category>CIBC World Markets</category><category>emerging markets</category><category>gasoline</category><category>gasoline prices</category><category>IEA</category><category>International Energy Agency</category><category>oil</category><category>oil prices</category><category>Rubin</category><dc:creator><![CDATA[Joseph Lazzaro]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 24 Apr 2008 17:58:00 EST</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Why $25 billion worth of CDO liquidity puts could sink Citi]]></title><link>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/11/12/why-25-billion-worth-of-cdo-liquidity-puts-could-sink-citi/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/11/12/why-25-billion-worth-of-cdo-liquidity-puts-could-sink-citi/</guid><comments>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/11/12/why-25-billion-worth-of-cdo-liquidity-puts-could-sink-citi/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/c/" rel="tag">Citigroup Inc. (C)</a></p><p><a href="http://money.cnn.com/2007/11/09/news/newsmakers/merrill_rubin.fortune/index.htm?postversion=2007111119"><img vspace="4" hspace="4" border="0" align="right" alt="Citigroup (NYSE: C) logo" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.bloggingstocks.com/media/2007/09/c-citigroup-logo.jpg" /></a><em><a href="http://money.cnn.com/2007/11/09/news/newsmakers/merrill_rubin.fortune/index.htm?postversion=2007111119">Fortune</a></em> has added a new phrase to my vocabulary: liquidity puts. In an interview with <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/citigroup-incorporated/c/nys"><strong>Citigroup Inc.</strong></a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/citigroup-incorporated/c/nys">C</a>) Chairman Robert Rubin, liquidity puts are defined as the right of Collateralized Debt Obligation (CDO) holders to sell back the CDO to its issuer at the original price. The liquidity put is responsible for the $25 billion worth of CDOs on Citi's balance sheet.</p>
<p>Before getting into how this all works, it is amazing to me how many new words I've learned as a result of the collapse of the real estate market which began in the fall of 2006 -- when I first began <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2006/10/01/profiting-from-real-estates-decline/">posting</a> on the topic. Since then, I've been introduced to all sorts of new terms -- <a href="http://gef.bloggingstocks.com/2007/03/03/subprimes-economic-tornado/">subprime mortgages</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/18/the-18-trillion-unpaid-price-of-financial-alchemy/">CDOs</a>, <a href="http://gs.bloggingstocks.com/2007/10/14/hank-paulsons-got-an-enron-like-crisis-that-could-swamp-citigro/">Structured Investment Vehicles (SIVs)</a>, the <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/03/05/monday-meltdown-whats-going-on-when-will-it-end-what-should/">Yen Carry Trade</a>, and <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/11/07/could-level-3-assets-threaten-ceos-at-goldman-sachs-and-morgan-s/">Level 3 assets</a> -- to name just a few.</p>
<p>When Citi set up its $80 billion worth of SIVs, it thought that they would stay off its balance sheet. This summer, though, financial markets lost interest in financing CDOs so the holders of the liquidity-put CDOs began to return them to Citi -- the $25 billion of them represent more than half of Citi's $55 billion of subprime-related securities. The super-senior status -- meaning that they got first claim on cash flows -- of the put-laden CDOs did not protect their value because the ratings agencies decided to downgrade them, creating a panic to exercise the put and sell the CDOs back to Citi, thus locking in huge losses for the bank.</p>
<p>As an investor, I am hoping that Robert Rubin's vanity -- I think his once sterling reputation has been tarnished -- will engage him in fixing Citi. But I wonder whether Citi's problems could be too big for him to fix.</p>
<p><em>Peter Cohan is President of</em> <a href="http://petercohan.com/"><em><font color="#888888">Peter S. Cohan &amp; Associates</font></em></a><em>. He also </em><a href="http://www3.babson.edu/Academics/Divisions/management/facultyprofile.cfm?pageid=391236"><em><font color="#888888">teaches management at Babson College</font></em></a><em> and edits </em><a href="http://petercohan.blogspot.com/2007/01/cohan-letter-up-15-in-2006.html"><em><font color="#0072bc">The Cohan Letter</font></em></a><em>. He owns Citigroup shares.</em></p>
<p> </p><p style="padding:5px;background:#ddd;border:1px solid #ccc;clear:both;"><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/11/12/why-25-billion-worth-of-cdo-liquidity-puts-could-sink-citi/">Why $25 billion worth of CDO liquidity puts could sink Citi</a> originally appeared on <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com">BloggingStocks</a> on Mon, 12 Nov 2007 10:40:00 EST.  Please see our <a href="http://www.weblogsinc.com/feed-terms/">terms for use of feeds</a>.</p><h6 style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;"></h6><a href=http://money.cnn.com/2007/11/09/news/newsmakers/merrill_rubin.fortune/index.htm?postversion=2007111119>Read</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/11/12/why-25-billion-worth-of-cdo-liquidity-puts-could-sink-citi/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/forward/1037464/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/11/12/why-25-billion-worth-of-cdo-liquidity-puts-could-sink-citi/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a>]]></description><category>c</category><category>cdo</category><category>citigroup</category><category>inthenews</category><category>level 3 assets</category><category>Level3Assets</category><category>rubin</category><category>siv</category><category>yen carry trade</category><category>YenCarryTrade</category><dc:creator><![CDATA[Peter Cohan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 12 Nov 2007 10:40:00 EST</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Don't hold your breath - Citigroup told analysts clean up will take at least until middle of 2008]]></title><link>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/11/06/dont-hold-your-breath-citigroup-told-analysts-clean-up-will-t/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/11/06/dont-hold-your-breath-citigroup-told-analysts-clean-up-will-t/</guid><comments>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/11/06/dont-hold-your-breath-citigroup-told-analysts-clean-up-will-t/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/forecasts/" rel="tag">Forecasts</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/bad-news/" rel="tag">Bad News</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/marketmatters/" rel="tag">Market Matters</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/c/" rel="tag">Citigroup Inc. (C)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/stocks-to-sell/" rel="tag">Stocks to Sell</a></p><p><img vspace="4" hspace="4" align="right" alt="" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.bloggingstocks.com/media/2007/09/c-citigroup-logo.jpg" /><a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/citigroup-incorporated/c/nys">Citigroup</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/citigroup-incorporated/c/nys">C</a>) may have a new leadership team, but don't expect any miracles [subscription required]. In a conference call yesterday with CFO Gary Crittenden and the new Citigroup chairman Robert Rubin, analysts were told that Citigroup would not be able to clean up its problems related to the mortgage and credit mess until the middle of 2008. Citigroup expects to write down between $8 billion and $11 billion in the fourth quarter, but that could go even higher.</p>
<p>Crittenden did repeatedly try to assure investors that the dividend level would be maintained, saying, "Based on our current assumptions, we do expect that we will be maintaining our current dividend level. We have no reason to think that is anything other than absolutely the case and we anticipate that we will return to the range of our targeted capital ratios by the end of the second quarter 2008."</p>
<p>The question is how sure are they? They admit that most of what has unfolded happened through the month of October and that the potential losses for Citigroup raked up by its banks and investment houses could total more than $30 billion. When asked by Mike Mayo, an analyst for Deutshe Bank, "In the terms of the charges, can you give us any assurances that there is not another shoe to drop?" Crittenden answered, "Well, no Mike, I obviously can't give you any assurances. By the very nature of what I have said through this call, we are making an estimate right now ..."</p><p><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/11/06/dont-hold-your-breath-citigroup-told-analysts-clean-up-will-t/" rel="bookmark">Continue reading <em>Don't hold your breath - Citigroup told analysts clean up will take at least until middle of 2008</em></a></p><p style="padding:5px;background:#ddd;border:1px solid #ccc;clear:both;"><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/11/06/dont-hold-your-breath-citigroup-told-analysts-clean-up-will-t/">Don't hold your breath - Citigroup told analysts clean up will take at least until middle of 2008</a> originally appeared on <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com">BloggingStocks</a> on Tue, 06 Nov 2007 09:00:00 EST.  Please see our <a href="http://www.weblogsinc.com/feed-terms/">terms for use of feeds</a>.</p><h6 style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;"></h6><a href=http://online.wsj.com/article/SB119427180931882492.html?mod=hpp_us_whats_news>Read</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/11/06/dont-hold-your-breath-citigroup-told-analysts-clean-up-will-t/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/forward/1031438/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/11/06/dont-hold-your-breath-citigroup-told-analysts-clean-up-will-t/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a>]]></description><category>c</category><category>citigroup</category><category>crittenden</category><category>featured</category><category>rubin</category><dc:creator><![CDATA[Lita Epstein]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 06 Nov 2007 09:00:00 EST</pubDate></item></channel></rss>
